Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, July 12, 2014
Gold And Silver Price Trend Change Developing, Just Not Confirmed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
If you never read a newspaper, listened to television/radio, or read any one of the numerous blogs that exist and were left with just charts to look at, the information contained in the them would put you head and shoulders above everyone else.
Why?
Charts contain the resulting input from all the decision-makers, from the most informed to the least informed, and the aggregate information that can be gleaned from news, regardless of source, including blogs and so-called expert opinions can not be superior to that combination of price and volume over time, found in the charts.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Black Gold: Oil Option Trade Setup – Will Oil Bounce? Who Cares! / Commodities / Crude Oil
Oil futures were on the tip of every political and financial pundits’ tongues less than a month ago as geopolitical tensions in Iraq heated up. Fast forward to today, and tensions in the Middle East have intensified further. However, since June 25th oil prices have been falling fast.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Massive Gold and Silver Futures Buying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Both gold and silver have enjoyed massive buying by American futures speculators in recent weeks. It all started with Fed chair Janet Yellen’s cavalier dismissal of inflation, but the buying momentum persisted well after that. Happening in the midst of the summer doldrums when global precious-metals investment demand is weak, this is an exceptionally-bullish portent. It is setting up the PMs for a major autumn upleg.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Destroying Confidence – the Last 40 Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Chart 1: Confidence in the US congress per Gallup surveys. The downward trend is clear.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Silver Up 10.3% YTD - Outperformance To Continue / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Today we look at silver and why it is an important allocation in all portfolios
- Why Silver is in a Bull Market and How High Could it Go?
- Is Silver About Returns Or A Hedge Against Inflation & Systemic Risk?
- Silver: Very Small Global Supply
- Silver: Increasing Technological and Industrial Demand
- Silver: Medical Demand
- Silver’s Unique Properties
- Silver: Increasing Investment Demand
- Silver Undervalued Versus Gold
- Conclusion
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,336.50, EUR 981.78 and GBP 779.39 per ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,343.25, EUR 985.22 and GBP 784.61 per ounce.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Crude Oil Price Time for Recovery? / Commodities / Crude Oil
On Thursday, crude oil gained 0.94% as profit taking and upbeat U.S. jobless claims data supported the price. As a result, the commodity bounced off a very important support zone and came back above $102 per barrel. Does it mean that the bottom of the recent correction is in?
Although crude oil hit a 2-month low of $101.55, declining to slightly below the June low, the commodity reversed and rebounded as traders who had bet on falling prices made purchases yesterday to close those positions.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Silver in the Aftermath of Fragility / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Despite the persistence of the recovery meme, financial markets are more fragile to risk than ever before. On top of this, witness the slow creep of policy disguised as regulation. It comes for the low hanging fruits. The final labors of society. What lies ahead is a paper blood bath.They are coming for your pensions and retirement accounts.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
The Perfect Crime and the Plight of the Modern Silverite / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Silver is not just any old commodity. It is old money. Despite massive efforts and price fixing, clipping and manipulation, it has remained central to monetary and political systems for centuries. Today it is small and relatively dark in the context of modern investing.Desperate times call for desperate measures. And the desperation to buy and hold metal should simply be proportional to the desperation of the will of the monetary powers to maintain the status quo.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Gold and Silver Price Positive Developments / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold and silver had a good week after the US holiday last Friday. From a low of $1312 on Tuesday, gold rose to a high point of $1345 yesterday, and silver from $20.84 to $21.60. Open interest is climbing too for both metals, as shown in the following charts.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Unwinding Unallocated Gold Accounts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The debate in precious metal markets today is whether or not the three-year bear market is over and a new uptrend is establishing itself. But assuming for a moment that the gold price has turned the corner, will the bullion banks be able to keep a lid on it? Given the recent jump in their short positions as recorded in the Bank Participation Report on Comex, they presumably think so, and unallocated accounts in London will play an important role.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Commodities - Three Cheers for The Fear Trade! / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The long-anticipated summer rally for the precious metals (PM) sector gained strength this week even as the U.S. broad market stumbled. The recent plunge in small cap stocks isn't an unrelated phenomenon, however; it's one of the reasons behind the rally in the PM sector. In this commentary we'll examine the main drivers behind the latest push to multi-week highs for gold and silver.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Are You Ready for Doubles and Triples in Uranium Mining Stocks? / Commodities / Uranium
Are you brave enough to buy straw hats in winter? From uranium to oil services to lithium, savvy investors can find innovative ways to make money based on fundamental supply and demand rather than emotion and fashion. In this interview with The Energy Report, Gold Stock Trades editor Jeb Handwerger outlines the trends that will shape the future of energy commodity investing, and names some of the best examples of shabby chic stocks worth more than their current price tags.
