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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Sunday, September 23, 2007

Gold Momentum Divergence Trend Warning - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleStaying with the trend can be profitable but is it time for the trend to end?

GOLD
Everybody's getting all excited because we are hitting new 27 year highs so I thought I'd show you what all the excitement is about. For technicians things are really getting hot. We have all sorts of projections based upon short, intermediate and long term charts, many of these projections you have read in these commentaries. What about the very long term, you might ask. You have heard about the $1600 projection but where does it come from? Well, here we have the very long term P&F chart that gets us there and possibly beyond.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 23, 2007

Gold and Silver Analysis - Precious Points: Is This the Big One? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“A new attempt at $725 is entirely likely given the expectations for next week, but losing the psychologically important 7-handle is also a realistic possibility. A move of the 5-week moving average above $700 for the first time in this entire bull market would be a more convincing indication of the sustainability of the current move. The next move in silver could be in either direction, but … recent action has been encouraging. There's no lack of reasons to be cautious at these lofty levels… far from a call to sell gold and silver, it is a call for caution”. ~Precious Points: Old Number 7 , September 15, 2007

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Commodities

Saturday, September 22, 2007

Gold's Positive Climate - Some Key Features Have Changed / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLiquidity relief coming from the U.S, the U.K and European Central Banks to the banking system, is still struggling to unfreeze the system, simply because it is cash and not an underwriting of dubious investments. Some read the drop in interest rates in the U.S. will bring instant relief to the driver of the U.S. economy, the besieged U.S. consumer, but no such thing will happen until rates are much lower still and confidence restored. Why?

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Commodities

Saturday, September 22, 2007

The Breakout in the Gold Price / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mario_Innecco

Yesterday (Friday, September 21st, 2007) the gold price for physical purchase was fixed at $737.00 per troy ounce in the London P.M. session. The gold price is fixed twice a day in London. The A.M. fixing is done from 10:30 onwards and the P.M. fixing is done from 15:00 onwards. The reason why we are looking at the P.M. fixing is that during this period the major financial markets of Europe and the United States are open so this fixing price is very representative of physical demand for gold bullion.

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Commodities

Friday, September 21, 2007

How to Buy Gold - Online Gold Bullion Investing / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week US interest rates were cut by 0.5% as a direct consequence of the credit crunch. This sparked a sell off in the US dollar to new lows not only against other currencies but also sent commodity prices soaring, including a soaring Gold price hitting a 27 year high.

Russian and Chinese governments together with private investors are all buying gold bullion in strength as the credit crunch shows the inherent weakness in the world governments monetary policies, which may be about to ignite hyper-inflation. Owning physical gold is fast returning as the favoured way to secure wealth against the rising tide of fiscal irresponsibility as governments continue to devalue their currencies by printing money, as evident of soaring money supplies in the range of 12% to 20% per annum.

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Commodities

Friday, September 21, 2007

Gold Bull Market - The Best is Yet to Come ! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Aden_Forecast

THIS IS IT!

All of the pieces have fallen into place.

Gold was near a 27 year high, oil was at a record high, stocks in the U.S. and globally remained bullish, the currencies were strong and the U.S. dollar was near a record low. The Fed then lowered the Fed Funds and Discount rates by a half percent on Tuesday, which triggered or reinforced strong breakouts in these markets, leaving no question that the major market trends are solid and strong.

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Commodities

Friday, September 21, 2007

Gold is Still Cheap in Real-terms - Real Gold Highs 2 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHoly cow! How about that gold price this week? With the Ancient Metal of Kings powering to awesome new bull-to-date highs, gold traders are rejoicing. The Bernanke Fed's reckless decision on Tuesday to shove the ailing US dollar off a cliff has really ignited a fire under international gold investment demand.

$725+ gold is indeed remarkable to behold. It is a great blessing for us battle-hardened contrarians who were buying gold back in 2001 in the sub-$300 range when even mentioning “gold” in public triggered endless ridicule. Vindication, especially since it has been accompanied by legendary profits and rapidly multiplying wealth, has never been sweeter.

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Commodities

Friday, September 21, 2007

How High Will Gold Climb? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Vaughn

Click to enlargeWell, what do the doom sayers say now? Any idiot, yes idiot, can recognize gold is settling above 700 an ounce. I have no idea in the short term where gold is headed, but I do feel that 700 is becoming the established floor price for gold.

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Commodities

Friday, September 21, 2007

Gold Hits Highest Price Since Jan 1980 as Dollar Continues its Crash Lower / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Gold continued it's recent surge on Thursday and rose a further 1.5%.
Gold futures for December delivery rose $10.40, or 1.4%, to $739.90 an ounce which is a new 27 year high.
Earlier gold rose to $746.50, the highest for a most-active contract since Jan. 22, 1980, the day after the metal reached a record $873 an ounce.

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Commodities

Friday, September 21, 2007

Gold Market Just "One Day Away" from All-Time Record High on Recession & Inflation Fears / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES continued to record new 27-year highs early Friday, rising within a few cents of $740 per ounce and reaching the highest London Fix since 22nd Jan. 1980 – one day after gold hit its all-time Dollar top of $850 per ounce.

