Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, October 07, 2010
Near-term Trend Change for Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
For better or worse, richer or poorer, my big picture pattern work on oil continues to warn me that I should treat the May decline from $87.15 to $64.24 as the first downleg either in a large, incomplete correction, or the first downleg in a bear market for oil.
The only way to invalidate those scenarios will occur on a price climb that hurdles $87.15. Barring upside continuation, the bearish scenarios projects to an optimal target of $63-$58.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 07, 2010
Gold, Come Hell or High Water…Discipline is Profitable / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Yesterday (Oct. 6th) gold hit an all-time high of $1,349 (spot price) while silver hit a 30-year high of $23.19. Today, Gold and silver are pulling back from these record highs as profit-taking is occurring.
In recent years, you and I have constantly heard about the problems with precious metals. We have seen and heard much about the corrections and bearish forecasts. When a particularly strong pull-back occurs, the critics tell us "the bubble has popped" or "the bull market in gold and silver is over".
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 07, 2010
Silver Surges But Remains 'Ugly Sister' and Still Playing Catch Up With Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Precious metals have risen to new highs on deepening concerns about the US economy and the growing risk of currency devaluations internationally. Gold reached new nominal record highs at $1,364.77/oz and silver reached new 30 year record nominal highs at $23.52/oz.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 07, 2010
Gold and Silver Defying Gravity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD hit yet another new Dollar high early Thursday, touching $1364 an ounce as the US currency slumped to fresh 15-year lows against the Japanese Yen and world stock markets also fell.
The Euro and British Pound both neared 8-month highs vs. the Dollar after their central banks failed to cut rates or expand their "asset purchase" quantitative easing at today's monthly meetings.
Thursday, October 07, 2010
Chasing Global Currency Crisis Tail-Risk with Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The "tail risk" of a currency crisis worldwide surely deserves close attention...
AH, THE LOVELY Peta Todd...
"[I am] delighted that gold has been found in the Chilean mine where 33 workers are trapped," the topless Page 3 model told readers of The Sun on Wednesday morning.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 07, 2010
Gold Stocks Investors Strap Yourselves in This Rally is Going to be HUGE... / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We are on the point of a major breakout by Precious Metals stocks that is expected to lead to a powerful rally. The reason that the rally will be powerful is that stocks have been held in restraint since late last year by a zone of very strong resistance in the vicinity of the 2008 highs. This resistance is on the point of being overcome and when it is the last argument that bears are using to justify their position will crumble - namely that of the non-confirmation of gold's continuing new highs by stocks - and they will be forced to cover or face annihilation. This covering should give added fuel to the accelerating rally.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 07, 2010
Gold Next Strong Upleg May First Require Consolidation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The concern in the U.S. is that if the Federal Reserve pumps more money into the system, its efforts will hurt the value of the dollar and possibly stoke inflation, two events that would drive demand for gold. Yet some investors are buying gold on concern that stimulus measures might fail, leading to even deeper problems for the global economy.
For many people buying gold is based on the lack of faith in conventional currencies. If the U.S. currency has the phrase “In God We Trust” printed on every dollar, some feel that an additional statement of belief should be added—“In Gold we Trust.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 07, 2010
The 5 year massive bull run in Gold and Gold Stocks continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Last August I penned an article predicting a massive five year bull run in gold and gold stocks. I outlined my reasoning and compared this 13 year period from 2001 to 2014 to the tech stock bull from 1986-1999. You can view that article here with the details.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 06, 2010
U.S. Mint Raises Premiums 33% to Shut Off Physical Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The US Mint is acting quickly to reduce extreme demand for American Silver Eagles. Just this week, the Mint declared that it would raise dealer premiums from $1.50 per ounce to $2.00, squeezing profit margins on the coins for dealers and making physical metals far more expensive than the spot price.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 06, 2010
The Rich Move to Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Before this year, precious metals demand was mostly local, with a few large institutions and investment banks buying shorts on precious metals to mitigate any possible increase in price. However, as time goes on and investment banks around the global shutter their trading desks, big money is now moving into metals. So much big money is moving, in fact, that a number of investment banks are opening up new vaults to keep up with exploding demand.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 06, 2010
Gold prices rise but be cautious / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold prices hit new all time highs again this week and the last. They are trading around $1340 an ounce. Silver prices are also trading at very high prices, closing in on $23 an ounce.
