Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, September 03, 2015
Stock Market Return to Crisis: Things Keep Getting Worse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The virus that spread to stock markets around the world and nearly destroyed the global financial system in 2008 has reemerged with a vengeance sending global equities deep into the red and wiping out more than $5 trillion in market capitalization in less than two weeks. On Tuesday, before the opening bell, major market index futures in the US plunged more than 400 points signaling another violent day of selling ahead. Worries that a slowdown in China will impact global growth pushed Asian and European markets deep into negative territory while US futures indicate that the Dow Jones is headed for its ninth triple-digit day in ten sessions. The deluge of bad news has battered confidence in the Fed and “sent global equities to their worst monthly slump in more than three years”. Millions of Mom and Pop investors have sold out already and are headed for the exits. Here’s a recap from Bloomberg:
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Thursday, September 03, 2015
Stock Market Eleven Crazy Days — Many More Coming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Twelve months ago the world was happily sailing along in the Great Moderation, with financial markets that moved gracefully higher most of the time but even in their rare negative moments didn’t cause too much angst. The eleven trading days leading up to September 3 saw not a single triple-digit move on the Dow, and only three down sessions.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2015
How Our “Mixed Economy” Created These Mixed-Up Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Alexander Green writes: Over the years, I have often waxed enthusiastic about the transcendent power of capitalism.
The free enterprise system has vastly improved our quality of life and raised our standard of living.
Entrepreneurs and business owners have given us safer transportation, faster communications, miracle drugs and medical devices, more powerful computers, and millions of new products and services that are better, cheaper and longer lasting.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2015
Stock Market 38.2% Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The institutional investor(s) have had their say. The SPX bounced to the 38.2% retracement at 1938.37. There is no change in signal. Best to remain short. Margin calls may already be kicking in with a vengeance today.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2015
The Stock Market Shemitah Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Meaning the last year of a seven-year cycle in the Jewish calendar, the end of the past several Shemitahs have brought immense financial hardships to the world. The 1987 crash on Wall St. happened during Shemitah. The bond market was massacred in 1994. The 9/11 terror attacks happened in 2001 and the global economic crisis occurred in 2008.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
The Beginning Of A New Financial / Stock Market Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Within the United States, the US Federal Government and The US Federal Reserve Bank interventions have failed. These manipulations, by the central bank, in order to maintain the current stock bubble, and the real estate bubble, are currently reflecting the acts of failed monetary and fiscal policies, as we are presently experiencing.
The reality is that the US economy has already been in contraction for many years now.
The government intervention is failing in Europe, Japan, and now apparently also in China. Government interventions globally are currently becoming more vulnerable The US, Europe, Japan, and China have all been experiencing failures. We are currently witnessing the results of total failures, right under our noses. I believe, we are closer to that point of the Global Financial Meltdown than anyone else may realize. This collapse in China is a major shock, which has triggered a major market sell off within the US markets.
Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Your Decisive Stock Market Plan to Follow Whilst Most Investors Shiver With Fear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Make no mistake about it: The stock market crashed last Monday.
And it was terrifying.
It was frightening.
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Monday, August 31, 2015
Stock Market Third Wave Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The SPX Premarket is down .8% as I write to 1972.00. The top of the retracement was at 11:30 am on Friday, giving us approximately 4 more days of potential decline.
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Monday, August 31, 2015
Stock Market Calls Fed’s Bluff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
As the Fed nears its proposed first rate hike in nine years the stock market is becoming frantic. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down around 10% on the year, as markets digest the troubling reality that our central bank may be raising interest rates into an emerging worldwide deflationary collapse.
The Fed normally raises rates when inflation is becoming intractable and robust growth is sending long-term rates spiking. However, this proposed rate hike cycle is occurring within the context of anemic growth and deflationary forces that are causing long-term U.S. Treasury rates to fall.
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Monday, August 31, 2015
Stock Market - Is The Worst Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, August 31, 2015
Why Some ETFs Led the Stock Markets Down Last Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Of all the scary things that happened last Monday when the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 1,000 points, nothing was scarier than what happened with exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
They crashed and exacerbated the market sell-off. They're not all a bad risk, and there are some we like to recommend that are quite safe – even essential – during a market reversal.
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Monday, August 31, 2015
Blame the Federal Reserve, Not China, for Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Following Monday's historic stock market downturn, many politicians and so-called economic experts rushed to the microphones to explain why the market crashed and to propose "solutions" to our economic woes. Not surprisingly, most of those commenting not only failed to give the right answers, they failed to ask the right questions.
