Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, October 11, 2018
“A Loaf Of Bread, A Gallon Of Gas, An Ounce Of Gold” Revisited / Currencies / Inflation
By: Kelsey_Williams
One of the earliest articles I wrote was “A Loaf Of Bread, A Gallon Of Gas, An Ounce Of Gold”. The information contained in the article is basic to a fundamental and accurate understanding of gold.
The convolution and complication of basic fundamentals reigns supreme in almost all analysis of gold. That is unfortunate, because it obscures the simple truth.
The simple truth is that gold is real money. Even that simple truth, however, deserves some further explanation.
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Wednesday, October 10, 2018
Russian Ruble Technical Chart Analysis and Forecast / Currencies / Russia
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Today I am taking a look at the Russian Ruble against the US Dollar that follows a request from a $12 Patron. The Ruble is not a market I monitor so my analysis is limited to a quick technical take.
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Tuesday, October 09, 2018
Euro Vulnerable as Slowing Growth Reveals Underlying Issues / Currencies / Euro
By: Submissions
Deb Shaw writes:
Economic indicators point to a worsening slowdown in the Eurozone- As growth slows, cracks are beginning to appear, starting with Italian financial markets
- After engineering a massive trade surplus, Eurozone now reliant on its trading partners
In our last commentary on the euro in late August, we wrote that the common currency was set to weaken further thanks to (1) slowing growth, (2) slowing inflation and (3) an outsized speculator long position in euro futures and options. Following the publication of our last commentary, EUR/USD has weakened from 1.1730 – 1.180 (the top-end of its trading range that we update daily on our website) down to 1.1510 (the current price on October 4).
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Friday, October 05, 2018
Ripple (XRP) Makes Huge Waves: Did You See Them Coming? / Currencies / BlockChain
By: EWI
7 Days of Free Forecasts
11 Top FX Markets + Bitcoin, Ethereum & Litecoin
Forex FreeWeek | October 3-10, 2018
You've just seen how Elliott Wave analysis can help you anticipate even the fastest-moving turns in trend. So: if you want analysis for where EURUSD, USDJPY and Bitcoin and other cryptos are headed next...
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Friday, October 05, 2018
USD Lifted by Data and Fed Chair Powell’s Remarks / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Submissions
The US dollar outperformed all its major peers yesterday following solid economic data and hawkish remarks by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Italian assets were supported by the reports that Italy’s government is planning to scale back its deficit targets for 2020 and 2021, while in the UK, PM May’s speech did not result in any major market reaction.
Dollar and Tr. Yields Surge on Upbeat US Data and Powell’s Comments
The dollar managed to outperform all the other G10 currencies on Wednesday. It gained the most against NZD, AUD and NOK, while the currencies against which it gained the least were GBP and CAD.
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Wednesday, October 03, 2018
Bitcoin Time for More Action? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Bitcoin has been moving up for some time now. The path to higher values has been a rocky one and Bitcoin bulls might be getting some encouragement. Whether this translates to a bullish outlook is another question entirely.
Not all governments are hostile to Bitcoin. Actually, a lot of governments are simply not sure what Bitcoin is and how to approach it. The government of Malta stands out as an example of how officials might actually try to understand the currency and regulate it. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Now, in an address to the United Nation's General Assembly, Malta Prime Minister Joseph Muscat has said he sees blockchain technology as the tool which will allow bitcoin and crypto to "inevitably" gain widespread, mass adoption and become the future of money.
Sunday, September 30, 2018
Forex and Crypto Market Forecasts / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
It might not feel like it, but you only have a couple of months left to hit your 2018 trading goals.
Our friends at Elliott Wave International (EWI) can help you get there. Free.
In fact, their Forex FreeWeek event is worth your time even if you’re not actively trading forex.
