Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, August 25, 2015
El-Erian: Stock Market Sell off Is Not 1998 or 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Mohamed El-Erian, former CEO of Pimco and columnist for Bloomberg View, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Olivia Sterns and Alix Steel about the selloff in stocks and the implications for Fed policy.
When asked whether we are looking at another 1998, El-Erian said: "I'm not a buyer that this is 1998. Nor am I am a buyer that that's 2008. And in 1998 you had a lot of fixed exchange rates. Now you have fewer of those. And 2008 was about the payments and settlement system. This is not about the payments and settlement system. This is an old-fashioned repricing of two things."
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Tuesday, August 25, 2015
The Fed Is Spooking the Stock Markets Not China / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Fasten your seat belts, this ride is getting interesting. Last week the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down more than 1,000 points, notching its worst weekly performance in four years. The sell-off took the Dow Jones down more than 10% from its peak valuations, thereby constituting the first official correction in four years. One third of all S&P 500 companies are already in bear market territory, having declined more than 20% from their peaks. Scarier still, the selling intensified as the week drew to a close, with the Dow losing 530 points on Friday, after falling 350 points on Thursday. The new week is even worse, with the Dow dropping almost 1,100 points near the open today before cutting its losses significantly. However, no one should expect that this selling is over. The correction may soon morph into a full-fledged bear market if the Fed makes good on its supposed intentions to raise interest rates this year. Have no illusions, while most market observers are quick to blame the sell-off on China, this market was given life by the Fed, and the Fed is the only force that will keep it alive.
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Tuesday, August 25, 2015
Stock Market Black Monday Crash Fizzles Out, Next Black Tuesday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Stock Market Black Monday Panic CRASH that the mainstream press and BlogosFear has been focused since Friday's 3% plunge never materialised. A 3.5% closing drop whilst not good for those long the market, nevertheless is NOT a CRASH. Of course the latest drop of 3.5% comes on the back of a 10.3% retracement from the Dow's RECENT all time high which puts the Dow now down nearly 14%.
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Monday, August 24, 2015
Black Monday - Rolling A Wheelbarrow Of Dynamite Into A Crowd Of Fire Jugglers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
John Hussman has the right to gloat on this Black Monday morning as global stock markets meltdown under the weight of central bank created debt, insane debt financed corporate buybacks, and stock valuations rivaling 1929 and 2000 levels. He has been scorned, ridiculed and laughed at by the Ivy League educated sociopathic Wall Street titans of greed and avarice. Only in a warped, manipulated, corrupt, rigged financial world would those who speak the truth, use facts, and honestly assess the markets based on historical relationships would a man like John Hussman be abused by the elitist Wall Street lemmings. He has too much integrity and class to lower himself to the level of Wall Street hucksters. His letter this week is heavy on substance, facts, and sound reasoning. Therefore, it is of no use to CNBC cheerleaders or Wall Street shysters. His lessons are timeless.
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Monday, August 24, 2015
Stock Market Blockbuster Right From the Open... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Morning!
The Dow futures fell to a low of 15762.00 shortly after 8:00 am, more than 4%. Since I cannot imagine any smart buyers out there trying to catch falling knives, I would have to imagine the Fed may be buying at this point, with small success. The Premarket is showing a 60-80 point bounce off the lows. That’s hardly enough to inspire confidence in the markets when they open.
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Monday, August 24, 2015
Stock Market Crash Or Short-Lived Panic? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. However, our medium-term outlook is now bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, August 24, 2015
Why the Stock Market Sell-Off Happened – and How to Make Money on It / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: It shouldn't come as any surprise that U.S. stocks went into free-fall mode last week.
The signs were everywhere. I'll prove it to you in a moment.
What's likely to happen next is no less frightening, so investors better look for cover.
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Monday, August 24, 2015
Stocks Correct, Panic Ensues. The End Of The World? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The four major U.S. stock market indices finally corrected after a 9-month sideways trend. The ‘big’ news this week for stocks was undoubtedly that the four indices all closed below their 200-day moving average, which IS an important breakdown.
At Secular Investor, we believe the TED-spread is one of the most reliable indicators of stress in the financial system. It should be considered a ‘seismograph’ signaling that something is brewing, as explained some time ago here.
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Monday, August 24, 2015
S&P 500 correction Compared to 2010 and 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Following the August 7, 2015 Market Minute titled "Volatility", the current market pullback of the benchmark S&P 500 may seem severe, but it is still far less than the 2010 and 2011 corrections.
