Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, March 28, 2014
Bitcoin Price Pause at $500. Is It Temporary? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
If you don’t have time: we think shorts could become more profitable.
We’ve long been discussing Mt. Gox’s fall and the credibility of Mt. Gox’s claims that their Bitcoins might have been stolen via transaction malleability exploits. It now turns out that Christian Decker and Roger Wattenhofer of the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich came up with a paper in which they analyze Bitcoin transactions on Mt. Gox starting with data from January 2013.
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Thursday, March 27, 2014
USD/JPY Capped In A Triangle / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gregor_Horvat
Despite strong sell-off from 103.74 two weeks back {{3|USD/JPY}} is moving sideways for too long now, so we assume that market is trapped in some bigger corrective pattern. Because swing low since start of February are still in place we are observing a triangle idea with wave (c) underway now to 103.00 area, especially bounce bounce from 101.20 is already showing signs of a corrective move. Keep in mind that each leg within a triangle unfold in corrective manner, thus in three legs.
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Wednesday, March 26, 2014
U.S. Dollar Value Could Suffer Instant Change / Currencies / US Dollar
By: David_Morgan
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Silver expert David Morgan is warning of coming financial changes that may be forced on the U.S. during the next G20 meeting. Morgan says, “The impetus here is the U.S. has had too much financial power backed by the military for far too long, and they (G20) are going to implement change one way or the other. The IMF is basically an extension of the United States. Even though it’s called the International Monetary Fund, it is really U.S. based. With what’s been proposed here, the IMF is not going to have the clout that it once did because the G-20 is going to be able to overrule the IMF vote. This is a point in history, monetary history and global economic politics that could set a precedent . . . where it’s official that the U.S. dollar has lost its primary status as world reserve currency.”
Wednesday, March 26, 2014
Bitcoin Price False Turnaround? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Keeping it short: we don’t support any short-term positions at the moment.
There is a growing market of services around Bitcoin and the world of finance seems to recognize the opportunity this presents. The Wall Street Journal reported a new Bitcoin-related derivative instrument was being developed by Tera Group Inc. The aim of the company is to provide a first Bitcoin swap.
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Wednesday, March 26, 2014
U.S. Dollar Bottom - Third Time’s a Charm? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ed_Carlson
The US Dollar index bottomed on Monday’s 21-day cycle and then rallied over 1% last week (after the previous week’s big cycle convergence). In doing so it printed an engulfing bullish candlestick on the weekly chart (not shown).
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Saturday, March 22, 2014
The Euro Is Not Overvalued Nor Is Any Other Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: MISES
Frank Hollenbeck writes: A common argument for dumping the Euro is that it is overvalued, and that the ECB (European Central Bank) is unwilling to correct this so-called “problem.” This overvaluation is regularly cited as being over 10 percent against the dollar. The Swiss central bank surrendered control of its money supply by fixing its currency at 1.2 against the Euro essentially on the notion that its currency was “overvalued.” Advocates of a Euro breakup consider that a country with its own currency can then follow an independent monetary policy ensuring a competitive exchange rate. Never mind that neither the USA nor Great Britain have improved by following aggressive monetary policies that have depreciated their currencies. Such policies have also forced other countries, such as Brazil, to retaliate. As Mises foresaw,
Saturday, March 22, 2014
Bitcoin Price Move Below $600 Continues / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Cutting right to the chase: we don't think going short is a good idea yet.
Just when you would think the situation with Mt. Gox couldn't get any stranger, it has. Apparently, the exchange "found" almost BTC 200,000 in one of its old wallets this month. The coins would be currently worth approximately $115 million. A statement published yesterday on the exchanges website reads:
Read full article... Read full article...MtGox Co., Ltd. had certain old-format wallets which were used in the past and which, MtGox thought, no longer held any bitcoins. Following the application for commencement of a civil rehabilitation proceeding, these wallets were rescanned and their balance researched. On March 7, 2014, MtGox Co., Ltd. confirmed that an old-format wallet which was used prior to June 2011 held a balance of approximately 200,000 BTC (199,999.99 BTC). MtGox Co., Ltd. investigated the presence of these 200,000 BTC, immediately reported it to its counsels in the application for commencement of a civil rehabilitation proceedings ("counsels"). A hearing took place on March 8 where a detailed explanation of the situation was made to counsels. Immediately on Monday (March 10), counsels reported the existence of the 200,000 BTC to the Court and the Supervisor.
Friday, March 21, 2014
Cold War “Lite” - the Battle over the Russian Rouble / Currencies / Russia
By: Gary_Dorsch
The confrontation over Ukraine has the potential for spiraling out of control and could lead to "serious problems in the heart of Europe," warned former Secretary of State James Baker on March 9th. "It is clearly the most serious East-West confrontation since the end of the Cold War," Baker said on "Meet the Press." "For someone who was the last US-Secretary of State during the Cold War, it's very disappointing to me to see that we're moving now from cooperation with Russia to confrontation again. The risks are very substantial. I think we are pretty much in a "Cold War Lite," right now." Baker said he hopes a diplomatic solution can be reached because he thinks there's no good endgame for the Russian Federation.
