Category: Stock Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, December 21, 2011
Stock Market SPX SELL / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Trying to sell/sell short on the initial plunge is a dubious endeavor. However, the snap-back often gives you a better entry.
Those that went flat yesterday now have an opportunity to re-enter.
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Tuesday, December 20, 2011
Stock Market Year End Chaos / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The SPX has one more support level to break through, and that is the weekly mid-cycle support at 1194.37. Once that is accomplished, the next levels for is the cycle bottom support at 1014.11. The support also corresponds with the bottom trendline of a massive Orthodox Broadening Top formation.
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Monday, December 19, 2011
Stock Market Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The SPX has broken below its prior weekly low at 1209.47 on December 14. This week we should see a drop below the 1150.67 low and possibly to the minimum target of 1025 .00 before any kind bounce. The cycles suggest that we may not see a bottom until December 29.
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Monday, December 19, 2011
Why We May See a Rally in U.S. Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
David Zeiler writes: With so much negative news dominating the headlines, investors can't be blamed for being worried or shying away from stocks. But if you take closer look at the market - specifically the Standard & Poor's 500 index - you might be surprised by what you see.
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Monday, December 19, 2011
Stock Market Ready to Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The current action suggests that a wave "C" from 1075 is underway and, after a short consolidation, is about to resume its uptrend.
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Sunday, December 18, 2011
Stocks Bull Bear Market Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
A somewhat disappointing week as investor sentiment, in many areas, flipped from positive to negative. Losses from 2%+ to 4%+ were observed thoughout all of the world’s regions. Commodities confirmed downtrends losing 4.6% on the week. Crude oil and Gold lost 6%+. Ten year Bond rates confirmed another downtrend, (rising Bond prices). And, the USD resumed its uptrend gaining 2.1%. Risk off was definitely in vogue. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.7%, and the NDX/NAZ were -3.5%. On the economic front indicators continued to improve as positive reports outnumbered negatives at a 2:1 ratio for the third week in a row. On the downtick: retail sales and industrial production turned lower, while export/import prices remained negative. On the uptick: business inventories, the NY and Philly FED, the CPI/PPI, the budget deficit, weekly jobless claims, excess reserves, and the WLEI all displayed improvement. Next week we’ll receive the final estimate for Q3 GDP, projected around +2.0%, and several reports on Housing. Best to your week!
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Sunday, December 18, 2011
Stock Market Price is all that Matters, Everything else is Noise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
turned CNBC on one morning this past week just to see what the "squawk on the street" was. The primary concern as I listened was over the Fed meeting and whether or not we get a QE 3 in early 2012. A few months ago, as the August/October lows were being made the worry was all about Europe. Tomorrow it will be some other worry and next week it will be yet another. In reality, none of this matters and to sit and listen to the airheads on TV and try to figure out how this or that will impact the market is a fruitless exercise. Given that every piece of news known to man is discounted into price, then from a technical perspective, all we have to be concerned with is the price action itself. The key, of course, is understanding what price is telling you.
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Sunday, December 18, 2011
The Stock Market Bleed Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
In my last report a few days back, I spoke of the 1208ES area, it held for now, but the lack of upside is slightly troubling and with no real help from other risk markets, the markets appear to be still stuck in bleed mode, and stair stepping lower.
A couple of times we have bought into the lows on the end of the trading day and in globex looking for a surprise upside move, although we are getting 20 handle rallies, the bounces are still not seeing enough upside movement to suggest a low in place.
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Saturday, December 17, 2011
Is The Stock Market Following A Script? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Is the market following a script? If it is you had better be prepared. Here is what we mean.
Here is a chart of the nasdaq Composite from 2000.
Wednesday, December 14, 2011
Stock Market Panic Buying As Bear Market Goes Up in Smoke on Dollar Printing for Euros / News_Letter / Stock Markets 2011
The Market Oracle NewsletterDecember 1st, 2011 Issue #23 Vol. 5
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Wednesday, December 14, 2011
European Union Agreement: Good or Bad for the Dow Industrials Stocks Index? / InvestorEducation / Stock Markets 2011
Did European Union leaders make the sovereign debt crisis "go away" last week?