The recent rise merely indicates what we’ve been saying for a while, that currencies are in trouble. Last week saw Ireland move into the spotlight. It’s government will take steps to prop up it’s ailing banking sector. This could result in costing the Irish government close to Euro 50 billion – two thirds more than its national income in 2009.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 06, 2010
Gold Rises to Near Record Nominal Highs in British Pounds but Lags in Euros / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
All currencies except for the yen have fallen against gold today. The dollar and sterling have sold off again and the dollar is looking technically vulnerable at 77.61 on the US Dollar Index. Currency markets continue to be the primary focus of markets with growing concerns about competitive currency devaluations. The IMF is now warning of currency wars and the increasing vulnerability of the global financial system.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 06, 2010
My Greatest Gold Stocks FEAR, Selling Too Soon / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As investors in the very volatile precious metals sector it would be very easy to make the decision to sell and get out of the market as you/we have now re-cooped our capital and hopefully everyone has profits as we write this piece. So, is it time to sell?
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 06, 2010
Gold Ultimate Price Target! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
A little while ago we made a video that projected some amazing levels for gold. Given the strong upward trend in gold and the price action on Tuesday the 5th of October, it is worthwhile looking at this video again.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 06, 2010
At the Crossroads of the World's Gold Trade / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Chris Weber writes: One of the reasons I love the San Francisco Bay Area is that it is a crossroads of the world.
Pretty much every type of person, just about every group from everywhere on Earth, resides or visits or otherwise brushes up against one another.
Wednesday, October 06, 2010
Gold New Dollar Highs as Global Currency War Intensifies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD rose to fresh Dollar records above $1350 an ounce early Wednesday, hitting its 16th new all-time high in 17 trading days at the London Fix this morning.
Global stock markets also rose, as did major-economy government bonds, while the US Dollar slipped and commodities held flat.
Wednesday, October 06, 2010
Gold Disconnect / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold now has an RSI reading of over 84 as I write this article; it is sitting just under US$1350 an ounce and it is very overbought. This is not to say it cannot get more overbought short term however it can indicate gold needs to take a breather very soon now. When fundamentals push additional cash flows along a trend the technicals will give way and reach extreme levels every time. We are more likely to see a price consolidation as that RSI cools off before it launches ahead again. Silver is agreeing with this scenario and so are the gold stocks. The AUD price of gold is currently $1377 which is well under the record highs reached in 2008 and the middle of this year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 06, 2010
The Secret Indicator That Points to Much Higher Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
Kent Moors, Ph.D. writes: Crude oil has taken on a life of its own. As I have noted on several occasions, oil is both a commodity in wide demand and a financial asset in its own right.
In the former case, as a commodity, the so-called "wet" barrels (the actual oil) will respond to traditional marketplace pressures - particularly supply and demand.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 06, 2010
The Third Uranium Boom / Commodities / Uranium
Mark Steen knows uranium, besides receiving formal education at the Mackey School of Mines, he is the son of Charlie Steen whom is credited with making the first big uranium discovery in 1951 on the Colorado Plateau. He has had a long time interest in the geology of uranium ore deposits and the history of uranium exploration. As a result of his father’s discovery the Four Corners (Utah, Colorado, New Mexico, Arizona) area opened up and prospectors and geologists started looking for sandstone hosted uranium deposits throughout the Colorado Plateau.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 06, 2010
Silver Blow Out, But Where To Buy? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
How to enter silver safely - If you have been following my posts on this site, you will know that I am a fan of silver. I have written a few articles about how I thought it would trade. Approximately 1 year ago in "Gold a recipe for disaster" I presented the argument that gold had just made an 8 year low when it went clunk in 2008 At that ime I said the metals would not top out the next move up until 2012 at the earliest.Read full article... Read full article...