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Friday, September 28, 2018
XEU & XJY Forex Markets Charts Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Rambus_Chartology
Sometimes a stock can push you just far enough to make you doubt the validity of your analysis just at the most opportune time. Such has been the case for the US dollar where all the evidence strongly suggests it’s in a bull market. I’m not going to go into a lot of detail right here, but I want to show you a couple of charts for the XEU and the XJY that still suggest they’re weak compared to the US dollar.
This first chart is a daily bar chart for the XEU which shows the possible H&S top building out. The last time we looked at this chart the price action was building out the right shoulder with the neckline symmetry line showing the height of the right shoulder. As you can see the XEU traded slightly higher than the neckline symmetry line which for a few days looked like the possible H&S top maybe failing. Note the gap above the neckline symmetry line and now the gap below the neckline symmetry line which shows an island reversal above the neckline symmetry line, see sidebar for more clarity. The year plus H&S top is still in play IMHO.
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Thursday, September 20, 2018
Can Bitcoin's True Value Be Zero? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Avi_Gilburt
The perspective that most have about Bitcoin ranges from complete lack of knowledge to utter certainty that it will change the world. Moreover, there are really no true “fundamentals” with which analysts are able to even attempt to value it based upon traditional methods. But, that certainly has not stopped everyone and their mother from providing their opinion based upon their “feelings.”
Yes, most of what you see presented on the valuation of Bitcoin is nothing more than the analysts’ “feelings.” In fact, I read an article a few days ago which provided the perfect example of this phenomena seen in the crypto-currency market. In a recent article, Geoffrey Caveney provided us his “feelings” about Bitcoin:
Wednesday, September 19, 2018
The Beginning of the End of the Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Richard_Mills
Donald Trump will go down in history for many things, including a justice department investigation into US-Russian collusion in the 2016 election, a guilty verdict for his former campaign chair, Paul Manafort, and a guilty plea by his personal lawyer, Michael Cohen, in relation to hush-money payments to women in violation of campaign finance laws. Then there was the Access Hollywood tape, the ban on Muslims, the implicit condoning of neo-Nazis, the plans to build a border wall to keep out illegal Mexicans, the separation of immigrant children from their parents (though some say that law was drafted under Obama), and Trump’s ban on global abortion funding to please the pro-life portion of his base. Could Trump’s legacy though be something few had ever predicted: The beginning of the end of the dollar?
On the economic front though, it appears that Trump is doing all the right things. The Dow was at its highest-ever level of 26,616.71 in January, just over a year after Trump took office. The US dollar is strong, unemployment is at its lowest level in 20 years, the stock market is booming, and the Fed thinks things are going so well that they are ready to pass more interest rate hikes. Why has the US dollar done well? Mostly because of high demand for US Treasuries.
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Monday, September 17, 2018
GBPUSD Set to Explode Higher / Currencies / British Pound
By: Austin_Galt
Pattern – we can see price bottomed out at 1.2662 and has subsequently made a pattern of higher highs and higher lows. The recent higher low formed a bullish double bottom, denoted by the horizontal line. Double bottoms which form just above the major low are generally an excellent indication of a new uptrend in play. I now expect price to do some backing and filling before launching higher again.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 14, 2018
Bitcoin Price Is About To Bottom / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Avi_Gilburt
The painful nine month bear market that began when Bitcoin topped in the mid $19,000’s is now the second longest bear market in crypto history; second in rank to one that began after the Mt. Gox sent Bitcoin down nearly 90% in 18 long months.
As is typical in a bear market, the investing public passes blame. Those trapped in the ensuing downtrend look for reasons they are losing money, as if the market owes them something. For cryptos, the opening of CME Bitcoin futures trading, which began trading shortly before the top, is the chief target. I’ve heard that it said that paper futures always ruin markets. Other targets of blame include regulation in the states and abroad, and the plethora of ‘crap’ coins on the market. The general and age old cry that the markets are manipulated also abound.
