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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Gold Crashes to 50% of Bull Market, Recovery Rally Expected / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe very long-term chart pattern shows that the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) has retraced 50% of its entire prior bull run (2005-2008), and so far has shown initial signs of reversal just above critical long-term support between 68.50 and 63.50. As of this moment, the weight of my technical work argues for a recovery rally into the 74.50-75.00 target zone, which could prove to be either the start of a very powerful upleg, or merely a recovery bounce prior to another loop to 70.00 or lower to complete the weakness from the March highs.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Commodity Prices Inverse Relationship to the US Dollar / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe connection with commodity prices and the movement of the U.S. dollar continues to remain tight and over-ride year-over-year fundamentals. Oil and gold are particularly linked to the currency and weakness or strength in the dollar are quickly transferred to positive or negative trading patterns for these natural resources.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Credit Deflation Brings Down Gold Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Chris_Galakoutis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhy would Credit Deflation bring down Gold when Credit Inflation didn't send it to the moon?

I have received many emails from readers about the public article I wrote last week on the issue of the current deflation scare. Those arguing against my position believe the US will not experience inflation as quickly as some might expect.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Gold Price Crash Continues on Forced Selling / Commodities / Articles

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF SPOT GOLD slumped yet again early Thursday as world stock markets sank and the Dollar continued to rise – alongside the Japanese Yen – on the forex market.

Gold's fresh $25 plunge took this week's loss for US investors above 10% at $705.40 an ounce – Spot Gold 's lowest price since mid-Sept. last year.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Gold Bulls Running Scared on Price Collapse / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Comex gold's recent sharp selloff has continued and even the most ardent gold bulls are getting nervous. Bearish sentiment is very prominent and the level of fear in the precious metal markets suggests that a low is likely in the coming days. Leveraged players in the futures market are dumping paper positions wholesale while astute contrarians are using this as an opportunity to buy physical bullion at firesale prices.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Internet Startup Dot.com Collapse versus Junior Mining Sector Collapse / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: David_Urban

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBack in 2000 at the peak of the Internet bubble investors poured money into startups hoping to strike it rich with the next EBay, Amazon, or Microsoft. When the liquidity bubble popped most were left with massive losses on their positions as the startups that were running at a loss were unable to continue financing their operations and closed their websites and doors.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Dow Gold Ratio Hits 80 Year Extremes, Time to Buy? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"...It's always darkest before it's pitch black..."

YOU MIGHT LIKE to know, if you put store by such things, that the US stock market just sank to a 14-year low against gold.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Loading Up on Silver Below $10 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Brodrick writes: As the price of silver pulled back under $10 an ounce recently, I started loading up on the white metal. Or, I should say, I tried to load up. While I was easily able to buy silver coins with numismatic value, my first attempts to buy silver bullion coins met with frustration.

I think this says a lot about the silver market right now. On paper, it's cheap. But in the real, physical market, silver is getting very precious indeed.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Gold, Stocks and Commodities Slump / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD BULLION continued to slide early Wednesday, dropping more than 3.5% to a fresh 5-week low of $749 per ounce as world stock prices sank and the US Dollar leapt yet again on the currency markets.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Gold Oversold, US Dollar Overbought / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Comex gold continues to stink up the room after the sharp falls in recent days as the dollar has strengthened considerably and oil prices fallen sharply. The technical damage sustained to Comex gold has been severe and chart watchers are now tentatively looking to support at $750/oz.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Frank Holmes: When Inflation Erupts, Gold Will Take Off / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: The_Gold_Report

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleExpect short-term hesitancy in the upward movement of the gold price until liquidity returns to the markets, says Frank Holmes, CEO and chief investment officer at U. S. Global Investors and co-author of the new book “The Goldwatcher:Demystifying Gold Investing” (John Wiley & Sons). In this exclusive interview with the Gold Report, he predicts gold will go to $1,000, even $2,000, over the next two years. A growing money supply due to a change in government policies will help lift some juniors out of their misery, too. Holmes advises selective nibbling until conditions improve and names a few companies to consider.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Silver Outperforming Gold in Early Stages of a Potent Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWho would have thought that Gold would be down $26, and Silver would be up $0.34? Let's take a look at the pattern that has developed in spot silver. Spot silver prices, for the most part, crashed from the mid-March high at $21.40 to the mid-October low at $9.06 (-58%). Let's notice that the October low also coincided with a glaring positive momentum (RSI) divergence, which usually indicates that the power underlying the dominant trend is dissipating -- ahead of a directional reversal.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Gold on the Slide as Indian Demand Passes Peak with Diwali / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

