Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, June 22, 2010
Stock Market Ominous Signs! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
“Regulation was the obvious method of keeping corporations answerable to democracy, and not the other way around – but why trust public officials to regulate if they were all on the take?... The power of the railroads (today, banks) gave rise to demands for a stronger government to control them, yet this same power aroused fears that they would simply corrupt a strong government, and grow still more powerful.” --- T.J. Stiles in “The First Tycoon,” regarding the life of Cornelius Vanderbilt in 1860
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Tuesday, June 22, 2010
European Stocks Trade Lower as Familiar Concerns Return / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
China’s de-peg from the Dollar over the weekend initially gave risk assets a shot in the arm Monday. But on closer examination the markets were seriously underwhelmed. Investors will want to see more evidence that China’s FX policy is taking a true turn rather than just a tactical ploy to get the G20 off their back and stop being called a currency manipulator in the US . Disappointing stock market action in late US hours suggested that China has provided too few details so far.
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Tuesday, June 22, 2010
Stock Market Nasty Reversal! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices suffered a very nasty reversal for Monday and closed not far off the session lows. Only a last 15-minute snapback rally brought the indices off the afternoon spike lows.
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Tuesday, June 22, 2010
Stock Market Failure At The 50's.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
And a nice head fake it was indeed. The Yuan news from overnight out of China got the futures rocking much higher than that news seemed to be worthy of, but hey, who is to argue with good futures when you're long on the market. The futures held all night and right up until the bell rang to open trading for the day. Once we gapped up the show was over for the bulls. A nice huge breach above that 50-day exponential moving average at S&P 500 1119. Sweet indeed, but if you looked at the daily charts such as I did, there was a major red flag sitting there in the form of extremely overbought stochastic's. Reading in the upper 90's is not where markets usually continue to rise from.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
Summer Sun Beats Down on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
One good day in the equity markets covered an otherwise listless week as investors get a jump-start on the summer doldrums. While exciting, the 200+ point Dow rally did push the averages above some critical overhead resistance that needs to hold in the coming weeks to be genuinely an important change in psychology. The drama for the week was putting the CEO of BP in front on Congress to explain the company’s response to the spill.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
A Classic Stock Market “Fade The Gap” Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
“What’s so special about 1130? It’s downtrendline resistance and a 50% fibonacci level”
One look at the SPX chart below tells the story, all in a news driven pop based upon the Yuan.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
Monday Stock Market Monetary Mark-Up - China Floats the World! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I did not see this coming!
We have a major bump in the futures and I’m trying to decide if it’s deserved just because China says they will float the Yuan. Asia came on like gangbusters on the news and Japan was, of course, super thrilled that one of their biggest customers was going to have more buying power (in theory) as were the other Asian countries that export to China.
Monday, June 21, 2010
China; Equities More Flexible Friend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
On Saturday, the Chinese central bank the PBoC issued a statement on exchange rate policy which has moved the goalposts & spawned today’s rally. In essence what the announcement boiled down to is an equity abandonment of the 2 year old peg to the Dollar and the resumption of exchange rate reform through a more flexible approach to the yuan by letting it gradually appreciate in a managed manner rather than a once off big bang revaluation. Global equities are rallying hard today on the prospect that any Chinese yuan appreciation will tame inflation and reduce the need for interest-rate increases.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
Quadruple Witching and Dividends... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Trade Recommendations: Take no action.
Daily Trend Indications:
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Monday, June 21, 2010
Four Factors to Consider Before Determining Your View on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks rose worldwide over the past week -- ranging from +2% in U.S. big caps to +6% in gold -- as investors swelled with sudden courage in response to positive reports on Chinese economy and glimmers of hope that European governments can get their financial houses in order.
