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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, October 14, 2016

“Gold Is A Great Hedge Against Politicians” – Goldman Sachs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold has risen another 1.7% in British pound terms this week and is 1.8% higher in euro terms and is again acting as a hedge against currency devaluations, Brexit, eurozone and heightened political and geo-political risk in the UK, EU, U.S. and most of the world.

Gold is marginally higher in dollar terms this week after surging on the open in Asia on Sunday night. Gold quickly rose 1% from $1,251/oz to $1,264/oz as China and the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) began trading again after being closed for the Chinese Golden Week.

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Commodities

Friday, October 14, 2016

How Could Helicopter Money Affect the Gold Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Since the NIRP has not yielded the expected results – it could have actually weakened the condition of the banking sector and its ability to expand lending – a hot debate about the use of another weapon in the central banks’ heroic struggle with the deflationary pressure started. We mean of course helicopter money, also called monetary finance or money-financed fiscal programs. Supporters argue that it is a necessary option to revive economic growth and generate inflation, while opponents consider it a fancy name for printing money and monetizing fiscal deficits. Who is right and what does it imply for the gold market?

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Commodities

Thursday, October 13, 2016

Tiptoeing Back into the Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger explains why he sees a "bottom in the cards," and outlines a trading plan to capitalize on the turnaround.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 13, 2016

The Structure and Future of Gold in the Investment and Monetary World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

This article looks at factors that will affect gold and silver prices as we go forward. We have to say they are considerable and will lead to our conclusion that while the gold price has fallen through support below $1,300 and now stand at $1,250, we see the fundamentals taking the price back higher and much higher over time. Indeed we do see it rising through its all time peak in the next year and beyond. We will also highlight the fact that such a rise will occur in all currencies as they weaken against the gold price.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 13, 2016

Sell Gold Now – Time To Liquidate Gold ETF, Pooled and Digital Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Sell Gold Now – A Note from GoldCore CEO Stephen Flood

It has never been more important to own gold as part of a diversified portfolio. The form your gold investment takes is just as important as owning it in the first place. ETFs and pooled gold may not be functional in extreme markets and may themselves be subject to systemic risk events.

We are living in extraordinary times and key to any investment plan that can weather the coming global financial storm is access to all important – liquidity.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Gold and Crude Oil - General Stock Market Links / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Without a doubt the most important event of the recent month (or even the recent years) was unexpected OPEC’s decision to limit its production to a range of 32.5-33.0 million barrels per day. The agreement reached in Algiers (which is expected to be implemented this year) improved oil investors’ sentiment and pushed the price of crude oil above the barrier of $50. But is it enough to break above the Jun peak? Is it possible that the relationships between crude oil, gold and the general stock market give us more clues about future crude oil’s moves?

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Gold and Silver Metals Show Strength Relative to the USD Index / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold, silver and mining stocks moved higher yesterday, but the size of the rally was not huge and it was another day during which the PM sector didn’t decline. The back and forth movement and decreased volatility appear to be temporary as this kind of performance is something that we’ve seen during both consolidations and bottoms. Which way will the precious metals sector go?

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 11, 2016

For How Long Can OPEC Talk Up Oil Prices? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Not a day passes without OPEC making oil and gas headlines, and today is surely no exception. Seemingly in lockstep with OPEC, the market is once again pacified on the promise that changes to the global oil supply glut are a' comin'.

Yesterday, the Wall Street Journal quoted anonymous sources close to the matter who had it on good authority that the Saudi's were willing to cut "up to" 400,000 barrels per day (and that they had planned to do so all along, with or without an OPEC agreement). We can assume this figure is off August or September levels, which are near-record highs for the oil-rich country.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 11, 2016

Presidential Election and Bear 'Super-Cycle' Stifle Growth in Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Contrary to what a number of gold bugs have observed, other experts believe recent drops in the gold price are not a bull market correction, but rather reflect a market stuck in a commodity bear "super-cycle." Coupled with a gloomy end-of-year outlook for stock markets, precious metals and miners could be in for a rough Q4.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 11, 2016

What in the World Happened to Gold and Silver Prices Last Week? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

By Clint Siegner : Gold and silver prices charged higher during the first 6 months of the year. They fell into a rut over the summer, and then hit the skids last Tuesday. Lots of bullion investors are wondering what in the world happened. There are three primary factors driving this price correction.

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Commodities

Monday, October 10, 2016

This Past Week in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest movement in the gold and silver markets, noting the cycle has reversed down.