WHOLESALE SPOT GOLD PRICES slid again in London on Tuesday morning, dropping 2.9% towards a fresh one-month low at $776.60 per ounce while the US Dollar rose to its best level since March 2007 and the stock market rally faltered in Europe.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Comex Gold Continues to Slump Despite Soaring Demand for Physical Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Comex gold continues to surprise to the downside despite the incredibly strong fundamentals of gold bullion itself with increasing shortages, delayed deliveries and premiums soaring for physical bullion in Asia, Europe, the US and internationally. Premiums have soared on smaller bullion products (from 1 ozt to 5 kilo gold bars) and look set to soon rise on the larger 100 and 400 ozt London Good Delivery gold bars.

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Commodities

Monday, October 20, 2008

Zinc Two Year Bear Market Coming to an End? / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: John_Lee

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCenturies before zinc was discovered in the metallic form, its ores were used for making brass and zinc compounds, its ores were used for healing wounds and sore eyes. It is believed that the Romans first made brass in the time of Augustus (20 B.C. - 14 A.D.). In the 13th century Marco Polo described the manufacture of zinc oxide in Persia. At Zawar, India, both zinc metal and zinc oxide were produced from the 12th to the 16th century. From India, zinc manufacturing moved to China in the 17th century where it developed as an industry to supply the needs of the brass industry.

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Commodities

Monday, October 20, 2008

For Gold Investors Hope Springs Eternal  / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePicking things up from yesterday , the theme of today's message is the same, albeit it appears we may have witnessed a temporary bottom in equities with the significant reversals. Rising short sales and put / call ratios are accelerating, showing signs of capitulation, along with the larger equity complex being short-term oversold. So, when you add an exploding liquidity picture to the background combined with falling interest rates around the world – hey – who can argue – it appears a bounce is in order. Here's the sticking point however, as with the 1929 pattern , don't be surprised if lower lows are vexed in late October / early November, as the public may not get sufficiently bearish in the options market in order to keep a sufficient number of negative bets on until closer to election time.

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Commodities

Monday, October 20, 2008

Silver Technicals Ripe for Explosive Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNeedless to say, the iShares Silver ETF (AMEX: SLV) has been in the grasp of a vicious and relentless multi-month bear phase in the aftermath of a 7-month powerful advance from 11.00 to 20.73. In fact, spot silver prices have not been this low since Februay 2006 and have retraced all of the bull move from around $9 to $21.50. Compared to the weakness in gold, silver has crashed, losing 65% of its value versus 23% in gold. Clearly, the need to deleverage and to raise cash hit the silver market much more severely than it did the gold market, which cut in half the gold/silver ratio -- no reflecting 82+ ounces of silver needed to equal the value of 1 ounce of gold.

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Commodities

Monday, October 20, 2008

Indian BSE Stock Market Crash and Lack of Gold Demand / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Alex_Wallenwein

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIndians have not really become ‘anti-gold.' They are just undergoing a natural re-evaluation process. The global crisis makes the outcome rather predictable. It's lonely out in gold-land without Indians doing their traditional holiday buying. What's the deal? Why are they staying on the sidelines?

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Commodities

Monday, October 20, 2008

Gold Slips as Stocks Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD gave back two-thirds of a 3.4% rally early Monday, trading below $795 an ounce as Asian stock markets closed sharply higher and US Treasury bonds fell.

Crude oil pushed up to $74.50 per barrel, while soft commodities and base metals bounced hard – up more than 2.5% on average – following last week's collapse.

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Commodities

Monday, October 20, 2008

China Should Buy All IMF Gold Says "Father of the Euro" / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold has rallied 2.5% this morning after falling some 8% last week as the “dash for cash” and the deleveraging of the international financial system gathered pace. In the process gold gave up most of the gains of the last 5 weeks in just one week. Gold was trading at some $740/oz on September 11 th and subsequently surged to over $924/oz as Lehman Brothers collapsed and the global financial crisis deepened.

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