Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, April 25, 2010
Leading Stocks Go Vertical In Go-Go Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
For the last month or so the markets have been overbought technical indicator after technical indicator wise, yet they have refused to give up the ghost so to speak. We've also been talking about what to do with a pullback and how to buy the leaders in an extended market. That still holds true today. We would love to buy some of the go-go stocks on pullbacks to support and/or the 50-day average however as we've said time and time again in this space the market is the boss.
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Sunday, April 25, 2010
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Mockery / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market continues higher, which you are well aware. The sentiment indicators continue to show extreme bullish sentiment amongst the "dumb money", an indifference by the "smart money", and selling by insiders. These are bear signals. In a sense, the market continues to make a mockery of the sentiment indicators. But let's face it, all indicators - whether fundamental or technical - are broken.
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Saturday, April 24, 2010
Stock Market Late Day Rally Again... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This is common in bull markets, especially when the market won't sell off when everyone is expecting it to. We are overbought. We do have some negative divergences on the daily chart and we do have eroding sentiment figures. This equates to pullback. However, when a market can't sell when it supposedly should, the bears start to cover and the bull get braver and thus later day action becomes one in which markets move upward. Sort of the give up affect. It's a bull market. It won't sell on a given day thus the masses move towards the direction of the trend and simply buy equities. Today we had weaker futures to deal with due to poor earnings from Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) and Amazon.com (AMZN).
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Friday, April 23, 2010
Stock Market Trading Lessons From the 1998 Russian Debt Default / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I remember the 1998 Russian debt default crisis and the associated Long Term Capital Management collapse very well. I was a novice trader who found the bearish arguments of the time convincing. It was evident, they said, that the market was in a massive bubble based on debt and loose money and that it couldn't go on much longer before the whole thing blew up. All that was needed was the right catalyst. Not knowing yet that the trend is your friend, I lost money continually trying to short every rally.
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Friday, April 23, 2010
Stock Market 20's Hold.....MSFT/AMZN Crushed After Hours..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Last night I talked about the area of critical support on the S&P 500 being the 20-day exponential moving average or 1187. 1185 also being strong horizontal support. We got down to 1190 today on the lows after some very bad earnings reports last night. We basically got to those 20-day exponential moving averages and blasted up once again. This is the sign of a very healthy market overall. Yes, we could use some deeper selling but, yes, this is a very powerful bull market that continues to be under rated in my eyes. This is why we've only had long exposure since being lucky enough to call the bottom. No shorts. We gapped down on those numbers from last night and continued to run lower.
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Friday, April 23, 2010
Stock Market Indices Rally After Sharp Opening Down-Gap / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices staged a fantastic late rally in the afternoon, taking back all the morning losses from the sharp gap-down at the opening and downside follow-through early on.
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Thursday, April 22, 2010
Stocks Bull Market Continues to March Ahead towards Dow 14,000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The upward pulse of the bull trend that commenced in March of 2009 continues to forge ahead with considerable power. Both the Dow Transports and the Dow Industrials gave new buy confirmation signals last week. That this happened in the middle of an earnings season is most encouraging. Thus it would appear that the probability of the Industrials hitting the 14,000 level without significant difficulty is high, allowing for the odd pullback.
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Thursday, April 22, 2010
Is the Stock Market Correction Over or Just Beginning? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Equities markets are trading near the highs but a short term lateral correction seems to be in progress.
I like to monitor how the market responds to the stimulus of news items. We have not seen an emergence of the earnings season "sell the news" phenomenon as a general rule so far and that is bullish. Select issues have been hit hard if results have disappointed but others have rallied sharply on positive results and the gains have held.
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Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Stock Market Five Year Forecast, You'll Lose Money / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: What are you getting for your money in stocks today?
Sure, the market is way up... and investors are excited... But what's the outlook over, say, five years?
