
Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, July 19, 2008
Ben Bernanke has Become the Destroyer of Worlds / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_and_Markets
Jack Crooks writes: I love readers' comments at the end of online articles and blog entries. I recently came across one at the end of an article regarding general Federal Reserve policy that simply said:
"Ben Bernanke is like the death star. Destroyer of worlds."
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Friday, July 18, 2008
Currency Traders Are Convinced Of.. / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Black_Swan
... the Canadian dollar should be trading at par with the US dollar. We’re not sure exactly how traders became convinced, but this explains why we’ve seen a departure between the Canadian dollar’s correlation with commodities and commodity currencies.
At one point we’d have expected the Loonie to surge to new highs along-side crude oil and the Australian dollar. But we’ve found it just can’t shake the tight link between the US and Canadian economies.
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Thursday, July 17, 2008
US Dollar Final Decent - Dangers 2008-2009 Part2 / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Christopher_Laird
Part 2 talks about the world post the USD centric world economy. It looks out 1 to 3 years ahead. Part 1 talked about the immediate dangers to the world from a Middle East war, food and energy shortages, and inflation. It looked into late 08 and 09.This part talks about what would happen should the USD begin a final decent to far lower values.
We are now a full year into the credit implosion that started with the collapse of two Bear Stearns hedge funds in Summer of 07. So many dimensions of the world economy have changed dramatically for the worse since that pivotal event…
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Thursday, July 17, 2008
Don't Buy the US Dollar Head Fake / Currencies / US Dollar
By: John_Browne
This week, we were treated to strong statements by both Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke about the desirability of a “strong dollar”, and the intention of policy makers to pursue strategies that will enhance its value. To the relief of many, the dollar responded to the moral support and managed a mild rally. The move is inconsequential. The harsh realities have not changed in the slightest, and the dollar is set to continue its overall decline.
Although some investors respond to such jawboning, the more sophisticated international players, who in large part determine the foreign exchange market, do not. Why the bearish sentiment despite the bullish talk from Washington?
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Thursday, July 17, 2008
Australian Dollar Looking Over Extended Against US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Black_Swan
There is little doubt about the powerful run in Aussie—for good reason: 1) Strong economic growth, and 2) Highest yield among the major currencies.
Most analysts believe the next stop is par, or 1.000 against the US dollar. Another panic run out of the dollar likely leads to par. But on technicals alone (granted not too useful in a fear-driven market) the Aussie looks extended and due for a breather. Risk/reward!!
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Thursday, July 17, 2008
US Government to Intervene to Prevent US Dollar Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mark_OByrne

Poor returns and volatility in equity markets internationally is leading to safe haven diversification into gold. With the outlook for equities and bonds looking increasingly uncertain (especially in the light of the onward march of inflation in the U.S. and internationally), gold is set to continue to outperform other major asset classes for the foreseeable future.
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Monday, July 14, 2008
Swiss Franc to Benefit from European Carry Trade Against British Pound / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Black_Swan
The ramp-up in credit risk in the market is huge. The pound is acting well today on the back of market risk. But, in the recent past the Swiss franc has been the star currency that has acted very well on risk, for two reasons we think:
1) Switzerland still hanging on to some reservoir of safe haven status in times of global trouble (and despite severing its gold link to its currency, it is still has a larger gold backing than any other of the major currencies).
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Monday, July 14, 2008
New Zealand Dollar Runs Out of Steam as Interest Rate Cuts Beckon / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Money_and_Markets
Jack Crooks writes: Last week I told you the U.K. could see a worse economic downturn than the U.S., and said that would weigh heavily on the British currency.
Meanwhile, one of my readers who resides Down Under recently told me that he's afraid to trade the Australian dollar.
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Friday, July 11, 2008
US Dollar / Japanese Yen Homing in On Break Below 105 / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Black_Swan
A subscriber recently emailed us the other day and asked, “What happened to the Japanese yen?”
There was nothing else written in the email except that. And since nothing notable has really happened to the Japanese yen in the last few months, I can only assume he was asking why the Japanese yen disappeared from our radar.
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Friday, July 04, 2008
Three Conditions for Day Trading the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Yvonne_L_Marchant

