Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, April 02, 2009
Aussie Dollars Latest Boost / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Ashraf_Laidi
Before exploring the latest boost to the Aussie, let's first go over today's surprisingly smaller than expected 25-bp rate cut from the European Central Bank. The ECB is likely to use the next 4 weeks in elucidating its intention to keep the door open for further conventional easing (rate cuts) and starting non conventional easing (asset purchases and extending term lending) as early as the next meeting. Currency markets are no longer subscribing to the much punditized notion that slower/ further ECB rate cuts keep it behind the curve at the expense of the euro. The realities of the market remain shaped by the positive impact of rising risk appetite on EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD at the expense of JPY and USD. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 02, 2009
The G20's Hidden Agenda of Devaluing the U.S. Dollar to Inflate Asset Values / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: I'm buried monitoring the markets … scrutinizing them virtually 24/7 … checking every piece of news I can get my hands on.
I also have three Dollar Index charts on my trading screen: A monthly chart, a daily chart, and a 60-minute chart to check the short-term moves.
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Thursday, April 02, 2009
U.S. Dollar Expected to Weaken Following G20 Communique / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD ends mixed today after another volatile two-way session; some pairs extending their ranges during New York trade. Most action was ahead of the London fix as US fundamentals were released as well as overseas news reports from pre-G-20 meeting participants; traders note that volumes dropped significantly after the London fix exaggerating price moves into the end-of-day. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 01, 2009
Currency Report, U.S. Dollar and Indian Rupee / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Pumrath_Forex
Summary: Performance of US dollar against G-7 currencies continues to remain key driver of currency future movement in India. March month ended with wild swing in global currencies largely due to events and policy actions by major economies. The rupee jumped against US dollar in the middle of month as a result of announcement by US to buy bonds but failed to sustain at higher level as strong demand from importers emerged. Rupee is more likely to consolidate at 50-52 range in near term.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
What Will be the Next World Reserve Currency? / Currencies / Global Financial System
By: Joseph_Toronto
- What exactly is a “reserve currency”?
- Replace the dollar as the world's reserve currency?
- Why the dollar will remain the most important reserve currency.
- What are the Chinese really up to?
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
U.S. Dollar Supported by Risk Averse Global Capital Flows / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_and_Markets
Jack Crooks writes: Last week's big news: The Federal Reserve announced they'd “officially” take up quantitative easing to finance the massive stimulus spending.
The Fed's decision to buy long-term Treasuries, soak-up more mortgage debt and open up the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility (TALF) for the sake of consumers and small business inspired optimism …
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Tuesday, March 31, 2009
U.S. Dollar Rally Due to Weak Equities Falters / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD is holding gains in late New York as traders continue to digest weekend developments; focus is on the upcoming G-20 meeting which is expected to produce solid plans for addressing the developing global economic crisis but smart money is not anticipating anything concrete at this point. More interest is on how the ECB may move interest rates with a strong expectations of at least a 25 BP rate cut heavily factored in. In my view, any hint that the ECB will stand pat or make less than a 25 BP cut will likely fuel a short-covering rally although a case can be made for a “buy the rumor/sell the fact” rally anyway.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 30, 2009
U.S. Dollar Rallies on Flight to Quality as Fundamentals Continue to Weaken / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD firmed up overnight as follow-on selling found stops in the majors. Overnight news that Spain will offer its first bailout during the current financial crisis pushed EURO into stops under the 1.3200 area and below keeping the rate under pressure throughout the evening. Bids ahead of 1.3150 offered initial support but traders note more stops under the 1.3150 area are building. High prints in Asia at 1.3287 were offered by a US bank traders say. Adding weight are lower equities; markets reacting to news that the US government will not support the current plans by GM and Chrysler and may be looking for a bankruptcy. Traders note that investor confidence will likely take a hit on the news and expect further declines in equities during the day. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 30, 2009
U.S. Dollar Index Stabilizes in April and Sell off in May / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Donald_W_Dony
Though the longer-term picture for the U.S. Dollar Index appears bleak, with a downside target of $0.80 to $0.81 by June, models suggest the short-term outlook indicates some upward pressure building in April. Resistance is set at $0.8670 during this expected advance. Monty Carlo simulation supports the models outlook with a 95% probability that the currency will trade outside of the $0.70 to $0.83 band over the next 100 days. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 29, 2009
China Zhou Xiaochuan: We Need An International Currency / Currencies / Global Financial System
By: Ronald_R_Cooke
China wants to divorce the dollar. Good move. The dollar is on the brink of considerable depreciation. Premier Wen Jiabao is concerned looming inflationary pressures will sharply decrease the value of American debt held in Chinese banks. In order to encourage create greater monetary stability, Zhou Xiaochuan wants to create an international currency unit that can be used in trade as well as a standard against which other currencies can be pegged.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 29, 2009
