Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stock Market Unwinding Without Price Appreciation.... Fed The Last Hope For The Bull / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
When a market is in a certain trend up or down you watch how the daily oscillators behave to understand what's likely next. When things are more bullish you can unwind overbought oscillators without too much price depreciation. When things are turning more bearish you can unwind oversold oscillators without too much price appreciation, and that's where we are right now. We're unwinding oversold oscillators over the past fifteen days when the bear flag first started to form, yet all we've done is remain well below key-resistance flag top at 1993 on the S&P 500.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Pandemonium in the Stock Market, Dow Falls 1,000 points in a week / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2015
The Market Oracle Newsletter Aug 22nd, 2015Issue # 15 Vol. 9
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
China Crash, Greece Collapse, Harbingers of Stock Market Apocalypse Forecast 2015? / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2015
The Market Oracle Newsletter July 13th, 2015Issue # 12 Vol. 9
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stocks Plunge on Greece Euro-Zone Financial Armageddon Blackmail / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2015
The Market Oracle Newsletter June 30th, 2015Issue # 11 Vol. 9
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Stock Market Will It Or Won’t It? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend – SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, September 13, 2015
Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast for September to December 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The 15% drop in average stock prices during the past month has galvanised a growing number of bears to once more dig out ancient text book reasons for why this is the time for the stocks bear market to finally begin, and not only that but keep making definitive statements for the expectations for market crash's that always fail to materialise for the obvious reason that a crash is a panic event that can only at best be discerned no earlier than during the preceding day. Even then the probability would favour the market ending higher on the so called crash day because market crashes are NOT common events.
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Sunday, September 13, 2015
Why Are Stocks Going Berserk? It’s All About Expectations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
If you’ve been following the markets for the last three weeks, you’ve probably figured out that something is wrong. The markets are no longer behaving the way they should, and that has people worried. Very worried. In the last 15 trading days, the Dow Jones has experienced an unprecedented 13 triple-digit days, which means that stocks have been sharply rising and falling without any rhyme or reason. The financial media has tried to explain-away the extreme volatility by pointing to slower growth in China, troubles in the Emerging Markets or various dismal data-points. But none of these adequately explain what’s going on.
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Sunday, September 13, 2015
FED Induced Sharp Drop in Stock Market Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The planets are coming together for the perfect storm on September 17th. First we have Mercury Retrograde, which often occurs at a top for the precious metals sector (and even the stock market). Then we have Jupiter opposing Neptune while Saturn enters into the sign of Sagittarius. Exaggerated hysteria or panic would be the best way to explain this astrological set up. My best guess is: the FED won't raise rates this time, but will hint strongly for the need to do so very soon (China may have nipped a September hike in the bud by devaluing the yuan). Everyone is expecting a retest of the August 24-25 lows anyway, so this is the perfect excuse to take it down. It also fits the pattern of an X wave of [B] bottom within an IMP (Irregular Megaphone Pattern -- discussed a few weeks ago). The big question is: will we fall just below the SPX cash price of 1867 near 1850 or below the SPY or S&P 500 futures price set the morning of August 24, 2015?
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Saturday, September 12, 2015
Stock Market Primary IV Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The holiday shortened week started at SPX 1921. After a Tuesday morning, and Wednesday morning, gap up opening the SPX hit 1989. The market then declined to SPX 1937 by Thursday morning. Then the market rallied again to end the week at SPX 1961. For the week the SPX/DOW were +2.05%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.15%, and the DJ World index was +2.05%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the uptick: consumer credit, plus weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: the WLEI, export/import prices, wholesale inventories, consumer sentiment and long term investor sentiment. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC, Industrial production, and Options expiration.
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Saturday, September 12, 2015
Waiting On The Fed... What The Stock Market Likely Wants... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market seems to have found some stability after the big push lower that saw the market flash crash one day, and even though it recovered some, it saw some real technical damage, once the heavy selling episode was over. We moved from one long-term base into a new base that's actually larger than the one that saw us go nowhere for eight months.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
Stock Market Brace Yourself! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
BIG PICTURE - Last month, the multi-month trading range on Wall Street ended with an abrupt break to the downside and once key support levels were violated, we witnessed an epic swoon! Thereafter, due to direct stock buying by the Chinese policymakers, the stock markets stabilised somewhat and we got a sharp relief rally.
