Category: Stock Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, March 11, 2011
Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
In my analysis of March 2nd I suggested the stock market correction should last around 4 weeks (based on cycles and previous corrections) and sufficiently reset overbought or extreme indicators in order for the cyclical bull to continue. Today the correction is 3 weeks old, and we have seen just over 50 points wiped off the S&P500. So is it shortly a buy again?
Friday, March 11, 2011
S&P 500 Remains Overly Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Donald_W_Dony
The recent sell-off of the S&P 500 has brought many investors to question the sustainability of the bull market. Spiking oil prices and the outlook for even high energy costs as demand increases, has resurfaced concerns of another major market decline. However, this outlook is very unlikely given the underlying strength of the index.
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Thursday, March 10, 2011
Industrial Stocks Will Drive the Stock Market Higher, Regardless of High Oil Prices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Some investors are worried that high oil prices will drag down the U.S. recovery - and the stock market rally it's spawned.
But even though some stocks look to be topping out, the major industrial stocks behind this bull market are plowing ahead.
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Tuesday, March 08, 2011
Manpower Survey Bullish, But Stock Market Correction Threat Remains / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
We have some good news on the hiring front this morning, which aligns with our longer-term bullish outlook. However, we remain concerned short-term, and will be patient in terms of redeploying the cash we have raised in recent weeks. According to Bloomberg:
More U.S. employers said they plan to boost payrolls in the second quarter, and fewer expect to reduce headcounts, a private survey found. Manpower Inc. (MAN), the world’s second-largest provider of temporary workers, said today that 16 percent plan to add workers in the April-June period, up from 14 percent in the first quarter. The share of those projecting workforce reductions fell to 6 percent from 10 percent.
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Tuesday, March 08, 2011
Crude Oil Spike Hits Stock Market.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
It was only a matter of time before oil hit this market with the price of oil over $100 for this long. It has been trading well above $100 dollars per barrel for several days now with a spike near $107 per barrel pre-market today. The market finally gave it up to some degree on this spike, although not as much as one might think based on the breakout technically in place.
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Monday, March 07, 2011
Fed's Wealth Effect Money Creation Machine Driving Stocks Bull Market, Keep Bears at Bay / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Stocks ripped higher at the start of the past week, then collapsed, revived and collapsed again.
Yeah, it was an exciting few days. By the time it was all over bull and bears discovered they had fought to a tie that just barely favored buyers as the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up .3% for the week, while the Standard & Poor's 500 Index was +0.1%, the Nasdaq Composite was +0.13% and the Russell 2000 small-caps were +0.3%.
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Monday, March 07, 2011
Dow Theory with Hurst Cycles / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: readtheticker
The Dow Theory has two components the Dow Jones Industrials index and the Dow Jones Transports index. The basis of this theory is based on pure technical analysis of the two indexes. The Dow Transports is the more volatile of the two, and what the reader may not know contains a technical statistic that is at the very least 85% accurate.
Sunday, March 06, 2011
Elliott Wave on the DOW Ending Diagonal Pattern, Short term Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Dan_Stinson
Many investors are confused with the choppy action on the DOW, so we have provided a chart to illustrate our forecast on the expected price action.
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Sunday, March 06, 2011
Delusional Crowds, Booming Economies, Stock Markets and the End Game / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Mauldin
The Delusion of Crowds and the Endgame
Let the Good Times Roll
Are Booming Economies Good for the Markets?
Back to 2007?
People only accept change in necessity and see necessity only in crisis. —Jean Monnet
The economy is doing better, and we will survey some of the highlights. But does this mean the stock market is headed higher? A chart from Louis Gave got me to thinking, and I shot off a few thoughts and questions to Ed Easterling and Vitaliy Katsenelson. What ensued was a lively “battle” of charts and thoughts and more questions, so this week I let you look over my shoulder at our conversation. This letter will print longer than normal, as there are a lot of charts. I think you will find it very thought-provoking, if only a little cautionary. And we start with a look at a survey about what Americans think of the current fiscal deficit and the ways to remedy it.
Saturday, March 05, 2011
SPX Stock Market Classic Reversal Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
NFP +192,000, Below Expectations Of 196,000; Unemployment Rate 8.9%, Unchanged Average Hourly Earnings
Nonfarm payroll employment increased by 192,000 in February, and the unemployment rate was little changed at 8.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in manufacturing, construction, professional and business services, health care, and transportation and warehousing.
