Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, October 13, 2010
Stock Market October Curse vs Objective Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Over the weekend, I went shopping for Halloween decorations. In the store, one of the clerks was wearing a white T-shirt with a puff-paint rendering of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The line representing prices was the color of blood red, dripping and splashed across the front. When I asked him what it was, he said "the October Curse."
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Tuesday, October 12, 2010
Intel's Technicals Ahead of Earnings Plus: What to Expect from the Semis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
After the close of trading Tuesday, Intel (INTC) comes out with its quarterly earnings, which could, or should, provide quite a catalyst (positive or negative) for the stock and its semiconductor sector and perhaps the market in general.
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Tuesday, October 12, 2010
Markets “Risk Off” Ahead of FOMC Minutes and Intel Corporate Earnings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
With bond markets and banks closed for the Columbus Day Holiday yesterday Equity markets had their lowest volume day of the year with the S&P future trading in a 2 point range for a majority of the session. We did have a tick lower at when Janet Yellen (new Vice Chair of the Fed) strayed from her usual uber-dovish line made some comments regarding Fed Policy and Risk Assets saying that it was “conceivable that accommodative monetary policy could provide tinder for a build up of leverage and excessive risk taking” . The dollar managed a small bounce (+.45 percent) and commodities were mixed (Crude -.9 percent, Gold/Copper +.3 percent).
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Tuesday, October 12, 2010
Stock Market VIX Breaks Down...Implications... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
You're not going to love this if you like ACTION. You won't be seeing big swings from day to day when you have a VIX in the teens. It simply means the volatility of the market is basically gone for the short, if not, mid-term. Larger day to day swings are far less likely, thus, you have to find a way to be patient and understand the best way to play this market, which is to simply to find the best base set-ups and wait for them to make their move.
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Tuesday, October 12, 2010
Stock Market Narrow, Lackluster Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices started out on a flat note, but the path was interesting. The day started out with a little surge to the upside. They backed off, tested support successfully, and then ran to new rally highs, reaching 2037 on the Nasdaq 100 and 1168.68 on the S&P 500. The Dow reached 11,030.50 for its high.
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Monday, October 11, 2010
QE2 And Corporate Earnings Are The Key This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
U.S. stocks gained Friday, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average above 11,000 for the first time since before the May 6 crash, as worse than estimated jobs data raised speculation the Federal Reserve will enact stimulus measures. When the much awaited macro hit the tape, confusion reigned and persisted for the rest of the afternoon. The headline number was weaker (-95k v -5k cons) and initially sent markets lower, but wait, surely a worse number makes QE more likely? Up we went. The underlying NFP detail was mixed; the private payroll gain in September was close to expectations (+64,000), and there were upward revisions to July/Aug (+36,000 net), but, there was a very sharp 84,000 drop in state and local government jobs (primarily teachers).
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Sunday, October 10, 2010
Stock Market Weekend Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The S&P 500 is at a crossroads as the price structure pierces above its resistance line off of the October 2007 high (1576.09), which cuts across the price axis at 1158.68. A sustained hurdle of the 3-year down trendline could (should) have significant near-term bullish implications for the SPX, and would in all likelihood be heading for a revisit of the April 2010 high at 1219.80 -- or another 5% beyond current prices.
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Saturday, October 09, 2010
How Government Policies Affect the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
One key element of our investment process at U.S. Global Investors is tracking and monitoring government policies. We believe policies are precursors to changes in the marketplace and taking a look at year-to-date performance of the S&P 500 Index is a good way to illustrate how.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 09, 2010
Dow Closes Above 11,000 as Stock Market Indices Rally Late / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices ended the week with a bang, closing the S&P 500 near the 2010 highs. The day started out with some backing and filling, and then a rollover, but that held support. When that occurred, the indices rallied very sharply, pulled back mid-day and then rallied back into the close. With about five minutes left, they backed off in some late profit taking, but still closed above 11,000 on the day.
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Saturday, October 09, 2010
Stock Market Grinding Higher... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This bull run for the last few months can be looked upon as the grind run. Nothing too explosive day to day, although, there have been some good days in there. Mostly, however, it's been a grind up. One step up and three quarters of a step back, yet, when you look back, we're higher. Up day after day with small pullback's along the way. Sticks aren't too large all that frequently, but when you add it up, it starts to feel like we're blasting higher, even though it's not that way in reality. Today was just that type of day.
