Category: Financial Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Doug Casey Answers Five of Today’s Biggest Investment Questions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By Doug Casey
Editor’s Note: Casey Research founder Doug Casey answered dozens of investment questions during the recent Casey Research Summit. We transcribed five of Doug’s best answers, and we’re sharing them with you below. What you’re about to read is Doug speaking to a live audience. His responses are unrehearsed.
Tuesday, October 27, 2015
Stocks and Bonds Will Not Crash Soon / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Always do what you are afraid to do. -Ralph Waldo Emerson
We are listing excerpts from past market updates to illustrate how the mass mindset is always wrong. Even big shots like Bill Gross are not exempt from being sucked into this black hole, otherwise known as the mass mindset. Herd psychology clearly indicates that the only time a market is going to crash is when emotions have hit a boiling point. In other words, the crowd is foaming with joy. However, regarding bonds, there is one more factor that needs to be considered. The element of control and that element has a name; it is called the Fed.
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Thursday, October 22, 2015
11 Days to U.S. Government Shutdown Crisis... What Investors Should Know / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Sean Brodrick writes: America is on a collision course with a crippling crisis. One that could start as early as November 3 - just 11 days from now.
Importantly, the last time this happened, the market started selling off hard eight days before the actual crisis. So I want to make you aware of both the looming risks... and the potential profit opportunities.
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Thursday, October 22, 2015
Notes from the Asylum / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By Jared Dillian
First, a shameless plug. Please follow me on Twitter.
Now on to today’s topic. You probably heard that Dreamy McDreamerson is the new Canadian prime minister, opening a can of Canadian whoop-ass on Harper. Here is the crux of it.
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Thursday, October 22, 2015
Stocks Bullish but Bond Bull Market is Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
I generally send out two letters a week. The letter that arrives in your inbox over the weekend is Thoughts from the Frontline and is written by me. The second letter, which is called Outside the Box, generally comes in the middle of the week and is an article or essay written by someone else that I think merits your time. Quite often I disagree with the sentiment or analysis being expressed, but I find the writer makes me think about alternatives to my personally favored presuppositions. It is always good to listen to the other side of the story, especially when we are talking economics and finance and our investment portfolios!
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Monday, October 12, 2015
Structural Reasons For A Long-Term Financial Markets Decline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Markets advance and decline for a myriad of different reasons. But in the final analysis, the old maxim about more buyers than sellers making bullish markets, and more sellers than buyers making bear markets remains true. Unfortunately such a simple observation is neither insightful nor helpful. However, by adding detail to this old market truth we can get great insight into the future of our current and future financial markets.
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Friday, October 09, 2015
Global Players at the Financial Poker Table / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
From the movie “Rounders” regarding poker:
“If you can’t spot the sucker in the first half hour at the table, then you are the sucker.”
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Friday, October 09, 2015
Financial Markets Calm Before the Storm? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
BIG PICTURE - Global business activity is slowing down and the majority of the developing nations are experiencing severe economic problems. Over in the developed world, Japan is contracting again, Euro zone is barely growing and even America's leading economic indicators are suggesting trouble ahead. Elsewhere, the CRB Index is trading at a 13-year low and this implosion in the prices of commodities is suggesting that all is not well with the global economy.
The crux of the matter is that the world is severely over-indebted (debt to GDP ratio of 286%, Figure 1) and without fiscal measures, viable reforms and debt restructuring, we will probably remain stuck in this low growth environment for years. Unfortunately, you cannot solve a problem of too much debt by encouraging even more borrowing; yet policymakers are trying to fix this mess by lowering interest rates and injecting liquidity.
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Monday, October 05, 2015
Macrocosm Revisited / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Here again is our representation of what a positive macro environment would look like for a bullish gold and gold mining stance. We created this theme in July for NFTRH 353.
This view comes off as repugnant to much of the gold “community”, but I cannot stress strongly enough how important it is to tune out the fairy stories about missing COMEX gold (and silver), love-inspired demand from China and India, ‘rising US employment drives interest rates, incentivizes banks to lend and creates inflation, driving people into gold and gold stocks’ or any other angle out there that does not focus on declining confidence in policy making and its ability to control economies and financial markets. Every single one of these supposed fundamentals have already been proven wrong.