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Friday, March 04, 2011
A Strong NYSE Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Marty_Chenard
The NYSE Index is an exceptionally important index to follow because of its size, composition, the fact that it embodies so many program trades, and because of the focused activity coming from Institutional Investors.
Read full article... Read full article...So, what the NYSE Index is doing, how it is trending, and how strong it is are all very important elements relative to what the rest of the market is doing.
Thursday, March 03, 2011
Inflation-Proofing Your Investments / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Paul_Lamont
With interest rates over 15% in 1981, Harry Browne and Terry Coxon penned Inflation-Proofing Your Investments. They began:
“It’s obvious now that inflation isn’t a temporary problem that will soon disappear.”
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Thursday, March 03, 2011
Stock Markets and Crude Oil Prices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Asha_Bangalore
The turmoil in the Middle East and North Africa has led to higher oil prices (see Chart 1, data plotted up to 3/1/2011). Brent crude oil was trading at $116.99 ($113.07 on 3/1/2011) as of this writing and West Texas Crude was quoted at $101.68 ($99.63 on 3/1/2011). The Libyan crisis has raised oil prices significantly in the last three trading days. The crisis in the region commenced the day after a Tunisian man set fire to himself on January 21, 2011.
Thursday, March 03, 2011
Has Crude Oil Spiking Kicked-Off a New Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Today, we cover specific strategies and tactics we may employ over the coming weeks with respect to our holdings, cash, the Fed, the outlook for stocks, oil prices, and key market levels. The recent spike in oil prices has many wondering if it is “déjà vu all over again”. In July 2008, oil prices surged to over $140 per barrel with the S&P 500 trading at 1,240. As oil came back to earth over the coming months, the S&P 500 did not find buyers until hitting 666 intraday in March 2009.
Wednesday, March 02, 2011
POMO? Where are you? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Guy_Lerner
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke finishes his two day testimony in front of Congress and the one question I liked to see asked is: would you still consider QE2 a success if the equity markets were down 10% since you signaled your intent to purchase assets in August, 2010 as opposed to being up 30%?
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Wednesday, March 02, 2011
Stock Market Correction, How Long and How Deep? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
In my analysis of February 17th here, I suggested a stock market pullback was imminent but that the cyclical stocks bull was to continue longer term. It turned out to be timely, as we have been in correction since the 18th until today. So how long and how deep should we expect the market to consolidate or correct, and is the case for the underlying cyclical stocks bull to continue still as strong?
Tuesday, March 01, 2011
NDX Lags, While Overall Stock Market Strong / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
2808 Nasdaq is a huge gap down created a week or so ago off the top. We got within 10 points today (2798) before a strong reversal lower took place. Small caps did the majority of the selling. The Nasdaq stocks as well as the Dow and S&P 500 were out performing throughout the entire trading day. The highest beta, most frothy stocks, took it on the chin showing classic bull market action. Nothing too heavy across the board, although we could definitely use more selling across the board to unwind things on those oscillators to oversold. No guarantee we get it, but the line in the sand is clearly drawn here. The Nasdaq is being protected by the 20-day exponential moving average down to the 50-day exponential moving average with gaps as well to help out while that huge open gap down at 2808 is capping things on the way up.
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Sunday, February 27, 2011
Stock Market SPX Correction May Be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market, or two cyclical bull/bear cycles side by side. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-15.
Long-term trend -In March 2009, the SPX began an upward move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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Sunday, February 27, 2011
Six Reasons Why the Stocks Bull Market Could Keep Charging / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Investment_U
Louis Basenese writes: After the stock market sold off this past Tuesday, it’s time to address a question that I keep getting asked:
Is the market overdue for a correction?
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Saturday, February 26, 2011
Crude Driving Stock Market, Elliott Wave Analysis for Week Starting 28th Feb / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
This week markets, worldwide, took their biggest hit since the second week in November on civil unrest in Libya and a spike in Crude oil prices. WTIC started the week at $88.80/bbl and spiked, in three days, up to $103.40 on supply concerns. The US equity market responded with its largest pullback since November: -3.7%, on economic concerns of surging energy costs. Crude pulled back in the last day and a half to end the week at $97.90, upper mid-range for the week. Equity markets rebounded on that pullback. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.9%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.9%.