Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, August 07, 2007
MPTrader - Gold's Sideways Pattern Should Resolve Itself to the Upside / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The gold market in general, and the pattern that has developed in the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) recently is very interesting because neither the downward correction in equities nor the 10% plunge in crude oil prices since Aug. 1st has negatively impacted the precious metal.
Meanwhile, the dollar is under pressure vs. the Euro, which is sitting near its historical high, and has declined 6% vs. the Yen since late June... which probably deserves some credit for putting a floor under gold prices recently.
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Tuesday, August 07, 2007
Metals and Mining Investing and Alternative Strategies / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: Dudley_Baker
We are of the opinion, based upon our research and the opinions of numerous analysts we respect and follow, that an incredible move to the upside in the shares of natural resources is right around the corner. We may still have some work to do from a technical and timing standpoint for the next few weeks, but we suggest investors should be preparing for this event.
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Tuesday, August 07, 2007
Silver Market Update - Gold Outperforming Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund
The bullish arguments relating to silver are this week almost identical to those set out for gold in the Gold Market update, to which readers are referred , and it only remains to highlight the differences.
Gold has been outperforming silver all year to date, and although this could change anytime, there is no sign of it yet. A recent example is the fact that gold has broken clear out of the restraining “Distribution Dome” shown on its chart, whereas silver has only managed a marginal breakout above its dome pattern. Also, late last week, gold got close to its July high, which silver did not by a margin.
Tuesday, August 07, 2007
Gold Market Update - Crumbling Dollar Increases Chances of Successful Gold Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Clive_Maund
The outlook for gold turned decidedly more bullish last week when it broke above the confines of its “Distribution Dome” for the second time in the space of as many weeks. This breakout, which is less likely to fail than the last one did, has once again put gold in position to break strongly above last year's highs, an event made more and more likely - some would say inevitable - by the crumbling dollar.
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Monday, August 06, 2007
Gold Analysis “A Star Rises!” / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: David_Vaughn
Take a look below at gold's Friday price action. Gold is so much like a spring. Every time it finds itself being pushed down it jumps right up again. What you are looking at below is the evidence of a true bull market in action.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 06, 2007
2008 – 2012: A Critically Important Period - Migrating to New Energy Paradigms Part 4 / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Brian_Bloom
Preface - The benchmark against which I have been measuring the appropriateness of various alternative energies has been: “Does this particular technology offer the potential to represent a sensible replacement for oil across the planet within a decade? Alternatively: Can it replace coal within 25 years?”
I am sensitive to the possibility that some readers may have been irritated by my apparently cavalier predisposition to dismiss various alternative energies which they may be favouring. In this context, let me clarify my position: I dismiss nothing out of hand. There is no insurmountable shortcoming of, for example, solar power or wind power. We should continue to embrace both. However, neither of these can (yet) generate sufficient energy to replace that generated by burning approximately 240 million equivalent barrels of oil a day; and neither will be capable of achieving this objective within either of the two deadlines. The issue is “time” as this article will demonstrate. We do not have the luxury of time. We also do not have the luxury of making any serious strategic mistakes.
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Sunday, August 05, 2007
Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 5h August 2007 - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Merv_Burak
And away we go. The plunge of the previous week is almost corrected – except for the volume. On the whole, speculators are still leery about this market so the up side is still not a done deal.
GOLD
I find so often that a quick glance at a long term P&F chart quickly tells us where we are in the scheme of things. With the daily ups and down of the gold market one can quite quickly get confused and frustrated wondering where we stand. The chart above tells us we are still in a long term bull market but below previous highs. Although bullish, we are moving laterally within that trend. We have two serious resistance levels to overcome before we can say that we are in a new raging bull market. Those resistance levels are the $690 and $720 levels (keeping in mind that with a $15 unit chart one needs $705 and $735 to breach these levels).
Sunday, August 05, 2007
Gold and Silver Analysis - Tough Love from Bernanke and Co? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Joe_Nicholson
“The extension of the bull market in precious metals may very well still be preparing to get underway… The daily chart shows gold approaching oversold levels on the RSI and first support at the 200-day moving average… An upward move faces overhead resistance at the 5-week moving average, about $664, and the 5-day average at $672. Silver… has a relative equilibrium point around which the white metal may remain bound until the fundamental undercurrents suggesting a new surge in metals are realized.” ~ Precious Points: Precious Mettle , July 28, 2007
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Friday, August 03, 2007
MPTrader -Crude Oil Pressing Support Trendline / Commodities / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Right now the US Oil Trust (AMEX: USO) is down about $0.80 and pressing against its June-Aug support line at 56.80, which if broken should trigger downside acceleration towards the next key support plateau at 54.75-54.20. Such a move will represent a 40-45% downside traverse across the bullish price channel -- and a "natural" support area where we might expect weakness in the USO to find new buying interest.
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Friday, August 03, 2007
Gold Forecaster A Step Towards a Structurally Higher Gold Price - U.S. Protectionism & Capital Controls / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
As the move to keeping what nations have already Protectionism is in full swing. This will inevitably disturb the currency world, who quite rightly will look to something that will protect them from the rising volatility in the currency markets alongside seeping confidence from the U.S $. This 'something' will include gold and gold investments. Both Protectionism and Capital Controls will enter the scene as this happens as testified to by history.
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Friday, August 03, 2007
Uranium Stocks Bullish Secular Trend / Commodities / Uranium
By: Zeal_LLC
Scott Wright : With a commodities bull market in full swing, commodities-stock investors have enjoyed incredible results leveraging their favorite commodities. And commodities-stocks' performances have vastly exceeded the impressive double of the major market indices over the last four years.
