Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, June 05, 2009
USD/SGD Key Reversal Day Heralds Rebound / Currencies / Forex Trading
The Daily charts of the markets we follow in the FX TRADING GUIDE are littered with Key Reversal Days and Almost-Key Reversal Days from earlier this week. We’ll be looking at all of these in next week’s Guide, but here we have chosen USD/SGD as an example – rebound is on the cards.
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Friday, June 05, 2009
Russian Ruble to be made from Palladium / Currencies / Russia
Boris Gryzlov, the speaker of the Russian Parliament, the State Duma, said that the participants of the Economic Forum in St. Petersburg would discuss a possibility of making ruble coins from precious metals.
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Thursday, June 04, 2009
The Plummeting U.S. Dollar Economic Prosperity Plan / Currencies / US Dollar
It is becoming painfully obvious that the Fed, Treasury, and Administration's disastrous recovery plan hinges on the devaluation of the U.S. dollar. Their specious strategy stems from the belief that a falling currency can re-ignite exports and spark a recovery in manufacturing while putting a floor in U.S. asset prices. But just as the President's initials indicate, the plan stinks of B.O.
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Thursday, June 04, 2009
U.S. Dollar Rally Ahead of Today's Interest Rates Decisions / Currencies / Forex Trading
EUR/USD
With news out of the US and the EURO zone today a larger than average range is expected (150 + pips).
Thursday, June 04, 2009
Bernanke's Math - Does It Add Up? / Currencies / US Dollar
The current account deficit is down as we are less reliant on foreigners to finance our deficits; the government's deficit is increasingly covered by the domestic private sector as private sector borrowing is down. -- These were the approximate words of Fed Chairman Bernanke in testimony to the House Budget Committe. This statement is so troublesome, let's examine it a step at the time.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 03, 2009
U.S. Dollar Strength Puts Euro Near Critical Support / Currencies / Forex Trading
The darling commodity trade such as the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) is getting hammered today, mostly because of dollar strength. Just when the Euro looked like it was about to rocket above key resistance at 144.00, the price structure reverses in a significant way.
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Wednesday, June 03, 2009
EUR/USD Continues to March, USD/JPY Swings Continue / Currencies / Forex Trading
A pair has just pulled off the highs in the early Tokyo session, but the trend is still up and the bias is still up.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 02, 2009
Speculative Bets Against the U.S. Dollar Highest Since July 15 2008 / Currencies / US Dollar
Anti-dollar sentiment is again running rampant. Please consider Bets against dollar highest since start of economic crisis.
Read full article... Read full article...Speculative bets against the dollar have risen to their highest level since the onset of the financial crisis.
Tuesday, June 02, 2009
EUR/USD Awaits Breakout, USD/JPY Flag Pattern / Currencies / Forex Trading
The pair has been stuck in a range through early trading, but the EUR is showing early signs of weakness.A drop below the lows of 1.4100 would confirm a swing down and would target 1.4020 and beyond this 1.3980.
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Monday, June 01, 2009
Shorting Yen vs. U.S. Dollar / Currencies / Forex Trading
My foreign exchange work on Dollar/Yen is screaming at me to short the yen against the greenback via the ProShares UltraShort Yen ETF (NYSE: YCS) as a reflection of what should be deteriorating fundamentals in Japan (commodity procurement as oil and other commodities climb, as well as continued sluggishness in global consumption which will retard Japanese exports...as well as rising U.S. interest rates vis-a-vis Japanese rates).
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Monday, June 01, 2009
China Forced to Support U.S. Dollar to Defend $2 trillion Currency Reserves / Currencies / US Dollar
China is uncomfortable about being the principal creditor of the United States. Asia’s largest nation became the hostage of the US economy in the 21st century. The reserves of the People’s Republic of China are based on dollar assets - $2 trillion. US Treasury Bonds make $700 billion of the amount. China is forced to continue crediting the budget deficit of the United States not to let these reserves go down in value.
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Monday, June 01, 2009
EUR/USD Continues Uptrend, USD/JPY Sideways Swings / Currencies / Forex Trading
The EUR/USD has started higher once again after bouncing off of the 1.4100 level. Resistance is currently at 1.4160. A break above this level would signal a move to 1.4220-1.4240. Beyond this there is little resistance till 1.4350.
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Sunday, May 31, 2009
Panacea For a Mismanaged Nation is Inflation of the Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency
“The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war. Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunists.” Ernest Hemingway
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Saturday, May 30, 2009
US Dollar Hegemony Over China and Russia / Currencies / US Dollar
Bob Chapman writes: The Chinese and Russians are the laughing stock of the US and European Illuminists at the G-20 meetings concerning talk about a new world reserve currency to supplant the dollar. With China's gold reserves of about a thousand tons and Russia's five hundred tons, they are like penny ante poker players trying to get in on a thousand dollar ante game. They need five to ten thousand tons of gold reserves just to be an average player in "The Big Game," much less a leading and influential player. The rest of their foreign exchange reserves are denominated in fiat currencies, which are all practically worthless except for the euro and Swiss franc.
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Thursday, May 28, 2009
U.S. Treasury Bond Market Drags Dollar Lower Under Weight of Bond Issuance / Currencies / US Dollar
Talk of Fed Exit Strategy is Premature. Yesterdays 23-basis point jump in 10-year yields to 3.74% may have been helped by mortgage backed securities traders hedging, but the upward trend remains clearly intact. With Fed increasingly behind the curve in catching up with US Treasurys relentless bond issues, 10 year yields have now retraced over 50% of their decline from their 5.32% high of June 2007 to their record low of 2.03% in December.
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Thursday, May 28, 2009
U.S. Dollar, the Worst Investment of All Time? / Currencies / US Dollar
One investment, more than any other, has proven to be a terrible storehouse of value for well over 80 years.
While some disasters unfold rapidly (Enron, subprime mortgages, etc.), this investment’s decline has occurred in slow motion, losing an average of 3.6% a year. Indeed, you can hardly find a period in the last 89 years in which this investment actually MADE money.
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Thursday, May 28, 2009
Treasury Bond Market Crash Threatens U.S. Dollar Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar
THE PRICE OF GOLD rose $6 early Thursday to record the best AM Gold Fix in London so far this week, hitting $949.75 an ounce as world stock markets fell and US government bonds bounced from their worst sell-off since January.
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Thursday, May 28, 2009
U.S. Dollar Roll Over Accelerates into Mid 2009 / Currencies / US Dollar
In 2008, as the global bear market gather momentum, investors were drawn to the fundamentally weak U.S. dollar as a 'safe haven'. However, as volatility slowly erodes from the equity markets in 2009 and the appetite for risk in commodities and stocks gradually returns, the flight-to-safety mentality for the $USD is also evaporating. In its place is a return to a more rational fundamental review of the American currency.
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Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Forex Trading Briefs for EUR/USD and USD/JPY 27th May 09 / Currencies / Forex Trading
EUR/USD
The pair has pushed below former lows at 1.3950. The daily low is 1.3933 and a break below this would signal a move to 1.3900. Short term trend line support is also just above this level currently. Failure to hold would provide a target of recent swing lows at 1.3850.
Wednesday, May 27, 2009
China Seeks to Replace U.S. Dollar with Yuan as the Dominant Global Currency / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: China has taken yet another step to transform the yuan into the dominant global currency, a long-term initiative that could ultimately dethrone the dollar as the world’s top unit of exchange.
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