Category: Financial Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, August 21, 2015
China Weakens the Yuan; Rattles Global Stock and Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Gary_Dorsch
On August 11th, the hierarchy of the Chinese Politburo surprised the global financial markets, by unilaterally devaluing the yuan against the US$, without any advance notice. Beijing quickly engineered a -3% devaluation of the yuan against the US$ in two days, in what it called a "one-off" operation. Still, the surprise move sent various financial markets around the world into a tizzy, as analysts, pundits and traders began to speculate that the latest move by Beijing was just the first salvo in a campaign to gradually weaken the yuan against the US$, and possibly, to keep the yuan on an even keel with other major reserve currencies, such as the Euro and the Japanese yen.
Thursday, August 20, 2015
The Ultimate Insurance Against Financial Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: DailyWealth
By Brian Hunt: You wake up in the morning, turn on the news, and get a sick feeling in your stomach...
Friday, August 14, 2015
Trading Markets Boot and Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
Jared Dillian : In my new office, that I had just rented, after starting my own newsletter business: The Daily Dirtnap.
You see, I had just walked away from a job at Barclays Capital, which had bought the Lehman broker-dealer out of bankruptcy. They had offered me a seat trading ETFs, just like I’d been doing at Lehman. I turned it down. I loved working at Lehman Brothers, but I could not see myself trading ETFs for even one more day.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 10, 2015
Stock Market Crash, Bear Market Rally in Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
I'm attaching three charts today: One chart of the daily SPY shows the parallel between Friday and March 3, 2015. The next one, shows where it could go as far as price and time is concerned, and the third shows the weekly chart of the SPX and what I believe may be the eventual conclusion of the correction into October of this year.
Astro-cycle-wise, we have not yet seen the 100 TD low, commonly called the 20 week low, last seen on March 11, 2015. As of Friday we are at TD 104. The 100 TD low usually comes within about a 10% variance giving it about 10 TD's on either side (the longest I've seen was at about 115/116 TD's ).
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 08, 2015
Stocks, Bonds, USD: What Interest Rate Hike? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Ashraf_Laidi
The US July jobs report was strong, or at least clearly better than the June report. 215K in NFP, 2.1% average hourly earnings y/y, unemployment rate unchanged at 5.3% and the participation rate also unchanged at 62.6%. The big rally in the US dollar was completely eroded, with EURUSD clawing back all of the 120-pips it lost immediately after the release. The only currencies not to end higher against the USD were CHF (due to renewed SNB jawboning), CAD (disappointing CAD jobs) and GBP and SEK.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 03, 2015
Stock Market Pullback at Hand, Gold About to Rally? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The stock market likely put in a failing 'b' wave top Friday at SPX 2114. The attached charts show potential down as low as SPX 1920 for the coming decline into the expected August 11, 2015 low to as high as 2010. The actual 40 week low is due on August 7, so I don't know if August 7 to 11 creates a double bottom reversal or not. Usually, these types of bottoms are spike bottoms.
The last 20 week low in March ran 7 TD's down to its low. The rise last week reminds me of the late Nov/early Dec topping pattern (only that time it made a new high while this one has failed) and it projects down to August 11 and SPX 1930 based on the percentage differences, this one being 1.69 times as potent.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 01, 2015
Markets Floor Monkeys and Decentralization of Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
As most of you know, I used to be a clerk on the floor of the old P. Coast options exchange in San Francisco. What a place. I could tell stories about that floor for weeks. The craziest things you ever heard.
But let’s keep it professional. The funny thing about a trading floor like the PCX (or the NYMEX, or the CME) is that you have winners and losers. You have big winners and big losers. You have people who blow themselves up. You have people who blow themselves up so spectacularly, they take a chunk out of their clearing firm.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 28, 2015
Markets Macrocosm / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
Below is the opening segment of this week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 353. After this theoretical exercise we got down to nuts and bolts analysis, which provided logical 'bounce' targets (provided a bounce is indeed what is in play) for Gold, Silver and HUI, a compelling trend in the Commitments of Traders data and more talk about the trends that will need to be in place before a favorable macrocosmic environment is in place for the gold sector.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 22, 2015
Are Free Markets The Solution? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Harry_Dent
You’ve probably seen the Jack Link’s Beef Jerky commercials where unsuspecting campers think it would be fun to mess with Sasquatch – an eight-foot tall, 400-lb. freak of nature.I like these commercials. What kind of idiot thinks they can get away with that?
When you mess with Mother Nature, she knocks you out with a fist to the face or a kick in the ribs.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 20, 2015
Markets Big Deflationary Downwave Quick Reference Guide... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Clive_Maund
We are believed to be on the verge of another deflationary downwave, similar to or more severe than the one which drove the dollar spike - and commodity slump - between July of last year and March, and caused by an intensification of the debt crisis, with increasing capital flight out of Europe and into dollar assets as the EU crumbles. More QE will not save the situation, as it is already discredited and will have no more effect than trying to inflate a tire or rubber boat that has a big hole in it.
