Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, September 02, 2016

Physical Gold Delivery Failure By German Banks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

The physical gold delivery failure to clients of Deutsche Bank who own Xetra-Gold, the gold exchange traded commodity, was confirmed yesterday by Deutsche Bourse who said that the inability to deliver gold was not limited to Deutsche Bank and that other German banks were having “problems” delivering gold.

Friday, September 02, 2016

Gold Price and Political Business Cycle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Many economists ask why economic activity fluctuates. Among many theories of business cycles, there is the politicalbusiness cycle, formulated in the 1970s. According to it, incumbents try to juice up the economy during election years to improve their chances of re-election. They use fiscal or monetary policy to stimulate the economy just before an election to increase their odds of remaining in office. However, although expansionary monetary and fiscal policies are politically attractive in the short run (due to increased spending), they might lead to some unpleasant consequences in the long term (like high inflation or excessive budget deficits). Therefore, after the election is over and the next election is far away, politicians reverse the course and restrict the fiscal and monetary stimuli. Thus, major elections produce economic booms and busts, as politicians try to create an artificial boom before everyelection and take advantage of voters’ short-sightedness.

Thursday, September 01, 2016

China’s Monetary Ascension Is Paved with Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

The world monetary order is changing. Slowly but steadily, global trade and currency markets are becoming less dollar-centric. Formerly marginal currencies such as the Chinese yuan now stand to become serious competitors to U.S. dollar dominance.

Could gold also begin to emerge as a leading currency in world trade? Over time, it certainly could. But the more immediate implications for gold’s monetary role center on its increasing accumulation by central banks such as China’s.

Thursday, September 01, 2016

Why the Big Silver Short? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The key to understanding where silver prices come from is the COMEX futures market.

It is undisputed that the 4 and 8 largest traders hold a massive paper silver short relative to all other commodities in it’s class.

And it’s obvious that they are not legitimate producers or users… 

(It is also worth mentioning that despite some of these shorts being held on behalf of a diversity of clients, the fact remains that the positions they control (as a whole) are manipulative based on concentration alone).

Thursday, September 01, 2016

Gold, Silver, Mining Shares Bottom Evident / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: GoldCore

The chart below of GLD shows support on the long standing up trend line.  GDX has sported a bullish “Morning Star” pattern. Normally, Mercury Retrograde ends an up movement, but in this case has ended a down movement. Expect some upside fireworks to begin tomorrow (Sept 1) and especially on the employment report Friday. The final “C” Wave of the sequence should commence.

Wednesday, August 31, 2016

Why Wall Street Is Throwing Billions At The Permian / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: OilPrice_Com

The collapse of oil prices has ground shale drilling to a halt, but the one region where drilling is still active, and even increasing, is in West Texas.

The Permian Basin is one of the last profitable areas to still drill with sub-$50 oil, and as other regions fall by the wayside, an increasing portion of drilling activity and spare investment dollars are flowing into the Permian. The rebound in the rig count in the U.S. is largely concentrated in the Permian. The West Texas shale basin has captured two-thirds of the 90 oil rigs that have been added since hitting a nadir in May.

Wednesday, August 31, 2016

Gold’s strong summer may be harbinger of things to come / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_J_Kosares

We are now wrapping up one of the stronger summers in memory at USAGOLD and heading into the strongest time of year seasonally for gold and silver – September through February. Normally the summer months are the quiet part of the year, but 2016 has been an exception. The price of gold is up 9% since the beginning of June and silver over 18%. ETF gold inventories reached highs in July and August not seen since 2009, the year after the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the launch of the so-called credit crisis. Some see the stronger than usual summer showing for the precious metals markets as a harbinger of things to come.

Wednesday, August 31, 2016

GDX Gold Stocks Update…The First Consolidation Pattern / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

I’m going to use the GDX as a proxy for the rest of the PM stock indexes. I can now say with a fair amount of confidence that the first consolidation phase is taking place. Lets start with just a simple daily chart for the GDX which is showing a small unbalanced double top with the right high being higher than the left high. Five days ago the price action gapped below the double top trendline and last Friday the GDX backtested the double top trendline from below. The price objective for the unbalanced double top is down to the 24.50 area.

Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Stagflation to Force People into Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to be joined by Michael Pento, president and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies and author of the book The Coming Bond Market Collapse: How to Survive the Demise of the US Debt Market. Michael is a money manager who ascribes to the Austrian school of economics and has been a regular guest on CNBC, Bloomberg, and Fox Business News, among others.

Michael, it's good to talk to you again. Thanks very much for joining us today and welcome back.