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Monday, August 24, 2015
SP500, DAX, FTSE - When Stock Markets Talk, Pay Attention / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Unlike government supplied statistics, which are always favorably skewed to misrepresent the lies being told, markets do not lie, not even manipulated ones like the stock market, actually pick almost any market. We gave up on the S&P as our primary market coverage a few years ago, unable to abide by the then Permanent Open Market Operations that were the impetus behind keeping stocks propped up. Faux government support kept on building, but we could not abet and support being long to help out. Our absence never mattered, except in the loss of followers, but the reasons mattered to us.
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Sunday, August 23, 2015
Stock Markets Implode as China Literally Explodes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The smouldering stock market correction that started with the Greek debt crisis a couple of months ago has literally exploded with China as one of its major ports is destroyed leaving behind what resembles a nuclear mushroom cloud that shatters the illusion of what China is, namely a rival for the West, when the reality is one of a mere mirage of the West of which all are slowly waking up to the reality of China.
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Sunday, August 23, 2015
An Easy Way to Eliminate Financial Uncertainty / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Andrew Snyder writes: Your personal definition of wealth is what will truly liberate you. It’s a complex idea... so let me explain.
A couple weeks ago, I wrote about my “broken bowl” theory. The idea is simple: Ensure your outgo is always much less than your income.
Do it right, and the following quote could come from your mouth...
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Sunday, August 23, 2015
Stock Market Bloodbath - The Feds Gonna Need A Bigger Balance Sheet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Driving home from work on Friday night I found it terribly amusing listening to the “business journalists” on the local news station trying to explain the 531 point plunge in the Dow and the 1,105 point plummet from the Tuesday high. The job of these faux journalist mouthpieces for the status quo is not to report the facts, analyze the true factors underlying the market, or seek the truth. Their job is to calm the masses, keep them sedated, and paint the rosiest picture possible.
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Sunday, August 23, 2015
Stock Markets Plunge - The Economic "Red Wedding" Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: I love being right…Does that make me a bad person?
I have been warning for months that the market is overvalued, that the global economy is sick, and that stocks are headed for a fall. While CNBC and the rest of the clueless bulls break out the arm-bands, readers at Money Morning – who have been paying attention – should not have been surprised by what happened last week.
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Sunday, August 23, 2015
Stock Market Due For A Breather (But More To Go) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend – SPX has started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, August 23, 2015
Stock Market 20% Bear Market in the Works / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last week, I wrote that I would share the IMP pattern with you and also more about TLC (Trend Line Convergence) and how it identifies bottoms (or buy points) in the stock market. First, the week in review: the astro Friday was especially bad as the Sun sq.'d Saturn. We also broke below the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern top. In the charts below, I also had noted to my subs that there was a TLC low due August 21. The next one is due on August 31, which also is a very negative astro with the Sun opposing Neptune while the full moon on August 29th reaches perigee. It is my opinion that August 31st will trump August 21st for being a real bad day in the market.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Stock Market Primary IV Underway? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week at SPX 2092. After a gap down opening on Monday the market quickly recovered to hit SPX 2103. It traded at that level again on Tuesday, and then ran into three straight gap down openings for the rest of the week. On Friday the SPX hit 1971 and closed there. For the week the SPX/DOW were -5.8%, the NDX/NAZ were -7.1%, and the DJ World index was -5.3%. On the economic front reports came in slightly to the positive. On the uptick: the NAHB, the CPI, housing starts, existing home sales, the Philly FED and the GDPN. On the downtick: the NY FED, building permits, leading indicators, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the next report on Q2 GDP, Durable goods, and PCE prices.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Stock Market Dow Theory - The Reckoning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The Dow Theory non-confirmation that began forming in February has been a warning. The Great Dow Theorist Robert Rhea once said, "a wise man leaves the market alone when the averages do not agree." Few really understand Dow Theory and it seems that most people who are familiar with it tend to discount it as some antiquated relic of the past. The current market environment and the developments since February are a perfect example. The Dow Theory has been warning, but as is always the case, those warnings have not been understood or heard.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Stock Market Nirvana Has Been Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Is it possible to have a calm and boring market break down quickly in merely two trading days? Is it possible that THIS is the start of breaking the "stock nirvana" illusion?
Let's examine the evidence.
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Saturday, August 22, 2015
Three Ways to Profit from the Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: When I started Total Wealth I promised you that it would be a two-way street, meaning that information would flow both directions – from me to you and from you to me.
Today I want keep that promise by answering a question from J. Stockhausen that’s on a lot of people’s mind at the moment…
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