Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, July 12, 2015
Stock Market Roller Coaster to Continue This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last week, I warned of the wild swings coming in the financial markets based on astrology. This indeed is what occurred! Our C 2 auto-trading account is now +52.3% from April 15, 2015 to July 10, 2015! We had a great week trading because we were forewarned due to astrology!
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Saturday, July 11, 2015
Stock Market New Uptrend Underway? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Volatile week. The market started the week at SPX 2077. On Monday it traded down to SPX 2057 before rallying to 2079, only to drop to 2044 on Tuesday before rallying to 2084. On Wednesday the market headed down to SPX 2045, before rallying to 2074 and then dropping to 2051 on Thursday. Friday the market rallied to SPX 2081, then closed the week unchanged at 2077. One to two percent swings nearly every day, after weeks and weeks of less than one half percent daily swings. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, the NDX/NAZ were -0.25%, and the DJ World was -0.8%. On the economic front negative reports outnumbered positive ones for the first time many weeks. On the uptick: ISM services and wholesale inventories. On the downtick: consumer credit, the WLEI, the MMIS, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims both increased. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Industrial production, the CPI/PPI, Retail sales and the Beige book.
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Saturday, July 11, 2015
Greece Saves The Stock Market Day....Weekly Bullish Candlestick Review.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It was a tough week for the bulls Monday through Thursday There were some really bearish candles printed, especially yesterday with a big reversal lower after a huge gap up. Today looked as if it would be the day the market finally gave up S&P 500 2040 with some force. Yesterday gave every indication the end of the bull-run was at hand. Not to be. Greece, last night, agreed to some key concessions on austerity that the Euro zone demanded on having if they were to give them any help. The markets abroad loved this news. The futures blasted up, and, of course, we followed along right behind. We gapped up but instead of collapsing like previous days, we held the move and worked our way mostly higher throughout the rest of the day. A close well above the open. Bullish action, and, thus, this never ending base between 2040 and 2134 continues.
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Friday, July 10, 2015
Stock Market Sell Signal Still Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Let’s do a review of the market signals. There seems to be the question that, if we had a market bottom on Tuesday, won’t we see a larger rally? The answer is, not necessarily.
The current market conditions seem to have the SPX trapped beneath the Ending Diagonal trendline at 2085.00. That may imply we saw both a low (2044.02) and a high (2083.72), a double Pivot, on the same day, July 7. A higher high at or near 2085.00 could still develop, but a failure to rally above 2085.00 would be profound.
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Thursday, July 09, 2015
Stock Market Splat...At The Precipice...Fed Will Act Soon.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I thought about different titles, but after thinking about it the word splat is the word that seemed best to explain today's action across the stock market world. China got annihilated last night to the tune of 6%, which would equal 120 S&P 500 points and 1000 Dow points. Imagine those headlines, if that occurred here in the United States. Europe followed China. We followed Europe, and the result is a market on the precipice of seeing its bull market vanish away. It hasn't happened yet, and may not happen, but the bulls are being tested here in a very large way. It's put up or shut up time for the bulls. If we lose 2040 on the S&P 500 then its lights out. Of course, it must lose it with force, then back test and fail on that back test to verify that the good old days are gone for a while to come.
I thought about different titles, but after thinking about it the word splat is the word that seemed best to explain today's action across the stock market world. China got annihilated last night to the tune of 6%, which would equal 120 S&P 500 points and 1000 Dow points. Imagine those headlines, if that occurred here in the United States. Europe followed China. We followed Europe, and the result is a market on the precipice of seeing its bull market vanish away. It hasn't happened yet, and may not happen, but the bulls are being tested here in a very large way. It's put up or shut up time for the bulls. If we lose 2040 on the S&P 500 then its lights out. Of course, it must lose it with force, then back test and fail on that back test to verify that the good old days are gone for a while to come.
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Wednesday, July 08, 2015
Stock Market Trend Forecast - PPT Intervention / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The PPT intervention today may have prematurely forced the half cycle low. If so then stocks will bounce for a few days and then roll over into the real meat of the intermediate decline.
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Wednesday, July 08, 2015
China Stock Market Crash / Trading Freeze / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
China is back in the news as “Greek Hope” for a settlement with the ECB fades the crisis in Europe for the time being. However, the Markets in China are in a panic state and threaten a further breakdown as the Shanghai Index hovers just above 3600.00 after an epic overnight roller coaster ride.
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Wednesday, July 08, 2015
GreExit Feta Complete, Stock Market Lindsay Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
On Sunday Greeks voted on an economic program that no longer exists, in a referendum which was of questionable legality. Grexit seems to be a fait accompli.
In the meantime, regardless of the Greek vote, US markets will continue to do what they do. The Hybrid Lindsay forecast calls for a low early this week followed by a rally to, roughly, July 15. In addition to Middle Section forecasts which are the heart of the "hybrid" model, other methods (Lindsay's and my own) are forecasting a high in this time period.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2015
SPX Sinking Premarket / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The retracement appears to be playing out in the futures. The Wave (a) high was 2078.94 on July 2 while the overnight futures appear to have topped out in a 9-wave (c) at 2077.94. It is still unclear whether it will continue to rally after the open, but the futures favor a failurs.
