Stock Market - Is The Worst Over?

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

The U.S. stock market indexes were virtually flat on Friday, following their recent rebound, as investors took short-term profits off the table. Our Friday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index remains below the level of 2,000. The nearest important level of resistance is at around 1,980-2,000. On the other hand, support level is at 1,940-1,960, marked by recent local highs. There have been no confirmed positive signals so far. For now, it looks like a short-term upward correction following recent sell-off:

Expectations before the opening of today's trading session are negative, with index futures currently down 0.6-0.7%. The European stock market indexes have lost 0.4-0.6% so far. Investors will now wait for the Chicago PMI number release at 9:45 a.m. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) trades within an intraday consolidation. The nearest important level of resistance is at around 1,980-1,990, marked by Friday's local highs. On the other hand, support level is at 1,950,1960, as the 15-minute chart shows:

The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) continues to trade along the level of 4,300. The nearest important level of resistance is at 4,330, and support level is at 4,270-4,280, as we can see on the 15-minute chart:

Concluding, the broad stock market is in a consolidation following recent volatile trading. For now, it looks like a correction within a short-term downtrend. Our late April's short position's (2,098.27, S&P 500 index) profit target has been reached at the level of 1,980. Overall, we gained almost 120 index points on that pre-planned trade. We prefer to be out of the market at this moment, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades. We will let you know when we think it is safe to get back in the market.

Paul Rejczak
Stock Trading Strategist
Stock Trading Alerts
SunshineProfits.com

Stock market strategist, who has been known for quality of his technical and fundamental analysis since the late nineties. He is interested in forecasting market behavior based on both traditional and innovative methods of technical analysis. Paul has made his name by developing mechanical trading systems. Paul is the author of Sunshine Profits’ premium service for stock traders: Stock Trading Alerts.

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Disclaimer

All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Paul Rejczak and Sunshine Profits' associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Paul Rejczak and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Rejczak is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Paul Rejczak’s reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Paul Rejczak, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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