Category: Financial Markets 2012
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Market Madness: How to Play Bonds, China, and Gold in 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Martin Hutchinson writes: Yes, I know that markets are irrational.
I read Charles Mackay's 1841 classic, "Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds" long before it ever became fashionable.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Five Market Trends to Watch in 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
The new year begins with a big question mark hanging overhead. The second half of 2011 left many investors weary of what to expect relative to the economy, Europe and other news. The outcome will be based on current trends playing out and new trends developing. Following these trends as they unfold, along with the opportunities they present will play an important role for investment results. The following are trends or potential trends to follow as we start 2012:
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Monday, January 09, 2012
Could Crude Oil Prices Intensify a Pending S&P500 Selloff? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Last week we received reports that the unemployment rate in the United States was improving markedly. In addition, sentiment numbers were released that confirmed my previous speculation that market participants were becoming more and more bullish as prices in the S&P 500 edged higher. The exact numbers that came in demonstrated that bullish sentiment had not reached current lofty levels since February 11, 2011. The table below illustrates the most recent sentiment survey:
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Monday, January 09, 2012
Markets Vanish - "In a Flash" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
What follows is the same warning broadcast in January 2011. In his January 6, 2012, Credit Bubble Bulletin, Doug Noland discussed the same topic: "The '08 crisis is considered a low-probability "tail event" - a so-called rare "black swan" or "hundred-year flood." Yet I would argue that such a financial crisis was in reality a high probability outcome. Bubbles burst - plain and simple. It is the act of predicting the timing of their demise that tends to be an exercise in low probability outcomes. This is especially the case when government policymaking is a major factor fueling Credit and asset Bubble excess...."
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Sunday, January 08, 2012
Financial Markets Dull Start To The New Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Another year passed, although the start to the New Year has so far has been anything but an explosive start, US markets are pretty stuck in a range and chopped traders to pieces, not exactly great conditions for making successful trades. Times like that I strongly suggest sitting it out and waiting for this market to makes its move.
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Sunday, January 08, 2012
Mega Trends 2012 and their Impacts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
To arrive at an outlook for the year ahead we first need to analyze the big trends that endure for decades and in some cases even longer.
Population growth and food resources
The number one dynamic over the last century has been the exponential rise in global population. It took 123 years for the world population to grow from 1 to 2 billion (by 1927) and only 12 years to grow from 5 to 6 billion (by 1999). Growth, however, is now slowing and we are predicted to rise from the current 7 billion to a peak of 9 billion in the 2050s.
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Wednesday, January 04, 2012
Financial Markets and Economic Forecasts, My 2012 Cheat Sheet / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
For many investors, 2011 will be remembered as a year of white- knuckle volatility. This year, the S&P 500 experienced one-day swings in value of greater than 2 percent on almost 15 percent of trading days, compared to less than 9 percent of trading days in 2010.Amid such volatility and uncertainty, making one-year predictions about the economy and markets is a fraught enterprise.
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Tuesday, January 03, 2012
How to Trade 2012 For Major Market Trading Profits / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Chris Vermeulen shows you what is next for stocks, gold, silver, oil and the dollar index. Depending on your trading abilities you will see this as huge opportunity or very sobering video.
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Monday, January 02, 2012
The Most Significant Market Developments of 2011 with Trends for 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
As always the four great variables in human history are weather, disease, war, and religion. The first two are of God and the latter of men.Weather spans a wide range of natural phenomenon including earthquakes, and similarly religion includes secular movements and philosophies such as fascism and communism, essentially godless religions that involve the ordering of the relationship of the individual with a higher power that is not supernatural.
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Monday, January 02, 2012
Avoiding 2012's Danger Zones of Doomed Currency, Out-Of-Control Soldiers and Politicians / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
And here we are at the end of the week…and the end of the year.
And we’re no surer of what is going on than we were at the beginning of it.
