Category: Financial Markets 2012
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, February 06, 2012
Did Friday's Gold Price Action Signal a Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
“You can’t feel the heat until you hold your hand over the flame.
You have to cross the line just to remember where it lays.” ~ Rise Against. “Satellite” Lyrics ~
Friday morning traders and market participants awaited the key January employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The reaction to the supposedly wonderful report was a surge in the S&P 500 E-Mini futures contracts as well as several other key equity index futures.
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Monday, February 06, 2012
Monday Financial Markets Madness – What’s This Greece Thing? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
NOW Greece is going to matter?
Just when we were planning to get bullish, the Futures are off half a point as concerns about Greece, of all things, come back to the forefront as pretty much the entire country is poised to strike this evening on the expected news that even stricter austerity measures will be jammed down the throats of a Nation that is already suffering from 20% unemployment.
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Monday, February 06, 2012
Stock Market Investors Dangerous Times Ahead, Will Impact Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Friday's big rally on the better than expected employment report has now generated the kind of euphoria that often creates intermediate degree tops. This coming week will be the 18th week of the current intermediate cycle. As you can see in the chart below the intermediate cycle runs on average 18-25 weeks from trough to trough.
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Saturday, February 04, 2012
Are US Treasury Bond Markets a Sell? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Impressive gains on stocks, it seems nothing can derail this trend atm.
Finally however we meet some awaited targets, although I will be the 1st to admit I am really pushing the boat here and allowing for the bears to come up with some magic before I potentially revert and relinquish and ideas of seeing a reversal.
Sometimes you got to know when to fold, we are at that point where if the bears don't come up with something, then the likely hood is that the markets are in something special and a test of the Oct 2007 highs are most probable.
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Saturday, February 04, 2012
Is the U.S. 'Decoupling' From the European Debt Crisis? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Selling pressure earlier in the week gave way to strong demand for equities as concerns over the European debt crisis have been moved to the backburner. Investors have instead been focusing on the improved U.S. economic and employment picture.
In an article by Reuters reporter Edward Krudy earlier this week there was a significant quote worth mentioning. The quote is from Ryan Larson, head of equity trading at RBC Global Asset Management. Larson said, "The U.S. appears to be slowly, slowly in the early stages of a decoupling from the euro zone."
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Saturday, February 04, 2012
U.S. Non Farm Payrolls Interesting Market Divergences / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
NFP printed 243K, higher than forecast. As expected markets took out all resistance's and moved to the almighty important level of 1345/50.
Key highlights from NFP report
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Friday, February 03, 2012
Essential Investor Preparations for The Big Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
“The U.S. economic and systemic-solvency crises of the last five years continue to deteriorate. Yet they remain just the precursors to the coming Great Collapse: a hyperinflationary great depression. The unfolding circumstance will encompass a complete loss in the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar; a collapse in the normal stream of U.S. commercial and economic activity; a collapse in the U.S. financial system, as we know it; and a likely realignment of the U.S. political environment. Outside timing on the hyperinflation remains 2014, but events of the last year have accelerated the movement towards this ultimate dollar catastrophe. Following Mr. Bernanke’s extraordinary efforts to debase the U.S. currency in late-2010, the dollar had lost its traditional safe-haven status by early-2011. Whatever global confidence had remained behind the U.S dollar was lost in July and August. That was in response to the lack of political will—shown by those who control the White House and Congress—to address the long-range insolvency of the U.S. government, and as a result of the later credit-rating downgrade to U.S. Treasury debt.
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Friday, February 03, 2012
Five Ways Investors Can Get Better Results 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I hear it everywhere I go. I'll start investing again...
...when the debt problem is fixed.
...when the markets pull back a little.
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Wednesday, February 01, 2012
International Business - Davos Style / Politics / Financial Markets 2012
The first lesson of international business is that the monopolies that drive the commercial trading system only hold loyalty to the god of capital. Making money means retaining a profit on trading transactions of business companies. The notion of MAKING MONEY means something very different to the financial empires that speculate on currencies, commodities, bonds and equities. When the two worlds come together to celebrate the common interest of their pirate culture, the Davos port of call, is a necessary winter holiday.
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Tuesday, January 31, 2012
Key Intermarket Forex Pairs and Bond Market Charts Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Yesterday saw a major short squeeze on S&P500 as wrenched out the shorts who got in short on the market too early. There is a time to short and the trader who can learn the art of timing has mastered it. Having said that, not even 1% can consistently time the market over a 200 day trading period.
This is part of the premium update which we share with our subscribers on a daily basis. Part of it is shared here. We will look at key intermarket forex pairs and bond market charts to understand price action. We will also look at an important macro data point released yesterday.
