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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Monday, September 14, 2015

U.S. Dollar the Most Lopsided Trade, Implications for Gold, Commodities and Stocks / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Savage

I would say without a doubt the most lopsided trade in the world right now is the long dollar trade. Virtually everyone has become convinced that the dollar is going to 110, 120 or even 160.

Folks when everyone is thinking the same thing … then no one is thinking.

So let’s take a look at this “one way” trade.

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Currencies

Monday, September 14, 2015

Euro To Fail Above 1.14 / Currencies / Euro

By: Richard_Cox

Currency markets have had difficulty in showing much consistency over the last few weeks of the summer but now that markets are once again returning to full strength it it more likely that we will start to see a resumption of the broader global trends.  The Euro will continue to be one of the most important assets to watch in this class, given the fundamental uncertainty that still surrounds a good portion of the region. 

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Currencies

Saturday, September 12, 2015

Why the Japanese Yen's Bull Run REALLY Ended / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: EWI

Monetary "Yentervention" did not cause the currency's depreciation -- it only COINCIDED with it

Talk about "star" wars.

"Asia's biggest action star" Donnie Yen was just cast in the next installment of the never-ending Star Wars movie franchise. Mr. Yen, in case you aren't aware, is known as "the strongest man in the entire universe." (Huffington Post)

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Currencies

Monday, September 07, 2015

China FX Reserves and CNY Implications / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Ashraf_Laidi

China FX reserves fell $94 bn to $3.56 tn in August, posting the biggest decline on record, tell us a little more than just China is slowing.

We already know that a key reason to the decline in reserves is China's selling of reserves, such as US treasuries, in order to support the CNY, preventing it from falling rapidly after last month's devaluation announcement.

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Currencies

Wednesday, September 02, 2015

Euro vs. U.S. Dollar: See Why "Excitement Is Yet to Come" - Video / Currencies / Euro

By: EWI

Elliott Wave International's Chief Currency Strategist discusses the EURUSD 1,200-pip "roundtrip"

Stocks and oil weren't the only markets going berserk last week. Eurodollar, or EURUSD -- the world's biggest and most popular forex market -- first rallied 700+ points (or pips) higher and then crashed about 500 pips back to earth, all in a matter of a few days.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 01, 2015

What Is The Future For The U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rodney_Johnson

China, the biggest foreign creditor of the United States, owns a truckload of our government bonds. Over the past several weeks, it’s been selling some of those bonds to prop up their currency, the yuan. This is supposed to signal the end of the dollar. As the Chinese put our bonds out for the bid, interest rates are going to shoot higher, driving down the value of the greenback and making imports unaffordable. At least, that’s what dollar haters have expected for years.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 01, 2015

Chinese Yuan Revolution? / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Axel_Merk

Once you think of China as a teenager in her "awkward stage," it may become easier to understand the unfolding dynamics. When it comes to foreign exchange, China's latest move may be best explained by her desire to play with the grown-ups. This may have implications that go far beyond the U.S. dollar and China’s Yuan ("CNY" or also the Renminbi or "RMB").

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Currencies

Monday, August 31, 2015

The Most Important Market Chart on The Planet / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

Sorry goldbugs, it is not the gold chart. There are a lot of opinions out there on the US Dollar. Many of them are bearish in the short medium and long term time frames.

So lets see what the Charts are whispering.

With all the volatility this week in markets around the world the US dollar made an interesting move. The long term daily chart below shows the five point rectangle, at the bottom left hand side of the chart, that launched the big breakout and impulse move higher in May of 2014. If you look at reversal point #5 with a question mark on it you'll see the comment I made at the time which I noted, this could be a false breakout to the downside and we might see a big move in the opposite direction, which was up. Keep in mind the chart was much bigger back then and the false breakout also looked much bigger. As you can see that indeed was a false breakout to the downside which led to the impulse move up we found ourselves in until the US dollar topped out earlier this year and has been building out the next consolidation pattern.

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Currencies

Friday, August 28, 2015

China's Yuan Devaluation: Why It Was "Expected" / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: EWI

Why the yuan devaluation was not a "surprise" -- and what Elliott waves suggest for China's currency next

China's economy is slowing. Its stock market began to crash back in July. And, the volatility rocking financial markets has been widely linked to the recent yuan devaluations by China's central bank.

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Currencies

Friday, August 28, 2015

Is this it for U.S. Dollar Bulls? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

US dollar bulls couldn't have asked for a better scenario -- Just as the USD index (basket of 6 currencies largely weighed vs EUR) was about to test a 3-month trendline support, the currency recovers. And just as EURUSD had broken above its 200-DMA for the first time in 13 months and above its 55-WMA for the first time in 12 months in a matter of 4 days, the single currency crashes back below these key levels later in the same week. But CAD, AUD, NZD and NOK have all outperformed USD thanks to a broad bounce in energy.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 27, 2015

How to Profit from China's Currency War / Currencies / Currency War

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Peter Krauth writes: The People’s Bank of China uses its massive reserves to buy or sell the yuan to maintain a desired exchange rate. It’s been pegged to the U.S. dollar in some way for decades.

