Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
China and Brazil Try to Flee From the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Pravda
Brazil's state visit to China has set the chins wagging. Will an agreement be struck to invoice their bilateral trade in their own currencies rather than the dollar? Brazilian President Lula had made some allusions to this last month around the G20 meeting.
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Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Russia Dumps the U.S. Dollar for Euro as Reserve Currency / Currencies / Global Financial System
By: Pravda
The US dollar is not Russia’s basic reserve currency anymore. The euro-based share of reserve assets of Russia’s Central Bank increased to the level of 47.5 percent as of January 1, 2009 and exceeded the investments in dollar assets, which made up 41.5 percent, The Vedomosti newspaper wrote.
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Sunday, May 17, 2009
The Incredible Shrinking Global Economies Bullish for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_and_Markets
Bryan Rich writes: Germany is the world’s largest exporter. And in the broadest global recession on record, demand for its exports has come to a virtual standstill.
As a result, Germany, the core of the Eurozone, is shrinking at a record pace. And Germany isn’t alone. Many of the world’s largest economies have rested on the export model.
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Friday, May 15, 2009
U.S. Dollar index, EURUSD and Commodities Playing Together / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Michal_Matovcik
Problems are on the both sides of the ocean but technical picture is giving us some new info about potential break of longterm trendline. When we put it in context of breaking the longterm trendline on dollar index, we can see building bearish setup for US dollar. First the EURUSD technical picture.
Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Fed Seeks U.S. Dollar Devaluation to Reflate the Economy / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Michael_Pento
Commodities are rising, the dollar is falling and the trade deficit is growing. Everything bad is good again, thanks to the Feds.
All of the pernicious factors that brought us to the brink of financial Armageddon are now once again returning and are still—amazingly enough--being embraced as both normal and healthy for the long term viability of the U.S. economy. Factors such as a strengthening U.S. dollar, shrinking trade deficit, a surging savings rate and falling commodity prices were all being viewed as the bane of the U.S. economy. And now, unfortunately, what had been the budding re-emergence of economic sanity is being obliterated by a killing frost thanks to the Fed and the Administration.
Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Follow the Money… Out of the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
Kieran Osborne writes: Recently, stock markets appear to have experienced an almost euphoric phase, seemingly shrugging off most negative news flow day after day. Whether or not you believe in the so-called “green shoots” of economic recovery, a significant economic rebound, or a continued decline in economic activity, one thing seems abundantly clear: investors have been becoming less risk averse. The most commonly followed “fear indicator”, the VIX index, has retracted (likewise, other commonly followed indicators such as the TED spread has tightened and OIS spreads have reverted to levels not seen since the Lehman Brothers collapse), three month T-bill yields have recently risen and equity markets around the world have rebounded from March lows.
Sunday, May 10, 2009
Reflation Trade Continues, Euro Heading Higher / Currencies / Euro
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The developing technical set-up in the Euro-$ could have extremely bullish
potential largely because the pattern since last October can be construed as
a double bottom (Oct-Mar) followed by an initial upmove from 1.2450 to
1.3735, followed by a pullback into the April 22 low that was contained
ABOVE the double bottom lows. And then, during the last two weeks, another
rally has emerged that is pushing up against key resistance at 1.3680-1.3735
- as the price structure climbs above its 50 and 20 DMA¹s ahead of its
upside breakout!
Sunday, May 03, 2009
U.S. Dollar Index Analysis and Forecast / Currencies / US Dollar
By: David_Petch
The US Dollar Index has been experiencing weakness over the course of the past few days and is challenging present support levels, which if broken, could see a dip to 82-83. Analysis today will illustrate various trends in the USD and what to expect over the course of the next few weeks.
Wednesday, April 29, 2009
U.S. Dollar Turned Back at Yen 100 / Currencies / US Dollar
By: LiveCharts
The dollar seemed on the fast track to cruise past 100 yen and beyond recently. During the six week long stock market rally, the dollar surge to a high point of 101 yen on April 6th. However, as the Dow has flattened and held above 8,000 the last couple weeks, the dollar’s momentum against its Japanese counterpart has waned.
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Saturday, April 25, 2009
Gold and China's Global Currency Threat to the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
By: Julian_DW_Phillips
For years now we have been warning of the decline of the $ as the globe's reserve currency. The threat is not so much that the monetary policies of the U.S. are cheapening the worth of the $, but that these are pressing so many other nations to search for ways to avoid the US $ in international dealings. China has now taken a momentous, structurally adjusting step to change matters in their favor.