Friday, March 21, 2014
U.S. Dollar Extends Gains After Jobless Claims Data, Trend Forecasts / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Nadia_Simmons
The U.S. dollar moved higher against major currency pairs after better-than-expected initial jobless claims data. Earlier today, the Department of Labor showed in its report that initial claims for jobless benefits in the week ending March 15 rose by 5,000 to 320,000 from the previous week's total of 315,000 000, while analysts had expected an increase of 10,000. What impact did it have on major currency pairs? What is their current outlook? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's Forex Trading Alert.
Wednesday, March 19, 2014
Bitcoin Market Tensions Building Up / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
To the point: we don’t support any positions in the market just now.
Mt. Gox has enabled users to log into their accounts and check their wallet balance. Before users get excited – this doesn’t mean that they will be able to access their money. For all we know, these balances are nothing more than numbers on a computer screen, or if you will in a database. Mt. Gox reminds of that using different wording:
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Friday, March 14, 2014
Bitcoin Trading Maybe Flat but Not Flatlined for Good / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
To the point: we don’t support having any short-term positions in the market now.
We wrote yesterday that Bitcoin’s future holds promise and that the system has the potential to revolutionize payments. In an article from its print edition, the Economist also comes to the conclusion that the characteristics of Bitcoin may as well outweigh the recent disastrous shutdown of Mt. Gox over the long term. What is more, the applications of Bitcoin or its underlying general ledger (blockchain) system might not be restricted to money transfers:
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Tuesday, March 11, 2014
USD Remains In Bearish Mode / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gregor_Horvat
Markets are still very slow and in tight ranges since start of the week. The USD however is showing some recovery now, but only on the intraday basis. Generally speaking USD remains in bearish mode, while stocks remain up.
On EUR/USD we can see wave c now moving south that we highlighted it yesterday. Fibonacci ratios shows a nice support around at 1.3830/40 where pair may find a new base again. Rally back above 1.3880 will open door for new highs.
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Saturday, March 08, 2014
Alleged Bitcoin Creator Denies Any Involvement / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
To the point: we don't support having any short-term positions in the Bitcoin market.
The media frenzy surrounding the supposed discovery of the Bitcoin creator continues. Dorian Satoshi Nakamoto, the man Newsweek claims to be the creator of the currency, denied having any involvement with Bitcoin and claimed he hadn't heard of Bitcoin until recently.
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Friday, March 07, 2014
Why Bitcoin Prices Are Rising Again / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Money_Morning
The mainstream media has put out a lot of stories detailing the demise of the Mt. Gox exchange, but they haven't had nearly as much to say about why Bitcoin prices are rising again.
Maybe that's because so many of them are rooting for Bitcoin to fail, especially if they're on record having written off the digital currency as a bubble. But reality keeps interrupting that narrative - and rather rudely.
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Friday, March 07, 2014
Bitcoin Creator Satoshi Nakamoto Found - Worked on Secret Government Projects / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: LewRockwell
Russia Today writes: A reporter for Newsweek says she’s unmasked the mysterious Japanese-American man responsible for inventing Bitcoin, the world’s most widely used digital cryptocurrency.
In an article published on the magazine’s website Thursday morning, Leah McGrath Goodman recalled the events of a two-month investigation she undertook recently in an attempt to unearth facts about Satoshi Nakamoto, the man who invented Bitcoin in 2008 but has avoided the media entirely ever since.
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Friday, March 07, 2014
Mario Draghi Boosts Euro, Rebuffs Disinflation / Currencies / Euro
By: Ashraf_Laidi
Another euro-positive ECB presser highlights the reasons for lower inflation, with the implication that low prices are of temporary nature. The conference re-affirms the ECB is in no hurry to use up its eroding interest rate armory to tackle disinflation risks without first considering unsterilising its money market operations.
Thursday, March 06, 2014
U.S. Dollar's Long Term Decline / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
The cleanest of the dirty shirts doesn’t necessarily preserve your purchasing power. Sure, the U.S. dollar has beaten the Russian Ruble and some others of late, but when it comes to real competition, the U.S. dollar has taken a back seat. The U.S. dollar’s long-term decline may be firmly in place and investors may want to buckle up to get ready for the ride.
Monday, March 03, 2014
U.S. Dollar Erases Losses, Forex Trading Alerts / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Nadia_Simmons
Earlier today, the U.S. dollar moved higher after positive economic data. The Commerce Department reported that personal spending rose 0.4% (above expectations for an increase of 0.1%) and personal income rose 0.3% (also above expectations for a 0.2% increase. Additionally, the core PCE price index rose 0.1% in line with expectations. What impact did it have on major currency pairs? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's Forex Trading Alert.
Sunday, March 02, 2014
Bitcoin the Perfect Scam, Price Does Not Reflect True Dangers of Holding Bitcoins / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Bitcoin USD price has recovered strongly by more than doubling from the crash low of $240 of 16th February in the wake of the collapse of the worlds largest Bitcoin exchange MTGox (Magic the Gathering) that declared bankruptcy a couple of days ago, though the current Bitcoin market price of $560 is still half the $1250 high of less than 3 months ago.
Friday, February 28, 2014
Legal Tender, Gold, Silver and Alternative Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
History does not repeat; it rhymes.Current stability comes from confidence and force. We've all heard that cliché over and over. But to rhyme is to the use any words you choose. We can rhyme in paper or digits, but it is all backed by nothing.
There is a not-so-subtle difference between currency and legal tender. Legal tender implies both force and control. And it's worthwhile to explore how far history can be re-expressed through technology.
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