Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, March 11, 2017
Bitcoin Gets WinkleF*ked By the Criminal SEC Organization / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Jeff_Berwick
Last week we heralded, “Bitcoin Is Now As Good As Gold, Actually, It’s Better”.
It was a bit tongue-in-cheek, and I knew it’d get the gold crowd whipped into a frenzy. But, the point was, for the first time ever, the value of one unit of bitcoin surpassed the value of one ounce of gold.
At the time it was around $1,250.
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Friday, March 10, 2017
Monitoring Rising USD Patterns / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ashraf_Laidi
As we approach Friday's US jobs report, deemed by some as instrumental in determining the already surging odds of a Fed hike next week (and by others as irrelevant), here are a few USD notes worthy of consideration. The 6-currency basket USDX is entering its 5th straight consecutive weekly gain, the longest string of rallies since the 6-weekly gains seen on Dec 2014-Jan 2015 when the Fed ended QE3. Interestingly, we haven't had many uninterrupted weekly USD gains. Here are the most recent ones.
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Friday, March 10, 2017
Bitcoin ( BTCUSD ) Warning Stage / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
Bitcoin Review
Last year , Bitcoin was still considered as a fading project and many expected its price to keep dropping and break below $100. However in the recent months, the crypto-currency kept rising significantly and finally managed to make new all time high and break above $1200 last week ! That’s only $50 short of the equivalence to 1 ounce of GOLD which could have a big impact in the future .
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Thursday, March 09, 2017
Forex Trading Alert: USD/CAD at Fresh Highs / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: EWI
Forex Trading Alert originally published on March 8, 2016, 9:32 AM
Earlier today, the U.S. dollar extended gains against its Canadian counterpart as declining crude oil prices pushed the Canadian currency lower. As a result, USD/CAD reached the next resistance zone. Will it stop currency bulls in the coming days?
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Wednesday, March 08, 2017
EURUSD: When Price Pattern Trumps Other "Reasons" / Currencies / Euro
By: EWI
Waves of market psychology often warn of trend changes before the news -- see how
This was an eventful week in politics, monetary policy and the markets -- and to many observers, the three seemed to be linked.
On Wednesday (March 1), the U.S. dollar did something it hadn't done in almost two months: It got stronger. Two reasons were behind the move, said analysts: The Fed's imminent rate hike, and, President Trump's widely-covered address to Congress:
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Wednesday, March 08, 2017
Trump's Monetary Intervention, A Repeat of the Plaza Accord / Currencies / US Dollar
By: STRATFOR
Forecast
- A strong dollar will undermine U.S. President Donald Trump's plans to reduce the United States' trade deficit.
- If the dollar's value continues to rise, Trump may consider unilateral or, failing that, multilateral currency interventions to bring it back down.
- Negotiating a new coordinated monetary intervention in the spirit of the 1985 Plaza Accord will be onerous, however.
Wednesday, March 08, 2017
Capital Controls May Be Coming to the US / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: John_Mauldin
Those who hoped President Trump would tone down his protectionist rhetoric will be unnerved six weeks into his tenure. From his meeting with business CEOs, Trump has put trade “front and center.”
So far, all is going well for the president. Markets are inching higher, and inflationary forces have picked up. However, bringing back jobs and reducing the trade deficit will be a tougher task.
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Tuesday, March 07, 2017
Bitcoin Important Price Action to Be Seen / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
In short: no speculative positions.
Bitcoin is making its way into mainstream press. In an article on the CNBC website, we read:
Digital currency advocates had plenty to crow about last week when bitcoin's price overtook gold.
The event signaled a potentially important moment point for bitcoin, which is generally seen as asset that stores wealth. Bitcoin has gained more than 60 percent in price since mid-January.
Saturday, March 04, 2017
Bitcoin Is Now As Good As Gold, Actually It’s Better / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Jeff_Berwick
It wasn’t too long after I discovered bitcoin in 2011, trading at $3, that I became one of its biggest promoters.
I have even said on several different occasions, that if bitcoin reaches its ultimate potential it will be worth more than $1 million in today’s US dollar terms. Of course, if it did, we wouldn’t be talking about the price of bitcoin in dollars because dollars likely wouldn’t exist anymore.
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Monday, February 27, 2017
A Global Eurodollar Shortage / Currencies / Euro
By: Gordon_T_Long
The World Bank just released a telling report entitled "Trade Developments in 2016: Policy Uncertainty Weighs on World Trade". Though they deflect the problems in global trade to areas such as excessive regulatory initiatives and policy uncertainty (which is true), what is to be found buried in the appendix are the two un-annotated charts below. I suspect the World Bank didn't compare them directly (they are shown separately) because it would cast a spotlight on an even larger political 'football'.
How does global trade ship ~10% more trade volume but receive ~12% less revenue over a 5 year period? The answer has traditionally been significant improvements in productivity. However, the productivity numbers by country don't even come close to supporting such a premise.