An International Reserve Super Currency? Bretton Woods the Third / Currencies / Global Financial System
By: Oxbury_Research
March 24 (Bloomberg) -- China 's call for a new international reserve currency may signal its concern at the dollar's weakness and ambitions for a leadership role at next week's Group of 20 summit, economists said. Central bank Governor Zhou Xiaochuan yesterday urged the International Monetary Fund to create a “super-sovereign reserve currency.” The dollar weakened after the Federal Reserve said it would buy Treasuries and the U.S. government outlined plans to buy illiquid bank assets. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 26, 2009
U.S. Dollar Expected to Extend Losses Ahead of Negative GDP Data / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
A violent day was had by all today as the USD whipsawed in big ranges before ending the day mixed. Comments by Treasury Secretary Geithner combined with better-than-expected US data combined to confuse traders in both directions but USD bears appear to prevail into the end of the New York session. Speaking on the possibility raised by the Chinese of a one-world economic currency were deflected by Geithner into a possibility of increasing SDR money through the IMF were misinterpreted on face-value throwing the USD into a big slide against the majors extending lows back under important intraday S/R; the Greenback recovering against some pairs but not others as the day wore on.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
U.S. Dollar Short-term Strength Evaporates / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
After a brief foray into positive territory the USD is back under threat heading toward the low end of the recent ranges in late New York. Traders note that today’s action has been mostly stop driven by small accounts attempting to run with momentum but getting caught both ways. Aggressive buyers of USD from the overnight session were rewarded by new lows in the majors into the London fix but large accounts were using the dip to add to working longs and the majors reversed back toward the mid-to-high end of their ranges today; USD/CAD making lows in the process. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
U.S. Dollar Imminent Collapse.. Again? - Update 5 / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The fall in the U.S. Dollar in the wake of the "Quantitative Easing" headlines has brought the Dollar collapse proponents back out of hibernation. However the actual dollar trend has shown little if any deviation from the road map of 20th Jan 09 as illustrated by the below original price chart which therefore at this point in time does not warrant an indepth update.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 23, 2009
Currency Market Mayhem Amdist Stocks Bear Market Short Squeeze Rally / Currencies / US Dollar
By: David_Petch
Currency mayhem this week caused a rally in most commodities as the US dollar broke trend line support and headed lower in a sharp decline. Analysis today will clue into the expected trend of the US dollar over the coming weeks ahead. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 23, 2009
U.S. Dollar Short-term Bounce Before Next Leg Lower / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD opens New York mixed this morning, higher against Yen and lower against other pairs. Overnight equities were firmer lending some support to EURO and stocks are called higher to open New York suggesting better tolerance for risk after a quiet weekend. Overnight comments from ECB president Trichet were seen as positive for the EURO also but traders note the action so far has been largely technical two-way trade. High prints at 1.3737 again drew sellers with lows at 1.3611 attracting buyers on the dips. Russian names seen on the offer traders say suggesting a possible re-balancing of the Ruble basket. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 22, 2009
How China Could Use Currency as a Weapon / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
By: Money_and_Markets
Bryan Rich writes: China's currency policy is pretty far down the list of priorities for the U.S. Treasury staff. But it could be the turning point in this economic crisis — and for the worse.
Pressures on China to join the free market global economy on an equal playing field have intensified over the years. That's because during the last few decades, the artificially weak yuan had given China a distinct and unfair trade advantage, which helped propel its economy to become the third largest in the world.
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Thursday, March 19, 2009
U.S. Fed Buying Treasuries Triggering Massive Exodus Out of U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: ForexPros
Is everybody happy? The US Fed today announced that they will be buying US Debt in huge amounts starting today and the result was a massive exodus out of the USD. Equities responded positively although more will need to be seen if investors view the progress as net-positive for equities near-term. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
Economic Reflation Investing – Which Currencies Benefit? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
Reflation refers to policy makers' attempts to “reflate” the economy, to prop up what many would consider a broken system. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Ben Bernanke made it very clear in his March 15 interview on 60 Minutes that he will attempt to stem the tide of market forces: Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 18, 2009
U.S. Dollar to Weaken on FOMC Announcement / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD continued to consolidate today reaching highs against the majors in early New York but failing to advance into key bullish levels. The majors recovered after the London fix rising off lows and in some pairs flirting with highs into the close. Today’s PPI and Housing Data was benign helping to underpin the possibility that inflation is not a problem and housing is beginning to recover but more data will be needed according to most analysts. Read full article... Read full article...