Wednesday, April 21, 2010
Nasdaq Leads Stock Market Higher... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Which is exactly what you want to see when things are all right in the world. If the S&P 500 or Dow is leading, it tells me the market wants less risky plays, which is never a great thing. Good to see after a slow start this morning, the Nasdaq rise to the top of the hill and lead the way higher in front of Apple Inc. (AAPL) report this evening. It was interesting to watch how no one was afraid of being in this report. It was only down slightly during the day,
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Tuesday, April 20, 2010
Stock Markets Boosted by Corporate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
After a fairly see-saw session Monday, US equities shrugged off earlier weakness in Asian markets (especially in China) to close higher, with a 1% rebound in the financials leading the S&P 500 to a 0.5% gain. Shares in Goldman Sachs rose 1.6% after declining 12.8% on Friday (after newswires report SEC vote to sue was by 3-2 split). The standout performer was Citigroup, whose shares rose 7% (albeit merely erasing losses over the previous two trading sessions). The bank reported adjusted per-share earnings of 14 cents compared to expectations of a flat result. And encouragingly, Citigroup set aside less money to cover bad loans and marked up the value of its Special Asset Pool (its problematic legacy loans and trading positions).
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Baltic Dry Index Peaking Impact on Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The 1-month lag between the Baltic Dry Index and selected commodities strikes again. The BDI, a daily index of shipping costs of dry bulk, is often seen as a leading indicator for raw material demand, hence a precursor for global production dynamics.
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Was Friday The Stock Market Top Or The Start Of A Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Was that it? Was that the top? While many are asking this question the answer is yet to truly reveal itself. If it is then it's of the trendline break variety.
But more often than not usually you get some sort of rally attempt after it pulls back and then we need to be on our toes. What we really need to see is if this is just a bump in the road or the start of something more.
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Monday Stock Market Mayhem, Is Goldman’s Goose Cooked? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Goldman, Goldman, Goldman…
Did anything happen this weekend? You sure wouldn’t know it from listening to the MSM, who have no other topic to discuss. I was contacted by over a dozen media people asking me to comment on GS’s guilt or innocence (and, big hint for those of you who like to be quoted - don’t say "how the hell should I know") but, by far, the best analysis I read this week was Sam Antar’s analysis, where Sam says:<
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Monday, April 19, 2010
Stock Market "Dumb Money" Indicator Remains Extremely Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Yes, it is the same story as the "Dumb Money" indicator remains extremely bullish. And yes, it is the same story as the market has once again enticed increasing number of investors that the "all clear" has been sounded. And yes, it will likely end in the same story as the market will once again serve up the maximum amount of pain for the majority of investors.
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Saturday, April 17, 2010
Stock Market Shows Signs of Interim Peak / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Markets move in large wave swing patterns based on the stretches and swings of investor optimism to pessimism. These are known as Elliott Wave Patterns as theorized by R.N. Elliott in the 1920’s and 1930’s. I became a student of his work in 2001 amidst the market mess, and after a few years became a convert that markets move largely on crowd behavioral patterns.
Saturday, April 17, 2010
Stock Market Elliott Wave Counts and The Goldman Rule / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I don't usually analyze news events such as the SEC lawsuit against Goldman Sachs. As a trader I am only interested in the market's reaction to news, not the content of the particular item. In this case, I will weigh in on its significance first as a concerned ciitizen first and then as a trader.
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Saturday, April 17, 2010
Goldman Is The Catalyst For Stock Market Selling...Should Be More To Come... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I said over and over, what the market needed was a catalyst to get some real selling going. Where was the catalyst going to come from? Day after day all we had was good news on both the economic front and on the earnings front. The market couldn't find a spark to ignite it lower. The futures were down pre-market. Market fell pretty good once it opened only to see the same old story take place as buyers came in.
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Friday, April 16, 2010
Finally Stocks Get Some Bad News...But... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Well we finally have some bad news tonight as we have the earnings numbers from Google (GOOG) and Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG). Both are down big after hours, especially GOOG. ISRG is down roughly 15, and GOOG down roughly 27. Now the question becomes, what, if anything, will these two losers do to the market tomorrow!?
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Friday, April 16, 2010
Despite Trillions of Debt, Can the Stock Market Keep Going Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We owe trillions of dollars, but Crude oil is at $86 a barrel, the DOW, S&P, and NASDAQ are making new highs almost everyday and unemployment is officially at 9.7%.
Everything is great! Happy days are here again... Right?
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