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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Tuesday, February 17, 2015

Currency War Expands to New Fronts / Currencies / Currency War

By: EWI

Editor's note: This article was adapted, with permission, from the February issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication of Elliott Wave International. All data is as of Jan. 30, 2015. Click here to read the complete version of the article, including specific near-term forecasts, for free.

The "Currency War" we discussed in our October issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast and again in the January issue has expanded to new fronts, as world central banks fought to remain economically competitive by trying to push down the value of their currencies.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 17, 2015

Good News for Euro Single Currency / Currencies / Euro

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, the ZEW Centre for Economic Research showed that its index of German economic sentiment rose by 4.6 points to 53.0 this month from January’s reading of 48.4, which is the highest reading since February 2014. Thanks to these positive numbers, EUR/USD bounced off this week’s lows and climbed above 1.1400. Will we see the exchange rate above 1.1500 later this week?

In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:

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Currencies

Wednesday, February 11, 2015

The Euro’s Exponential Decay / Currencies / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Raul_I_Meijer

I don’t know about you, but I’m having a ball reading up on the preparations for the Wednesday/Thursday talks between Greece and .. well, everybody else. German FinMin Schäuble proudly declares that it’s do what I tell you or you’re finished, Greek FinMin Varoufakis says prepare for a clash. Greek advisors Lazard say a $100 billion debt reduction sounds reasonable, and some anonymous EU official says Lazard are incompetent and counterproductive (not smart, that).

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Currencies

Wednesday, February 11, 2015

Euro Crisis - Now Watch Denmark / Currencies / Euro-Zone

By: John_Rubino

One of the reasons we’ve all heard of George Soros is that back in 1992 he pulled off an epic financial coup by “breaking” the Bank of England. At the time the UK was trying to maintain a loose peg with the German Deutsche Mark, despite the fact that the two countries had very different rates of inflation (UK’s high, Germany’s low).

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

The Swiss Franc and The Tragedy of the Euro / Currencies / Euro-Zone

By: Philipp_Bagus

Philipp Bagus, author of The Tragedy of the Euro recently spoke with the Mises Institute about recent developments in Switzerland and the European Monetary Union.

Mises Institute: In January, the Swiss central bank unpegged the franc from the euro. What does this mean for the future of the Swiss franc?

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Does Bitcoin Low Volume Suggest Future Price Action? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Bitcoin Trading Alert originally published on February 10, 2015, 12:33 PM.

In short: speculative short position, stop-loss at $257, take-profit at $153.

A new partnership might bring Bitcoin closer to airlines, we read on CoinDesk:

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Currencies

Monday, February 09, 2015

Hyperinflation of the Union for the Unions  / Currencies / HyperInflation

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

One of my patients runs a travel section for one of the oil industry majors located in the San Francisco Bay Area. She was complaining about her vision while traveling on the plane. She contemplated that since she doesn't fly business anymore, maybe it's not that big of deal. Her company was cutting back on expenses. 

I found myself wanting to articulate 'the real' (paper-trading) cause for the oil price drop, but then I stopped. I realized in that moment how the view that futures trading and participant positioning as the central tenets of price discovery is such an abstract concept for most people.

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Currencies

Friday, February 06, 2015

Bitcoin Price Edging Closer to $200 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: speculative short position, stop-loss at $257, take-profit at $153.

The new EU regulations on value added tax (VAT) might be unfavorable for companies willing to accept Bitcoin, we read on CoinDesk:

(…) the European Union introduced new Value Added Tax (VAT) laws on 1st January this year.

As a consequence of this legislation, companies selling electronic goods or services to customers within the EU are now legally required to record the country of residence of their customers (…).

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Currencies

Wednesday, February 04, 2015

Apparently You Can’t Just Surrender In a Currency War / Currencies / Currency War

By: John_Rubino

Two weeks ago Switzerland abruptly decided that it couldn’t keep buying billions of euros every month just to maintain a somewhat arbitrary peg with that currency. It stopped trying, allowed the Swiss franc to trade according to market forces, and watched it soar.

At the time there was some question about whether an export-centric economy like Switzerland could handle a soaring currency’s impact on its major industries. In other words, is it even possible to surrender in a currency war?

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Currencies

Wednesday, February 04, 2015

Euro Time For Recovery / Currencies / Euro

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, the U.S. Census Bureau showed that factory orders dropped by 3.4% in December, missing expectations for a decline of 2.2%. Thanks to these numbers, EUR/USD moved sharply higher, breaking above important resistance levels. Will we see a comeback above 1.1600 in the coming days?

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 03, 2015

The Short Story of Past Russian Financial Crises / Currencies / Russia

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In the last Market Overview we wrote about falling commodity prices and problems of emerging markets resulting from the strong U.S. dollar. In this edition we would like to focus on the Russian economy, which suffers from both problems. Declines in oil prices erase a great deal of government revenue, while at the same time the rise in the U.S. dollar to ruble exchange rate threatens the solvency of indebted banks and companies. Because Russia’s financial instability can affect other markets that lend money to Russian companies, we have to analyze what the wounded eastern bear could really mean to the global economy and gold market.