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Friday, October 08, 2010
What are Institutional Stock Market Investors Doing Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Institutional Investors still control over 50% of the stock market and because of this, they are a predominant force in the trending direction of the market.
Therefore, it matters ... it matters if Institutional Investors are in Accumulation or Distribution.
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Friday, October 08, 2010
Stock Market Mixed, Choppy Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices ended mixed and traded in choppy fashion all day today. The day started with a move up near the opening to test resistance, could not get through overhead resistance, came off sharply, and then bounced back just as sharply, with the Nasdaq 100 making nominal new highs and the S&P 500 failing to confirm.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Drop in Jobless Claims Soothes Markets Economic Concerns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Dodgy economic data continues to undermined confidence in the economic recovery and raises hopes for fresh Central Bank action. Hump days private employment gauge the ADP Employment number came in significantly worse than expected (at -29k versus the expected +20k) and dampened expectations for Fridays key non farm payrolls And its starting to sound like a broken record, but the Dollar (-.55 percent) came under pressure, Gold (+.6 percent) rallied, and the yield on the 10 year Treasury bond fell to 2.39 percent.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Stock Markets Downside Risk Mitigated By Fed, Economy, and Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
From current levels, the downside risk in stocks, and risk assets in general, is probably not as significant as many believe. Three factors mitigate the risks relative to a gut-wrenching correction in risk assets: (1) the Fed, (2) the economy, and (3) a significant band of support in the S&P 500.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Stock Market Leaders Are Now Lagging? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Wednesday’s session closed mixed on the day. The DOW posted a third of a percent gain while the tech sector closed down almost nine tenths of a percent. While technology stocks have been leading the market higher in the recent months, today they took the back seat while the DOW took control.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Nasdaq Gives Way in Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices suffered losses today in the non-blue chip sectors as the Nasdaq 100 was down 18.11 at 2006.52. The S&P 500 ended up near-unchanged, down to 0.78 at 1159.97, and the Dow was up 22.93 at 10.967.65.
There was a distinct 3-wave decline today, as the indices dropped sharply in the morning, bounced mid-morning, and then dropped into early afternoon for the session lows near 1992 on the NDX and near 1155 on the SPX. At that point they worked their way back and took back some of the losses, but still ended up sloppy on the day.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
High Pole Stocks Snap... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
You won't have to look long or hard to find carnage wherever you turn with those high pole stocks, meaning stocks that have run up straight with hardly a pullback for months. They're all over the place, and we warn you to stay away from them daily. Not only have they run straight up, but many of them have incredibly high PE's that are simply unsustainable. 100 PE's and sometimes 200 or more. Stocks such as VMware, Inc. (VMW), Equinix, Inc. (EQIX), Salesforce.com (CRM), and F5 Networks, Inc. (FFIV) to name just a few of the carnage hits today.
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Wednesday, October 06, 2010
S&P 500 Stock Market Trends Forecast for October 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Following the trend in the market is a well known strategy. Has the recent market action given us any clue on the current trend and if it is about to change?
The break through resistance that has lasted since Spring 2010 is not overwhelming. The market needs to at least pause before resuming its upward trend. On the other hand, this could be an overbought situation where we will see a pull back. I am leaning more toward a pull back. Time will tell.
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Wednesday, October 06, 2010
Commodities and QE2 Buoys Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Tuesday was turnaround day – markets began to rally over lunchtime in a move that would last until the end of the session. There was no concrete explanation as to what started the move, though some cited positive Meredith Whitney comments while others suggested it was on the back of whispers the ISM number would be much better than consensus. In the event the services ISM number printed 53.2 v a 52 consensus, allowing markets to push on. S&P 500 traded through the key 1150 level. Europe finished near the days highs, with banks the biggest gainers as those with peripheral exposure gained on the back of Moody’s saying they are ‘impressed’ with Greek government actions.
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Wednesday, October 06, 2010
Will the Fed’s Spending Drive Stocks Back Up to Pre Credit Crash levels? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: The Standard & Poor's 500 Index is up more than 10% in the past month, and it finally looks like all of the thin threads of strength we've seen over the past few months are starting to twine together into a single rope that may be strong enough to pull stocks back up to pre-crisis levels.
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