Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, April 15, 2010
Stock Market Sell-Off Fails to Follow-Through / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Heading into the final two hours of trading, the S&P 500 emini (e-SPM) is perched right near this AM's new high of 1210.50. After an intervening, intraday pullback into the 1204 area, the index pivoted to the upside rather than fully retest the low of the session at 1201. Once again, a sell-off that could have potentially inflicted a bit of near term damage failed to follow-through on the downside (beneath the pre-open low at 1201.00 in this case).
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
Stock Market Rally, Is It Live? Or Is It Memorex? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Is it Live? Or Is It Memorex? Anyone remember that commercial?
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
Central Banks Stoking Stock Market Euphoria / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
With only the slightest degree of hesitation, the Dow Jones Industrials penetrated the psychological 11,000-level this week, extending its historic gains to +70% above its March 2009 lows, and melting away deep-seeded skepticism over whether equities have gone “too-far, too-fast,” in what is the least-loved bull market in history. Yet the bearish skeptics might want to judge the outlook for the US-economy through the lens of the stock market, rather than vice versa.
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
Stock Market Musical Chairs, INTC Marks Turning Point? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
INTC beat earnings yesterday and this morning the market is loving it. Cramer is wildly bullish. BUY, BUY, BUY!
Unfortunately INTC has a history of marking turning points. Let's just say that buying the gap up on earnings hasn't been kind in the short term. Buying when INTC has closed at new 52 week highs the day they report has led to losing trades three days later every time.
Thursday, April 15, 2010
Stock Market Volume is Even Weaker Than Your Think, Danger Protect Yourself! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Shah Gilani writes: Conventional investing wisdom tells us that when stocks rally on low stock market volume, traders perceive that lack of widespread participation as an indicator of the market's future vulnerability.
And as torrid as this rally in U.S. stock prices has been, the lack of trading volume has been a consistent cause for concern.
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
S&P 500 Stocks Uptrend With Expanding Voume / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Volume expands for two days in a row!
Uber bears have had two main arguments against the advance. They have constantly been harping on on sentiment being bullish and volume being absent.
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
Stock Market Overbought? No One Cares... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Come on! You have to sit there shaking your head saying this can't be happening. When negative divergences exist it's bad enough. When you throw in the now 80 RSI on the daily charts along with 70+ on the weekly charts, it's just not logical for this market to have days such as it did today with the Nasdaq leading in a fashion a real healthy market should.
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Wednesday, April 14, 2010
S&P 500 Stock Market Trends Forecast for April 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This is a monthly chart for the S&P 500 showing 20 years of performance. Since this index is the one used by professional traders, it is important to understand how it is performing. This chart is also excellent at defining the longer-term trends for the market.
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Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Stock Market Top, Day Traders 2.0 Will Tank Your IRA / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
A constant theme in the Investment Analysis Report has been to expect the market to move in the opposite direction of the positions of day traders. This has proven successful with regards to the Japanese Yen, the U.S. dollar and the Treasury Bond. Therefore, we were very interested in the New York Times article Day Traders 2.0. We expect that day traders, who are now buying stocks, are again on the wrong side of the trade.
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Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Is It Time To Short The S&P500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
A real headwind for the markets -now and in the past - has been when the trends of gold, crude oil, and yields on the 10 year Treasury are strong and rising.
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Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Corporate Earnings Are Upon Us... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It's that time of year again. It's always that time of year, isn't it! Seems to feel that way to me. It's when we look inside the earnings reports of companies that had lowered the bar a few quarters back thus making it easy for them to meet or exceed expectations. We saw that tonight when we got the news from Intel Corporation (INTC) and CSX Corp. (CSX), a major rail company that has run way up
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Tuesday, April 13, 2010
Somewhere Between Now and May We’re Going to Have a Real Stock Market Rollover / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Well known market analyst Robert Prechter, who strongly favored stocks in March of 2009, says it’s time to get out:
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Monday, April 12, 2010
Stock Market Trend 2010, It's 2007 All Over Again! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Several weeks ago I speculated that we were "On the brink of an asset explosion" . So far events are unfolding about as expected. I might even say they are moving more aggressively than I thought. Well actually, there’s no doubt this cyclical bull is unfolding much more aggressively than anyone expected.
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Monday, April 12, 2010
Foreign Stock Markets Outshine U.S. on Increasing Investor Risk Appetite / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: U.S. stocks carved out one of their patented half-percent advances last week -- a little sloppy, to be sure, yet not bad at all considering their very overbought condition.
The stars of the global capital show this month, though, have been markets in China and Europe, as they shook off their multi-month torpor to score big wins. With a scorching 6% advance in the past two weeks, ishares FTSE Xinhua China 25 Index (NYSE: FXI) nosed up to log a +5.5% gain for the year after being negative for three months. And the ishares S&P Europe 350 Index (NYSE: IEV) rose 1%, putting it at flat for the year after malingering below zero.
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Monday, April 12, 2010
SPX Stocks Index Nears 1200 Trend Reversal Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014.
SPX: Long-term trend - We are in a medium-term bull market, which is a corrective move within a long term bear market. This bull market should last until 2011
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Sunday, April 11, 2010
Manufacturing a Minsky Stock Market Melt-Up! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
A distracted and preoccupied amateur is no match for a determined, organized professional with a strategy. Though the collapse of the shadow banking system was a near fatal miscue for the global bankers, they have been quick to adjust their strategy. With an army of MBAs, quants and lobbyists they have reworked their strategy at the expense of the still comatose and shaken taxpayer.
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Sunday, April 11, 2010
Stock Markets Continue Ascent on Decreasing Volume / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The equity markets continue their ascent on decreasing volume, and the only rationale for such persistent bullishness is the unwillingness of investors to embrace the current rally. Is this the "wall of worry" or fool hearted speculation? The data would suggest the latter as newsletter writers to Rydex market timers to option traders are "all in".
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Sunday, April 11, 2010
Stock Market Big Bets Gone Sideways / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The upward stock market trend remains firmly intact. All major technical indicators are strengthening, thereby lowering the probability of a correction or pullback. From a fundamental perspective, the macro indicators strongly suggests a resurging American and global economy. So why do I remain such a skeptic?
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Sunday, April 11, 2010
Stock Market Consolidation Ahead Of Earnings... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market is relentless. No fun being a bear the past many months. Every time the market flashes a near-term get out of dodge signal, the bears can't seem to make it happen. All overbought conditions barely unwind before heading back higher. All negative divergences get ignored. It's bizarre. It's more than unusual, but it is what it is. A powerful bull market not seen since 1999.
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Saturday, April 10, 2010
These Two Market-Shaping Events Will Have an Untold Impact on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The current rally may have taken its last breath.Last week two major events happened that will have a tremendous impact on your portfolio in the months and years ahead.
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