Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, August 28, 2017
EURGBP Is Facing 0.9305 Resistance / Currencies / Euro
EURGBP formed a double bottom pattern on its daily chart, with neckline at 0.8851 and measured move target at around 0.9400. After breaking above the neckline resistance, the pair extended its bullish movement to as high as 0.9270, facing the resistance at the October 2016 high of 0.9305.
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Sunday, August 27, 2017
USD Super Cycle Update / Currencies / US Dollar
My first chart is a 27 year Weekly showing a Fractal comparing the price action we are seeing today against the USD’s last Super Cycle top in 2001. The USD’s Super Cycles last 15 years Low to Low on average and my chart shows the critical role that the 200wma plays in the USD’s Bull and Bear phases.
Clearly, the USD is teetering at critical support right now as my chart shows what happened the last tine in 2002 when it lost this key, long term, moving average. My second weekly chart shows a close up of the current Fractal Blue box in my first chart.
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Thursday, August 24, 2017
New Eastern Energy Cartel Replacement To The Dead Petro-Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
The Petro-Dollar is dead. It had served so well for over 40 years in maintaining the USDollar as global currency reserve, while keeping tight the controls on geopolitical power. The link between crude oil and the USDollar has been broken, painfully evident since 2016 with a harsh price decline that cannot rise about the $50 level. It remains stuck below that level despite heavy collusion in a demonstration that OPEC is dead defunct also. A void has been created in the energy sector, a most important sector. Enter Russia & China to fill the void. Both the crude oil market and the natural gas market have new alliances which feature nations acting in a cooperative manner. The common element is Russia on the production side, complete with pipeline arrays.
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Thursday, August 24, 2017
USDCHF Is Waiting For Breakout / Currencies / Forex Trading
USDCHF moved sideways in a trading range between 0.9583 and 0.9772 on the 4-hour chart for several weeks. All we can do is wait for the breakout to occur.
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
GBPUSD Moved Below Major Trend Line / Currencies / British Pound
GBPUSD Broke below a major bullish trend line from 1.2109 to 1.2589 on its daily chart. Further decline would likely be ween over the next several days.
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
GBP/USD Extends Losses / Currencies / British Pound
Earlier today, the British pound extended losses against the greenback, which pushed GBP/USD to a fresh multi-month low. How low could the exchange rate go in the coming days?
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
British Pound Rallies Higher Against US Dollar / Currencies / British Pound
Currency markets are starting to shake the summer doldrums that are typically characterized by weak trading volumes and low price volatility, and one of the primary beneficiaries has been the British Pound (GBP). Markets are still being forced to deal with the potential implications that could unfold after the next round of Brexit negotiations but the broader global interest rate story still seems to be setting the tone for the currency relative to the US Dollar. When viewing the forex markets in terms of the GBP/USD, bullish trends look much more pronounced and investors are wondering about whether or not it is time to establish larger positions in the cable.
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
USDJPY Recoil Rally On The Cards / Currencies / Japanese Yen
My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: New Home Sales, Crude Oil Inventories.
Wednesday, August 23, 2017
Bitcoin Price Stalls / Currencies / Bitcoin
The fact that Bitcoin has recently hit an all-time high has already fueled wild speculation in the market and we are now seeing increased interest in the currency. The mainstream media are now full of articles on the meteoric rise of Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum and the prospects of cryptocurrencies. In an article on Bloomberg, we read:
It seems like everyone is coming up with a price forecast these days, with some of the biggest banks including Goldman Sachs Group Inc. jumping into the action, while speculators to long-time investors are also making their bets.
The consensus is that the biggest cryptocurrency will face some resistance around $4,500 to $4,800 and correct, to then continue rallying. How high? Pantera Capital Management’s Paul Veradittakit, Tom Lee at Fundstrat Global Advisors and John Spallanzani at GFI Group Inc. see it going to $6,000 by year-end, while Ronnie Moas at Standpoint Research says it will keep rising to $7,500 in 2018.
