Category: Financial Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, April 06, 2015
Financial Repression, Central Banks, Credit Expansion, and the Importance of Being Impatient / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
We live in a time of unprecedented financial repression. As I have continued writing about this, I have become increasingly angry about the fact that central banks almost everywhere have decided to address the economic woes of the world by driving down the returns on the savings of those who can least afford it – retirees and pensioners.
This week’s Outside the Box, from my good friend Chris Whalen of Kroll Bond Rating Agency, goes farther and outlines how a low-interest-rate and massive QE environment is also destructive of other parts of the economy. Counterintuitively, the policies pursued by central banks are actually driving the deflationary environment rather than fighting it.
Friday, April 03, 2015
How I Disproved Efficient Market Theory by Being a DJ / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Yes, DJing is a hobby of mine. I’ve been doing it for about seven years, picking it up late in life. Call it midlife crisis number one.
I have had a pretty fun DJ career, all things considered. I’ve played in a couple of really famous clubs, and I’ve done all kinds of private parties—parties where people have gone nuts. I post my mixes online for people to enjoy. I’ve spent way more money than I’ve earned (especially on music—I pay for all my tracks). But it’s been worth it.
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Wednesday, April 01, 2015
Financial Market Extremes: Expect Consequences / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
WHAT EXTREMES?
The S&P 500 Index has tripled in 6 years, is overbought, and at an all-time high. See graph showing 7 year cycle highs and overbought indicators.
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Thursday, March 26, 2015
Global Financial Markets Are More Distorted Than Ever Before / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Felix Zulauf writes: Investors started off 2015 with a slow global economy, low oil prices, a strong Dollar, and a deflationary Europe with great uncertainties on the progress of the US economy and the recent launch of Europe's quantitative easing. The question is, what opportunities lie ahead? This article highlights the main topics covered in an interview between Mr. Frank Suess, CEO and Chairman of BFI Capital Group, with the globally renowned Swiss fund manager, Mr. Felix Zulauf. Mr. Zulauf currently heads Zulauf Asset Management, a Switzerland-based hedge fund and has forty years of experience with global financial markets and asset management. He has been a member of the Barron's Roundtable for over twenty years.
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Wednesday, March 25, 2015
SPX Futures Appear Weak. WTIC and Gold May Be at Max Retracement / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Good Morning!
So far, SPX Premarket is going nowhere as of this report. This bolsters the argument that SPX must decline at least to its next level of support at 2085.18 before any retracement, since it completed an impulse from 2114.86 yesterday. It may go deeper, possibly to the 50-day Moving Average at 2065.36. It’s hard to label the squiggles in the Elliott Wave. One thought is that it may be doing a running correction with no visible retracement.
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Monday, March 23, 2015
Tech Startups and Nigerian Bonds - We’re All Hedge Funds Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Watching formerly risk-averse investors adapt to a negative interest rate world is almost as much fun as watching Europe try to keep Greece and Germany in the same financial family. In each case, success depends on all the parties becoming something they really don’t want to be.
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Monday, March 23, 2015
Why You Must Beware of Quicksilver Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Shah Gilani writes: “Quicksilver Markets” is the provocative title of an Office of Financial Research (OFR) report published March 17.
The report’s author, Ted Berg, in his conclusion warns that “Quicksilver markets can turn from tranquil to turbulent in short order.”
He believes the stock market could crash – again.
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Saturday, March 21, 2015
We're All Hedge Funds Now! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
As negative interest rates spread from Switzerland, Japan and Germany to the rest of the developed world, people with money to invest face some life-defining choices.
Retirees who need to generate 6% to avoid dipping into principal can't get there with bank CDs. Pension funds that have promised an 8% return in order to meet obligations to future retirees can't get anywhere near that with government bonds. Same thing for insurance companies and money market funds, whose business models require positive returns with low risk.
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Saturday, March 14, 2015
Free Money; What Could Go Wrong? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Isn’t all of this QE (quick and easy) money great? When the Federal Reserve shut down their latest Quantitative Easing program last October (the largest “free money” scheme in American history), the Bank of Japan was ready to expand their largest “free money” scheme, and starting on March 9th this week, after many attempts to kick start its own “free money” scheme in Europe, the European Central Bank kicked off its own Quantitative Easing program.
