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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, June 17, 2014

Why Gold's Base Price Should Be North Of $2,000 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Steve_St_Angelo

Even though present Geo-political events in Iraq have now pushed up the price of gold due to Brent Crude hitting a new high in 2014, the value of the yellow metal relative to oil is still way below its historical average.  Currently, the price of Brent Crude is trading at $113.35, while gold is at $1,275.  This is an embarrassing 11.2 to 1 ratio.... thanks to the manipulation by the Fed and member banks.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 17, 2014

Gold Investors: Let This Cycle Be Your Guide / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Frank_Holmes

U.S. Global Investors recently welcomed Doug Peta, an economist from BCA research, to our offices. He presented some interesting research regarding the Fed Funds Rate Cycle, and in turn, what that research could mean for gold. I wanted to share points from his presentation, as well our own in-house research, to help you understand the positivity we see for the precious metal looking towards 2015.

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Commodities

Monday, June 16, 2014

Palladium Price Double Top / Commodities / Palladium

By: Austin_Galt

Palladium has been in the news recently so I thought I’d have a look at the chart and there were some interesting observations to be made. So let’s have a look starting with the yearly chart.

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Commodities

Monday, June 16, 2014

This Metal Problem Could Ignite China's Smoldering Economic Crisis / Commodities / Copper

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: China is about to step on the gas and boost bank lending once again.

That's despite both the IMF and World Bank thinking it's unnecessary.

But concerns of China's growth moderating and housing prices dropping 5% this year aside, this might be the real reason for renewed easing:

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Commodities

Monday, June 16, 2014

Gold Price Moving Into 1320-1350 Region Before Turning Bearish / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Gregor_Horvat

On Gold we are tracking a big triangle placed in wave 4) for a while now which is still incomplete. Recently we have seen a completed wave D at 1240 so now we will focus on another three wave move, this time up in wave E that can retrace even more up to 1320/1350 zone where we will be looking for a bearish reversal signs.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 15, 2014

We Are So Not Prepared For Another Crude Oil Price Shock / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: John_Rubino

In one sense, energy doesn’t matter all that much to what’s coming. Once debt reaches a certain level, oil can be $10 a barrel or $200, and either way we’re in trouble.

But the cost of energy can still play a role in the timing and shape of the next financial crisis. The housing/derivatives bubble of 2006 -2008, for instance, might have gone on a while longer if oil hadn’t spiked to $140/bbl in 2007. And the subsequent recovery was probably expedited by oil plunging to $40 in 2008.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 15, 2014

This Week Ahead Should Be a Major Test For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Simit_Patel

Gold seems to have found support at 1240, where we saw accumulation form, and has been rallying since. Gold closed the week forming a morning star pattern off the bottom trendline of an ascending triangle. It faces imminent resistance at 1280 -- the top resistance line of the aforementioned triangle -- and the 50 SMA just above that.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 15, 2014

Silver to Gold Ratio as a Timing Indicator / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

We all know the silver to gold ratio is important.

• The ratio is low at silver lows, and high at silver highs, because silver both rallies faster and falls deeper than gold.

• The ratio has been erratic over the past 40+ years but the highs and lows approximately mark turning points in the silver and gold markets.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 14, 2014

Gold Price Finally Bombed Out / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Aden_Forecast

Gold dropped sharply a couple of weeks ago. Many experts can't explain why, but there are several reasons that make sense...

Safe Haven?

First, gold entered a seasonally slow period. This could last for another month or so but seasonality alone doesn't explain why the decline was so steep and sudden.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2014

How Much Energy Will the 2014 World Cup Consume? / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: OilPrice_Com

Along with 3 billion other viewers around the world, I plan to tune in for the month-long World Cup to see whether the 22-year old Neymar can withstand the colossal pressure that has been put upon his shoulders to deliver a win for team Brazil.

Every time I turn on my television set, I'm using World Cup-related energy. And that's just the start. Flying in teams, trainers, equipment, World Cup personnel and the estimated 500,000-plus fans will use enormous volumes of jet fuel.
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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2014

Gold and Silver Bottoming Out? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

The signs are good. With record short positions in gold and silver, hedge funds and algorithmic traders should be worried at the lack of price confirmation: gold is holding well above its bear-market lows and silver is refusing to weaken into new low ground.

