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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Gold Price Not Signaling a Long-term Bear Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Toby_Connor

Gold isn't doing anything unusual. It's not signaling a long-term bear market. It's just doing what every D-wave except one has done by retracing to test the previous C-wave top.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Four Mining Stocks that Can Survive Gold $1,050 and Silver $15 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

The price of gold has see-sawed since the Federal Reserve raised interest rates on Dec. 16, and market experts debate if the action is good or bad for gold. Rob Chang of Cantor Fitzgerald Canada believes that after the small rate hike doomsayers are overstating their case and that gold should sell in 2016 for about $100/oz more than today. In this interview with The Gold Report, he argues that in today's climate cash costs of $1,000/oz are the bare minimum necessary for survival. Happily, Chang highlights three gold producers and one silver producer that have what it takes.

The Gold Report: Some say the price of gold has for some time been suppressed by fear of a Federal Reserve rate hike. What do you think?

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Commodities

Monday, December 21, 2015

Silver: May the 100 Year Force Be With You / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

What force?  Some of the “forces” in our world that are supportive of higher silver prices are:

  • Debt Increases: Global debt exceeds $200 Trillion and rising rapidly.
  • Warfare: Syria, Turkey, Russia, Ukraine, South China Sea, Chicago and others.  It is a long list.
  • Welfare: Bank bailouts, military contractors, Medicaid, food stamps, dozens of “programs” and so much more.
  • Central bank “money printing:” Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and others are doing what they do best – devaluing their currencies.  The bubbles created in the bond, stock, and currency markets must be fed and supported.
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Commodities

Monday, December 21, 2015

Gold Price Double Bottom and Bitcoin - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Mario_Innecco


Transcript excerpt:
December 21st 2015 I'll be talking today about a prop probable or possible double
bottom in the price of gold and also about Bitcoin which is doing it been
doing quite well recently where trading around 4:40 right now we are down twenty
one dollars from from the highs 468 earlier you know earlier in the day
gold is trading at 1068 we we did get up to a thousand 74 earlier in London it's
right now almost 1 p.m. London time almost 8 a.m. Eastern Standard Time New
York so the possible double bottom in gold is between it looks like reform
that you know I double bottom 2047 which was the law on the 3rd of December and
roughly the same low on the 17th of December with that in mind I've looked
at the high on the 4th of December which is a thousand and 89 and that will be

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Commodities

Monday, December 21, 2015

When Gold Comes Back Into Favor? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Submissions

Sasafuturestrading writes: Stocks usually change direction before commodities.

There is one market that really shines when stocks and the dollar are in bear markets together, and that market is gold.

In other words, a climate of falling stock prices, a falling U.S. dollar, and historically low interest rates don’t leave investors with a lot of investment alternatives. This is the exact type of intermarket climate that drives money to gold.

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Commodities

Monday, December 21, 2015

U.S. Silver Production Plunges by 20% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jason_Hamlin

To view The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) released their September silver production numbers this week and the results were incredible. Only 82.6 metric tons (mt) of silver were produced domestically in September versus 103 tons during September of last year. This represents a massive decline of 20% and is part of a greater trend of declining silver supply.

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Commodities

Monday, December 21, 2015

Silver Price Stuck in a Grim Downtrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

Silver has been somewhat weaker than gold in the recent past and dropped to clear new lows last Monday, as we can see on its 6-month chart below, but this should not come as a surprise as its recent COT structure has been nowhere near as positive as gold's, and at the end of a bearmarket or beginning of a bullmarket, gold outperforms silver.

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Commodities

Monday, December 21, 2015

Gold Price Suspected Bullish Falling Wedge Pattern / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

Gold's technical picture is actually little changed from the last update posted on the 6th, apart from its having made marginal new lows late last week. What has changed is that we have since seen the Fed raise interest rates for the first time in many years, and the Junk Bond market has started to seriously fall apart.

With respect to the rise in interest rates there are two points to be made. The first is that, contrary to the general belief that gold is less attractive in an environment of rising rates because it doesn't pay interest, it actually does well, because some of the money that floods out of the stockmarket flows into gold. Second, the Fed's diminutive rate rise was a hollow face-saving measure, intended to salvage some credibility after it had been "crying wolf" for so long. It is too little and far too late.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 20, 2015

Why Gold Price is going down, in Two Words: IT's NOT ! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Denali_Guide

          So as ephemeral as anything is to “prove” by math, we can observe and draw the following conclusion, that REAL METAL GOLD is priced far differently than PAPER CONTRACTS settled in Dollars.  Having not “proved” this but empirical observations to illustrate and support this enduring phenomena, we conclude that: “Currencies fluctuate, at different rates against MANDATORY DELIVERIES of METAL GOLD vs. PAYMENT in any given currency.”

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Commodities

Sunday, December 20, 2015

The Natural Gas Trading Play / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: EconMatters

Bearish Sentiment

A lot of bearishness has been priced into the natural gas market due to many factors including robust production, bulging inventories, and mild weather on average across the country. Natural gas in the futures market reached a low of $1.68 MMBtu for Henry Hub on the January contract this past week. Natural gas closed trading on Friday at around $1.77 MMBtu.
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Commodities

Saturday, December 19, 2015

Gold And Silver - Physical Precious Metals Are A 'Gift' At Current Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

It really matters little what the charts are saying about the paper futures for gold and silver here, which we will get to shortly. The focus needs to be kept on a few facts that are inescapably true: fiat currencies throughout the history on this planet have always, always failed, without exception, 100% of the time. There are few situations for which such a statement of guaranteed [failed] performance can be made.