The week's results erased four weeks of losses, including the despairing session that ensued on June 7 after a disappointing report on U.S. employment. Meanwhile, the result of the past 35 trading days, or seven calendar weeks, are still largely negative, ranging from a loss of 5.5% for U.S. stocks and -8.5% for Europe. Only gold stocks have eluded the smoke monster, rising 7% in the span.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
Right Time to Buy the S&P Stock Market Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The S&P500 along with other global equity markets has suffered a deep correction over recent months which erased all the gains made from the beginning of February this year.
The sell-off was driven by the spread of the Sovereign debt crisis, which began as a local Greek problem, but expanded to engulf the entire Euro zone, with traders fearing the global economy could be at risk through contagion.
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Sunday, June 20, 2010
Stock Market Turning Points / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
SPX: Long-term trend - Up! We are in a medium-term bull market, which is a corrective move within a long term bear market. This bull market should last until 2011
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Sunday, June 20, 2010
Signs of Stock Market Concern in the Economic Recovery Process / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Economic recoveries generally take a fairly standard pattern. The stock market usually bottoms 4 to 8 months before the low in the business cycle. Risk levels that are associated with the final days of the bear market ease. Expanding Gross Domestic Product (GDP) gradually develops and improves. Rising unemployment numbers stabilize and begin to decline. Early advancing industrial groups, such as consumer discretionaries, transportation and technology start to strengthen and outperform. And central banks slowly increase short-term interest rates to keep the fledgling economy in-check. However, when specific signs of weakness remain after over a year of economic expansion, investors should take note.
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Sunday, June 20, 2010
Stock Market Possible Nascent Bullish Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This is another tough week for me. On the one hand, two of my favorite sources for handicapping the market trend -- Market Edge and Investors Business Daily -- support the existence of a new bullish uptrend in the market based primarily on technical indicators.
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Saturday, June 19, 2010
Stock Market Quiet In The Range.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
And that's about all there is folks. Have a nice weekend.
Ok... so I need to write a little bit more, but in truth, there is very little to speak of tonight. The market made two tries to get through the elusive 50-day exponential moving average at 1119 today. It failed. It made three attempts to get through 1105 and failed. It printed 1105 yesterday and hit 1107 two different times on Wednesday. The bulls held where they had to and the bears held where they had to. Neither side able to do anything, yet, in this new range just set up since early in the week when the bulls took S&P 500 1105 for themselves.
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Saturday, June 19, 2010
Stock Market Support is Now Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
(The Atlantic) On the third floor of Citigroup’s Manhattan headquarters, at the far end of a trading floor overlooking the Hudson River, Young Kang, Citi’s global head of algorithmic products, leans over a terminal and monitors the progress of a canny and powerful beast named Dagger. Bred and trained in secret by Citi’s financial engineers, Dagger can stalk through more than 20 markets, public and otherwise—hunting for anomalies, buying and selling, prowling through mountains of historical data—all at the behest of Citi’s clients. Amid the trading-floor din, Dagger fulfills its duties in flickering silence, with a speed and acuity no human can match.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Stock Market Choppy Recoveries and Rally Attempts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Before the open on Friday, the markets remained in a mixed state, with neither the bears nor the bulls having a distinct advantage. From a psychological perspective, the bears have a leg up with recent declines having ignited high levels of fear. The bears also have legitimate concerns about the European debt markets.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Stock Markets Focused on Stress Tests And Options Expiry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
While the negative news flow from Europe finally looks like dying down for a while, the U.S. economy has now taken up the mantle of doom-and-gloom provider. Thursday’s Philly Fed Index was weak at 8 versus the 20 Read predicted, along with a positive creep in new and existing jobless claims. Inflation figures remain low, and housing data are very disappointing.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Marc Faber Bullish on Stocks Into September / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Faber is now sort off bullish on stocks into September, though favours asian stocks. Bearish and bullish on U.S. bonds at the same time. His best place to be invested is in Gold and Gold Shares.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Stock Market Rally of 2009 Not likely to Be Repeated In Our Life Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Last year's stock-market rally won't be repeated for the foreseeable future and likely not for decades, Sean Corrigan, chief investment strategist at Diapason Commodities Management, told CNBC Friday.
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