Category: Financial Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, January 08, 2015
Big Moves Developing In Stocks, Gold, Oil and Gas Strategic Markets… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Today I would like to touch on several different areas in regards to our trades we have going right now. First lets look at the INDU and some of the reasons I went short yesterday. The daily chart shows a rising wedge in which the price action closed below the bottom rail yesterday. Today’s bounce was a little stronger than what I was hoping for closing above the bottom rail of the falling wedge. There is also another and I believe stronger chart pattern in play and that is a possible double top. As you can see on the rising wedge, reversal point #4 is higher than reversal point #2. When you look at the RSI, at the top of the chart, you can see a big negative divergence. The same holds true with the MACD at the bottom of the chart. The blue histogram is still negative and the slo sto is falling. The 50 dma comes in just above at 17,632 so all these indicators are negative.
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Wednesday, January 07, 2015
Deflation and the Year Ahead / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Stocks were hit by selling pressure on Monday as the S&P 500 (SPX) declined 1.83% and the Dow 30 shed 1.86%. The energy sector bore the brunt of the selling with the NYSE Oil Index declining 4.61%. Crude oil prices also dropped nearly 5% for the day to close at 5 ½-year lows.
Fears that Greece may exit the euro zone are being blamed on the latest broad market decline. Upcoming elections in Greece have spooked many investors, who feel that the country's exit from the euro zone would be disastrous. The most likely reason for the market decline, however, is the fact that investor sentiment has been excessively bullish in the last couple of weeks. A pullback in the major indices should remove much of the excess optimism and pave the way for a sounder market environment.
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Tuesday, January 06, 2015
Stocks Levitating,Silver Good Support - Basic Truths and Consequences / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Most normal individuals believe these basic truths.
We cannot borrow our way out of debt.
We cannot spend our way into prosperity.
We cannot tax ourselves into wealth.
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Tuesday, January 06, 2015
My Economic Outlook for 2015: New Year Resetting for Fresh Stock Market Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
George Leong writes: Looking back on 2014, despite the elimination of quantitative easing and the pending rise in interest rates by the Federal Reserve, it’s clear that the bulls controlled the stock market.
In early December, things were looking rough. Stocks were threatening to move lower as the market focused on the economic stalling in China, Japan, and Europe, along with the political and economic turmoil in Russia that could kill the economic renewal in the eurozone and the global economy.
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Monday, January 05, 2015
New Year Updates in Gold and SP500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Our long term subscribers have been following the Gold and SP 500 markets with us for years, and for sure last year was full of volatility in both. Right now we are continuing to stay on the sidelines in Gold until we can see a confirmed close over $1232 per ounce (US Dollars). We like to keep it simple and avoid a lot of the noise that the charts on a daily basis can bring, as well as day to day and week to week volatility.
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Monday, January 05, 2015
Economy and Markets Widespread Deceptions & Hall Of Mirrors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
As 2014 leaves off and 2015 begins anew, the main theme seems to be the end of the American Empire, the demise of the Petro-Dollar, the blunt of USMilitary over-reach, and the global urgency of putting the King Dollar into a cement casing coffin. The global movement will gain strong momentum to end the dollarized terrorized nightmare. The entire world is coming to realize that the USDollar is wrecking the financial structures, ruining economies, forcing colossal debt abuses, while its defense is a grand threat to world peace. The extension of time before the execution has required pilferage of foreign adversary wealth and confiscation of foreign allied wealth. Shrouded in the entire grand transition is a myriad of deceptions, each playing a special role to maintain the system that favors the exceptional criminal and corrupt nation, the United States. The deceptions carry over into almost every aspect of financial and economic life and times. The hall of mirrors has become the American hallmark, soon to serve as the epitaph of fallen empire.
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Monday, January 05, 2015
Black Swans and White Noise 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The introduction of noise into a system can amplify the movement or efficiency of that system. Sometimes a little agitation helps to broaden a signal; this phenomenon of stochastic resonance has helped in understanding many nonlinear and complex systems - from medicine to diet.
The current financial system is a poster child for the non linear. Many nodes, endless connections. No way to parse all of the nodes and the connections. It hums along, based on confidence and dependent on an artificial type of intervention.
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Monday, January 05, 2015
15 Stocks, Financial, Commodity and Currency Market Surprises for 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
It’s that time of year when people start thinking about New Year’s resolutions and investment planning for the future. It’s also the time of year when analysts feel more or less compelled to offer up forecasts. My friend Doug Kass turns the forecasting process on its head by offering 15 potential surprises for 2015 (plus 10 also-rans). But he does so with a healthy measure of humility, starting out with a quote from our mutual friend James Montier (now at GMO):
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Monday, January 05, 2015
Financial Markets 2015 Outlook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Michael E. Lewitt writes: For the first time since 2008, stocks traded down on the last trading day of the year and the first trading day of the New Year.