It is understood that in this modern age many readers have a very limited attention span, due to time constraints and the tendency to multi-task. For this reason this update is being kept short and to the point. It is intended to make plain in the clearest possible manner the scenario that is expected to unfold in the coming months. So let's get to it.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 17, 2015
Compelling Reasons Why the Next Move Down in Global Markets is Just Around the Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Rajveer_Rawlin
There are some compelling reasons to believe that the next move down in risk assets across the globe is about to begin:
First and foremost the Euro a good proxy for global risk appetite has completely broken down despite the perceived resolution to the crisis in Greece. The strong dollar could eventually cause the liquidation of carry trades (Source marketwatch.com):
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 16, 2015
US Dollar, Commodities and the Great Deflation Round 2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
In this report I would like to show you some charts that could be telling us that the second shoe maybe getting close to dropping in the on going deflation scenario that really started to take hold last year at this time. If you recall the US dollar broke out of a massive base and with most commodities following lower. Commodities have been consolidating for most of 2015 chopping out some decent sideways trading ranges. In order to really get this second leg going to the downside, for commodities, the US dollar is the key component that needs to breakout topside.
The first chart tonight will be of the US dollar which topped out in March of this year creating a double top reversal pattern. After nearly reaching the price objective in May the dollar had a good bounce only to come back down to the previous low around the 93 area in the middle of June which I could make a case for a double bottom. The low on the right side of the potential double botttom has been carving out an inverse H&S bottom with today’s price action touching the possible neckline. Needless to say this is a critically important point right here and now for the US dollar.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 13, 2015
Could Markets React Positively to Grexit? 7 Reasons Why They Could / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Atlantic_Perspective
Politicians, investors and the general public are absolutely fed up with news about Greece. Over the last 2 weeks, the unthinkable possibility of Greece leaving the Euro started to materialize. And the stock market reacted quite well.
A Eurozone made up of 18 countries is quickly being seen as the new normal. And more than that, a desirable new normal.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 10, 2015
Greek Crisis and the End of the Ends of the World / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
We are about a week into the Greek non-crisis, and nothing especially scary has happened. Stocks opened up lower a couple of times, and there was one wild trading day in EURUSD, but everything is essentially unchanged. Which surprised everyone. Including me, a little.
I used to be a plunger. Loved shorting stuff. I had one muscle, and I flexed it constantly. By my rough calculations, I was up about 18% by the time Lehman went bankrupt in 2008. The more turmoil, the better.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, July 10, 2015
China and Greece – Implications on the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Puru_Saxena
The global financial markets are still jittery and the twin worries (Greece and China) are playing on investors’ minds. Although anything can happen, it now appears as though a last minute deal between Greece and its creditors will materialise (gasp). If a deal is done on the creditors’ terms, the referendum will turn out to be a pointless and expensive exercise. Why bother with an anti-austerity referendum vote if you will eventually cave in to a similar deal!?
Friday, July 10, 2015
China, Greece and the NYSE: Black Swans or Red Flags? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: The_Gold_Report
Scary. That is the word that kept coming up over and over as the news came in this week. Greece technically defaulted. The Shanghai Composite index dropped some 30%. And then a computer glitch caused the NYSE to be down for three hours. Are these headlines just blips on the equities markets? Do they have long-term implications for resource stocks? To answer these questions, we did what we do best at The Gold Report and asked the experts what is causing all the black swans and what they are doing to protect themselves.
Thursday, July 09, 2015
The Great Train Wreck Of 2015 – 2016 Is Beginning / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Ninety seven years ago in Tennessee a train wreck killed 101 people. It was shocking, unexpected, and devastating.
In the year 2000 the Tech-Wreck was unexpected, the NASDAQ market crashed, and $Trillions of paper wealth disappeared. Most investors were shocked and their savings were devastated.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 05, 2015
Financial and Commodity Markets Become Scary: Crash Point Or Turning Point? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: GoldSilverWorlds
We cannot remember having seen so many markets at critical points simultaneously. It is truly astonishing. Scary movie or turning points? We do not know for sure, but let’s review the strategic assets in order to get an understanding of the likely scenarios going forward.
First and foremost, the TED spread is about to cross a critical resistance level. We look at the TED spread as a fear indicator, a signal that a correction is coming. The steady rise of the TED spread since last summer is not a healthy signal. The trillion dollar question is how far it will go, and which markets it will hit.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 28, 2015
On Monday, It’s China Versus Greece / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: John_Rubino
Fear and greed are both getting a serious workout lately, but Monday will be even more fun than usual because of two big stories that hit over the weekend. First, Greece decided to put the draconian demands of its European creditors to a popular vote, to which the creditors responded by cutting Greece off from new bailout money. Greek citizens, now staring down the barrel of capital controls and/or bank failures, are busily emptying their bank accounts:
Sunday, June 21, 2015
Markets - All Eyes on New Highs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Andy_Sutton
SPX
In the last report I was looking for a bit more downside, then setup for a move higher. http://www.wavepatterntraders.com/all-eyes-on-new-highs-part-ii/
For the best part that's exactly what we saw, with the rally late last week it should now setup for a move higher now for the final piece to this suspected ending diagonal that has been in progress from the Oct 2014 lows. Whilst there is a way to count the pattern completed, based on the recent sideways chop, I favor more upside and make a new high above 2134.
Read full article... Read full article...