Not even close. What they did agree on is tougher budget rules:
Read full article... Read full article..."...17 countries of the euro zone...agreed to run only minimal budget deficits in the future and allowed the European Court of Justice the right to strike down national laws that don't enforce such discipline properly..." Wall Street Journal, (12/9)
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Stock Market SELL / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Traders should sell the SPX here. The risk of a flash crash below 1221-1224 is very high. We should see weakness here, leading to acceleration to the downside.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Important Stock Market Support Levels at 1230.59 to 1227 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Today's graph shows the S&P 500's action for 2011. Our C-RSI indicator in red measures the strength of the underlying index.
I should say that it is measuring the strength of the market on this chart because the S&P 500 is regarded as the best index for depicting the condition of the economy. The reason Institutional Investors give for this, is that they say "the S&P 500 represents the best picture of what is happening to important Sectors in our economy".
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Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Barton Biggs Flips to Being Bullish on Stocks, Argues he Was Not Bearish, Favors U.S. and Asia / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Barton Biggs, founder of Traxis Partners, spoke to Bloomberg TV's Betty Liu and said he's still bullish on stocks. Biggs said that "I'm biased on the long side" and that "U.S. big-capitalization, U.S. stocks and Asian stocks are the best houses in a fairly tough, bad neighborhood."
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Monday, December 12, 2011
Stock Market a Little More Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The current action suggests that a wave "C" from 1075 is underway.
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Saturday, December 10, 2011
It’s Small-Stock Sweet Spot Time! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Some investing truisms are pure baloney. For instance, that you can rely on the stock market returning 10% to 12% per year on average. That if you want higher profits you have to take more risk. That you can’t time the market. That election years are always positive for the stock market.
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Saturday, December 10, 2011
Stock Market Report: Pass the Band-aides! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Lost in all the noise regarding the European summit was this morning's Commerce Department report that the U.S. trade deficit narrowed by 1.6% in October to $43.5 billion. The deficit has narrowed for four straight months to the lowest monthly trade gap this year. Underlying the report was a sharp upward revision to the trade deficit in September to $44.2 billion from the initial estimate of $43.1 billion. The October trade deficit was close to the consensus forecast of Wall Street economists of $43.6 billion. Both imports and exports declined in October, with imports falling at a slightly faster pace.¹ The U.S. trade deficit with China widened to $28.1 billion in October in compared with $25.7 billion in the same month last year. October imports from China were the highest on record. The data show that trade with Japan has recovered from last March's earthquake and subsequent tsunami. Imports from Japan in October were the highest since April 2008 while exports to Japan were the highest since March 1997.
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Friday, December 09, 2011
Stock Market Bullish Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The stock markets are still riddled with anxiety, with traders nervously awaiting the next shoe to drop. Will Europe fracture? Does a global recession loom? But in an apprehensive environment where fears are legion, it’s easy to lose the forest for the trees. If you can transcend the day-to-day newsflow slog for a broader perspective, the technicals of the US stock markets are actually quite bullish today.
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Friday, December 09, 2011
Don't Let Debt Crisis Uncertainty Scare You Out of the U.S. Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Kerri Shannon writes: Compared to its foreign counterparts, the U.S. stock market is one of the best performers this year - even though some nervous investors may find that hard to believe.
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index is basically flat so far this year, but that's a far better performance than the double-digit losses in other markets.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
ECB and Dow Theory Undermine Stock Market Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
This morning’s activity in the S&P 500 futures underscores what the market cares about. The market is not focused on employment (better than expected this morning), earnings (good), or valuations (respectable). The market cares about one thing – money printing; specifically, having the ECB print money to buy Italian and Spanish bonds.
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