Category: Financial Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, February 19, 2015
Markets Fear Factor Meets The Year Five Phenomenon / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Despite continued front-page fears over Greece's threatened exit from the euro and the military encroachments of the terrorist group known as ISIS, investors apparently aren't sufficiently worried enough to sell equities. If anything, adage about the "wall of worry" has been the driving force behind recent equity market gains as the front-page fears have been largely ignored.
Investors were skittish entering 2015, so much so that billions were poured into safe haven assets including U.S. Treasuries and precious metals. The soaring U.S. dollar (below) was as much a sign of the flight to safety as it was a symptom of U.S. economic strength.
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Tuesday, February 17, 2015
Doug Casey on ISIS, Gold, Oil, and What to Expect in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By Louis James, Chief Metals & Mining Investment Strategist
Today's feature is a special treat: a peek into the brain of one of the most successful speculators of all time. In what follows, Doug Casey talks to Louis James about what to expect in 2015. Doug weighs in on today's most important issues, including ISIS, oil, Putin, and the stock market. He even sticks his nose out to make a bold call on gold.
This (usually subscriber-only) content originally appeared in The Casey Report.
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Tuesday, February 17, 2015
State of the U.S. Markets 2015 Report and Online Conference / News_Letter / Financial Markets 2015
The Market Oracle NewsletterJan 18th , 2015 Issue # 1 Vol. 9
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Saturday, February 14, 2015
Markets Outlook 205 on Euro, Gold & Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Experienced traders say that sometimes, just 2 or 3 good trades make their entire year.
True: If you get in early and ride the trend for a few weeks or months, that may be all you need. That's why having a perspective on the markets is so important.
That's also why, our friends at Elliott Wave International, have hand-picked the best clips from their trader-focused "Outlook 2015" video series to share with you and give you a fresh perspective in 5 key markets: EURUSD, EURJPY, GBPJPY, Crude Oil & Gold
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Thursday, February 12, 2015
USDCAD and German DAX Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
USDCAD has turned nicely lowest recently, and seems like top for wave B) could already be in place. We however need a five wave decline from 1.2696 to confirm a change in trend. If market will stay bearish today and close somewhere beneath or around 1.2500 then we could be considering shorts soon.
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Thursday, February 12, 2015
SPX Hanging on a Thread, Gold & Crude Resume their Decline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
NDX has rallied marginally higher, turning the formation from January 6 low into a double zigzag formation. A regular correction is usually a single zigzag. We can infer from this action that the central banks are buying time, literally.
The thinking apparently is, “The more elevation, the lesser the decline.” Wrong!
The Cup with Handle formation is still intact.
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Monday, February 09, 2015
What to Do When It’s Time to Sell Everything / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Shah Gilani writes: My Jan. 29 column, “It’s Not Time to Sell Everything – Yet,” generated a lot of questions.
I’m answering most of them here – and also letting you know exactly what I’m going to do myself.
As to the timing of a possible crash and depression, that’s the bazillion-dollar question.
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Monday, February 09, 2015
Which Companies and Markets Will Suffer Most from a Strong U.S. Dollar? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Since 2008 the U.S. dollar has risen against every important currency in the world.
Its steady ascent has been good for a lot of companies, economies, and investors.
But, if the trend continues, a strong U.S. dollar in 2015 will be bad news for some of those same companies, economies, and investors. Worse, it could trigger a global markets meltdown….
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Friday, February 06, 2015
The Financial Manhattan Project / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
“It is perfectly obvious that the whole world is going to hell. The only possible chance that it might not is that we do not attempt to prevent it from doing so.”
-Robert Oppenheimer
Recently, I was saddened to learn that my college physics professor died a few years back. I don't quite remember what led me down that path, but the walk down memory lane circled back to the realization of yet another dangerous and sad financial phenomenon evolving like a cancer on culture and society.
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Monday, February 02, 2015
2015 Gold, Markets Outlook: What You Really Need to Know / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
In the January issue of BIG GOLD, I interviewed 17 analysts, economists, and authors on what they expect for gold in 2015. Some of those included what we affectionately call our Casey Brain Trust—Doug Casey, Olivier Garret, Bud Conrad, David Galland, Marin Katusa, Louis James, and Terry Coxon. The issue was so popular that we decided to reprint this portion.
I think you’ll find some very insightful and useful reading here (click on a link to read his bio)…
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Wednesday, January 28, 2015
Acceleration Of Events With Rising Chaos – US Dollar Death Foretold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
In the closing months of 2014, on numerous occasions the position was put forth that as the days of January stacked up, toward the end of the month and going into February, that the global financial structures would show severe strain, widespread disruptions, and possible signs of cracks in breakdown. The forecasts were clearly stated and repeated. Even the present flow of events has been shocking, despite the expectation. The forecast certainly has proved correct. The disruptive events and pace of systemic breakdown are surely going to continue. The year will go down in history as extremely messy, extremely chaotic, and extremely important in the demise of the USDollar. Check the 7-year cycle for an amazing sequence that goes back to the 1973 Arab Oil Embargo, the 1980 Gold & Silver Hunt Brothers peak, the 1987 Black Monday, the 1994 Irrational Exuberance with ensuing Asian Meltdown, the 2001 Inside 9/11 Job, and the 2008 Lehman failure. The year 2015 will be known for the USDollar demise with full fireworks, set up with Ukraine and the European repeat of Waterloo. A quickening pace of events is highly indicative in two natural types in nature, namely the lead up to a natural earthquake, and the lead up to a human childbirth.