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Monday, January 30, 2012
Gold, Euro Rebound Off Lows / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Today's weakness in the Euro/USD (so far) has held important support in the 1.3080/50 area, which represents a former 6-week upside breakout plateau.
As long as EUR/USD respects the integrity of the support zone, the recovery rally off of 1.2620 (Jan 15) will remain intact.
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Monday, January 30, 2012
Financial Markets Jan 2012 Moves Against Popular Expectations / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Set against the backdrop of an entire continent breaking up and the gloom of a world wide recession, the financial markets continue to surprise. When my 70 year old uncle who has never traded the financial markets, tell me that the world is going to fall apart cause of the debt on European countries, we know bears dont have a chance in the near future.
What started as a feeble move in 1st week of January has now whip lashed into powerful uptrend on the risk assets with an extraordinary event about to appear on the S&P 500. The 50 DMA is all set to cross the 200 DMA. It has happened more than 12 times since 1990. This is one measure which never lies.
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Monday, January 30, 2012
Gold, Stocks and the Dollar, Arguing with the Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
I figured out early in my career that arguing with the market more often than not ends up costing one money. If you are one of those people who are unable to change your mind, this business will almost certainly chew you up and spit you out. Never has that been more true than today.
Folks, we are in the middle of an ongoing currency war. That is creating investing conditions unlike anything most of us have ever seen before. There's a reason why very few money managers have been able to make any profits over the last year and most of them have lost money. That reason is an ever-changing investing environment.
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Sunday, January 29, 2012
Are Risk Markets About to Reverse? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
A different tone this week, rather than dwell on the US markets as I regularly do, I thought I would expand on some other ideas we are watching that could help decide the US markets direction.
If you have read my articles for a while you will note I make reference to some forex pairs, which I consider to be vital clues on the direction to where stocks go.
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Sunday, January 29, 2012
Financial Markets 2012, When Leverage Fails / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
The saga continues as we head into 2012. That saga is the demise of Ponzi finance and an ASSET-backed economic model in the developed world. We do not know whether the currency and financial system extinction event will occur this year or ten years from now. The questions we hope to answer in this 2012 economic analysis regard only the unfolding of short to intermediate-term ups and downs in economies, financial systems and societies. We will be covering different sectors of the 2012 economy (stocks, bonds, precious metals, commodities, real estate, etc.) over the next several editions of TedBits; this is part one -- a global-macro Austrian overview, the BIG PICTURE so to speak. Don't miss future issues; subscriptions to TedBits are FREE at www.traderview.com/subscribe/
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Friday, January 27, 2012
Stocks Thump Yields as Economic Growth Looks On / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
It is not a new development for US GDP growth to be largely driven by a build- up inventories (+1.9% contribution is highest since Q1 2010) in contrast to weak contribution from real final sales (+0.80% is lowest since Q1 2011). If this is a signal to future growth prospects, then how will the ultra low yields-driven stock go on?
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Tuesday, January 24, 2012
Stock Market Topping Out or Just Pinning the Fed? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
The Dollar bounced off 79.75 this morning, nothing to crow about for Dollar bulls as the Euro remains just over the critical $1.30 mark and the Pound is solidly over $1.55 for the moment.
You could say it's a bearish sign that the Dow and the NYSE stopped dead at our breakout levels but that's to be expected on a first attempt at breaking out – even if they have already attempted the same move back in late October, when the Dow was 5% lower in it's test and the NYSE was testing the same line (7,866).
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Monday, January 16, 2012
Stock, Commodity, Bond and Forex Markets Breakout or Breakaway? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
We begin this week weekly analysis by looking back at the week COT data which show increasing spec shorts on key currencies.
In Treasury futures, speculative investors have been getting longer in FV, increasing their net long positions to 304K contracts from 252K from the last week. Net spec positions in the charts below show the difference between gross long and short positions in each contact held by speculative traders, or non-hedgers, as reported by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
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Friday, January 13, 2012
Trends 2012: The Good, the Really Bad and the Very Ugly / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Are you ready for a 2012 that will be "Good" for the well-prepared, really "Bad" for wishful thinkers, and very "Ugly" for the see-nothings and do-nothings – those with their heads in the sand who blindly trust their leaders?
A few weeks ago we sent you a recap of the Trends Journal’s "Top Trends 2011" forecasts. There is very little in today’s headline news that was not in last year’s Trends Journal forecasts.
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Friday, January 13, 2012
Bill Gross of PIMCO on Global Economy, and how investors can get returns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
PIMCO's Bill Gross spoke to Bloomberg TV's Trish Regan this afternoon, saying he's "very worried" about the global economy and that U.S. Treasuries are a "safe haven."
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