Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, August 22, 2015
S&P 2040 Breaks Down... Stock Market Turns Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
For quite some time I've spoken about the look of those nasty monthly charts across the board. While the market stopped going higher, it didn't break lower, and I believe many of you thought they'd never play out. They had to. They really had no choice. Every rubber made has a breaking point. You can try to be cute by continuing to stretch them and think to yourself, let's see if this particular one defies what we know to be true. Truth always wins out in the end. Eventually it snaps and you feel the pain of that snap.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Pandemonium in the Stock Market, Dow falls 1,000 points in a week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
This week's stunning sell-off sent the Dow 1,000 points lower. Other markets have surprised investors lately, too:
- Crude oil just fell below $40 a barrel
- Gold just broke above $1160 an ounce
- The U.S. dollar is enjoying the strength not seen in years
Friday, August 21, 2015
Massive Stock Market Breakdown Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is challenging the Cycle Bottom support at 2014.71 this morning. The bounce off this support may not last long at all, so there is no change in signal. There is a good probability that SPX may decline to 1960.00-1970.00 before a bounce, if any. It appears that we may see as many as 10 more market days of decline to the Intermediate Wave (1) low. It won’t be a pretty sight for the bulls.
Friday, August 21, 2015
More Stock Market Supports Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
There is no wonder that SPX is lower this morning. It closed beneath the lower trendline of its Orthodox Broadening Top last night. The Premarket shows the SPX down 7.5 points this morning, a low not seen since February 7. The 4-year uptrend line is also broken, suggesting a complete retracement to the October 4, 2011 low at 1074.00 in Cycle Wave I. that may come as early as mid-January 2016.
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Friday, August 21, 2015
U.S. Election Cycle Stock Market Profit Pattern is About to Begin / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Tom Gentile writes: As much as it pains me to contribute to the thousands of articles mentioning Donald Trump, this one is different…
It's different because I'm going to show you exactly how you can cash in on a concrete pattern, going back three-quarters of a century, which appears across the markets during the "election cycle," or the last two years of every American presidency.
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Friday, August 21, 2015
Global Stock Markets - Why it's Worse than October 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ashraf_Laidi
Fed funds futures are coming around to the idea of no September rate hike, a position we long held since last December based on the argument that inflation in 2015 will move further below the Fed's mandate, to the extent that the tightening in labour markets is inadequate to stir up inflationary pressures.
Friday, August 21, 2015
Stock Market - Fasten Your Seat Belt! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Puru_Saxena
It is official; the multi-month trading range on Wall Street has now ended with a breakout to the downside. You will recall that the major US indices were in a quiet, consolidation phase since December and over the past several weeks, we wrote extensively about the deterioration in the stock market’s internals.
In fact, about a month ago, our proprietary set of trend following indicators flashed ‘market under distribution’ which prompted us to reduce our equity exposure and partially hedge our book. Unfortunately, over the past few trading sessions, these set of indicators have deteriorated even more and there is now a high probability of an autumn plunge. Accordingly, we have reduced our equity exposure even more and currently, only half of the capital under our management is invested in common stocks.
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Friday, August 21, 2015
Global Stocks Slide, Markets are Moving! Want to Get Onboard? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
You would agree that markets around the world have served investors a lot of surprises lately:
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Thursday, August 20, 2015
SPX Stock Index Breaking Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX broke below its prior low at 2052.09. There may not be much of a bounce this time since this appears to be a third wave scenario.
ZeroHedge comments, “Small Caps hitting 6 month lows, S&P swinging red year-to-date, and Dow near 7-month lows... but remember China doesn't matter and Fed is priced in...”
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Thursday, August 20, 2015
Stock Market Negative Expectations Following Yesterday's Retreat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, August 20, 2015
Stock Market More Bearish Behavior.... 17,300 Dow Important Watch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Today was fascinating. Truly fascinating, and certainly not boring. The market plunged early on as the European markets fell hard. We gapped down and continued to fall hard. After getting close to oversold on the short-term sixty-minute charts we noticed a small rally ensue into the FOMC at 2 PM Eastern Time. It stated that the economy hadn't quite gotten to a level where they'd feel good about slowly raising rates. The market absolutely exploded, with a twenty handle S&P 500 move up in a matter of minutes. The market looked ready to rock up, but something funny happened along the way. The market hit gaps, and the selling exploded back in taking the market right back down.