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Currencies

Monday, February 02, 2015

Say Goodbye to the “Strong Dollar Policy” / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Michael_Pento

It is absurd to believe that the inhabitants of the Eccles building in D.C. promote a strong dollar policy. Printing $3.8 trillion dollars and keeping interest rates at zero percent for going on the seventh year can hardly be confused with a hard-currency regime. Merely pretending to cheer the dollar higher appears to be the Fed’s method of operation.

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Currencies

Monday, February 02, 2015

What Comes After Paper Money, Part 1: Fiat's Obvious Failure / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: John_Rubino

Business Insider just posted a Deutsche Bank chart that illustrates the difference between life under the Classical Gold Standard and today's "modern" forms of money. It's for the UK only but is a pretty good representation of the world in general:

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Currencies

Saturday, January 31, 2015

Swiss Franc’s Euro-Peg Post Mortem / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Frank_Shostak

On January 15, 2015 the Swiss National Bank (SNB) announced an end to its three-year-old cap of 1.20 franc per euro. (The SNB introduced the cap in September 2011.) The SNB has also reduced its policy interest rate to minus 0.75 percent from minus 0.25 percent. The Swiss franc appreciated as much as 41 percent to 0.8517 per euro following the announcement, the strongest level on record — it settled during the day at around 0.98 per euro

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Currencies

Thursday, January 29, 2015

The Raging Currency Wars Across Europe / Currencies / Currency War

By: Gary_Dorsch

The theater of the absurd became even more bizarre on Jan 22nd, when the European Central bank <ECB,> desperate to extract the Euro-zone’s economy from the quagmire of deflation and stagnation, decided it would try its hand at the magic elixir of “quantitative easing,” (Q€). Starting on March 1st, the ECB will inject 60-billion of liquidity into the Euro-zone’s money markets, each month until the end of Sept 2016. The ECB is the last of the Big-4 central banks to unleash the nuclear option of central banking – QE, - starting about six years after the Bank of England, the Bank of Japan, and the Fed began flooding the world markets with $7-trillion of British pounds, Japanese yen and US$’s.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 29, 2015

The End of Currency 'Safe-Havens' / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Swiss - Negative rates

In the past [even the recent past] investors have often 'parked' their funds in a 'safe-haven' currency, when fears about the dollar or other currencies rose. The leading candidates have always been the Swiss Franc and the Yen, with gold, in the last three years usually being excluded, because of its declining trend against the dollar and the limited amount of stock relative to the availability of these currencies. While gold's trend seems to have changed to the upside now, the developed world is still 'out of gold'.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 28, 2015

EUR, AUD, GBP USD – Invalidation of Breakdown / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, the U.S. Commerce Department showed that total durable goods orders dropped 3.4% last month, missing expectations for a gain of 0.5%, while core durable goods orders (without volatile transportation items) dropped by 0.8% in the previous month, disappointing forecasts for a 0.6% gain. Thanks to these numbers, AUD/USD extended gains, invalidating a breakdown below an important support level. Is it enough to trigger further rally?

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 27, 2015

Bitcoin Price Tense Days Ahead / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

The Winklevoss twins seem to be connected to everything about Bitcoin that has hit the media recently. This is an exaggeration but the brothers have been reported to be working on a new regulated Bitcoin exchange, on a Bitcoin ETF. It turned out that they were beaten to opening the first regulated exchange by Coinbase but the brothers seemed undeterred as they spoke with CNN Money:

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 27, 2015

Gold And Silver - Around The FX World In Charts / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Michael_Noonan

There has been some discussion about how the Swiss National Bank breakaway from the 1.20 peg to the Euro was a shot to the upside for gold. It appeared to us that the rally may have been sparked a few days ahead of the announcement, and last week's mostly sideways aftermath was the froth on the rally. It may continue, but the narrower range could just as well lead to a pullback, discussed in last article, Timing Is The Most Important Element, [paragraph above each weekly chart of silver and gold].

It made sense to compare the leading currency charts on the Foreign Exchange markets [FX], to see a) does a correlation exist, and b) take an overview of a market we rarely visit. As the SNB decision to make an apparent[?] independent break from the rest of the central banks, the risk exposure in trading in the bank-[rigged]-dominated FX markets is far greater than any occasional rewards.

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Currencies

Saturday, January 24, 2015

Safe Haven 101 For Investors Concerned About the Future / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Ron_Holland

Dictionaries broadly define a safe haven as a place of refuge or sanctuary. I'm using the term to describe a hoped for place of security if a future catastrophe should take place. Possibilities include a major natural disaster, the coming end of the forced petrodollar scam, an unexpected major new war or civil disruption as the United States makes the always difficult transformation from leading world empire to a has-been nation heading downward on the stage of world history.

This has happened to all great empires that have gone this way before the Washington Empire and will eventually happen to all future global empires. It is the nature of all aggressive empires to overreach politically and militarily as well as in the economic sphere.

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