Category: Stock Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, February 26, 2011
Stock Market Finds A Way...Expect Some Chop Next Week... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
It found a way to get back through the 20-day exponential moving average. The Nasdaq tested down two times yesterday below the key 50-day exponential moving average, but closed above while showing a positive divergence on the 60-minute short-term charts at that double bottom. The close above with the positive divergence told us a move up off oversold was on the way, but I didn't expect the 20-day exponential moving averages to be captured back in one day. This is why you never short a bull market. You should rarely play counter trend. If you want cash that's fine, but counter trend playing makes little sense. 2769 was the level the Nasdaq needed to take back and it did just that. Nothing explosive above, but above, nonetheless. Impressive. The price of oil had led this market lower. It printed near 103.00 per barrel yesterday, and that was the reason for the brief loss of those 50's on the Nasdaq. The S&P 500 and Dow never fell below.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
A Warning Shot For Investors? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
Many important global stock markets, including China, Brazil, India and Hong Kong, have been in fairly significant corrections since November, down between 12% and 17%. Their major concerns have been rising inflation and the resulting monetary tightening by their central banks to combat the inflationary pressures.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Stock Market Fear Levels and the VIX... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Marty_Chenard
The VIX (Volatility Index) spiked up when the Libyan revolt started to unfold.
Today, there is talk of a possible Libyan massacre today which would be a real negative should that occur because it could end up meaning U.S. intervention.
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Thursday, February 24, 2011
Crude Oil and Middle East Crisis Requires Defensive Bias / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
We head into Thursday’s trading session with an extended market that now has two negative fundamental factors to focus on; the Middle East and rapidly rising oil prices. Regardless of how long oil prices remain elevated, the market sees it as a reason to sell. According to today’s Wall Street Journal:
Thursday, February 24, 2011
Stock Market Downside Follow Through! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started the day with a little bit of a bounce to the upside, and then rolled over immediately. At that point they spent the rest of the morning dropping. By midday they reached their session lows, and in the early afternoon they started to bounce back. That lasted until about 45 minutes to go, when they backed off again to increase the losses.
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Thursday, February 24, 2011
Rough Few Days For The Stock Market Bulls.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Markets tend to catch the masses off guard. It's an old story with the stock market. The bull-bear spread has stayed quite high, and actually increasing in the number of bulls, and decreasing in the number of bears over the past few weeks. More and more are getting bullish which explains how the weekly charts got so extremely overbought, especially on the S&P 500 and Dow. High-70 readings on the Dow, and mid-70 readings on the SPX said it was time to reign it in some.
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Wednesday, February 23, 2011
Time To Buy Stocks In The Face Of Fear? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: David_Grandey
The MARKETS HATE UNCERTAINTY and that’s where we are at currently.
That uncertainty can be summed up in a few words MID-EAST, from Libya to Bahrain and then some is what’s creating the uncertainty. Should Libya fall then some of the uncertainty will with it. We’ve all seen it before once some sort of certainty comes back into the markets the futures will be up big in after hours markets (think 1991 Iraq). When Libya’s Saturday Night Live dictator falls (and how), sure it could create a knee jerk down on the news event but keep in mind fast that a level of uncertainty will have diminished too.
Wednesday, February 23, 2011
The Fastest Doubling of the S&P 500 Since the Great Depression! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Claus_Vogt
Since its low in March 2009 the S&P 500 Index has doubled. Last week The Wall Street Journal stated that it was the fastest doubling since 1936. That rally began in March 1935 and reached the 100 percent gain mark in 501 days. The red vertical line in the chart below depicts the start of the rally.
This time the market needed a bit longer to double … 707 days.
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Wednesday, February 23, 2011
Stock Market Calls for Incremental Approach / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
As of 7:50 a.m. ET, the markets are stable, which is a good sign for now. The situation with Col. Moammar Gadhafi needs to be monitored closely. This morning’s Wall Street Journal (WSJ) provides a good visual of the unrest:
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Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Federal Stimulus Should Keep Stock Market Bulls Happy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Stocks rose fitfully last week in a typically strange, exciting, exasperating options-expiration week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, Standard & Poor's 500 Index and the Nasdaq Composite Index all ended roughly 1% higher, while the Russell 2000 small-caps rose 1.5%
Treasurys enjoyed their firmest session of the past month in part due to an unexpected rise in unemployment claims. Bonds love misery because it suggests that inflation -- their arch enemy -- will remain under control. Inflation will be a problem as long as home prices retreat, jobs are scarce and wage hikes are a far-off dream.
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Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Secular Stock Market Insights, Stay Out of the ROOM / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Mauldin
One of my favorite analysts is Ed Easterling of Crestmont Research. We used to get together a whole lot more when he lived in Dallas, but he has since moved to the wilds of Oregon. Ed’s first book, Unexpected Returns, is a classic work that I think is a must-read for all stock market investors.