Whether this will prove to be a mere statistical curiosity or a harbinger of troubles ahead remains to be seen, but there are enough headwinds facing investors to force them to don foul weather gear for the year ahead.
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Monday, January 05, 2015
Wow, They Really Are Tapering QE Money Printing / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
In the sound-money community there is universal skepticism about the Fed's plan to stop monetizing the world's debt. Hardly anyone thinks they'll go through with it and absolutely no one thinks they'll succeed if they do.
But the Fed is acting like it's serious. Take a look at the monetary base, which is the amount of new currency that's been created and pumped into the banking system. The trajectory since the 2008 crash tells you all you need to know about the "recovery," which turned out to be just the Fed printing money and a few mostly rich people spending some of it. But check out the far right edge where the line turns negative. Not wildly negative, but still, the Fed does appear to have stopped adding and started subtracting. The money supply is falling.
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Friday, January 02, 2015
Welcome, Baby 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
So Baby 2015 has slammed the book on wrinkled old 2014 (this imagery just cracks me up), a year that featured the continuation of existing macro trends like US stocks up, global stocks wobbling, precious metals weak and commodities weak to tanking.
Personally, I found the year revolting as an honest market participant, but thankfully made like a caveman and simply used my tools to help me avoid the pitfalls of my emotions and logical mind. I try very hard to tune down the Tin Foil Hat stuff, but I continue to be in awe of Policy Central and the depths of what looks to me like depravity that they will stoop to in order to keep up appearances. Reference Operation Twist and its “inflation sanitized” selling of short-term notes and buying of long-term bonds.
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Friday, January 02, 2015
Slow January for Stocks, Commodities and Dollar? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
With the S&P losing support so early in a new daily cycle on Friday I’m afraid we’re probably set up for a choppy market in January.
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Monday, December 29, 2014
2015 - A Great Investment Year Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
In these closing days of 2014, I’d like to thank you all, (Clients, Students and readers alike), for an exciting year of discovery, teaching and market predictions.
The Holidays are a useful time to reassess the year past and place emphasis on the positive events and how they have brought us to today. The Year 2014 offered lots of positive market surprises. Positive, that is, for those who saw them coming and made plans to accommodate the change.
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Sunday, December 21, 2014
Stock Investors Look Ahead into 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
With 2014 winding down, now would be a convenient time to discuss the prospects for the financial market and economy in 2015.
Year 2014 was in some respects a tumultuous year; from the slowdown in Europe and China to the collapse in oil and ag commodity prices, the deflationary undercurrents of the 60-year cycle was apparent this year. The long-awaited bottom of the 120-year cycle of deflation was finally made in October, and aside from some residual weakness still evident, the cycle bottom was a successful one.
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Friday, December 19, 2014
A Time to Prepare / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The observation of modern finance through the lens of sound money requires an onion peeler. Each time I imagine onions, I think of my soft contact lens patients; the ones who abuse them. I think of the patients who wear them too long or through periods of mild irritation or redness and practice poor hygiene.Soft contact lenses mask normal corneal sensitivity. They act like tiny onion goggles. With soft lenses in place, one can literally chop onions and not feel the normal irritating sensation at all. The problem is they tend to be the last to know about the trouble.
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Friday, December 19, 2014
China, Dollar, Japan, Europe Burning Questions for 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Louis Gave is one of my favorite investment and economic thinkers, besides being a good friend and an all-around fun guy. When he and his father Charles and the well-known European journalist Anatole Kaletsky decided to form Gavekal some 15 years ago, Louis moved to Hong Kong, as they felt that Asia and especially China would be a part of the world they would have to understand. Since then Gavekal has expanded its research offices all over the world. The Gavekal team’s various research arms produce an astounding amount of work on an incredibly wide range of topics, but somehow Louis always seems to be on top of all of it.
Longtime readers know that I often republish a piece by someone in their firm (typically Charles or Louis). I have to be somewhat judicious, as their research is actually quite expensive, but they kindly give me permission to share it from time to time.
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Thursday, December 11, 2014
10 Outrageous Predictions For 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Interesting – if not outrageous – remarks today from Steen Jakobsen at Saxo Bank in Denmark, always good for some fresh insights, and a statement from him that I would like to decorate with a few question marks. As WTI oil looks threatening to break through $60 a barrel with another 5% loss today, let’s first take a look at Saxo’s, and hence Steen’s, Outrageous Predictions, via Tyler Durden. We can take it from there.
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