As one of the few stock investors to have traded this commodities bull since the beginning, I have observed different commodities begin their bulls at different times with most developing different trading patterns. All commodities are not created equal, yet many of these trading patterns are indeed predictable to some extent.
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Friday, August 03, 2007
Silver Stocks - Hecla Mining: Buy / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Bob_Kirtley
We are giving a BUY signal on Hecla Mining. It is has been marked as a BUY for a long time in our silver portfolio , but we are issuing an additional BUY signal as we think at this point one should add to any holdings in Hecla that one may have and if one has not yet established a position in this stock, now is the time to build that position.
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Thursday, August 02, 2007
AMEX Gold BUGS Index Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: David_Petch
This article was published on Monday July 30 th for the benefit of subscribers. Well, the anticipated breakout in the HUI, which was counting impulsive represents yet the third failed breakout attempt over the course of the past 12 months. The only saving grace is that the pressure for an upside move is building and when it occurs, Katie bar the door. Fib price retracements of what was thought to be the “start” of wave III are shown on the right hand side denoted in blue. The 61.8% retracement level has been tested, but short-term stochastics having the %K beneath the %D at mid channel depth suggests further downside/consolidation can be expected. The upper 21 MA BB curled down, confirming the top also noted by the lower BB's curling up. Fibonacci time extensions of various waves are shown mid chart, with the next cluster of Fib dates occurring in early August and early September. Expect the HUI to go sideways for another 1-2 weeks at a minimum before going higher.
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Thursday, August 02, 2007
Commodities Are Starting an Upward Trend Again / Commodities / CRB Index
By: Donald_W_Dony
KEY POINTS:
• CRB Index breaks through key resistance level of 320; stronger commodity market in
second half of 2007
• Oil nearing annual top, as resistance above
$75 builds
• Natural gas strengthens in August; bottom at
$5.30
• Copper prices continue to increase into
September; $4.00 is target
• Nickel finds support at $40.00; improving in
3rd quarter back to May high
• U.S. dollar could break key support of $0.80
in August; gold’s growth set to rise
moderately on new weakness
Wednesday, August 01, 2007
GOLD THOUGHTS - Gold Versus Stock Returns / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
WE WIN! This week's chart is of ten year returns on $Gold(7.4% compounded annually) and U.S. paper equities(6.1% total return compounded annually). As the chart shows, the place to have had your money for past ten years has been Gold. These results will no doubt be kept a secret from many investors. Many money management activities are about generating fees, not providing performance. Why tell clients they could have earned more money somewhere else? Is that not one grand and glorious graph! We won, and paper asset are in second place. Remember what they say about second place. Second place is first loser! Will CNBC keep this a secret from investors?
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Tuesday, July 31, 2007
Canadian Junior Mining Shares Ripe For The Picking / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: Captain_Hook
The opportunities in Canadian junior mining shares has never been better. And now is the time to get in before prices skyrocket higher in my opinion. As mentioned the other day in pointing out the precious metals sector is turning higher, when the Canadian $ heads over parity against the Greenback, American investors will be looking for a home for excess cash they wish to hold in Loonies. And as they work their way down the food chain, eventually they will arrive at junior mining shares, a group that has been all but forgotten by the institutional types because either company or trading characteristics don't meet desired models at this time. That is to say the shares are in the pennies, generally illiquid, and have been heading in the wrong direction (down) for some time now, a characteristic set definitely outside of the desired formula most momentum chasing behemoths (hedge funds) are chasing these days.
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Monday, July 30, 2007
MPTrader - Gold in Bullish Coil Ready to Spring / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Heading into the final session of July, let's have a look at the very big picture of spot gold, which shows that the price structure has gyrated into the nose of a year-long coil pattern, which is positioned in the top 30% of the entire bull phase from the August 1999 low through the May 2006 high.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 30, 2007
Goodbye Gold Bears! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: David_Vaughn
Our little friend is just racing to prove itself. And prove itself it will and in a very big way. This little friend of ours is a powerful little friend. This little friend eventually is heading much, much higher. Which means our gold stock profits are going to climb and make many wealthy.
A crisis is occurring before us. Gold is rising and getting ever closer to its present ceiling of 700 an ounce. I know for a fact there are many who worship the gold price and the major tenet in their religion is that gold must fall back to 50 dollars an ounce. How bitterly disappointed and shell shocked these fervent gold bear soldiers must be to continue to watch gold strengthen.
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Monday, July 30, 2007
Migrating to new Energy Paradigms Part 3 - Market Needs: Real vs. Perceived / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Brian_Bloom
This article focuses on the difference between real market needs and perceived market needs. When migrating from our fossil fuel energy paradigm we should avoid embracing new energy paradigm/s which are incapable of addressing real needs.
Many aspirant alternative energy technologies seek to address the perceived problem that our top priority is to reduce CO 2 emissions. In previous articles relating to Global Warming I have tried to demonstrate (and will try again later in this article to demonstrate) that rising CO 2 levels in our atmosphere are not the real problem. Our sun is ultimately causing global warming, which warming is being exacerbated by Greenhouse Gases. There is nothing we can do about this other than gird our loins. Given that Climate Change occurs cyclically, we need to prepare for the coming cycle of Global Cooling.
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Sunday, July 29, 2007
Precious Metals Analysis - Launching Hummingbirds / Commodities / Gold & Silver
By: The_Big_Fisherman
Buy gold and go to the beach: An investment strategy after my heart. So the positive movement in the precious metals markets over the past few weeks was welcome action as the family vacationed at our lake cabin. We were all enchanted by the tiny tenants of a hummingbird nest anchored to a small hemlock in our side yard. Growing vigorously to an overflowing size they were aggressively testing their wings and nearly ready to fly.Read full article... Read full article...