Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, February 17, 2009
New Gulf currency 'Khaleeji' poised to be Gold backed to remove 'Riba' / Currencies / Gold & Silver 2009
Again, bad news about this week and even those of us who made all the right moves early on can not help but feel anxious about what seems to come next: act two of the global financial and thus economic meltdown . This is indeed not the time for a little ‘I-told-you-so' victory dance. Yes, gold as well as silver are storming to new heights .Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 17, 2009
Euro Currency Fractures as European Bond Markets Diverge on Default Risks / Currencies / Euro
For almost a decade, yields on bonds issued by different Euro-zone governments moved close together. By joining the Euro-bloc currency regime, every member state could suddenly reap the benefits of “free-riding” in the Euro-zone bond market, or borrowing at almost the same interest rates as Germany , irrespective of whether the country's economic fundamentals justified the lower rate.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 17, 2009
U.S. Dollar Index Still Bullish / Currencies / US Dollar
My reluctance to embrace the rally in gold has been well documented . One of the reasons, I did not jump on the gold band wagon was the strength in the US Dollar Index. Since August, 2008, it has been my belief that the US Dollar was poised for a secular change in trend and that gold has only been in a range. Based upon this, it remains my belief that the US Dollar is a better place to invest.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 14, 2009
Currencies 2009: Policies of INSOLVENCY, aka Falling Dominoes! / Currencies / Fiat Currency
In 2008, the currency markets offered some of the greatest opportunities of all markets. Every currency had substantial moves ‘up and down' and many times BOTH ways, as deleveraging and stampedes of panic swept through the markets at different times. 2009 will be no different, only now we are going to look for sharp differences in two in particular. Those that exist in REAL MONEY will skyrocket and pretenders to that moniker will decline regardless of the country that issues them.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 13, 2009
The U.S. Dollar and Monetary Policy / Currencies / US Dollar
One of the chief mandates of the U.S. Federal Reserve is to manage the nation's monetary stock. This essay analyzes the historic growth of the American monetary stock (or aggregates) since 1960 and looks at some recent developments revealing a marked adjustment in policy. These changes are a direct response to the on-going worldwide financial crisis that escalated in September 2008 following the collapse of Lehman Brothers.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 12, 2009
U.S. Dollar Volatile Trend Lower into End of Week / Currencies / Forex Trading
The USD continues to trade mixed today after US data failed to inspire traders one way or the other. GBP fell to a new traded low of 1.4315 before reversing back to the 1.4370 area in lighter volumes; cross-spreaders continue to work the sell side of the rate into the New York close. Overnight UK data was also benign and remarks somewhat dovish but the rate remains firm on the 1.4300 handle ahead of more US data tomorrow. Traders expect more two-way action near-term so aggressive traders looking to buy the dip under the 1.4380 area remember to be nimble.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 11, 2009
U.S. Dollar Volatile as Traders Not Convinced by Geithner’s Bailout Plan / Currencies / Forex Trading
Extreme volatility and more two-way action was the rule today as the major pairs whipsawed between highs and lows several times creating havoc for traders across the board. Weaker equities pricing in response to Tres. Sec. Geithner’s plan to bail-out the banking sector suggests that USD bulls are not convinced that the plan will work.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
Collapsing Fiat Currencies: (Zimbabwean) Dollar, Point of No Return / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Last week, Zimbabwe slashed 12 zeros from its currency as hyperinflation continued to erode its value, the country's central bank announced in late January.
The government instituted price cuts to arrest inflation. As time went by, it became apparent the forced price cuts cause bare shelves in shops and many businesses closing .
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 09, 2009
Trading USD/JPY- U.S. Dollar Vs Japanese Yen / Currencies / Forex Trading
We are finally seeing some life come back into the dollar/yen relationship.
I have to admit, I love trading Forex, it's one of the most exciting and most profitable markets in the world.