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Monday, February 27, 2017
US Dollar Rolling Over / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gary_Savage
A close below the 10 DMA on the US Dollar would be the “second step” in the confirmation that its daily cycle is rolling over and starting the next leg down in the intermediate decline. The first confirmation was the initial break of the daily cycle up trend line.
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Monday, February 27, 2017
Oscars Debacle – Movies More Costly As US Dollar Devalued / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: GoldCore
- Cost of Best Picture winners show very significant devaluation of the dollar
- Average cost to make an Oscar winning film is over $43 million – in gold terms, this is over 106,000 ounces
- Four $15 million films show nearly 100% difference when priced in gold ounces
- Oscar fiasco was courtesy of error by accountants PWC
- Whilst the price of the films remained the same, the cost in gold ounces fell from 11.53% of the cost to make the Departed, in 2009 to just 6.4% in 2012
- In an error prone, irrational and volatile world, gold retains value over time …
Friday, February 24, 2017
Bitcoin Price Hits Record High! / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Jeff_Berwick
Bitcoin has just smashed through its all-time high in US dollar terms.
The US dollar was the last all-time fiat currency to crack as bitcoin has been hitting all-time highs in every other government/mafia mandated currency over the last few years.
On CoinDesk bitcoin hit an all time high of $1206.60 which is the highest it’s been since Mt. Gox in 2013, which doesn’t count, because it was likely inflating bitcoin prices before it was shut down.
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Thursday, February 23, 2017
Bitcoin Breaks Records and Sits at Cusp of All-Time High…Here’s Why / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Jeff_Berwick
We have been the biggest proponent of bitcoin in the financial space since it was $3 in 2011.
It now sits just a few dollars from its all-time high (ex-Mt. Gox which wasn’t a legitimate high) of $1,150. And, bitcoin has remained above the $1000 price level for a record stretch of time - seven days!
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Friday, February 17, 2017
Roses Are Red... and So's Been EURUSD's Trend / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: EWI
Learn what indicator foresaw the euro's recent reversal to a one-month low
Today, February 14, is Valentine's Day. But instead of chocolate hearts and red roses, we're going to give investors and traders the ultimate gift -- namely, the gift of knowledge.
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Tuesday, February 14, 2017
What is Trump's US Dollar Policy? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Michael_Pento
The United States Treasury Department has supported a strong dollar policy since its inception in 1789. Period. There were no qualifications or equivocations with that stance, especially since the ascendance of the dollar as the world's reserve currency. That's why it was so highly unusual when the newly confirmed Treasury Secretary, Steven Mnuchin, uttered this quote recently: "From time to time an excessively strong dollar could have a negative short-term effect on the economy."
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Tuesday, February 14, 2017
Bitcoin Price Dancing around $1,000 / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
In short: no speculative positions.
Needham & Co., an investment firm, has issued a new report on the potential success of three prospective Bitcoin ETF. In the report, we read:
Given elevated interest in the bitcoin ETFs that are going through the regulatory approval process we're revisting the subject with a deeper dive to take a look at the factors that may affect approval, differences between the three filings, market indicators of approval odds, and the effect of approval/disapproval on price. Overall, we maintain our estimates that the likelihood of approval is less than 25% but that, if it were approved, such an ETF would be extremely successful. That said, there are some market indicators that seem to suggest higher odds than our own estimates. Ultimately, while we don't see any specific reason to disapprove the Winklevoss Bitcoin ETF, we think the SEC is likely to disapprove out of an abundance of caution around bitcoin itself (as opposed to something specific to the filing).
Monday, February 13, 2017
US Dollar: 'Rumors of My Death are Greatly Exaggerated' / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Rambus_Chartology
Today I would like to update the US dollar as its been testing critical support since breaking out from the nearly 2 year horizontal trading range in early November of last year. The daily line chart shows there was a nice clean backtest about a month later to the top rail which looked like breaking out and backtesting process was complete. After a short rally and making a higher high the US dollar declined once more to the top rail causing a lot of uncertainty for many traders. After a slight breach of the top rail the US dollar is now trading back above that very important trendline. So far at this point there is nothing to conclude the bull market that started in 2011 is over at least accordingly to the daily line chart.
Saturday, February 11, 2017
Bitcoin Making Waves In China and Japan / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Jeff_Berwick
As we’ve said here many times, bitcoin is not a revolution in money and banking. A revolution means returning to where you came from. Instead, bitcoin is an evolution in money and banking.
It changes the game so massively that the entire financial, monetary and political systems have no idea how to deal with it. For this reason, nearly every country in the world has a different “policy” when it comes to bitcoin.
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Friday, February 10, 2017
USD and Gold Cycle Update / Currencies / US Dollar
By: SurfCity
Just a quick update on the USD and Gold. Todays move by the USD finally seemed to put a pause in the relentless uptrend by Gold and the Miners. I have the USD on day 6 now in what is very clearly a new short term Trading Cycle.
My cycle analysis indicates that this USD Trading Cycle uptrend should top out sometime in the next two days if it is to be a Left Translated cycle that fails. If it does not, this would be an early warning that the USD may have also found its longer term Intermediate Cycle Low as well.
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