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Commodities

Monday, October 10, 2016

Gold Trading COT Report “Means Lower – Then Much Higher – Prices Coming” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

The gold trading Commitment of Traders (COT) report, released Friday, shows the peculiarly timed gold sell off and much needed wash out of speculative longs out of the gold futures market last week sets gold up for lower prices, prior to moving higher again.

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Commodities

Monday, October 10, 2016

Gold and Silver PM Stocks Indices at an Emotionally Challenging Juncture / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

This past week there was some panic selling in the PM complex which is what we need to see happen to put in an important low. The HUI hit the 50% retrace at 195 for this first leg up in its new bull market, just under 200, which is an important physiological round number. Many times investor will place their sell/stops just under a round number like 40, 50 or 200 for instance, thinking if a stock drops below that important round number it’s time to exit that position. Many times a drop below these round numbers can be the reversal point for the next rally in the case of an uptrend.

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Commodities

Monday, October 10, 2016

Gold – Commitments of Traders – hedge fund longs liquidate / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

Fortunately for we traders, the Commitments of Traders report did at least catch the big move lower on Tuesday of this week so we were able to get a peek inside the market to see what happened to those massive hedge fund long positions during this week’s meltdown in the gold price.

Here is the first chart. Hedge fund outright positions.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 09, 2016

Gold Bull Markets Have Corrections / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Human nature is nothing if not consistent. I’ve seen this dozens  of times. At every single intermediate cycle low traders begin to doubt. No matter how strong the bull signals are, when a correction occurs traders find, or make up reasons for why the bear market is still in force or a new bear market is starting.

Folks, bull markets have to have corrections. They don’t signal the end of the bull, they are just profit taking events when price gets stretched too far above the mean, or when sentiment becomes too bullish.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 08, 2016

Gold Bugs Great News - COT Report Playing Out As Usual, Means Lower Then Much Higher Prices Coming / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: John_Rubino

This year’s recovery in precious metals prices – and the sudden spike in gold/silver mining stocks – convinced a lot of people that a new bull market had begun. Last week’s brutal smack-down scared the hell out of many of the same folks.

The latest commitment of traders (COT) report implies that we should all relax. Things are playing out pretty much according to a script that’s been in place for decades — and which points to happy times by early next year.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 08, 2016

Crude's Post-OPEC Rally "Bears Watching" But "Natural Gas is More Interesting Market at this Juncture" / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

New insights from Chief Energy Analyst Steve Craig

Elliott Wave International's Steve Craig offers you his latest insight on price trends in crude oil and natural gas.

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Commodities

Friday, October 07, 2016

Gold’s, Miners’ Stops Run / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold, silver, and their miners’ stocks plummeted out of the blue this week, shattering their bull-market uptrends.  Gold-futures speculators had been holding excessive long positions for months, weathering all kinds of selling catalysts.  But once gold slipped through key support, long-side futures stop losses started to trigger unleashing cascading selling.  Understanding this event and its implications is crucial for traders.

This week’s precious-metals carnage was a big surprise, erupting suddenly with no technical warning.  Gold had been faring quite well after hitting its latest interim high of $1365 in early July.  That was driven by heavy fund buying of gold-ETF shares in the wake of late June’s unexpected pro-Brexit vote.  After those big capital inflows dried up, gold consolidated high.  At worst by late August it had pulled back 4.1% to $1308.

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Commodities

Friday, October 07, 2016

What Tools Does the Fed Have Left and How Could They Affect the Gold Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Although the U.S. economy is currently expanding, we cannot rule out the possibility of a significant slowdown in the next few years. Some analysts argue that the Fed would be out of ammunition during the next crisis. Is that true? “Not necessarily,” as it turns out – the whole issue is a bit more complicated. We will now analyze what monetary weapons could the Fed use to stimulate the economy when the next recession strikes. The table below presents a short summary of available tools.

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Commodities

Friday, October 07, 2016

Sterling Gold Surges 5% In One Minute “Flash Crash” – Up 1.7% In Week As Gilts Sell Off / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Sterling gold surged 5% in less than a minute overnight in Asia with prices rising from £994/oz to £1,043.40/oz as sterling had a massive “flash crash.” Sterling plummeted in the second biggest fall in its history – only slightly less than the collapse after the Brexit vote.

Despite gold’s peculiar, sharp fall in dollar terms on Tuesday and 4.1% loss for the week, sterling gold is another 1.7% higher this week – from £1,010/oz to £1,027/oz –  again showing gold’s importance in hedging against currency devaluation.

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