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Sunday, October 04, 2015
More Selling for Stock Market, Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Last week, I was looking for a counter trend rally and we finally got it starting September 30. The stock market formed an irregular bottom on September 29 no doubt due to Mars square Saturn on September 25th and the super-moon lunar eclipse of September 27th. On Friday, October 2nd the moon was in Gemini, which is ruled by Mercury, which is currently retrograde (think Bermuda Triangle). The employment report was negative, which caused gold and silver to skyrocket and stocks to plummet (subscribers were alerted the day before of a possible move of GDX to the 14.40-14.50 zone for Friday). When stocks sold off Friday morning, it caused a positive divergence in the momentum indicators (the trend was up) and the SPX went from a 30 point deficit to plus 27 points by day’s end.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 24, 2015
The Big Nasty Deflation Word Is Here / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Nomi Prins latest book, All the Presidents Bankers, allows the reader a glimpse into the comments and actions of those sitting at the highest levels of finance on Wall Street since the open of the 20th century. As I look at where America and the world markets stand today, coming off the top of the 29th financial bubble in history, I believe that a quick examination of two Wall Street bankers from two past market tops is a worthy place to start.
The first individual was Albert Wiggin, President of one of the Big Six Banks in America at the time, Chase National Bank. Wiggins’ start in banking was most certainly a rise to the top at an early age. In 1892, at age 24 he was married; became the assistant cashier to the Third National Bank of Boston at age 26; at age 31 became the vice president of the New York National Park Bank, and by age 36, was the youngest vice president ever of the powerful Chase National Bank.
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Saturday, September 19, 2015
How the Chinese Will Establish a New Financial World Order / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stocks, Gold and Commodities Elliot Wave Theorist Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Dear reader,
With the market action during the last few weeks, many investors have been operating in panic mode; subscribers to Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist haven't. Why?
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Buy Gold, Sell the S&P / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Buy low, sell high! As of today, September 3, 2015, the better choices are buying gold and selling the S&P 500 Index and relevant stocks.
Why?
Examine the graph of the ratio of Gold to S&P 500 Index for the past 25 years. The ratio is low now and likely will correct higher. I think gold will move higher and the S&P will move lower.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
Bond Yields vs Stocks and The Fed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The widely anticipated US August jobs report headlined with a disappointing 173k increase in nonfarm payrolls (lowest since March). The silver lining was in the 44k upward revision of the previous two months and the decline in the unemployment rate to fresh seven-year lows of 5.1% from 5.3%. The decline 41K decrease in the labour force was too small to reduce the participation rate, which remained unchanged at 62.6%.
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Thursday, September 03, 2015
The Next Financial Crisis May Already be Unfolding / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Stefan Gleason writes: Is an epic financial meltdown about to commence? Predictions that a crash will occur in the fall of 2015 have been gaining traction. They are bolstered by some of the market events of this summer, which suggest that something big is indeed unfolding.
In August, the Chinese devalued the yuan, setting off volatility in currency, commodity, and equity markets worldwide. The U.S. stock market suffered its worst slide in four years, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling through major support levels. Crude oil prices careened below $40 per barrel.
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Wednesday, September 02, 2015
'Gravity' Is Returning to Stocks and Bond Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Porter Stansberry : In today's essay... a discussion about gravity. Not the kind of gravity that causes objects to draw closer to each other. That gravity is a mystery that physics can't yet explain.
I'm talking about financial gravity. And the causes of financial gravity are well-known...
Financial gravity is the cost of capital. The cost of money drives the price of everything else in a free market because capital is the root of supply. Want more oil? Fine, invest heavily in new supplies.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Are There Stock and Financial Markets Investing Opportunities For The Remainder Of 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The markets were ‘shockingly’ interesting last week. But what investing opportunities have been created by the recent ‘shock’?
The seriousness of last week’s shocking action in the market is shown by the volatility index, which posted its second highest reading since its inception in 1990. This is comparable to the great crash of 2008/9.
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Saturday, August 29, 2015
Casino Capitalism - What’s ahead for China and the US / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Eric Margolis writes: My father, a New York financier, used to call dubious stocks or bonds, “Chinese paper.” Last week, we saw a blizzard of Chinese paper, both in China and around the world.
As manager of a sizeable investment portfolio (an unwelcome second job from my main work, journalism), I watched last week’s near death experience on world markets with a mixture of cynicism and alarm.
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Monday, August 24, 2015
Stock Market - The Sky IS Falling / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Before we look at some charts I just want to second Sir Fullgoldcrown’s Friday night post at the forum. We created Rambus Chartology so we could have a community of like minded investors who want to learn as well as share what they have experienced in their own investment world. We are all equals when it comes to the investment world which can humble even the most experienced traders on the planet. That’s the nature of the game we’re playing. Sharing ideas in which everyone can benefit from is the corner stone of Rambus Chartology. I know we have a lot of lurkers at the forum and if you have any good ideas you would like to share with the rest of the members please feel free to post what you have without fear of ridicule or embarrassment. As Sir Fully likes to say, “It’s all for one and one for all.”
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