It is any different this time? Yes and no. No, because all fiats have failed, plain and simple. Yes, because the extent to which there is no reasonable reality in the relationship between paper and physical has never occurred to the current degree, ever.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 19, 2015

Gold Stocks Remain in Position to Rebound / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The Fed rate hike has come and gone while the precious metals sector has continued to whipsaw traders day after day. The initial reaction was very positive. However, that completely reversed course on Thursday with Gold threatening to move to a new low and gold miners threatening to test recent support. Friday's strength continued the whipsaw pattern. In any event, the evidence continues to argue in favor of a rebound for the miners into Q1 2016.

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Commodities

Friday, December 18, 2015

Do Inflation Indicators Drive the Prices of Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Alongside the GDP and labor market’s strength, inflation rate is the most important macroeconomic indicator – since the Fed promotes full employment and price stability. The price stability is measured as the inflation rate, so inflation reports are closely watched by the U.S. central bank and investors. In the August Market Overview, we showed that gold is not always an inflation hedge. At that time, we focused on the Consumer Price Index, which is not the only measure of inflation. The others are the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI).

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Commodities

Friday, December 18, 2015

Data, Charts, History Show Rising Interest Rates Good For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

Gold fell to the lowest level in dollar terms since 2009 yesterday after the Fed’s “historic” 25 basis point interest rate rise on Wednesday. The rate hike has been heralded as the “end of cheap money.” This may or may not be the case but what is more important for precious metal buyers is the impact of potential rising rates on gold prices.

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Commodities

Friday, December 18, 2015

Gold Price Bottom is Close - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

Transcript excerpt :
gonna do a quick little video on goal this morning we are getting pretty close
to at least an intermediate cycle bottom and possibly maybe the final bear market
bottom near Market St in a yearly cycle o gold is in the process of leading a
yearly cycle low right now so couple things I want to look at everybody is
bearish on gold expecting no new lows here soon and I have to say that's
probably the most likely scenario but there is the potential that we could
have formed a double bottom yesterday gold is balancing this morning as I was
recording also we've got a table in Japan crash signal senior gold is closed
slightly below the lower Bollinger Band and bottoms will often form on these on
these moves below the close below the lower Bollinger Band here's one right

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Commodities

Friday, December 18, 2015

Eric Coffin Calls Out the Fed's Biggest Mistake and What You Can Do to Protect Your Portfolio / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

Eric Coffin, editor of HRA Journal, writes one of the must-read newsletters in the junior mining sector. In this interview with The Gold Report, Coffin implores gold equity investors to ask: Is the project financeable in this market? And he discusses some companies he covers in the HRA Journal with the know-how to find funds, as well as a couple of uranium names that would benefit from utilities re-entering the market to find long-term delivery deals. But Coffin gets rolling by questioning U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen's timing, warning investors about the growing divergence between equity and higher yield markets, and shooting down the accepted theory that the U.S. dollar index is heading to 120.

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Commodities

Friday, December 18, 2015

Sugar Commodity Trade Setup / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Before I dig into the nitty gritty of this potentially sweet trade setup, I would like to first wish everyone a Merry Christmas and Happy Holiday!

Being from Canada, I’m very lucky to be able to spend quality time with my family for the next month down in the sunshine state of Florida. I sure love the ocean breeze, sand between the toes, palm trees, and heat. Its amazing how cold Floridians make a sunny 70-degree day look being all bundled up in pants, jackets, and hats while I live in my bathing suit practically the entire time I’m down here. I don’t put on pants or a sweater until its 65ish outside or a restaurant demands I must wear pants and I’m still sweating wearing all that clothing. Its great to be back in America!

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Commodities

Thursday, December 17, 2015

Silly Myths About Gold During Rising Interest Rates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Fed Hikes; Silly Myths about Interest Rates & Gold Persist

The Fed finally acted this week – upping its benchmark Federal Funds rate by 0.25%. Now that the speculation over whether the Fed will hike has been put to rest, analysts are busily speculating about what the Fed's move means for the economy and markets.

Many of these speculations are unfounded. It's time to bust some silly myths.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 17, 2015

How Much Oil Is Needed To Power Santa's Sleigh? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Every year around the world, hundreds of millions of children wait anxiously for Santa Claus to arrive and bring presents and good cheer. But what if Santa never came? What if this year the reindeer all fall ill, perhaps due to Crazy Reindeer disease (the analog to Mad Cow) and Santa is forced to cancel Christmas? The result would be devastating.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 17, 2015

Gold Thrives, Paper Dies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

(From “Bobby,” a reader – posted as a comment)

Both Gold and Silver it is said
Are jeered yet feared by the Fed
For if they rise it will but show
The dollar’s worth is very low
So if they rise in upward trend
The Fed then feels it must defend
The things they do we know aren’t right
But they don’t care, they have the might

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