And now he favors us with yet another book, called Probable Outcomes: Secular Stock Market Insights, in which he takes on the mostly silly research, done by so many analysts, that purports to show what an investor can expect to make from his retirement portfolio over time. I can’t tell you how disastrous this simplistic analysis can be for retirees.
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Picture of the Two Latest Cyclical Stocks Bull Markets and Where the Current One is Headed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jas_Jain
The US "stock market" is but a reflection of the US econo-political system firmly in control of the corporate crooks that put the top powers (Presidency and the Chairmanship of the Federal Reserve) in hands of those who would not shy from policies that result in evil economic and financial deeds. No other nation is the cause of America's economic problems. They are all homemade. The reason Americans are angry and anxious about the future is that evildoers, driven by desperation, have led the US economy and there is no change in sight. Obama was lying when he promised change.
Saturday, February 19, 2011
Stock Market Up, Up and Away, Elliott Wave Analysis for Week Starting 21st Feb / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
For the eleventh week in a row the SPX made new bull market highs this week. Statistically that is quite a run as this seven month uptrend continues to extend. Economic reports were plentiful and positive. Thirteen were positive or improving, four negative or weakening, and one flat. The negatives were declines in industrial production, building permits and the M1-multiplier, plus an increase in weekly jobless claims. The NAHB housing index remains flat and bouncing along the bottom. On the positive side; the PPI/CPI were positive, along with import/export prices, retail sales, the leading indicators. On the improve were the NY/Philly FED, business inventories, capacity utilization, the monetary base and the WLEI.
Saturday, February 19, 2011
Mutual Fund Investors Are Piling Into the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Gallup Finds U.S. Unemployment Up to 10.0% in Mid-February
Underemployment surged to 19.6% in mid-February from 18.9% at the end of January
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Saturday, February 19, 2011
Stock Market Rapidly Approaching Long-term Resistance....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
What a great ride this has been for us. Fun for sure. Bigger picture, as long as printing press Ben is active, the fun should last a lot longer. That doesn't mean the market won't take some time out to pause and sell down some. There are a plethora of reasons to expect a sell off some time soon. The three primary ones are major resistance on the Nasdaq (chart included) at 2861. Add strong resistance on the transports and small caps (charts also included), and you have a lot of sectors close to major resistance. The second reason is overbought daily charts, and finally, you have confirming, very overbought, weekly charts on the major indexes. RSI's in the upper 70's on the Dow and S&P 500 on those weekly charts. Stochastic's a hair under 100. It doesn't go higher than 100.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 18, 2011
Stock Market Selloffs Ignite U.S. Dollar Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Zeal_LLC
The inevitable periodic selloffs in the general stock markets indiscriminately hammer all stocks lower. But they pose a special magnified risk to commodities stocks. In addition to weighing on this sector directly, stock selloffs ignite fast US dollar rallies. This rapidly drives dollar-denominated commodities prices lower, amplifying the selling pressure faced by commodities stocks.
Thursday, February 17, 2011
Stock Market Roars Back..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
But you just can't kill the beast someone once wrote in a song. No different here, as the beast known as the bull market, won't go away quietly. It gets a drop below overbought, then comes raging back without even a fight by the bears. It's as if they've just given up, which makes me nervous. But you can't argue with a market that uses any selling to come right back the very next day. The futures started ticking up overnight, which told me here we go again. You just can't keep this thing down with any momentum. You wonder who's buying these futures. The fed? Could be, but it doesn't matter does it. It catches on with many others joining in and up she goes. We gapped up and spent little time churning before moving higher still. There was one powerful pullback intraday, but that, too, got bought up as they rolled along.
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Wednesday, February 16, 2011
How You Can Profit from the Latest Stock Market Warning Sign / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Claus_Vogt
There is no denying that the emerging world — especially China, India, and Brazil — has had a nice growth spurt. And there are convincing reasons to expect them to continue their long-term growth stories: Favorable demographics and a shift towards more market-oriented policies.
However, these long-term growth drivers do not immunize emerging economies from the business cycle … the ebb and flow of booms and recessions.
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Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Stock Market Pullback Imminent, Cyclical Bull to Continue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
Let's start by looking longer term.
Cyclical stocks bulls historically end when/with:
Inflation over 4%
10 year treasury yields over 6%
Stock market topping process accompanied by weakening breadth
Yield curve abnormal
Overtightening of interest rates
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Stock Market Daring us to Buy Those Dips Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
Should we be concerned?
As Doug Short points out in his EEM chart from our Chart School, while Egypt may be "fixed," emerging markets are not. We had a pretty ridiculous discussion in Member Chat last week on whether we should take our quick 300% profits on our EDZ hedges or wait for the full 500% and we decided to wait because, like Doug and Captain Kirk - we do not believe the trend is the friend of Emerging Markets at the moment.