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Monday, August 31, 2015
Stock Market 50% Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend - SPX has started an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, August 30, 2015
The Day the Stock Market Shook the Earth: Takeaways From the Dow’s 1,000-Point Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Matthew Carr writes: I was working from home that day.
My wife had just had surgery, and I was caring for her as she recovered. I was sitting in our main floor living room, answering emails. My wife was on the couch downstairs, watching TV.
All of a sudden, our dog Chloe came running into the room. She jumped up on the couch next to me and started licking my face. Seconds later, the house started shaking.
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Sunday, August 30, 2015
Stock Market, GDX Rally Expected, Now What? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last time I wrote, I was expecting an important top in the stock market by the 28th and a minimum of 1985 SPX. We closed at 1988 Friday after tagging 1993. Gold stocks began to rally strongly Thursday into Friday as we hit the 8 TD/3 week low Wednesday at new lows. Now what?
We have the 12/13 TD low due Monday along with a 4 TD 1 TD low max; also a TLC low due then. My expectation is for a quick 57 point SPX drop possible early Monday down to 1930 (see chart below). This should bring down the mining stocks with it, but it should all be temporary. GDX could come down into the mid $13 area, but I expect we may see $17 by Sept 2. As for the stock market, I believe we may have one more up wave left to perhaps the 2014 SPX area pre-Labor Day.
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Saturday, August 29, 2015
Aging Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The week started off at SPX 1971. On Monday, due to overnight selling, there was a huge gap down at the open to SPX 1875. Then after hitting SPX 1867 in the opening minutes the market rallied to 1954 into the early afternoon, and then headed lower again. Tuesday was quite volatile and ended at Monday’s low. Then the market gapped up on Wednesday and Thursday, closing the week’s 100 point opening gap and hitting SPX 1990. On Friday the SPX hit 1993, then ended the week at 1989. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.00%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.85%, and the DJ World index was +0.30%. On the economic front positive reports outnumbered negative ones 11 to 3. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, the FHFA, new/pending home sales, consumer confidence, durable goods, Q2 GDP, personal income/spending, the PCE, plus weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: the WLEI, the GDPN and consumer sentiment. Next week will be highlighted by the FED’s beige book, Payrolls and the ISMs. Best to your week!
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Saturday, August 29, 2015
Why Monday’s Stock Market Mayhem Was No Surprise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Anthony Summers writes: After a week of steady declines, investors woke up Monday morning to a huge sell-off as both the S&P and Dow dropped hugely in the early minutes of trading.
The Dow plummeted nearly 4% before seeing its largest intraday point swing ever. The spread between the high and low of the day? An astonishing 1,089 points.
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Saturday, August 29, 2015
Stock Market New Range?.....Please Say It Isn't So / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Is everyone's nightmare about to realize yet again? Unfortunately, that may be the case. We may have seen the elevator move down one flight after nearly a year of being stuck on the same floor. The repair man finally got to work, but it seems he left the building a bit too soon. He thought he fixed the problem, but after a quick fix it didn't hold. We're possibly on, yet, another broken elevator to nowhere. The old boring-to-nowhere range was understood to be at 2134 down to 2040. Now the new range may be S&P 50 1900, or thereabouts, to 2040.
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Friday, August 28, 2015
Stocks Go Nuts But the Question Remains – Will the Rally Stick? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: On the heels of Monday’s vicious 1,000+ point “dip” and Wednesday’s subsequent 619 point “rip ” higher, many investors are asking one question – will the rally stick?
The media certainly seems to think so:
…Relief Descends on US Stock Market with Best Rally Since 2011 – Bloomberg
…Dow, S&P Enjoy Biggest Percentage Gains in Four Years – MarketWatch
…Chinese Stock Index Jumps 5.3% as Asian Stocks Rise – Yahoo!Finance
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Friday, August 28, 2015
Fed’s Stock Market Levitation is Failing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The US stock markets just suffered an extraordinary plunge, shocking traders out of their complacency psychosis. This cast the foundational premise behind recent years’ incredible stock-market levitation into serious doubt. Traders are finally starting to question whether central banks can indeed manipulate stock markets higher indefinitely. Any wavering in this faith has very bearish implications for stock prices.
Less than two weeks ago, the US’s flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) was up above 2100. It finished August’s middle trading day just 1.3% below the latest record highs from late May. At the time, the Wall Street analysts were overwhelmingly bullish and saw nothing but clear sailing ahead. Predictions for the SPX ending this year above 2250 were ubiquitous, and retail investors were urged to aggressively buy stocks.
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