Tuesday, August 22, 2017
EURJPY Bounce Off Channel Support / Currencies / Euro
EURJPY rebounded from 127.56 after touching the bottom support trend line of the price channel on the daily chart, suggesting that the pair remains in the uptrend from 114.85. As long as the price is in the channel, the fall from 131.39 could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend.
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Monday, August 21, 2017
Cryptocurrencies: Modern Day Alchemy / Currencies / BlockChain
Cryptocurrencies make good currencies, but fail miserably when trying to achieve the status of money.
Cryptocurrencies are both created and held electronically inside a virtual wallet. These digital currencies use encryption techniques to regulate the generation of new units and to verify the transfer of funds. Cryptocurrencies operate independently of governments and are decentralized.
Monday, August 21, 2017
Bitcoin in an Illusionary Age / Currencies / Bitcoin
It is altogether fitting that crypto currencies, in particular Bitcoin, have witnessed a meteoric rise in this illusionary age. Not only has their monetary value gone to dizzying heights, but they are now being touted as the destroyer of the current, crumbling monetary order and the next paradigm upon which a new money and banking system will emerge.
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Monday, August 21, 2017
EURUSD Remains In Uptrend From 1.0569 / Currencies / Euro
EURUSD stays in a bullish price channel on its daily chart and remains in the uptrend from 1.0569. As long as the price is in the channel, the pullback from 1.1909 could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend.
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Monday, August 21, 2017
Bitcoin & Bitcoin Cash Smash Through $5,000! / Currencies / Bitcoin
Now, I realize I can’t do this forever. I can’t continue for years to combine the value of both Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash and quote it as a “total value” of bitcoin.
But, considering that it was just 19 days ago that every person in the world who owned bitcoin, if they stored it correctly, also became a new owner of an equal amount of Bitcoin Cash… it is still a very reasonable thing to take note of the two currencies combined price as being the value that the grand majority of bitcoin holders currently hold… or “HODL”, to talk more like the cool kids.
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Sunday, August 20, 2017
Cryptocurrencies Exploding: This Is Nuts / Currencies / BlockChain
You can get to seven figures right now—it's possible, because I already have met 23 people who have done that, the youngest of whom is now 23, but was 17 when he bought Bitcoins initially.
You've got to be on high alert when you hear that even the harshest Bitcoin skeptics, like long-time Bitcoin slammer Josh Brown, of New York-based Ritholtz Wealth Management, are now blogging about buying some "in case I'm wrong," as he says.
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Saturday, August 19, 2017
AUDUSD Rebounded From Trend Line Support / Currencies / Austrailia
AUDUSD rebounded strongly to 0.7960 area after approaching the bullish trend line on its daily chart, suggesting that the pair remains in the uptrend from 0.7328 and the pullback from 0.8065 could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend.
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Saturday, August 19, 2017
Bitcoin Cash Skyrockets… Is There Something To It? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Friday was mostly a down day for the cryptocurrencies with one big exception.
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Thursday, August 17, 2017
USDCAD Broke Above Bearish Trend Line / Currencies / Canadian $
After breaking below the May 2016 low of 1.2460 support, USDCAD rebounded strongly from 1.2413 and moved above the bearish trend line on its daily chart. However, the bounce from 1.2413 would possibly be consolidation of the downtrend from 1.3793, another fall towards 1.1500 is still possible after the consolidation.
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Thursday, August 17, 2017
Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High Over $4,400 As It Catches Paypal In Total Market Cap / Currencies / Bitcoin
One year ago today, bitcoin was trading at $570 USD.
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Thursday, August 17, 2017
GBPUSD Is Facing Major Support Trend Line / Currencies / British Pound
GBPUSD pulled back from the August 3 high of 1.3267 and dropped sharply to 1.2845 area after failing in its attempt to break above 1.3444 resistance.
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