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Thursday, August 20, 2015
Shanghai and DAX-30 Stock Indices Dance around 200-DMA / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ashraf_Laidi
Overnight, China central planners saved the 200-DMA in the Shanghai Composite, with an intraday 6.7% recovery following an earlier 5% decline. This is especially crucial as the index held above its 200-DMA since Jul 23, 2014. The latest selling pressure may have resulted by three consecutive daily gains in the Chinese yuan, following media assault from the rest of the world on the day of the CNY devaluation. Coincidently, the Shanghai Composite's late Wednesday session recovery emerged on the day the CNY depreciated for the first time four days.
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Wednesday, August 19, 2015
The Trigger For The Upcoming Stock Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Harry_Dent
I recently explained that it’s one thing for a central bank to artificially prop up its own stock market. It’s another thing entirely to even imagine doing something similar to falling oil prices. What’ll they do – buy oil futures? Give me a break.Oil hit a six-year low this week. As I write this, it’s around $43, closer yet to the $42 target I forecast when oil bounced back to $63. After another tepid bounce, it will very likely fall to the $32 support level we saw in late 2008. John Kilduff, a leading oil analyst who will be speaking at our Irrational Economic Summit in Vancouver next month, sees this happening earlier than his original Christmas call.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
What Credit Markets Are Telling Us About Stocks Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: Rather than trust markets to heal themselves, the world's central banks have polluted markets with flawed economic theories and trillions of dollars of debt. Rather than ignite economic growth as they had hoped, however, they have suffocated the global economy.
It began with the U.S. Federal Reserve's move to lower interest rates to zero seven years ago, followed by several bouts of quantitative easing.
This was followed by Mario Draghi's August 2012 declaration to do "whatever it takes" to defend the euro.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
Global Stock Markets and Dow Jones Fire Warning Shot Across Investors Bow! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last week, the global equity markets were quite undecided. China’s and Japan’s equity prices have been moving higher. The Japanese Nikkei reached its highest level since 1996 on Tuesday, August 11th, but then pulled back at the end of the week. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng made a new monthly low and the Australian Market fell to a new 6-month low.
Europe was more decisive. Traders mostly sold stocks. The German DAX, London FTSE, and Zurich SMI all fell to monthly lows by mid-week and did not recover much by Friday August 14th’s close. In Russia, it was much different. Moscow’s MICEX index rallied to its highest mark in 3 months.
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
Stock Market Pause in the Downtrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
sIntermediate trend - SPX may has started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, August 17, 2015
One of the Longest Cyclical US Stocks Bull Market May be Coming to an End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jas_Jain
Sell when the market has had a long rise and is hesitating, with everybody in the frenzy of optimism. Don't be fooled by cats and dogs leaping up after the good stocks have hesitated. ~ Bernard M Baruch, one of the most successful American speculators and among the most powerful political kingmakers in American history.
Monday, August 17, 2015
Stock Market, Gold Early Week Pullback Expected / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Stock Market: The 12 TD low came on Wednesday along with the TLC low near 2052. Next is due the 4/(8-1)/16 TD low on Tuesday this next week. Support is in the 2039/2046 SPX area. Friday the 14th was a solunar turn and new moon as well as the 4 TD top. I believe we are nearing a short term low and a rally (low 2100's SPX) is due into OPEX and even the day (August 24) after where we can expect lower prices again. The next TLC low is due August 31, so an August 24-31 drop is indicated.
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Monday, August 17, 2015
Stock Market Dumb Money Is Doing Something Smart / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Rubino
At the peak of bull markets, when stock prices have been rising long enough for people who just recently started paying attention to conclude that they always go up -- that's when retail investors traditionally go all-in to snag some of that apparently easy Dow Jones money. That's also when markets tend to peak and then roll over, once again transferring a sizable chunk of societal wealth from late-to-the-party "dumb money" investors to the pros who have been here before and recognize a peak when they see one.
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Sunday, August 16, 2015
Next Stock Market Low Important / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2078. After a gap up opening on Monday the SPX rallied to 2105. Then two gap down openings took it down to 2052 by Wednesday. After that the market worked its back up above where it started the week, and ended the week at SPX 2092. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.65%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.15%, and the DJ World lost 0.40%. On the economic front positive reports slightly outpaced negative reports. On the uptick: wholesale/business inventories, retail sales, the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, and long term investor sentiment. On the downtick: export/import prices, consumer sentiment, plus both weekly jobless claims and the treasury deficit increased. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, the NY/Philly FED, and Leading indicators.