Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, July 11, 2017
Stage Analysis Gold and US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: SurfCity
This post will use Weinsteins Stage Analysis to examine where we are in both Gold and the USD. For this analysis, I will use Weekly charts and highlight the Weekly 30ema as a guidepost for our analysis.
https://goldtadise.com/?p=394282
First lets start with a bit of History and go back to 1998 to 2002 to examine the transition in Gold and the HUI from Stage 4 Bear, to Stage 1 Basing to Stage 2 Bull Market.
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Tuesday, July 11, 2017
USDJPY Time for a Minor Correction / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Enda_Glynn
My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: n/a. USD: JOLTS Job Openings, FOMC Member Brainard Speaks.
Monday, July 10, 2017
Bitcoin Is Forming A Triangle Pattern / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Franco_Shao
After hitting a highest record at 2889, BTCUSD fell sharply to 2251, and is now forming a triangle pattern on its 4-hour chart. All we need to do now is wait for a break out of the pattern.
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Sunday, July 09, 2017
War On Cash: Australia Considering Chipping Senior’s Money To Stop Them From Saving / Currencies / War on Cash
By: Jeff_Berwick
Ten years ago I wrote on my personal travel blog, “Australia sucks”. In it I detailed, “Australia seems to have more rules than any other country on the planet I have visited. There are signs outlining rules everywhere. I was even on a street that had a street-sign denoting that particular street as being an alcohol-free street. No alcohol is allowed to be consumed or even carried on that street?? I presume that even includes inside the houses on that street by the way it was written!”
Wednesday, July 05, 2017
USDCAD Broke below 1.2968 Key Support / Currencies / Canadian $
By: Franco_Shao
USDCAD’s bearish movement from the May 5 high of 1.3793 extended to as low as 1.2912, breaking below the January 31 low of 1.2968 key support, indicating that the long term bearish movement from the January 2016 high of 1.4689 has resumed.
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Wednesday, July 05, 2017
US Dollar Outlook / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I just listened to an interview with Martin Armstrong on YouTube about what to expect from the world financial arena. As much as I respect him, I cannot agree with what he says concerning (1) the direction of the US Dollar and (2) its impact on equities. Of course, his research is far deeper than mine, so I defer on that count. However, The best analysis that I have is that the USD may continue to decline (should I say collapse?) in the near term. That does not bode well for either domestic stocks or bonds.
Tuesday, July 04, 2017
Next Elliott Wave Target for Bitcoin BTCUSD / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
Bitcoin is still considered as the currency of the Dark Web, despite the fact that it was the world’s best performing currency in 2015 & 2016 and currently 1 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is worth 2 Ounces Of Gold which is significantly important in the financial world. The digital currency continued it’s outstanding performance during this year with and it’s up +260% but Ethereum has taking over the show with +3200% rise since January.
We implemented our Elliott Wave technique in our previous articles to predict the rise of Bitcoin and how it was looking to make new all time highs. Then we explained that despite BTCUSD was reaching a Warning Stage, it would remain bullish looking for more gains to come.
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Monday, July 03, 2017
USDCNH Is In Correction Pullback / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Franco_Shao
After breaking above the support-turned-resistance at 6.8450 on the daily chart, the USDCNH pair failed to extend its bullish movement from 6.7210 and pulled back from 6.8583, indicating that correction for the uptrend is underway.
Sunday, July 02, 2017
USD Intermediate Cycle Update / Currencies / US Dollar
By: SurfCity
Cycle Status/Outlook: Long term I believe the USD found a 15 Year Super Cycle top in early 2015. To confirm this we need to see the USD find a Yearly Cycle Low soon and bounce high enough to break the YC down trend line on my first chart, a three year weekly that shows Price has dropped below my Blue 2014 uptrend line and now the 30ema is starting to roll over and should start to cap rallies acting as resistance rather than support.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
The Real Indian Currency Crisis (Things You Don’t Hear In The News) / Currencies / India
By: HAA
Jayant Bhandari writes: On November 8, 2016, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi dropped a bombshell. In a televised address at 8:00 pm, he declared that after midnight—four hours later—banknotes with face values of INR500 (US$7.50) and INR1,000 (US$15) would no longer be legal tender.