Thursday, February 05, 2009
Volatility Plagues Forex Markets Ahead of Interest Rate Decisions / Currencies / Forex Trading
Continued volatility plagued the majors the past 24 hours as the USD continued to consolidate gains earned overnight although signs of topping continue. Overnight news as well as US data this morning failed to extend US gains past early highs seen in New York after the release of ADP private payrolls estimates. Showing another large drop projecting a dip in NFP on Friday, ADP came in at -553K. Although a negative number it was seen as an improvement over December’s numbers; USD got a slight boost on the news but GBP and EURO reversed;Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 04, 2009
U.S. Dollar Falls Amidst High Volatility / Currencies / Forex Trading
High volatility was the rule today as the majors advanced sharply against the Greenback as mixed data and stops in thin conditions exaggerated moves. Despite poor earnings from US automakers equities were able to hold onto slight gains into the end of the day helping to hold both EURO and USD/JPY off their lows and in the case of EURO to trade above previous resistance in the 1.3030 area for a high print 1.3037 before trading a full handle lower mid-day.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
The History of Money: Peru and its Fiat Currencies / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Peru is the nineteenth largest country in the world and is a diverse land, both in terms of people and geography. It is populated by over 29.2 million people (July 2008 estimate), largely descended from Spanish settlers, native Inca, and pre-Inca cultures. Peru has three national languages: Spanish, Aymara, and the native Quechua, reflecting the native Indian and Spanish roots that cultivated modern Peruvian society.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
Increased Investor Risk Appetite Boosts Australian Dollar (AUD) / Currencies / Austrailia
Aussie is the days best performing currency out of a group of 9 currencies due to market optimism resulting from the latest government stimulus package of A$42 billion and ahead of tonights (3:30 am GMT) widely expected 100-bp rate from the RBA. With a 100-bps cut fully priced in, the risks are in favour of further Aussie upside in the event of only a 75-bp cut.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
Euro Impact of a Euro-zone Country Defaulting on its Debt / Currencies / Euro
This question has been triggered by the fact that the price of insurance against debt default by Euro-zone members Ireland, Greece, Italy, Spain, and even Belgium, has jumped in recent weeks; that yield spreads against German bunds have ballooned; and that the sovereign debt ratings of Greece, Portugal, and Spain have recently been downgraded. These developments do not reflect an increased risk of default by any Euro-zone member, but rather show that investors have finally woken up to the fact that not all Euro-zone sovereigns are equal. The global credit crunch has led to an overdue market re-evaluation of the Euro-zone members.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
U.S. Dollar Trades Within Tight Trading Range / Currencies / Forex Trading
It is a mixed start for the USD this morning as the Chinese markets are back after the extended Lunar New Year celebrations; the Greenback is better against EURO, GBP, CHF and CAD but softer against JPY to start the month. Although trading was light to start Asia, technical follow-on buying from Friday saw the majors start losing ground steadily into early Europe; below-expectations UK CBI data helped pressure GBP into early lows around the 1.4230 area with traders saying a failure at the key support area of 1.4250 to extend losses.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 03, 2009
Euro Doomed to Fail as Governments Pull in Opposite Directions / Currencies / Euro
Milton Friedman famously predicted that the euro would not last past their first economic crisis. This week we look at commentary by Niels Jensen that explores the news from Euroland. Can the euro survive? He explores a number of options which are most definitely not on the radar screen for most investors. It is good to get a perspective from those outside of our own back yard. Note that when he says "our country" he is referring to Great Britain.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 31, 2009
British Pound Collapsing Under Weight of Bankrupt Banks Liabilities / Currencies / British Pound
Jack Crooks writes: Great Britain's Prime Minister, Gordon Brown, is meddling in the Bank of England and U.K. Treasury, much the same way that our Hank Paulson and Ben Bernanke have done. And now everything that Mr. Brown is struggling with underlines why his home currency has performed so poorly recently … and will continue to disappoint.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
U.S. Dollar Regroups After Dramatic Overnight Plunge / Currencies / Forex Trading
After dropping dramatically overnight and into early New York the USD has reversed to hold gains across the board against the majors. Most traders note that volumes dropped off significantly ahead of the FOMC rate announcement suggesting that most were sidelined ahead of the statement. Analysts are divided as to the exact meaning of the statement; some suggest that the Fed stands ready to do “whatever it takes” to resolve the economic crisis while others say the Fed appears a bit panicky in view of interest rates at near-zero unable to add positive stimulus so far. In my view, the issue still remains short-sighted at best and long-term solutions will be hard to enact with a financial community wanting a quick fix.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 28, 2009
U.S. Dollar Marks Time Ahead of FOMC Interest Rate Meeting / Currencies / Forex Trading
The USD is continuing in two-way action as the majors continue to consolidate off their weekly lows; traders note conditions remain thin and the lack of US fundamentals are keeping some sidelined ahead of the FOMC rate announcement tomorrow. After early gains in the Greenback overnight better-than-expected overseas data helped to hold the GBPO and the EURO higher although both pairs looked for new lows in early New York but reversed losses to close better on the day as early intraday shorts covered back as the day wore on. Better US equities prices helped to support EURO as well keeping the rate off the lows into the close.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 27, 2009
U.S. and China Play Currency Manipulation Chicken Game / Currencies / Market Manipulation
“China is manipulating its currency,” proclaims incoming Treasury Secretary Geithner. Talking about “manipulation” is helpful only if one's intent is to impress a local and insult a foreign audience. More productive may be plain talk - the U.S. and China could issue a joint statement along the lines of: “China and the U.S. agree that both will act in their respective self-interest in setting exchange rate policy.”Read full article... Read full article...