Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, May 20, 2017
EURUSD reaches DO or DIE moment! / Currencies / Euro
My Bias: short in wave 3 blue.
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave 1, 2 blue
Long term wave count: lower in wave 3 blue
Important risk events: EUR: Eurogroup Meetings. USD: FOMC Members Speak.
Thursday, May 18, 2017
WannaCry Ransomware Virus Is a Globalist False Flag Attack On Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin
Here’s something I’ve been learning. If something innocuous comes out of nowhere and all-of-a-sudden is covered by the mainstream Fake News media as though it is the apocalypse… it’s all planned and done for a reason.
On May 12th, the “WannaCry” ransomware attack was covered widely in the mainstream media, immediately proclaiming it to be the “the worst cyber attack of all time.”
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Thursday, May 18, 2017
Is This Bitcoin’s Fatal Flaw? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcon has been rocketing higher lately, as it gains widespread official approval and more people figure out how to use it.
As the first of its kind to emerge, bitcoin has become synonymous with “cryptocurrency”. But lately it’s been joined by a lot of others – which together now account for more than half of the cryptocurrency ecosystem:
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Tuesday, May 16, 2017
Bitcoin Price Corrects from Top / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: no speculative positions.
A hacker attack has swept across the globe encrypting user files and crashing corporate services. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Extortionist hackers who may be using leaked computer exploits from the U.S. National Security Agency infiltrated computers in dozens of countries in a fast-spreading attack that forced British hospitals to turn away patients and breached systems at Spain’s Telefonica SA and organizations from Russia to Taiwan.
Monday, May 15, 2017
Cyber Attacks Show Vulnerability of Digital Systems and Digital Currencies / Currencies / BlockChain
– Cyberattacks expected to spread today in “second phase”
– UK intelligence says scale of threat significant
– Microsoft slams NSA for letting hacking tools cause global malware epidemic
– Ransomware attack already crippled more than 200,000 computers in 150 countries
Monday, May 15, 2017
GBP/CHF: Short-term Weakness Should be Followed by Resumption of Bull Trend / Currencies / British Pound
The larger pattern in the GBP/CHF remains bullish given the following:
- Decisive breakout of Head and Shoulders Bottom and also breakout above the 200-day exponential moving average (ema) occurred four weeks ago. (Note: Pattern is not perfect with right shoulder noticeably lower than left. But valid nonetheless given reaction of price following breakout above neckline and 200-day ema.)
Monday, May 15, 2017
Trump Rally or Geopolitical Meltdown: Currency Management for Dollar Risk / Currencies / US Dollar
The dollar index, which measures the strength of the U.S. currency against a basket of other major currencies, hit a 14-year high on January 3rd of this year. The USD’s reinvigorated bull run after Donald Trump was elected as Barrack Obama’s successor as President of the U.S.A, on expectations for major infrastructure spending and tax cuts during his mandate, has featured prominently in the news. However, the U.S. dollar has more quietly been on an extended rally for a few years now and despite its worst January in 30 years since that early post-New Year peak, many analysts expect that to continue over 2017.
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Monday, May 15, 2017
Euro Tailwinds Negative for the US Dollar, Positive for Precious Metals / Currencies / Euro
The election of Emmanuel Macron as the next president of France has only added to the on-going strength of France's CAC 40 Index and, by extension, the Euro.
The election of Macron and the defeat of the protectionist Marine sends a positive message to the common currency.
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Sunday, May 14, 2017
Bitcycles - Does BitCoin Have Cycles? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Not sure if anyone has been following Bitcoin lately but it tracking the Price and Volume action over the last 6 months has been fascinating.
Here are some charts (one and two year charts of GBTC, (the BitCoin Trust) along with some other links. Sure looks like the recent Parabola cracked late last week so based on the chart, we may see a buying opportunity once RSI drops to the 40s or 30s…
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Sunday, May 14, 2017
War on Bitcoin - German Central Bank Warns Not To Use Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin
Central banking, which is a tenet of communism and a scheme to impoverish the many to benefit a few, is one of the evilest, most pernicious and rapacious entities on Earth.
So, when a member of the German central bank, Bundesbank, warned against buying bitcoin I almost choked on my wiener schnitzel.
Having a central bank warn against buying bitcoin is like a rapist warning you that sex with your spouse isn’t as exciting as when he rapes you.