The Premarket is still positive, up .75 while the futures are down -7.80 as I write. The Cycles Model suggests we may still rally today. The Cycles Trading Channels suggest a possible top near 2082.65, which is very close to the Ending Diagonal trendline.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2015
Dow INDU Stocks Index Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
We are getting a test of the low from the big decline last Monday which is to be expected as many times it takes multiple tests before support really sticks. This is now the moment of truth as this low needs to hold support or a bigger decline can be expected. There is the 200 dma, the time cycle low and the very high volume spike from last Monday, in the down to up volume chart, that are showing this could be an important low.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2015
SPX Stocks Index Still on a Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
There is a big hole in today’s trading session during which trading was halted. Stocks soared during the halt and quit rising just as soon as the problem was supposedly “fixed.” How can we trust a market like this?
Right now I am taking the approach that the zigzag decline may have been a sub-Minute Wave (b). That means Wave (c) is underway and is likely to finish tomorrow. I should note, however, that SPX could easily reverse on a moment’s notice and that it remains on a sell signal.
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Tuesday, July 07, 2015
Greece Takes Stock Market Down....Merkel Playing Hardball....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
There was bad news over the weekend as far stocks markets around the world were concerned. They preferred a yes vote from the people of Greece. Keeps things status quo. Didn't happen. The people voted no on austerity. No status quo. Change is what they want. They figure they have nothing to lose. Markets hated the vote and down those futures went. Way down. In Europe as much as 4%. Our market was down 1.5%. As usual, that more than changed by the time we woke up this morning. The nastiness cut in half, and not only that, for a moment today, when things looked better overseas based on rumors, the market went green. It hung in there until Angela Merkel, the leader of Germany, told Greece there would be no supply of liquidity based on the terms they wanted. Unacceptable, thus no liquidity.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Stock Market, Investing Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The past four years or so have been extremely frustrating for investors like me who have structured their portfolios around the belief that the current experiments in central bank stimulus, the anti-business drift in Washington, and America's mediocre economy and unresolved debt issues would push down the value of the dollar, push up commodity prices, and favor assets in economies with relatively low debt levels and higher GDP growth. But since the beginning of 2011, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has rallied 67% while the rest of the world has been largely stuck in the mud. This dominance is reminiscent of the four years from the end of 1996 to the end of 2000, when the Dow rallied 54% while overseas markets languished. Although past performance is no guarantee of future results, a casual look back at how the U.S. out-performance trend played out the last time it had occurred should give investors much to think about.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Stock Market Rally in a Downtrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - SPX may have started an intermediate correction
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
Stock Market is Going Take Another Spill! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last weekend, I was negative on the stock market. I also expected an 8 TD top by July 2. We got a late week rally. Now we have the Sun opp. Pluto today and Sun/Mars making a cardinal t-sq. to Uranus/Pluto into July 12. This makes for wild swings in the market. I have a TLC low due 7/8, but the shallow angle begs for a low the day before or 7/7 (as happened last week) right on the 4 TD low.
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Saturday, July 04, 2015
Happy 4th of July Stock Market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The week started off at SPX 2102, then dropped to 2057 on a gap down Monday. After that the market gapped up three days in a row, but only managed to get back to SPX 2085 by Thursday. Then ended the holiday shortened week at SPX 2077. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.20%, the NDX/NAZ lost 1.25%, and the DJ World lost 1.6%. On the economic front positive reports continued to outpace negative ones. On the uptick: pending home sales, the Chicago PMI, consumer confidence, the ADP, ISM manufacturing, construction spending, the WLEI, plus the unemployment rate declined. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, auto sales, factory orders, plus weekly jobless claims rose and payrolls declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, ISM services and Consumer credit.
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Friday, July 03, 2015
Fed’s Full Normalization and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The US Federal Reserve has been universally lauded for the apparent success of its extreme monetary policy of recent years. With key world stock markets near record highs, traders universally love the Fed’s zero-interest-rate and quantitative-easing campaigns. But this celebration is terribly premature. The full impact of these wildly-unprecedented policies won’t become apparent until they are fully normalized.
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Friday, July 03, 2015
Stock Market Where are we? And where are we Going? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
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SPX
These are the questions we all want answering. The gap down last week from the Greece announcement that there would be announcement, potentially it could suggest a possible truanted high in place at 2130. Although we have yet to see a 5 wave decline from 2130SPX, so depending on the outcome to the Greece, may or may not push the markets much lower, although I would favor a large gap down should the vote favor leaving the Euro, similar to last weekend.
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Thursday, July 02, 2015
Three Total Wealth Stock Investor Tactics You’ll Need Because Greece Isn’t Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Greece actually missed its payment last night, exactly as we thought it would. And in doing so, it became the first Eurozone country to ever default on its debt. Some say that the country is in “arrears,” but that’s splitting hairs.
At this point, “everybody” wants quick resolution.
Things are so bad that nearly 14,000 people have contributed to a crowdfunding page started by a 29 year old Londoner, Thom Feeney, on Indiegogo.com. As of yesterday, donations totaled $245,000.
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Thursday, July 02, 2015
Greece Good....Greece Bad....Greece Vote Sunday..... Stock Market Froth Still High.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Greece is the number one headline these days. We have other factors to look at from froth to horrific-looking monthly-index charts. But, by far, the most popular and important subject with regards to the health of the stock market is based on how things are moving along, or not, with Greece. Will they default after the vote on Sunday? Will the public speak up and vote yes on the sanctions for which the Euro zone are asking? Will Tsipras give in to the people? No one knows the answers to those questions.
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