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Wednesday, January 28, 2015
Bread and Circuses (Not All Inflation Is about Footballs) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Guy Christopher writes: I know it's easy to brush off those constantly mounting reports and stories of decay, destruction, and despair. I sometimes find myself ignoring as much bad news as possible, just to keep my sanity.
Then I realize that heaping one atrocity after another onto my growing pile of information-overload is purposely designed to wear me out, so that I'll ignore new attacks on my Constitution and new betrayals from those I elected to office. They want me to grow weary of learning what's true, hoping I'll overlook what I recognize as lies.
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Monday, January 26, 2015
ECB QE Action - Canary’s Alive & Well / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Excerpted from this week’s Notes From the Rabbit Hole (NFTRH 327), a 35 page report covering economic data and indicators, US and global stock markets, commodities and clear technical and macro fundamental parameters on gold, silver and the miners…
Canary’s Alive & Well
This week we will cover the ECB QE action, Euro, USD and their implications for global trade. We’ll also update a still-intact rally in gold, silver and the miners along with some (NFTRH+) trade opportunities. But first let’s review December’s Semiconductor Equipment sector Book-to-Bill ratio, just out on Friday evening and discuss some of the dynamics in play with respect to the ‘b2b’ and the US economy.
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Friday, January 23, 2015
The Opportunity in This Market is “Eye-Opening” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Dr. Kent Moors writes: As we shift into the “post-oil age,” one thing is very clear: This is no longer a zero sum game.
While crude will continue to be the star, other sources of energy will start to gain market share.
A new energy balance will begin to take hold, and it will have less and less to do with crude.
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Tuesday, January 20, 2015
Markets 2015 More Of The Same? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
BIG PICTURE – During the previous year, the stock markets of the developed world consolidated whereas the majority of the developing nations performed poorly.
In 2014, the European stock markets essentially traded sideways, Japan produced modest growth and unsurprisingly, Wall Street delivered the best returns. Over in the developing world, the commodities producing nations (Brazil and Russia) fared badly, whereas China, India, Philippines and Thailand produced decent growth.
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Sunday, January 18, 2015
The "Gnomes of Zürich" Created a Financial Nightmare / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Michael E. Lewitt writes: On Halloween, the Bank of Japan unleashed a massive quantitative easing program that included the purchase of bonds, stocks and ETFs in a desperate attempt to revive the terminally ill Japanese economy. This coincided with the end of the Federal Reserve's third round of QE in October.
At that point, the world entered the terminal phase of central banking that unleashed heightened volatility in stocks, bonds and currencies.
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Wednesday, January 14, 2015
A Five-Year Global Financial Forecast: Tsunami Warning / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
It is the time of the year for forecasts; but rather than do an annual forecast, which is as much a guessing game as anything else (and I am bad at guessing games), I’m going to do a five-year forecast to take us to the end of the decade, which I think may be useful for longer-term investors. We will focus on events and trends that I think have a high probability, and I’ll state what I think the probabilities are for my forecasts to actually happen. While I could provide several dozen items, I think there are seven major trends that are going to sweep over the globe and that as an investor you need to have on your radar screen. You will need to approach these trends with caution, but they will also provide significant opportunities.
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Monday, January 12, 2015
France's 9-11, A Measured View of a Difficult Week and the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Michael E. Lewitt France's 9-11 should remind investors that the world sits atop a precarious geopolitical perch. Madmen with guns have the ability to wreak enormous damage on the fabric of society, which in turn places the stability of markets at risk.
Last week's tragic events in Paris are likely to impose significantly greater security costs on Western societies while leading them to question the open borders that feed immigration and trade, two keys to the future economic growth that will be necessary to dig out of the deepening debt hole they have dug themselves.
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Friday, January 09, 2015
Market Forecasts 2015 - Stray Reflections / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
’Tis the season for making forecasts. I will be sending my own five-year projections this weekend, but today for your Outside the Box reading pleasure we look at some similarly longer-term prognostications from the newest member of the Mauldin Economics writing team, Jawad Mian. Jawad writes a monthly global macro advisory publication called Stray Reflections, which is read by some of the world's largest hedge funds, family offices, and asset managers. I and my team have become fascinated with his work. Jawad is not, in my opinion, non-consensus or even contrarian, but seemingly comes at macroeconomic issues from right angles, offering a viewpoint far different from almost anything else I read.
Born and raised in the UAE, educated in Canada, and now based in Dubai, Jawad views the world differently from the vast majority of Western-born and -trained analysts. A thoughtful and clear communicator, he is a rising star in the macroeconomic space, and I am glad to have him with us at Mauldin Economics.
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Thursday, January 08, 2015
Stocks and Commodities - the Deflationary Myth / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
With commodities now moving down into their three year cycle low I’m hearing more and more talk about deflation. This is complete nonsense. Bernanke had it exactly right when he pointed out that any determined government could halt deflation at will with a printing press. As a matter of fact the only mildly deflationary event we’ve seen since 1932 was a brief period during 2008 and early 2009. Bernanke succeeded in stopping it in its tracks almost immediately with QE1.
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