Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Next Financial Crisis Is Already Here! John Lewis 99% Profits CRASH - Retail Sector Collapse - Nadeem_Walayat
2.Why Is Apple Giving This Tiny Stock A $900 Million Opportunity? - James Burgess
3.Gold Price Trend Analysis - - Nadeem_Walayatt
4.The Beginning of the End of the Dollar - Richard_Mills
5.Stock Market Trend Forecast Update - - Nadeem_Walayat
6.Hindenburg Omen & Consumer Confidence: More Signs of Stock Market Trouble in 2019 - Troy_Bombardia
7.Precious Metals Sector: It’s 2013 All Over Again - P_Radomski_CFA
8.Central Banks Have Gone Rogue, Putting Us All at Risk - Ellen_Brown
9.Gold Stocks Forced Capitulation - Zeal_LLC
10.The Post Bubble Market Contraction Thesis Receives Validation - Plunger
Last 7 days
Silver's Time Is Coming - 17th Oct 18
Stock Market Volatility Breeds Contempt - 17th Oct 18
Gold 7-Year Bear Market Phase Is Over - 17th Oct 18
Gold - A Golden Escape - 17th Oct 18
Tec Stocks Sector Set For A Rebound? - 16th Oct 18
Real Estate Transactions are Becoming Seamless with Blockchain-Powered Data Sets - 16th Oct 18
Important Elements of a Viral Landing Page - 16th Oct 18
Stephen Leeb Predicts 3-Digit Silver and 5 Digit Gold?! - 16th Oct 18
BREXIT, Italy’s Deficit, The EU Summit And Fomcs Minutes In Focus - 16th Oct 18
Is this the Start of a Bear Market for Stocks? - 16th Oct 18
Chinese Economic Prospects Amid US Trade Wars - 16th Oct 18
2019’s Hottest Commodity Is About To Explode - 15th Oct 18
Keep A Proper Perspective About Stock Market Recent Move - 15th Oct 18
Is the Stocks Bull Dead? - 15th Oct 18
Stock Market Bottoms are a Process - 15th Oct 18
Fed is Doing More Than Just Raising Rates - 14th Oct 18
Stock Markets Last Cheap Sector - Gold - 14th Oct 18
Next Points for Crude Oil Bears - 13th Oct 18
Stock Market Crash: Time to Buy Stocks? - 12th Oct 18
Sheffield Best Secondary School Clusters for 2018-19 Place Applications - 12th Oct 18
Trump’s Tariffs Echo US Trade Policy That Led to the Great Depression - 12th Oct 18
US Dollar Engulfing Bearish Pattern Warns Of Dollar Weakness - 12th Oct 18
Stock Market Storm Crash, Dow Plunges to Trend Forecast! - 12th Oct 18
SP500 Stock Market Sell Off Well Forecast by President Trump - 11th Oct 18
USD and US Tr. Yields Retreat, GBP Gains on Brexit-deal Report - 11th Oct 18
Loss Of Yield Curve "Shock Absorber" Could Mean A Rough Ride Ahead For Markets & Housing - 11th Oct 18
Just How Bearish is the Stock Market’s Breadth? - 11th Oct 18
Here’s Why Gold Stocks, Gold, and Silver Are Great Buys Now - 10th Oct 18
Russian Ruble Technical Chart Analysis and Forecast - 10th Oct 18
Society Trends To Keep in Mind in the USA - 10th Oct 18
[eBook] How to Identify Turning Points in the Market - 10th Oct 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Trading Any Market

Trading Cryptocurrencies: To Win, You Must Know Where You're Wrong

Currencies / BlockChain Sep 13, 2018 - 09:34 AM GMT

By: EWI

Currencies

See how Elliott wave analysis helped traders reduce risk in Litecoin's recent price action

Dear readers, if a story about the get-rich-quick promises of cryptocurrency trading is what you seek, keep on moving.

Rest assured, that story exists. It's all over the interwebs, in one form or another: jazzy headlines about average Joe So-and-So turning $1k into $1 million overnight in the crypto markets.


We're not saying it couldn't happen. People do get lucky now and again. It's just that, we're not in the business of luck. We're in the business of using objective analysis to identify high-confidence trade setups in the world's leading financial markets, inscrutable as they may be.

Sure, it doesn't have the same ring to it. But it's honest. And that's invaluable in a hyper-speculative market filled with unscrupulous coin-makers looking to take advantage of unsuspecting traders.

For more, we turn open the pages of our newly minted report Crypto Trading Guide: 5 simple Strategies to Catch the Next Opportunity, where our Cryptocurrency Pro Service analyst, Jim Martens, extols the singular benefit of Elliott wave analysis -- its ability to limit your trading risk:

"When considering a trade, you always want to answer this question first: 'Where will I be wrong?'

"I want to know that risk. For example, a market has been falling and you're expecting a low. All of a sudden, we see what looks like a five-wave advance on a 60-minute chart. At this point, should you take action?

"No, you should wait for a three-wave decline, which would be the correction of that advance."

"Based on one rule of the Wave Principle, I know where this count becomes wrong. [Remember from Chapter 1:] Wave (2) cannot retrace more than 100% of wave (1).

"So, I draw a line at the start of wave 1. If the decline surpasses that level, I know that my count is incorrect.

"Elliott wave analysis is one of few methodologies that give us an absolute number for our protective stop."

In other words, Elliott waves allow you to identify specific points of ruin for every trade before you even start. To see how this plays out in a real-world market, we turn our attention to the August 1 Cryptocurrency Pro Service coverage of Litecoin.

There, our analysis outlined a bullish, 3rd-wave rally -- noting, however, that any upside move was contingent on wave 2 not retracing more than 100% of wave 1, just as Jim explained in the excerpt above.

From the August 1 Cryptocurrency Pro Service intraday forecasts:

"74.50 should therefore be considered the line in the sand for the bullish count. If breached, we'll have to adopt a bearish Alternate as we did for Ethereum to allow for lower before wave C of (Y) finds its bottom."

A few days later, Litecoin prices did, in fact, fall below the 74.50 handle, signaling a resumption of the downtrend. On August 5, our Cryptocurrency Pro Service made the necessary, bearish adjustment:

"74.50 hung in there tenaciously for a while, but was ultimately violated in the weekend's trading. As discussed Friday, that has called up the incomplete wave C Alternate count. "

The next chart captures the rapid descent that followed, bringing Litecoin to an eight-month low in early August before stopping.

We understand the pressure to leap headlong into the blockchain breach is intense. If you subtract the numbers "inflated through fake and deceptive activities," the average daily trading volume of crypto exchange markets is around $6 billion (Aug. 28 CNN).

But we believe there's a way to be smart and discerning about where to leap. With 1600 cryptocurrencies and counting, that starts with choosing only the most reputable markets with proven track records and transparency. Chances are, it won't be named after a comic book character or piece of fruit. Our Cryptocurrency Pro Service tracks the top three cryptos: Bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoin.

The second requirement of a high-confidence cryptocurrency trade is knowing when your trade is wrong. This is where Elliott wave analysis is in a league unto its own.

Our free report "Crypto Trading Guide: 5 Simple Strategies to Catch the Next Opportunity" explains more. Each chapter shows you the power of the Elliott Wave Principle to explain some of the biggest recent moves in Bitcoin, Litecoin and Ethereum -- and how you can apply this method in your own trading, going forward. Get instant access.

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline Trading Cryptocurrencies: To Win, You Must Know Where You're Wrong. EWI is the world's largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.


© 2005-2018 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

6 Critical Money Making Rules