These bills comprised 86% of the monetary value of currency in circulation, so to say that panic ensued would be an understatement. The market stayed open all night as people rushed to buy gold, Rolex watches, and anything else they could get their hands on to use up their cash.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
The Matter with Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Submissions
Bitcoin’s valuation surged in the first five months of this year. And in the sixth, it plateaued. What does this tell us – about Bitcoin itself and about the actual state of financial markets?The facts alone are of almost no importance. Some investments thrive, others don’t and some are stable. That is trivial. And for Bitcoin’s surge, there are plenty of reasons. After all, it is a deflationary “system” (leaving it open, if it is a currency and whatnot). This means, the total number of units supplied is limited. Furthermore, demand widens and even government offices, for example in Japan or Switzerland, started to accept Bitcoins as public tender. Tight supply and more demand results in higher prices.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Blinded by the Money Illusion - chronology of panics, manias, crashes and collapses / Currencies / Financial Crash
By: Michael_J_Kosares
"Would I say there will never, ever be another financial crisis? You know probably that would be going too far but I do think we're much safer and I hope that it will not be in our lifetimes and I don't believe it will be." – Fed chair Janet Yellen
With those words, Janet Yellen put investors around the world on notice, though probably not in the way she intended. In the past, such smug assurances have been enough to send contrarian villagers heading for the safety of the near-by woods. The informed student of financial history knows that panics, manias, crashes and collapses are as common to investment markets as thunderstorms are to placid summer afternoons. To think that suddenly we have banished their recurrence for "our lifetimes" smacks of the kind of misguided hubris that contributed directly to the 2008 meltdown and subsequent untold financial hardship. Just about the time most everyone came to the conclusion nothing could go wrong, everything went wrong. . . and in a hurry.
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Thursday, June 29, 2017
USD Intermediate Cycle Update / Currencies / US Dollar
By: SurfCity
USD Cycle Status/Outlook: Short term is a bit cloudy but my preferred count is day 10. Longer term, it is clear that the USD is still seeking out its Yearly Cycle Low (YCL). If my last ICL is correct, we are now nearing the 5 month timeframe is a normal 5-6 mont ICL timing band.
Once the YCL is found, my expectations are that future rallies will be still be corrective in nature against the longer term cycle trend which should now be down. Out of the next ICL, the next IC High should be a lower high.
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Thursday, June 29, 2017
India Is Likely to Become the First Digital, Cashless Society / Currencies / War on Cash
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : The top news out of India over the past 12 months has been President Modi’s move to ban 85% of the currency in circulation. However, something much more far-reaching has happened.
It’s called India Stack.
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Thursday, June 29, 2017
GBPUSD rebounded from 1.2589 / Currencies / British Pound
By: Franco_Shao
Being supported by the 20-weekly moving average on its weekly chart, the GBPUSD pair rebounded from 1.2589, suggesting that lengthier consolidation for the long term downtrend from the July 2014 high of 1.7190 is needed.
Wednesday, June 28, 2017
USDCAD Broke Below Channel Support On Weekly Chart / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Franco_Shao
USDCAD’s fall from the May 5 high of 1.3793 extended to as low as 1.3137 and broke below the bottom support trend line at 1.3230 of the price channel on its weekly chart, suggesting that the uptrend from the May 2016 low of 1.2460 had completed at 1.3793 already.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
USDCNH Broke Above Key Resistance / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Franco_Shao
USDCNH’s bullish movement from the June 1 low of 6.7210 extended to as high as 6.8583 and broke above the key resistance at the March 15 low of 6.8450, suggesting that the long term uptrend from the January 2014 low of 6.0152 has resumed.
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Monday, June 26, 2017
EURGBP Is Facing Neckline Resistance / Currencies / Euro
By: Franco_Shao
EURGBP’s bullish movement from the April 18 low of 0.8313 extended to as high as 0.8866. After touching the resistance of the January 16 high of 0.8851, the pair pulled back and formed a sideways movement in a trading range between 0.8719 and 0.8866.
Sunday, June 25, 2017
Dollar May Become “Local Currency of the U.S.” Only / Currencies / US Dollar
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up we’ll hear part one of an amazing two-part interview with Jim Rickards, author of Currency Wars, The New Case for Gold and The Road to Ruin. Jim shares his insights on the Fed’s supposed plan to unwind its balance sheet and what it will mean for the economy and for gold prices. He’ll discuss some potential fireworks involving the U.S. dollar as it continues losing its reserve currency status. Don’t miss a must-hear interview with Jim Rickards, coming up after this week’s market update.
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Thursday, June 22, 2017
NZDUSD Is Testing Trend Line Resistance / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Franco_Shao
The NZDUSD pair is facing the resistance of the descending trend line from the September 2016 high of 0.7484 to the February 7 high of 0.7374, now at around 0.7275 on its daily chart. After touching the trend line resistance, the pair pulled back from 0.7319 and formed a sideways movement. All we can do now is to wait for the breakout to occur.