Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, January 05, 2010
S&P Stock Market Outlook Going into 2010 for Jan 4-8 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In the final week of the year we saw the market continue to break to new (recent) highs above the former range highs, but volume was very light. Thursday, the final trading day of 2009 for stocks, saw aggressive selling into the close with the S&P falling 7 points in the final 25 minutes of trading after another very sedate afternoon. The S&P closed back within the old range.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 05, 2010
Stock Market On Breakout... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Friday was ugly and certainly well within normal behavior when you consider just how overbought those daily charts had been. Some unwinding was needed thus that selling couldn't be unexpected. You would think that the market would spend some time unwinding further but not this market apparently. The futures shot up overnight. The dollar fell and that was the perfect tonic for the market. It seems a falling dollar is still the best medicine for this market, although we have seen the market stay resilient when the dollar sells. Seems the bears can't get it right on either side of that trade these days.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2010
What Institutional Stock Market Investors Did Last Week... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
If you recall last Wednesday, we discussed the trending action on the "core holdings" held by Institutional Investors.
That was an important discussion for two reasons: 1. Because Institutional Investors represent over 50% of the daily trading volume. 2. Because our 60 minute Institutional Index chart was in a "megaphone pattern".
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Monday, January 04, 2010
Stock Market SPY Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Positioning: SPY: Short 75%
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Monday, January 04, 2010
Stock Market 2003 and 2009 Rallies Hard Facts! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We have been hearing about the similarity between 2003 and 2009 rallies. I decided to look at some hard facts and see if there was a correlation at least visually speaking that is.
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Sunday, January 03, 2010
Stock Market Short-term Correction in a Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that lower prices lie ahead. As illustrated by the current market performance, this will not be a straight-down decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The SPX reached its 1130-35 projection on 12/28 and had a sharp sell-off at the close of 12/31. This is a reversal which is more likely to be of short-term nature than of intermediate proportion, but could develop into one over the next few weeks.
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Saturday, January 02, 2010
S&P500 Stocks Index Long Term Technical Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Looking out over the next 12 months, my outlook for the S&P500 is bullish. This may surprise many of you as I have had a cautious bent for the better part of six months now, and I have been writing about selling something, anything for the past 6 weeks.
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Thursday, December 31, 2009
Presidential Cycle Impact on the Stock Market 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In last week’s column I discussed academic studies that confirm the remarkable consistency of the market’s annual seasonal pattern, how with few exceptions markets in the majority of countries tend to make most of their gains in the winter months, and experience most of their serious corrections and bear market declines between May and November.
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Thursday, December 31, 2009
Are You Ready for a Stock Market Crash of 2010? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Nick Thomas writes: With the precipitous tail end of 2008’s crash extending into March 2009 (and the relentless rise over the rest of the year), it hasn’t even remotely resembled a “normal” year for stocks.
Rising from the depths of gloom and abject terror that started the year, the bulls have taken charge and steadily driven the index higher in an nearly unbroken straight line.
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Wednesday, December 30, 2009
Low Volume Stocks Bear Market Rally and the Real Estate Bust 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
One of the most basic technical rules says that sound stock market rallies are accompanied by high and rising volume. By contrast, bear market rallies are characterized by low and falling activity.
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Tuesday, December 29, 2009
John Hussman Says Stock Market Bulls Dancing on the Edge of a Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Inquiring minds are reading Clarity and Valuation by John Hussman.
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Tuesday, December 29, 2009
Stock Market Forecast 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: I have been surprised to see the air thick with pessimism in recent weeks. Not so much the stock market, where the sentiment indexes show the bulls dominating the bears by slightly more than 52%. But among the general public.
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Sunday, December 27, 2009
S&P500 Stock Market Rally and Forecast 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In last October’s reviews we wrote : ” There is a larger support and resistance zone we expect the S&P500 is heading towards. This point in time is also 45 weeks or 225 trading days after the March 2009 bottom. In Gann terms this point in time is typically a hard angle that typically come in as a high. We expect the market to continue it’s uptrend towards this point in time. Our dynamic market timing cycle model following the longterm cycles from the past also supports the larger trend will continue to move upwards until the end of 2009. Earlier in October we mentioned the probable price target of 1121. On the short term we expect the dominant cycle to bottom early to mid November 2009.”
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