Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Friday, April 09, 2010
It’s Not So Simple, Witnessing a Stock Market Bull Trap / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The weekly chart below of the Dow Jones industrial Index (courtesy Bigcharts.com) shows rising prices on declining volume. Typically, this is bearish sign and should be treated as a serious warning.
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Friday, April 09, 2010
Armstrong Cyclical Stock Market Turning Point April 16th Approaches / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Martin Armstrong is the former chairman of Princeton Economics and the Foundation for the Study of Cycles. As a cyclical theorist and economist Armstrong has predicted a variety of economic events, in many cases to the very day, including the stock market crash of 1987 and the precise movements of gold throughout the 1970’s up until the very top of the market in the early 1980’s. His models are not based on just economic data points, but specific historical cycles going back over 2000 years.
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Friday, April 09, 2010
Stock Market SPX Levitation Rally Act 2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In less than 8 weeks, the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) has relentlessly powered 12.6% higher. This big run has been very unbalanced too, utterly dominated by long up-day streaks. And for the most part, the occasional down days have been trivial. The SPX simply continues to melt up day after day, its surreal levitation act making traders nervous.
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Friday, April 09, 2010
Stock Market Forget About It Friday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
What was all that worry this week - fuhgeddaboudit!
Nothing whitewashes a wall of worry like misdirection. Wave something shiny in front of investors - like gold going over $1,150 an ounce - and everything must be fine in the markets. What’s funny to a grumpy old fundamentalist like me is that gold is flying while the economy is "great" and the financials are in "great shape" and inflation is "tame" and crises in Greece, California, New York etc., etc. are nothing to worry about. So what exactly is the premise for buying gold?
Friday, April 09, 2010
Stock Market Selloff Needs Catalyst / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
So what will it take for this market to fall is the real question. Set up to fall. Starts to fall. Doesn't fall! It doesn't fall for a variety of reasons, but first and clearly the biggest reason, being the fear of missing out on something big. People just don't want to be left out in the cold. They don't want to look back some day and said they missed the biggest opportunity of a life time. Every drop of selling immediately gets bought up. It feels like a bunch of little kids who got angry and refused to play with their friends. After seeing them have a good time, they don't want to miss the next play date. Folks are like the energizer bunny. When can I buy? When can I buy? Of course, when too many want in and no one wants out, it all comes collapsing down. We're not there yet so relax. Probably not close either. However, sentiment has to be watched very closely here.
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Thursday, April 08, 2010
Are Bonds Hinting the Rally in Stocks Will Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Stocks and bonds typically move in opposite directions. When bond prices go down stock prices go up. This is one of the reasons many financial advisors recommend that investors hold bonds and stocks, as they provide balance to their portfolio.
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Thursday, April 08, 2010
Stock Market Bullish Pullback Starting... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I truly believe that this market is only pulling back and setting up again for further gains. The selling should be sporadic. Nothing severe at all. So many stocks hit hugely overbought levels but for the first time many of them we're starting to flash negative divergences on their daily charts. When you add in negative divergences on many oscillators such as RSI, MACD and stochastic's, it's time to relax, take a deep breath and not feel any urgency to be buying any longer.
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Wednesday, April 07, 2010
Has the Wall Street Journal Lost its Mind? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In a recent piece from the Wall Street Journal titled “Stocks' Parallel Universe,” columnist Richard Barley paints a relatively rosy picture for an otherwise unexciting stock market. Using recent data and historical examples, Barley attempts to solidify the “soaring” (which is 5.2% year to date) returns of the stock market as a function of an improving economy and stock market. In our humble opinion, his analysis couldn't be further from the truth.
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Wednesday, April 07, 2010
Stock Market More and More Chum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market can not blast higher but has been able to grind higher. There is a reason for this. When markets get full or mature short term only, they need some selling to unwind these overbought conditions. The bull keeps it grinding higher and we have been great beneficiaries of this, but the reality is, there can be no real blast off from here without some real selling first. You can feel the "fullness" of this market. It tried to overcome early morning selling and did its usual good job of doing so but all day was spent in grind mode. The rubber band will snap.