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Wednesday, July 02, 2008
US Dollar on Edge of BREAKDOWN, Gold on Verge of BREAKOUT / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Jim_Willie_CB

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Wednesday, July 02, 2008
Coming Wave of Government Regulation and the Risk to the US Dollar / Currencies / Market Regulation
By: Joseph_Brusuelas

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Tuesday, July 01, 2008
FX Forecasts: Fundementals Remain Weak for the US Dollar / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Ashraf_Laidi
What began the month with an unexpected bang in currency markets ended with a not so unexpected whimper. Fed Chairman Bernanke's eventful speech of June 3rd to the International Monetary Conference supporting the dollar was seen as the possible end of Washington's policy of benign neglect towards its currency. But the economic fundamentals wouldn't play along.
US Treasury Secretary urged the Gulf States not to end their pegs to the dollar or not to even revalue their currencies against the greenback. Saudi Arabia conformed to Paulson's requests urging the rest of GCC states to do the same. And in order to make that possible, i.e. to combat the inflationary pressures of pegging their currencies to a falling dollar, Saudi Arabia increased oil supply by 200K barrels per day and even hosted an extraordinary summit in Jeddah where oil producers and consumers could work out their differences.
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Monday, June 30, 2008
Aussie Dollar: A Short Set-up Developing … / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Black_Swan
Sometimes we like to give you a free glimpse into what types of trade set-ups we watch for and act on in our premium services. Here’s an interesting set-up that’s caught our eye ...
There are a couple things going on that are impacting the price of the Australian dollar versus the US dollar. Among them: interest rates, economic developments and the global risk-taking environment.
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Monday, June 30, 2008
Interest Rates Tightening Bias to Spark Emerging Markets Forex Rally / Currencies / Emerging Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Jack Crooks writes: If you think the U.S. has inflation problems, get a load of this ...
Year-over-year consumer prices in Vietnam just surged by a whopping 26.8%. The month-over-month numbers jumped a cool 2.1% — or what the Federal Reserve would consider a comfortable pace for inflation in the U.S. over the course of an entire year.
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Sunday, June 29, 2008
The Historic Fate of Paper Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Mike_Hewitt
"Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value - zero." (Voltaire, 1694-1778)
The first well-known widespread use of paper money was in China during the Tang (618-907 A.D.) dynasty around 800 A.D. Paper money spread to the city of Tabriz, Persia in 1294 and to parts of India and Japan between 1319 to 1331. However, its use was very short-lived in these regions. In Persia, the merchants refused to recognize the new money, thus bringing trade to a standstill. By 1455, after over 600 years, the Chinese abandoned paper money due to numerous problems of over issuance and hyperinflation.
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Friday, June 27, 2008
Fed Intervention Will Not Stop the US Dollar's Slide / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Peter_Schiff

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Friday, June 27, 2008
Sinking Fiat Currencies / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Mike_Hewitt
Fiat money is not directly convertible into a physical commodity at a specified amount. It is a type of credit money through which a central bank issues notes in exchange for interest-paying bonds by the government. The interest on these bonds is paid by the government primarily through the process of taxation. That is to say, by you and me.
Since the interest plus the principle always exceeds the initial amount borrowed, the government must continually borrow more money, at additional interest, in order to repay the central bank, thus beginning an ever-increasing spiral of debt.
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Thursday, June 26, 2008
The Norwegian Krone as the Next Reserve Currency? / Currencies / Euro-Zone
By: Paul_L_Kasriel
Today, the Norges Bank, the Norwegian central bank, raised its policy interest rate 25 basis points to 5.75%. That puts the Norges Bank's policy rate 293 basis points over the May year-over-year CPI inflation rate on a harmonized basis (see Chart). Notice that the Norges Bank was raising its policy rate in the first half of 2007 as the inflation rate was falling. The Norges Bank is offering savers an "honest" return on their funds. Isn't this what you would look for in a reserve currency's central bank?Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 20, 2008
EUR USD: Pattern for Profits / Currencies / Euro
By: Black_Swan

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