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Tuesday, March 10, 2015
Financial and Commodity Market Forecasts Pro Services Full FREE Access / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Hello,
Our friends at Elliott Wave International have only done this once before, and the response was overwhelming.
From March 10-17, they are "opening the doors" to their entire line of Pro Services -- free for one week -- during: Pro Services Open House
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Preparing For Financial Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The other day, I overheard a conversation among a group of concerned Californians. They were having a debate about how they might be prepared for the next really big earthquake.
Most folks living in the North Ridge area, and where I am located in northern California, are certain that the ‘big one’ will hit some day. There are probabilities based on geological historic data. Based on that data, we know it will happen, we just don’t know when. Consequently, the majority do nothing about it.
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Dangerous Idiots Are On the Prowl, Stalking Your Money / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Michael E. Lewitt writes: I often find myself thinking we are living in the golden age of American idiocy.
With the advent of social media, we are exposed to discourse that is often best left unsaid, from actresses discussing their colonic purges to sports talk hosts engaging in tasteless rants on Twitter.
But the idiocy is not confined to social media and is especially rampant in the investment world.
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Saturday, March 07, 2015
Stocks, Bonds, Gold and Currencies State of the Global Markets 2015 Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Exclusive invitation: Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just released their new 53-page independent investor report, The State of the Global Markets -- 2015 Edition: The Most Important Investment Report You'll Read This Year. On an exclusive, limited-time basis, they've allowed us to share it with you, for FREE Learn more and download your 53-page report now »
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Friday, March 06, 2015
U.S. Employment Numbers Raise USD and TNX, Sink SPX / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Good Morning!
SPX Premarket appears to have fallen beneath the hourly mid-Cycle support at 2094.26, but we really need to see the neckline at 2087.62 broken to confirm the reversal.
The big news is that February Payrolls surged to 295,000 and the (official) unemployment rate dropped to 5.5%.
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Tuesday, March 03, 2015
Financial Slaughter - The Silence of the Lambs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
One interpretation is that we are living in the best of all possible worlds. Another is that we are being led to financial slaughter.
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Thursday, February 26, 2015
The State of the Global Markets 2015 - 53 Page Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Exclusive invitation: Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just released their new 53-page independent investor report, The State of the Global Markets -- 2015 Edition: The Most Important Investment Report You'll Read This Year. On an exclusive, limited-time basis, they've allowed us to share it with you, for FREE Learn more and download your 53-page report now »
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Monday, February 23, 2015
Greece Crisis Yields Ideal Market Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Peter Krauth writes: Now that Greece has a new government, its focus on debt negotiations continue with a different front man representing the beleaguered country.
Citizens remain skeptical at best and are rushing to get their money out of Greek banks while Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras makes overtures to Russia and China for funds to alleviate the country's fiscal crisis.
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Monday, February 23, 2015
When the Contract Has No Clothes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Signed, Sealed, Delivered I'm Yours
Like a fool I went and stayed too long
Now I'm wondering if your love's still strong
Oo baby, here I am,
Signed, sealed delivered, I'm yours
Then that time I went and said goodbye
Now I'm back and not ashamed to cry
Oo baby, here I am,
Signed, sealed delivered, I'm yours
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Sunday, February 22, 2015
This Greek Tragedy is a Global Farce / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Michael E. Lewitt writes: Karl Marx famously wrote that history tends to repeat itself -the first time as tragedy, the second as farce. The European economic situation can certainly be described as a Greek tragedy that has once again lapsed into farce with a decision this week to "kick the can down the road" by extending the bankrupt country's bailout for four months.
The other farce that played out last week was the U.S. stock market taking the Greek drama seriously enough to use it as an excuse to rally to new highs.
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Friday, February 20, 2015
Monetary Policy Gone Wild - When the Best Offense is Defense / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The day is coming when a single carrot freshly observed will set off a revolution. -Paul Cezanne
I'm on a group email list, an old fashioned list-service of mainly technology and science geeks.
While there are lots of witty, seemingly intelligent and often emotional debates on all manner of issues, to my dismay there is rarely a significant discussion about of financial or economic issues.
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