The Energy Report: Jeb, in past interviews you have talked about the boost that the end of the Russian nuclear material purchase agreement would have on uranium prices. But lately, the price has dropped. What is causing the most recent decline?
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Silver Price, Asset Boom and Inflation Ahead? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The "price" of anything is a measurement of something just as a "mile" is a measurement of something. A mile measures distance, a "gallon" measures volume and a "pound" measures weight. But because the actual "value" of a currency can fluctuate, the "price" of the food in the grocery store to the "price" of a share of a stock exchange can move up and down without a change in value of the item itself.
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Friday, July 11, 2014
Fossils, Fuels and Zombies / Commodities / Energy Resources
As fear begins to scare the vanguard of the herd into what may develop into a rampage, the eurocrisis is back with a vengeance. Portuguese bank Esperito Santo leads the way down through missed payments, bringing the Lisbon exchange to its knees with a -4.5% plunge as I write this, with northern EU exchanges showing -1.5% losses and southern ones -2.5%. Markets start to realize than all PIIGS now have much higher state debts than before the crisis started, and that they still are very much big risks, no matter what Draghi and his never fired bazooka say. The same Draghi who, by the way, reiterated once again that Brussels should be given more – and more centralized – power. As if the May election never happened. Of course EU finances were always a mess; it’s just that now we can see it.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Gold Price Bracing for a Short-Term Correction / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In my prior article from back in early-June, I noted that a short-term bottom was due, which had been projected for the June 2nd timeframe, plus or minus a day. The actual low for Gold was registered the very next trading day, doing so on June 3rd at the 1240.20 figure. Since then, we have seen a rally of over $100 playing out with the metal, which is now looking for a short-term correction in the days/weeks ahead.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Gold and Silver Stocks: It's Old Turkey Time! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Those familiar with Jesse Livermore and the book Reminiscences of a Stock Operator know who Old Turkey is. He was Mr. Partridge, an old trader who dispensed great wisdom in few words. Those at the office nicknamed him Turkey because of the way in which he strutted around with his chest puffed out. Livermore gleaned wisdom from Old Turkey which included the importance of never losing one's position and placing the utmost importance on the major trend. "It's a bull market," he often repeated. Precious metals shares are breaking out again after a brief consolidation. It's time to channel your inner Old Turkey, realize this is a bull market and act accordingly.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Gold and Silver Miners The Beginning of the End! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
I think today's price action marks a very important confirmation point in the precious metals stock indexes, at least for the intermediate to longer term outlook. Finally, after a year of chopping around in small up and down moves, we are starting to get some confirmation that this one year trading range is indeed a reversal pattern and not a consolidation pattern. When a big patterns like this ends is when you get the big impulse moves which is where you make the real money.
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Thursday, July 10, 2014
Keys to Successful Gold Stock Picking / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Chris Mancini, an analyst with the Gabelli Gold Fund, spends his days finding value in gold equities—and he thinks he's found a recipe for success. Take a long-term outlook, add excellent management, fold in a great project in a quality jurisdiction with low-cost minable ounces in the ground at a huge discount to the spot price—et voila! Mancini calls this "optionality" and in this interview with The Gold Report he says that equities with optionality will not only survive the downturn but also provide excellent leverage to an inevitable upward move in the gold price. Check out some rising names in the Gabelli Gold Fund.
The Gold Report: Cash has flown out of gold funds and into non-gold equities during this bear run in gold. What's the current Gabelli Gold Fund pitch to investors?
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Wednesday, July 09, 2014
Gold Price $10,000 Is it Possible? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
When analysts forecast future asset prices they typically choose valuations that make sense in the context of current valuations. We could, for instance, easily imagine that a $100/share stock can trade up to $120/share. But when somebody comes out and says that it can go to $1,000/share in a few years time this person is ridiculed because it is very difficult for us to imagine a reality that differs wildly from the current state of affairs. So when I suggest that the gold price can rise to a level in the 5-digit range, I expect to be ridiculed or to have my forecast overlooked by most market participants. Nevertheless, as we will see in a moment the prospect of 5-digit gold is not so far-fetched. Gold at $10,000 or higher is not as unlikely as many people would think.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2014
5 Countries Most Plagued by Crude Oil Theft / Commodities / Crude Oil
Nigeria
As much as 400,000 barrels of oil a day are stolen in Nigeria. This equates to losses of $1.7 billion a month for Africa's new largest economy. This represents 7.7 percent of its GDP vanishing, or more than the country spends on education and healthcare. These numbers paint a harsh picture about the inability of the Nigerian government, and the multinational oil companies in the Niger Delta, to do anything about this rampant theft.