So, a strong dollar has often meant a strong yuan.

That hurts Chinese exports, and it’s been a sticking point in China’s ongoing negotiations to secure the yuan’s “reserve currency status” at the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

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Currencies

Thursday, August 27, 2015

How China's Currency Policies Will Change the World / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: STRATFOR

The recent fluctuations in China's currency typify the best and worst of a globalized world, where developments in one place can instantly change the political and financial calculations of governments in others. For most of human history, the communities, cultures and economies of the world existed independently of one another, separated as they were by vast distances and difficult terrain. It would, for instance, take months or even years for news of China to reach Europe across the great Silk Road trading route during the height of its use some 1,000 years ago. Even then, the communities along that route could hardly be considered entirely coherent.

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Liftoff Setback Leads to U.S. Dollar Pullback / Currencies / US Dollar

By: AnyOption

The US dollar has experienced a tremendous rally over the last year as the end of quantitative easing and prospect of interest rate normalization led to upside momentum in the currency.  Expectations were largely set for a September rate hike with many FOMC voting members forecasting two rate increases before the end of 2015.  However, with recent inflation data and the growing emerging market turmoil, the Federal Reserve might be forced to hold off with its most well intentioned plans, sapping downside strength and building the case for a deeper technical pullback in the US dollar index.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Asia's Whirling Dervish of Devaluations Has Encircled China's Exports / Currencies / Currency War

By: Keith_Hilden

Much digital ink has been spilled to the catalyst of China's sudden thrice devaluation of the CNY, a move trumpeted to be a unilateral action by China. It makes for good headlines, but this simply is not the case: China has been responding to stealthy and not-so-stealthy devaluation of its Asian neighbors, and is responding to these actions to maintain competitiveness of its exports. Hence a whirling dervish of devaluations has started in unlikely small countries such as Malaysia and Thailand, as well as larger economies like Japan, and China has only recently taken its place in the spiraling revelry that is set to ensue. And this has effectively economically encircled China's exports-- and the balance sheets of Chinese companies show it.

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Currencies

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Who Wins in a Currency Devaluation War? / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: BATR

The paradox in the question of who wins in a currency war presupposes that any participating combatant can actually claim victory. If winning means ending up with the most cash, when the value of the money as a store of tangible wealth is debased, it is doubtful anyone can be declared the victor.  The absurdity of lowering the purchasing power of a countries currency to enable exports to be more competitive is economic sacrilege that the heretical “Free Trade” mythos is based upon. Without a reliable standard of objective comparison, floating currencies maneuver their exchange rates to disguise internal imbalances in their own political and economic expenditures.   

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Currencies

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

UK CPI and GBPUSD vs TWI Divergence / Currencies / British Pound

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Sterling hit fresh 2-month highs as UK inflation improved in July, with headline CPI edging up to 0.1% y/y from June's 0.0%, and beating the Bank of England's 0.0%. The notable increase was in core CPI, which rose to a 5-month high of 1.2% vs expectations of 0.9% and a June reading of 0.8%.

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Currencies

Monday, August 17, 2015

USDJPY At Critical Juncture / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Austin_Galt

Previously, I thought the high for the USDJPY was in place and a correction was now underway. It still may be. Price is now at a critical juncture and the potential exists for one last marginal false break high. Let's examine the situation using the weekly chart.

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Currencies

Sunday, August 16, 2015

The World's Most Hated Major Currency Hits an 11-Year Low / Currencies / Canadian $

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Crashing oil prices, crashing commodity prices, and a super-strong U.S. dollar – these three have been the trifecta of pain for the Canadian dollar in recent years.

All three of these together have pushed the Canadian dollar to an 11-year low.

In today's essay, I'll show you why the Canadian dollar could bottom out soon and start a solid rally...

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Currencies

Saturday, August 15, 2015

The China Dollar Shot Not Heard Around the World / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

China's recent move to devalue the yuan has sent shock waves through the global financial markets and has convinced most observers that a new front in the global currency wars has begun. The move has caused many observes to envision a new round of competitive devaluations around the globe in which the race to the bottom will intensify. In this scenario they envision that the U.S. dollar will solidify its standing as the only strong currency. This misses the point entirely.

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Currencies

Thursday, August 13, 2015

The Fiat Yuan / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Seth Lipsky/The New York Sun/8-11-2015

“If the Communist Chinese devalue the yuan against a dollar that is appreciating against gold, has the yuan gone up or down? We ask because the leading story on the New York Times Web site this morning reports not only that the Chicom authorities ‘sharply devalued’ the renminbi but also that the move ‘could raise geopolitical tensions and weigh on growth elsewhere.’ We ran the Times’ entire text through the Sun’s old hand-crank Von Mises brand language-specie prose separator. It failed to find any mention of — or even allusion to — gold.”

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