As things stand today, we have already had the initial plunge from the multi-month distribution pattern and after the bounce; the S&P500 Index is now trading just beneath an area of overhead resistance (Figure 1). Going forwards, we are of the view that the bellwether index will struggle to get past the two zones of overhead resistance depicted on the chart. Even if it does surpass those levels, the now declining 200-day moving average (red line on chart) should keep the festivities in check.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
The Stocks Bear Makes a Welcome Return / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The S&P 500 Index had its worst August since 2001, while the Dow’s 6.6 percent drop was its biggest since declining 15 percent in August 1998. Most investors consider the September-October period to be the witching months for equities, but the past month was a painful reminder to many of them just how bad August can sometimes be.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
Stock Market Rebounds from Crash Low Amidst Extreme Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The stock market indices had a very volatile, difficult day today. The day started out with a move up. They continued upward in a 5-wave advance until early afternoon when they spiked. At that point, they completed the 5-wave advance near resistance, and then pulled back in a 5-wave decline, only to snapback into the close and finish with a positive day.
It was a tough session to trade stocks today.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
Stock Market Volatility Drops Ahead of Q4 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Following the September 2, 2015 Market Minute titled "Likely bottom for the S&P 500", the key volatility indexes continue to crest ahead of the bullish Q4 period.
The volatility indexes for the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ all appear to have peaked over the last week.
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Stock Market Something Happened This Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Morning!
Prior to 6:00 am, the SPX futures were up to 1960.00, a near-50% retracement of yesterday’s decline. Then something happened. “S&P 500 e-mini futures have been halted twice (0551ET and 0612ET) in what one market observer exclaimed "looks like manipulation to me." So what exactly happened at 6:12am?”
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Stock Market Daily Charts Show A Strong Reversal Lower.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last night there was some actions taken by the heads in Japan. Their stock market rocked higher, which naturally caused Europe's futures to rock higher, and finally gave our futures a massive life higher. The intervention has to limit, it seems. One leader after another from all over the world are coming out with drastic actions to ensure good times for their economies. Every time the market tries to fall for a week, or so, we get the Government's kicking in to save mode. They won't allow those bears any love. No wonder markets usually go higher. It's just not an even playing field, but we have known that for more years than we can count, unfortunately. Regardless of how much the intervention may be inappropriate for the long term, action will be taken. They'll deal with the consequences later. Let someone else deal with it.
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Amid Stock Market Turmoil, Investors Cling to Hope. Why? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
History shows that many investors will hold stocks all the way down
I was watching financial television as the Dow Industrials fell 400-plus points on Sept. 1.
Two market professionals were interviewed: Both said the big decline in recent weeks represented a buying opportunity.
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Following Pandemonium in the Stock Market, What You Should Know Now ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Dear Investor,
With the chaotic market action that began in August, a lot of advice and theories about its "cause" have been floating around the financial media:
"Buy the dip!"
"Sell and fold!"
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Wednesday, September 09, 2015
Stock Market Paving the Way For the FOMC / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Fed would very much like to see calm and stable markets as it considers its first interest rate increase off the zero bound on September 16-17 next week.
Let's see if they can get what they want, one way or another.
There was intraday commentary here that was prompted by the Consumer Metrics statement about the US that Among Major Economies, Only the Chinese Numbers Are More Suspect.
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Wednesday, September 09, 2015
Stock Market Back to the Triangle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Morning!
If we are to believe the Premarket, SPX is now approaching mid-Cycle resistance at 1995.04. Of course, this is all in very light volume in the futures, but the only wave that has this capability and position is a (rogue) Wave E.
This has caused me to re-assess the Wave structure yet again. Wave D has 11 waves, which is corrective.
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