Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, August 03, 2010
Stock Market Bulls Step Up... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Trade Recommendations: Take no action.
Daily Trend Indications:
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Monday, August 02, 2010
How to Conquer Volatile Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market since the May “flash crash” and early July cycle low has been a trading range affair characterized by alternations between high and low volatility levels, or what pundits have taken to calling “volatile volatility.” As Steven Sears in his Barron’s column of July 26 pointed out, “The back-and-forth action is just the latest reminder that volatile volatility is a central fact of the 2010 market.” After being spoiled by last year’s extremely low volatility market, participants are shell-shocked at the heightened levels of volatility in recent months.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 02, 2010
Does the Stock Market Have Enough In-flowing Liquidity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
No matter how you cut it, the stock market needs "an increasing inflow of money to go up and increasing money flow to sustain an up move".
One of the daily charts we post on our paid subscriber site shows the in-flow and out-flow of Liquidity in the stock market.
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Monday, August 02, 2010
Wall Street’s Mood Shift Signaling a Profit-Making Stock Market Price Push Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: A mood of mild optimism has begun to spread down Wall Street not long after there was nothing but long faces. Fancy that.
More good news out of Europe, better-than-expected new home sales, and the latest of a solid second-quarter earnings season has helped resuscitate the animal spirits that were missing in action since the spring.
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Monday, August 02, 2010
Stock Market, Look For A Retest Of The Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In our mid-day update to our subscribers on Friday we said : “Part of me would feel safer seeing a retest of recent highs for a mini double top (little red line at 1120 or even the 1131 level before a drop as that would mark a double top at a retest of 1120 and/or a 5th and final wave higher.”Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 01, 2010
Stock Market Targeting Down Trend S&P 900 to 950 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
SPX: Intermediate trend.The index made an intermediate top at 1220 and is now in an intermediate
downtrend which should come to an end in October 2010.
Saturday, July 31, 2010
Solving the Great Disconnect Between Stock Market and Economic Reality / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We have a “Great Disconnect” on our hands.
On Monday, the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas released its latest manufacturing survey. This wasn’t old, stale data; the survey was conducted in mid-July. And the results were awful, with the headline index plunging to -21 from -4 a month earlier. That was the worst showing in a year.
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Saturday, July 31, 2010
Stock Market Reversal Again At Support...Should Be Bullish Short Term.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Yesterday we had a strong move down to support. We blew through 1099 and headed to the 50-day exponential moving average at 1093. It actually fell slightly below. We rallied as the day went on, but closed poorly. This allowed for another gap down today that was quite nasty, as we once again, tested the 50-day exponential moving average. This time we went a bit lower than yesterday as we traded to 1089. Getting too close for comfort when you think of how close we got to 1080, or the long term down trend line. It was do or die time for the market.
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Saturday, July 31, 2010
Stock Market Advances on Bad Economic News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
U.S. Economy Grew 2.4% in Second Quarter, Below Forecast
Growth in the U.S. slowed to a 2.4 percent annual rate in the second quarter, less than forecast, reflecting a larger trade deficit and an easing in consumer spending.
The increase in gross domestic product compared with a median forecast of 2.6 percent of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News and follows an upwardly revised 3.7 percent pace in the first quarter that showed a jump in inventories, according to figures from the Commerce Department today in Washington. Business investment climbed at the fastest rate since 1997.
Friday, July 30, 2010
Are Stock Market Investors Being Set Up For Another Fall? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In the early 1930’s, after the 1929 crash, Wall Street could not get nervous investors interested in stocks again. However, with interest rates dropped to extreme lows in the Great Depression, those who still had money were eager to invest in something that would provide more income than they could receive on savings accounts. As a result Wall Street had no trouble selling them bonds.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 30, 2010
US Earnings Mixed And Japan IP Shocker / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
There were no real reasons for the US coming off its early highs Thursday (and taking Europe with it) other than technical ones. The 200 day MAV was reached and then the market collapsed. Maybe a little profit taking ahead of Month end today, with S&P +7% on the month? Late headlines about the Attorney General probing the Life Insurance Industry for fraud wasn’t terribly helpful but appears to be confined to military related issues rather than a broad based probe. Techstocks were weak; Symantec Corp. and Nvidia Corp. lost at least 9.9% after reporting forecasts while Akamai Technologies slid 13%t after saying its profit margin shrank.
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Friday, July 30, 2010
Stocks Bulls Get Beaten as Volume Increases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Trade Recommendations: Take no action.
Daily Trend Indications:
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Friday, July 30, 2010
Who Flipped The Switch On The Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This is your captain speaking, we’ve turned off the keep your seat belts on sign (for those of you who have short exposure, those who have long exposure? Please fasten your seatbelts). You are now free to move about the cabin. This MAY now conclude our in flight turbulence for the time being.
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Thursday, July 29, 2010
Jobless Economic Recoveries and Stock Market Performance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We are all familiar with the common expression, markets do not like surprises. As it relates to the current state of the labor markets, the number of Americans filing first-time claims for unemployment insurance came in at 457,000 last week, which has again brought out comments from the media like “a figure that signals the labor market will be slow to improve even as the economy grows”. Is slow employment growth a surprise to anyone? Expectations from almost all quarters call for slow improvement in the labor markets and persistently high unemployment. In fact, John C. Williams of the San Francisco Fed said yesterday:
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Thursday, July 29, 2010
What Makes a Frustrating Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The S&P 500 is turning out to be a conundrum for many professionals and home traders alike. The conflicting information on good earnings, high unemployment, and other factors continue to batter the market. One moment the SP500 is heading for the stars and the next, it's heading to the cellar.
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Thursday, July 29, 2010
Is the Stock Market Topping Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Here at TMTF, I enjoy making controversial calls based on Human Behavioral topping and bottoming patterns, often referred to as Elliott Wave Theory. This is a difficult pattern recognition model to follow as there can be numerous interpretations. Instead, I look for additional clues like sentiment indicators, a few traditional technical indicators, headlines in the news and covers of papers etc.
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Thursday, July 29, 2010
An Corporate Earnings Feast to Digest / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Risk assets spent the US trading day on the defensive Wednesday , despite constructive earnings releases, with US equities falling 0.6% and European indices declining up to 0.9%. The Fed’s Beige Book, which noted that “economic activity had continued to increase on balance,” but that manufacturing “slowed or levelled off,” set the tone for the afternoon session, with much of the drop in US equities and bond yields occurring around the time of its 2PM EDT release. The main US economic data release for the day, June durable goods orders, printed below expectations on the headline but with very solid readings on core capital goods orders and shipments.
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Thursday, July 29, 2010
Stock Market Balancing on a Knife Edge... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Trade Recommendations: Take no action.
Daily Trend Indications:
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Thursday, July 29, 2010
History Gives a Reason to Be Hopeful about U.S. Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Volatility has hamstrung U.S. stocks recently, but history suggests there's a reason for hope on the horizon.
The past week and a half has been a welcome reprieve from the extreme volatility we've seen over the past few months. There have been no fewer than 19 days this year in which up or down volume has accounted for more than 90% of total volume.
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Thursday, July 29, 2010
Stock Market Distinct Four-Wave Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices suffered a down day today, and although they started with a brief flurry to the upside, that was about it. They sold off quickly in the morning, tested support and bounced and then consolidated, with the S&P 500 acting a bit better than the Nasdaq 100. But with Apple (AAPL) under pressure today, Nasdaq led the way down as they resumed their sell-off in the afternoon when they broke through the neckline support around the 1800 area on the NDX and 1108 on the SPX.
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