"External news such as the sub-prime crisis as well as the banking sector have all had a positive impact on the yellow metal price," said Jessica Cross, CEO of the Virtual Metals consultancy, on South African radio last night.

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Commodities

Friday, September 21, 2007

Remember Crude Oil? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Regent_Markets

There have been many activities missed by headlines writers over the last week due to the focus on the banking crisis.On any other week the rise in the price of oil would be top of the headlines says Betonmarkets.com's Michael Wright. Oil prices reached record highs for the seventh straight session last Wednesday after refineries in California and Texas said they had new outages and the government reported surprisingly large declines in oil inventories.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 20, 2007

New Upleg for Natural Gas? / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The U.S. Natural Gas Fund (AMEX:: UNG) corrected right to the top of its initial upmove (37.40) from early September, at which point it pivoted to the upside in what looks like the start of a new upleg. As long as today's low at 37.40 contains any forthcoming downside volatility, my preferred scenario calls for the emergency of a powerful upleg that tests the June-Sept resistance lines, now just shy of 44.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Gold, Crude and Euro Breaking Out on US Interest Rate Cut - Montary Doves at Point of Gun / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWOW! What an interesting couple weeks. A lousy August Jobs Report, even though it exaggerated job growth the upside! The Birth-Death Modlel actually added 120 thousand mythical jobs, including construction jobs and financial sector jobs, both clearly in retreat, a blatant deception. The US Federal Reserve finally was given the smoking gun they needed on a platter to cut interest rates. Martin Feldstein gave the USFed considerable political cover, urging cuts, claiming they were already 100 basis points too high. So gold is breaking out, crude oil is breaking out, the euro is breaking out, the Canadian looney dollar is breaking out, the HUI stock index of miners is breaking out, and the USDollar is breaking down.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Commodites Soar as US Dollar Plunges to New Lows Due to Record National Debt / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Spot gold rose more than one percent to hit a 27-year high at $730.20 an ounce this morning on safe-haven buying and a slide in the dollar to record lows against the euro.
Gold was quoted at $728.00/728.50 an ounce, compared with $721.10/721.90 in New York late on Wednesday.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Confidence in UK Central Bank Destroyed; Gold Hits 27-Year High Ahead of Fed Speech / Commodities / Central Banks

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES touched $730 per ounce in London on Thursday – a 27-year high – as world stock markets slipped and the US Dollar sank.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 20, 2007

Why Silver is Set To GO THROUGH THE ROOF... / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt was somewhat odd that despite the extraordinarily bullish COT profile for silver, as of last weekend, gold took center stage and has soared during this week as predicted, despite its COT profile not being as dramatically bullish as that for silver, but that's fine by us as it has afforded time to get this article up. Of course, the reason for silver's underperformance relative to gold so far this week is not hard to find - silver broke down below important support last month, whereas gold didn't, and now silver is having to battle the resulting negative sentiment and supply overhang.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Gold Price and Stocks Expected to Digest Recent Gains Before Continuing Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Under "normal" circumstances, the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) should be at or nearing a digestion and/or pullback period. Maybe it can loop up one more time to 72+, but the vast majority of my near-term work is warning me to step aside to allow the GLD to rest and correct. If that proves correct, then I expect a corrective period, or sequence, that traverses a range between 72 and 70, if not down to 69-68 prior to the next upleg.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Why You Should Be A Gold Bull / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Urban

Just the facts:

  • Gold demand in the 2nd Q of 2007 rose 19% YoY to 922 tonnes.
  • Gold jewelry demand in the 2 nd Q of 2007 rose 29% YoY to 675.1 tonnes.
  • India was the largest consumer of gold in the 2 nd Q of 2007 with 240 tonnes, compared to 166.4 tonnes a year ago.
  • Total gold supply for the 2nd Q of 2007 was down 7% YoY at 840 tonnes, down from 902 tonnes.
  • Mine output is at a 10 year low.
  • Gold margin for futures has been increased.
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Commodities

Wednesday, September 19, 2007

AGRI-FOOD THOUGHTS - China Consumer Boom Means Higher Soft Commodity Prices / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs incomes rise in China and India, their consumers will dictate prices for oil and food. Their preferences are setting relative prices of nearly all commodities. These preferences have shifted to reflect their higher incomes, and will continue to do so. Chart below portrays per capita consumption of beef and rice by Chinese consumers, per UN FAO. Beef is now a preferred item on the menu at Chinese homes. Magnifying this shift is number of consumers in China and India. Such preference shifts have caused prices of grains and meats around world to rise. Higher beef consumption means raising more beef. Raising more beef means using more grain. More grain is consumed to feed the beef than is freed up from eating less rice. Agri-Food growth cycle that has emerged is really that simple.

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Commodities

Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Gold Surges on the Fed 50 Basis Point Interest Rate Cut / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Gold_Investments

Gold
Spot gold was trading at $723.70/724.20 an ounce as of 1200 GMT. As expected gold surged on the Federal Reserve's quite drastic 50 basis point interest rate cut and 50 basis points discount rate cut. On the decision, spot gold in electronic after hours trading immediately rallied from $715 to $726.90. Subsequently it has traded sideways to slightly down in Asian and European trading.

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