Thursday, April 23, 2009
Chinese Global Currency Strategy Challenge to U.S. Dollar and Gold / Currencies / Global Financial System
By: Jim_Willie_CB
In a series of maneuvers, Chinese officials have revealed their strategy implementation in a very broad set of steps. Beijing leaders plan to establish the yuan currency as a global reserve currency. The process will be made more complete after issuance of a large volume of Chinese Govt debt securities, soon in coming. The number of policy actions is impressive. While the USGovt is busy stepping backwards with FASB rules enabling false bank accounting, gearing up Treasury programs to direct colossal elite welfare / confiscation to failed banks responsible for the crisis, covering up Wall Street fraud and regulatory lapses and debt rating agency collusion, and ordering pork like the $9 billion high speed train from Disneyland to Las Vegas, the Chinese are making important meaningful critical strides.
Thursday, April 23, 2009
U.S. Dollar Setting up for a Decline Into End of Month / Currencies / US Dollar
By: ForexPros
The USD suffered a violent whipsaw today first rising to highs during early New York trade before reversing to make lows against some pairs and end mixed. Rising to highs against the GBP, low prints were hit early as stops and aggressive selling dropped the rate to a low print 0f 1.4395 before short-covering and aggressive buying lifted the pair back to the 1.4500 handle to hold around 1.4510/20 area most of the day.
Wednesday, April 22, 2009
U.S. Dollar to Weaken Due to Underlying Fundemental Weakness / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD ends mixed today after reaching critical S/R numbers after the open and ahead of the London fix. The BOC announced a 25 BP cut in interest rates lifting the USD/CAD sharply higher as stops over the 1.2400 area fired off topping the rate at 1.2509 before cooler heads prevailed. The rate fell back as late buyers were disappointed finding sell-stops in-range bringing the rate back under the 1.2400 handle eventually making a new low on the day at 1.2324; traders now feel the rate has completed a retracement against the recent weakness and with an inverted hammer formation on the daily charts more losses are likely.
Tuesday, April 21, 2009
U.S. Dollar Immediate Term Rally Setting Scene for Sell off Into End of the Week / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD ends the first day of the week on a high note making gains against the majors with the exception of the Yen; analysts note that the USD/JPY is holding below the monthly opening range suggesting a technical correction is finally in play.
Sunday, April 19, 2009
Global Deflation and Currency Manipulation Boosts the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_and_Markets
Bryan Rich writes: This week there was plenty of data to digest from the financial markets and the overwhelming theme was — more of the same.
If you missed it, here’s a run-down …
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Friday, April 17, 2009
Fed Using Currency Swaps to Boost the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Eric_deCarbonnel
Currency swaps are of reciprocal currency agreements (swap facilities) between central banks. The officially purpose of such agreements are explicitly of short term and are intended to finance short-term capital flows believed to be seasonal or temporary in nature. Swap agreements are also misused to facilitate large interventions in foreign exchange markets, which is what is occurring with the dollar today.
Thursday, April 16, 2009
U.S. Dollar Continues to Top / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The USD held minor gains against some pairs today but ended the day mixed as cross-spreaders took gains off the table and put the majors into near-term S/R; traders note that stops in range and US data today contributed to intraday volatility but by the end of the day the majors held key S/R putting the Greenback back on the defense through the end of the week.
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
U.S. Dollar Doomed as Global Demand for Dollars Slows / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_and_Markets
Happy Tax Day! As you fork over money to the IRS, you might want to take a closer look at the U.S. dollar. It could very well be turning into a ticking time bomb inside your wallet.
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Risk Aversion Returns as Stock Markets Fail at Resistance / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Ashraf_Laidi
Global risk aversion gradually returns as equity indices struggle in passing the earnings test. Our oft-mentioned 860-865 target in the S&P500 denoting the +30% rally mark from the March low was tested without success, further highlighting the significance of the implications for the latest equity rally. Although the S&P500 breached above the 50 and 100-day moving averages, these moving averages stand halfway between the 200-day MA (989) and the March low (666). Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
U.S. Dollar Continues to Weaken / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The major pairs continued to advance during New York trade as technical traders pressed thin conditions to find reported resting stops in most pairs. Initially firming up at the start of Asia the Greenback gave back early gains as the day wore on with most traders complaining of thin conditions and patchy volumes.Read full article... Read full article...