Michael Pento: Thanks for having me back on.

Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Late-August Calm a Breeding Ground for Gold Bullion Bank Shenanigans / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals specialist discusses the recent correction in the gold market and the moves by bullion banks behind them.

Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Correction in Gold and Silver Price Underway / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts a correction in the gold and silver markets and plots his investment strategy.

Tuesday, August 30, 2016

Big Gold Rally This Week, Stocks Down? / Commodities / Articles

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, I wrote that I believed GDX would make one final blow-off top into or around September 1.  I also wrote that the stock market looked too hard to trade at this point. When the SPX dropped to below 2161 on Friday we went long via SPXL and SVXY. Today (8/29) we sold for some nice profits (+2.8% and +5.5%).

Monday, August 29, 2016

Fundamentals for Uranium look great; is the Uranium Market ready to soar? / Commodities / Uranium

By: Sol_Palha

A genius can't be forced; nor can you make an ape an alderman. Thomas Somerville

By any estimate, the uranium market is trading in the extremely oversold ranges, but when the trend is down, a market can trend into the extreme of extremely oversold ranges, and we have seen this occur many times in the past.  The 15-year chart illustrates that the next layer of support comes into play in the $21.50-$22.00 ranges, so despite being extremely oversold the market still has room to trend lower. One positive is that the trend is about to turn neutral and if it does it would be the first move into the neutral zone in a very long time.

Saturday, August 27, 2016

Ignore Yellen and Buy the Dip in Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jason_Hamlin

Investors worldwide have been on pins and needles in eager anticipation of a speech from our economic overlords. Friday morning FED chair Yellen finally opened her mouth and said a whole lot of nothing.

Markets didn’t know exactly how to react to her nothingness. Stocks were up and then down. Gold was down and then up. The USD index plunged and then rallied nearly 1%. Will the FED raise rates in 2016 or not? The drama continues as Yellen of Oz pulls the levers behind the curtain.

Saturday, August 27, 2016

The Precious Metals Sector and the Fed. . . / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund reflects on how Federal Reserve statements may affect markets, and explains why he thinks the precious metals markets are due for a correction.

Saturday, August 27, 2016

A Bit More Downside Potential in Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Last week we projected 5% to 10% downside in the gold stocks. Well, not to butter my own bread but GDX and GDXJ both lost 9% on the week. That being said, I believed that the weakness would be limited and miners could rebound to new highs in September. While that possibility remains, there is a chance this correction could go a bit deeper and perhaps last longer.

Friday, August 26, 2016

Gold Junior Stocks Q2 2016 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

The junior gold miners and explorers have soared dramatically in an amazing year, before falling hard this week.  This sharp correction is doing its job in rebalancing bull-market sentiment, crushing greed and leaving traders wary of this sector.  But gold juniors’ recently-released second-quarter financial and operational results prove their fundamentals are strengthening dramatically, a very bullish omen for stock prices.

The junior gold stocks are rightfully considered the Wild West of the gold sector.  Most of the hundreds and hundreds of these small companies won’t prove successful.  They won’t be able to secure funding to explore sufficiently, won’t be fortunate enough to find an economic deposit of gold to mine, or won’t be able to make the herculean leap from explorer to miner.  The odds are stacked heavily against the gold juniors.

Friday, August 26, 2016

Buy Gold’s August Dip? Gold’s Monthly Sweet Spot In September / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold bullion has had its biggest gains in September over the past 20 years. Seasonally gold is entering the sweet spot with the Autumn being gold’s best season and with September being gold’s best month in the last 20 years.

Friday, August 26, 2016

The Impact of Brexit on the U.S. Economy and Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In the previous edition of the Market Overview, we analyzed briefly the consequences of Brexit vote. We stated that “the most important economic effect of the Brexit vote is so far a significant rise in uncertainty”. It applies particularly to the political future of Great Britain (Will the UK disintegrate? Will the UK really exit from the EU? When and how will it happen?) and the European Union (Will the EU break apart?). However, Brexit could also hurt the U.S. economy. This is why we would like to focus on the impact of Brexit on the U.S. economy and the gold market.

Friday, August 26, 2016

Commodities Are the Best Bargain Now—Here’s What to Buy / Commodities / Investing 2016

By: John_Mauldin

TONY SAGAMI writes: What kind of investor are you? Are you the buy-high-sell-higher (trend continuation) type? Or are you a bargain hunter who likes beaten-down (trend reversal) opportunities?

The former type of investor is now in heaven. With the stock market at new highs, there are many stocks on fire.

But if you’re looking for bargains, the pickings are pretty slim.