The first chart is of the Managed Money short positions in gold futures on Comex, and the second is of silver futures.

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Commodities

Friday, June 13, 2014

Gold and Silver Stocks Begin Next Leg Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Yes you read that correctly. The miners have begun another leg higher because the evidence strongly supports the view that they have formed a higher low. Only time will tell for sure but the evidence is quite strong. It seems that every analyst was calling for a July low. I felt strongly that the miners would make their next low after Gold broke below $1200. I was far more confident in the bullish case at the June 2013 and December 2013 bottoms. I was even skeptical after Tuesday’s upside explosion. However, the weight of the evidence today argues that the miners have made a higher low and are starting their next leg higher. 

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2014

Gold Junior Miners Breaking Through Resistance to The Upside / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Jeb_Handwerger

The gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) price may be reversing over the next couple of weeks. The junior miner gold ETF (GDXJ) is reversing above the 50 day moving average and breaking above its recent three month downtrend.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2014

BRICS Gold Central Bank Outpost / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jim_Willie_CB

While the West has been mesmerized by the chaos in Ukraine, surely to become an implosion site, while attention has been directed on the Negative Interest Rate Policy coming into view, surely to become the norm for banker skimming on yields, while focus has been on Spain's royalty in abdication, surely a change of the dark nobility guard, the Jackass has yawned and turned the view toward Saudi Arabia, surely a significant event on their fund news. They have announced a new sovereign wealth fund to be established, independent of their central bank, devoted to prudent investment. Read Gold investment. The indication is clear movement away from the USDollar and USTreasury Bond complex.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2014

The World's Five Most Important Oil Fields / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Much has been made about the role that hydraulic fracturing – or fracking -- has played in revolutionizing the energy landscape, unlocking vast new reserves of oil trapped in shale rock. This "tight oil" is pouring into the global pool of oil supplies at a crucial time, preventing oil prices from spiking in an age of high demand and geopolitical turmoil.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 12, 2014

Gold & Silver Miners Break Out Despite U.S. Dollar's Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

The precious metals market moved higher yesterday, which was in tune with what we've been expecting. The key question is if gold, silver and mining stocks have completed their rally or are they still likely to move higher before turning south again.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2014

What Gold Investments Casey Research Staff Are Buying This Summer / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jeff_Clark

I ran across a business show last week that advertised that its guests would give out stock picks. That piqued my curiosity, so I watched to see what they would recommend.

For disclosure purposes, a chart was shown that listed if the speaker, his family, his fund, or his clients owned the stock. By the end of the show, I was flabbergasted—not one speaker owned any stock they recommended!

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 11, 2014

Will Import Taxes on Solar Panels Hamper Silver Price Ability to Rally? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Bob_Kirtley

Background
Investors are disillusioned by the inability of silver prices to rise to higher ground as silver enters its 4th year of looking anything but sparkling. As a silver bug I think that we have suffered long enough but finding the ignition that will set silver on fire is proving to be difficult. There are a myriad of factors to consider before making an investment in silver such as: supply and demand, price manipulation, industrial usage, jewelry, investment, various metrics such as the gold/silver price ratio, etc. The list is almost endless so today we will look at just one of them which we think is important; the imposition of import duties on solar panels.

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

GOLD Price Could Test $1000 - Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Gregor_Horvat

GOLD Weekly

Gold is in sharp reversal mode from all time highs after a completed big five wave rally, so current pullback is probably corrective. We are tracking two counts, where both suggests another leg down. The primary labeling suggests that market is now in sub-wave 4) of (C) that could bottom around 1000 psychological level at the end of the year, or maybe in 2014.

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Commodities

Monday, June 09, 2014

U.S. Bank’s Silver Short Positions send Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Submissions

Gold Reporter writes: U.S. Bank’s net short positions have dropped to lowest value in at least 5 years. Could indicate short term anti-cyclic buy signal.

In early June, U.S. banks trading future-contracts at the COMEX, only held a total of 13,234 contracts in net short positions, which equals 2,057 tons of silver forward-sales and depicts the lowest value since Goldreporter started analyzing the monthly data 5 years ago (see chart). For comparison: In February 2013 U.S. banks were 6,249 tons short!

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