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Sunday, January 01, 2012
Financial Markets 2012, Entering the Mayan’s Final Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
You would think, coming into what the Mayan’s may have predicted to be the final year for this planet, that people would want to make sure they get things right but no – most people just predict for next year a variation of what they thought would happen this year – no matter how wrong they were in 2011.
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Saturday, December 31, 2011
Preparing Your Finances for 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
It's hard to believe that 2011 has passed so quickly and that 2012 will soon be here. Now is a good time to look back over the past year and assess your finances. Did your choices this year put you in better or worse circumstances? Do you have the information needed to make wise decisions in the next year? Are you prepared to protect your financial future?
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Friday, December 30, 2011
Financial Crisis Script for 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Shah Gilani writes: Welcome to 2012, the third act of a tragic play. As an investor, you have a part in it.
So, if you haven't been paying attention to character development or lost sight of the plot, you're going to be frozen onstage when it's your turn to act.
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Friday, December 30, 2011
U.S. Markets and Election 2012, Pull Out The Big Guns! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
You know it's only a question of time. Ron Paul is in the lead in Iowa and running a strong second in New Hampshire so the press is bringing out the big guns in an effort to knock him down. The top two articles on MSN.com are "Is Ron Paul A Homophobe?" and "Romney Surges in Iowa" with the latter implying that his move to overtake Paul is all but in the bag. I know a thing or two about the Midwest since I grew up in Illinois and I can tell you that the folks in Iowa won't lose a minute's sleep if Paul came out against homosexuals or not.¹ The problem is no one expected him to be "in the game" right now and folks on the Republican side of the isle are very nervous. That means things will get very dirty.
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Friday, December 30, 2011
New 2012 Massive QE Investor Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
“Even as the Dow struggles higher, the internals of the stock market grow weaker. It’s as if a mortally wounded soldier, a bayonet thrust into his stomach, rises to make a final dash towards the enemy. With his last breath he still presents the picture of a fierce fighting man.” Richard Russell, 12/28/11
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Friday, December 30, 2011
When Ticks Outnumber Dogs, What to Expect for Investment Environment 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
A new year is upon us. What should we expect from the investment environment in 2012. Over the past several years, the stock markets have been transformed from markets to casinos, from investing to gambling, and from skill to fortune. Central bank intervention and manipulation has morphed into domination and control. We have witnessed, and continue to witness, a profound change in the way our economies function. We must adapt or we shall perish. If there is one fundamental difference that distinguishes today from decades passed, it is this. Going forward, I believe the key theme will be that the ticks now outnumber the dogs. Let me explain.
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Wednesday, December 28, 2011
U.S. Treasury Bonds About To Plunge? Implications For Stocks and Gold Silver / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Are Bonds about to plunge? And if so (or if not), what are the implications for stocks and precious metals?
Let’s have a look at TLT, which is the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund.
Back in 2008, at the climax of the financial crisis, TLT was very stretched above the 200MA, and the RSI was very oversold on a weekly basis.
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Wednesday, December 28, 2011
Krugman's Missed Call; Europe/China/Japan; Sideways Markets; Profit Margins; Microsoft / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Paul Krugman wrote about China in his New York Times column last Monday. That’s a topic that you have researched closely. He said that "China’s story just sounds too much like the crack-ups we’ve already seen elsewhere," referring to the financial crisis in the US and the Japanese lost decade. Do you agree with his assessment?
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Friday, December 23, 2011
Market Forecasts 2012, The Dow's Annus Horribilis and Gold's... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
I must admit that I do not prescribe to the 2012 end of the world or end of an era phenomenon; however, my recent analysis suggests that 2012 could indeed be a very significant year.
I have been following a fractal (pattern) on the Dow chart for the last couple of years. I have written about it before, in a previous article. Basically, the Dow chart is forming a similar pattern to that which was formed in the late 60s to early 70s.
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Thursday, December 22, 2011
Gerald Celente's Top 12 Forecast Trends 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Hold onto your hat, your wallet, and your wits.
After a tumultuous 2011 in which many of the trends we had forecast became headline news around the world, we are now forewarning of an even more tumultuous year to come.
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