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Tuesday, April 06, 2010
Monday Stock Market Movement - Can We Go It Alone / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It’s lonely out there in Stock Land today.Everybody’s closed today except Japan and they are so thrilled with 94.5 Yen to the dollar that you can’t figure anything out by watching their market add another 53 points this morning to finish the day at 11,339 but it was well off the gap up open at 11,400. As I mentioned in the Weekend Wrap-Up, where we discussed our Super-Secret Strategy for making money off this nonsense - just because a rally is totally propped up BS doesn’t mean it isn’t, technically, a rally - does it?
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Tuesday, April 06, 2010
Stocks Valuations and Market Psychology, Greed is the Winner, Fear is Waiting / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
One of the best newsletters that I have read recently is the Greed and Fear, edited by Chris Wood. Remarkable for its clarity and yet leaving enough material for the analyst to make his own calls.
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Monday, April 05, 2010
Why the Stocks Bulls Can Stand Strong at Home and Overseas / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks enjoyed another plus week, closing one of the better Marches of the past 80 years. It seems like ages since volatility has been this low, and there have been many complaints about complacency and listlessness. Yet those concerns may be misplaced if indeed we are enjoying the second leg of a normal bull cycle. Low volatility in a bearish phase does suggest complacency, to be sure, but in a bullish phase it serves more to keep expectations in check.
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Monday, April 05, 2010
BlackRock's Bob Doll: "Long Term Path of Least Resistance for Stocks Continues To Be Up" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Bob Doll, Vice Chairman of BlackRock (BLK) appeared at CNBC on March 29 sharing his latest views with Ken Langone.
BlackRock (BLK) became the largest money manager in the world last December after acquiring Barclays Global Investors, and now has about $3.35 trillion asset under management.
Monday, April 05, 2010
Stocks Bucking Bronco Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
What a crazy week!
The markets were bucking like a bronco but were they trying to throw off the shorts prior to a move back down or trying to flush out the weak-handed longs prior to a big breakout to new levels? After gapping open to 10,900 on Monday morning we went up to 10,950, down to 10,830 and back to 10,950 - all to finish the week at 10,927, which is up 39 points since March 23rd so don’t tell me we’re wasting out time as that’s 5 points a day baby (if we round up).
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Monday, April 05, 2010
Stock Market Overbought, and at Resistance! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
S&P has been hanging in there near resistance. That should be quite frustrating to bears and out-of-position bulls.
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Saturday, April 03, 2010
Stock Market Up Or Down Get Your Watch List Ready / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The theme over the past week or so has been that of no follow through and no decisiveness.
Earlier in the week we said we'd rather get that 1180 level out of the way and here we are tagging 1180 into the holiday. So now the moment of truth. Do we stall here? Or is it away we go to the 1226 level on the S&P 500. We'll find out some time next week. The big matrix computers make that call.
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Friday, April 02, 2010
Global Equities Strength and Consolidation to Mid-year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
KEY POINTS:
• Range-bound trading expected to June/July
• Buying pressure and fair valuations for world index into mid-year
• Nikkei moves up with global markets. Economic, social problems persist for Japan
• Euro zone underperforms in sea of debt
• Australia points to higher world rates
Friday, April 02, 2010
Stock Market Weak Mid Day...Strong Late Day Action........ / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This bull market is really something to behold. It is doing mind boggling things we just don't see very often. Not even in some of your best bull markets. It is staying overbought on the daily charts longer than I can believe. Add in the fact that there are now some small negative divergences on those daily charts and you have to wonder why it won't correct. The bull market is alive and well but we really need and should be getting some form of a pullback based on the look and nature of those daily charts across all the major indexes.
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Friday, April 02, 2010
The U.S. Jobs Report, Stock Market Rally or Finale? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
BullBear Trading Service members have been following my charts and posts as we approached the US Non-Farm Payrolls report to be issued on Friday morning. It seems as though the entire future of the market is pending on this single news item. This is, of course, known to be an economic release which tends to move the markets. Or does it?
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Thursday, April 01, 2010
Stock Market Finally Some Selling That Sticks........ / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Not a whole lot. Nothing to get excited about by any means. In fact, it looked like the early morning selling would be wasted once again. We gapped down on a poor ADP Report (ADP National Employment Report), which is a prelude to the big Friday Job’s Report. It gives us all a sliver of insight as to what we can expect when the big number gets released on early Friday morning. The market was expecting a move higher in the jobs number but instead we got a loss of 20,000 jobs. The market surely didn't love the number but it didn't exactly fall apart.
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