Jack Huyn: Recently, the parabolic rise of Bitcoin has made it become a very very hot currency that attracts many investors and speculators. In my opinion, movements of this cryptocurrency these days are just a sign that Bitcoin is a bubble waiting to burst.

Fundamentally, the current uptrend of Bitcoin prices are due to the following factors:

#1. Rising demand of institution investors toward Bitcoin when they have begun to recognize Bitcoin as a long-term investment, store of value and settlement network.

#2. The explosive growth of the Japanese Bitcoin exchange market after the Japanese government’s legalization of Bitcoin and the elimination of taxes for Bitcoin trading have hugely impacted the Bitcoin trading ecosystem and the demand for the digital currency in Japan.

#3. The actions of governments in an attempt to regulate the Bitcoin environment when many more countries will become involved with Bitcoin regulation as the year continues, which is a positive development revealing that Bitcoin is becoming more legitimate and welcome into the mainstream.

Observing the recent long run of Bitcoin, many experts and technical analysts predict BTCUSD will rise towards $2,000 then $3,000 or even $5,000 and $10,000 in 2017. Wherever Bitcoin prices go, there’s certainly higher volatility in Bitcoin price movement and it's riskier in trading Bitcoin.

From my point of view, technically, based on my Elliott Wave count, I expect BTCUSD will have difficulty in staying firmly above the $1,600 in the coming days and weeks. The Elliott Wave count on BTCUSD’s weekly chart shows that we’re in wave (3) of wave 5 in III that may follow an Impulse (IM) wave pattern. On the H4 chart, I expect wave (3) to top out around $1,600 – 1,610, then wave (4) will develop in a corrective Zigzag (ZZ) wave pattern. In short term, BTCUSD will have a period of consolidation $1,610 - $1,450. After that we may come into a downside movement that retreats to $1,270 (for wave C of (4) to finish the corrective period).

When this corrective wave finishes, BTCUSD is expected to rise again for the next uptrend in wave (5) of (5) in III that may rise toward $1,900 and the $2,000 psychological level within a couple of months later on.

Prices of financial instruments move up and down in predictable cycles. After a parabolic upside cycle often comes a very steep downside one. I suppose that the bubble of Bitcoin market will burst someday and we may witness a panic crash in this market as we ever saw in gold and many other financial markets.

Wait to see and please be careful with this bubble market.

By Jack Huyn

Disclosure:
Please be informed that information I provide is for educational purposes only and not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from utilising methods believed to be reliable, but I cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

http://www.fi24h.com/2017/05/how-is-adventurous-path-of-bitcoin-to.html

About Jack Huyn

Jack Juyn is a technical analyst specializing in Elliott Wave Theory, with more than 10 years of experience in analyzing and forecasting the trend of such markets as gold, currencies, stocks, commodities (coffee, black pepper, rubber…). Before becoming an independent technical analyst and freelance forex trader, Jack Huyn worked for many financial advisory organizations. At present, Jack Huyn is a Technical Analysis Advisor for www.fi24h.com. Contact Jack Huyn at huynjack@gmail.com.

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in

The Market Oracle is a FREE Financial Markets Forecasting & Analysis web-site.
(c) 2005-2024 MarketOracle.co.uk (Market Oracle Ltd) - Market Oracle Ltd asserts copyright on all articles authored by our editorial team and all comments posted. Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. nor is or shall be deemed to constitute, financial or any other advice or recommendation by us. and are also not meant to be investment advice or solicitation or recommendation to establish market positions. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. We recommend that independent professional advice is obtained before you make any investment or trading decisions. By using this site you agree to this sites Terms of Use. From time to time we promote or endorse certain products / services that we believe are worthy of your time and attention. In return for that endorsement and only in the cases where you purchase directly though us may we be compensated by the producers of those products.