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Friday, May 12, 2017
Macron’s French Election Triumph Removes Eurozone Political Risk / Currencies / Euro
By EWFHendra : Emmanuel Macron won the presidential election last Sunday, defeating Marine Le Pen, a far-right nationalist who wanted to take France out of the European Union. Markets had feared that Le Pen’s win could threaten the EU project, but Macron’s win has eliminated uncertainty regarding France’s membership of the Euro and removed the risk of near-term severe political shock to France and wider Europe. The Euro went above $1.10 briefly, but since then has pulled back. The upwards move was not dramatic than the first round of French elections as many traders have anticipated Macron’s victory and thus victory was already well priced in.
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Thursday, May 11, 2017
The USD is Going Higher from Here... / Currencies / US Dollar
Got a great set-up here on the $USD index for readers of The Market Oracle.The USD will be going higher from here. How do I know? - The charts are
talking (screaming infact) to us!
So, let's take a look at the UUP DAILY, WEEKLY and MONTHLY charts...
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Wednesday, May 10, 2017
Bitcoin Smashes Through $1,800, Price Doubles Since January! / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin seems to rise $100 and to new all-time highs every day lately. And today, it has broken through $1,800!
That means bitcoin has doubled since it was $900 in January! And it now boasts a total market capitalization of nearly $30 billion, which of course is about $15 billion more than it was in January.
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Monday, May 08, 2017
How is the Adventurous Path of Bitcoin to $2,000? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Jack Huyn: Recently, the parabolic rise of Bitcoin has made it become a very very hot currency that attracts many investors and speculators. In my opinion, movements of this cryptocurrency these days are just a sign that Bitcoin is a bubble waiting to burst.
Fundamentally, the current uptrend of Bitcoin prices are due to the following factors:
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Saturday, May 06, 2017
EURUSD and GBPUSD at a Turning Point / Currencies / Forex Trading
My Bias: short in wave 3 blue.
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave 1, 2 blue
Long term wave count: lower in wave 3 blue
Important risk events: EUR: French Presidential Election, German Factory Orders m/m. USD: Mortgage Delinquencies.
Good night to you all, and welcome to the weekend, again.
Life seems to just disappear so quickly!
Wednesday, May 03, 2017
Bitcoin Blasts Through $1,400 Amid All Time Highs in Every Currency / Currencies / Bitcoin
It was just a few days ago that we trumpeted that bitcoin had hit a new all-time high above $1,330 and it has since blasted through $1400.
And, it hasn’t stopped there… at all.
Bitcoin has continued to smash through new highs nearly hourly since. And today it hit a high of $1,466.88.
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Wednesday, May 03, 2017
Here’s Why Russia Opens The Door To Cryptocurrencies / Currencies / BlockChain
Antonia Colibasanu : Russia has announced that it will legalize the use of cryptocurrencies. The government confirmed last week that a draft bill would create the legal framework for trading in bitcoin, dash, ether, and other digital currencies.
This comes a year after the same Russian institutions said people trading in these currencies could be jailed. This raises two important questions: Why has the government made this U-turn? What opportunities does it now see in this technology? The answers lie in Russia’s need to address serious problems in the banking sector and their impact on the economy.
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Monday, May 01, 2017
Trend Lines Met, Technical's are Set - US Dollar is Ready to Rally (Elliott Wave Analysis) / Currencies / US Dollar
My Bias: short in wave 3 blue.
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave 1, 2 blue
Long term wave count: lower in wave 3 blue
Important risk events: EUR: EU Economic Forecasts. USD: Treasury Sec Mnuchin Speaks, Personal Spending m/m, ISM Manufacturing PMI.
Friday, April 28, 2017
USD/CAD - Invalidation of Breakout or Further Rally? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Earlier today, the greenback moved lower against the Canadian dollar, which pushed USD/CAD below the December high and the previously-broken resistance zone. Is it enough to trigger further deterioration?
In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:
EUR/USD: short (a stop-loss order at 1.1052; the initial downside target at 1.0521)
GBP/USD: none
USD/JPY: long (a stop-loss order at 107.62; the initial upside target at 111.16)
USD/CAD: none
USD/CHF: none
AUD/USD: none
Sunday, April 23, 2017
USD Cycle Update - 23rd April / Currencies / US Dollar
This Update will provide both a near term and long term update on the USD an where I think it stands in its short and long term cycles. My first two charts are the same near term daily chart. The first provides my cycle counts for the past 6 Trading Cycles. The second shows a potential Blue Fork Channel that should hold it. USD did find a TC low on day 17 last week.
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