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Thursday, September 13, 2018
Trading Cryptocurrencies: To Win, You Must Know Where You're Wrong / Currencies / BlockChain
By: EWI
See how Elliott wave analysis helped traders reduce risk in Litecoin's recent price action
Dear readers, if a story about the get-rich-quick promises of cryptocurrency trading is what you seek, keep on moving.
Rest assured, that story exists. It's all over the interwebs, in one form or another: jazzy headlines about average Joe So-and-So turning $1k into $1 million overnight in the crypto markets.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
AUD/NZD in an Uptrend / Currencies / Austrailia
By: FXOpen
The Aussie dollar is under pressure versus the New Zealand dollar as AUD/NZD remains in a decent uptrend above 1.0850.
Key Points
- AUD/NZD is in a decent uptrend above the 1.0850 support area.
- There is a major ascending channel in place with support at 1.0870 on the daily chart.
Wednesday, September 12, 2018
How Bitcoin Will Make You Big Money Again / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Chris_Vermeulen
If you are a Bitcoin fan or looking for the next opportunity for a Bitcoin rally, you may not have long to wait before a price breakout takes place. Our research team, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, believes a price breakout may occur before the end of 2018 – the only question is will it be a breakout rally or a breakdown crash before the next mega rally?
Cryptos and, in particular, Bitcoin has increased in popularity and adoption over the past 24 months across the globe. Recently, Citigroup has announced new technology making Crypto transactions more secure and reducing the risk of such transactions. Additionally, Circle recently announced a US Dollar based Crypto-currency that is backed by Goldman-Sachs. News from Europe is that the EU has been urged to adopt common Crypto-Currency rules that will fuel more attention and enterprise on developing suitable Crypto solutions for the European markets.
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Wednesday, September 12, 2018
Bitcoin Trading - SEC Strikes Again / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Bitcoin has moved up a bit since the very recent decline. The SEC has just suspended two Bitcoin vehicles. The volume is pretty thin. Is a new rally budding? Or do these events point to a precipitous decline?
The memory of the SEC turning down prospective Bitcoin ETFs is still fresh in memory and now the agency has made the headlines again as it halted two Bitcoin trading vehicles in the U.S. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Announced on Sunday, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued an order seeking to suspend the trading of the Bitcoin Tracker One and Ether Tracker One exchange-traded notes, issued by XBT Provider AB, a Swedish-based subsidiary of the U.K. firm CoinShares Holdings.
Tuesday, September 11, 2018
USD/JPY - Profitable Opportunity Just Ahead of the Bulls? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Nadia_Simmons
Despite the Thursday’s closure below the lower border of the consolidation and the Friday's drop to the lowest level for more than two weeks, the bulls kept cool and reborn in recent days, erasing almost entire recent move to the downside. Will the pro-growth formation that is drawing on the horizon encourage them to fight for higher values of USD/JPY in the coming days?
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Tuesday, September 11, 2018
AUD/USD Remains in Downtrend and AUD/NZD in Uptrend / Currencies / Austrailia
By: FXOpen
The daily chart of AUD/USD suggests that the pair is in a significant downtrend below 0.7200.
Key Points
- The Aussie dollar started a major downtrend from the 0.8000 barrier against the US Dollar.
- The AUD/USD pair recently broke a crucial declining channel with support at 0.7140 on the daily chart.
Monday, September 10, 2018
Should You be Worried About the Rising U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Troy_Bombardia
The U.S. Dollar Index has been going up over the past 5 months, driven higher by Trump’s trade war.
This has some stock market traders worried, because economic theory states that “a rising U.S. Dollar is bad for the economy and stock market”.
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Wednesday, September 05, 2018
GBP/CAD Could Gain Traction / Currencies / British Pound
By: FXOpen
GBP/CAD is trading nicely and it may perhaps rise towards the 1.7000 resistance.
Key Points
- GBP/CAD found support near 1.6600 and started an upside move.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.6790 on the daily chart.