Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, July 24, 2015
USD Index Rebounds / Currencies / US Dollar
Earlier today, the U.S. Department of Labor showed that the initial jobless claims in the week ending July 18 dropped by 26,000 to 255,000, beating analysts' expectations for a 1,000 drop. In this environment, the USD Index bounced off session's lows and came back above 97. What impact did this move have on the euro, pound and Swiss franc?
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Wednesday, July 22, 2015
US Dollar Breakout / Currencies / US Dollar
The previous Friday's expected cycle low was successful in starting a rally last week in which the US Dollar had its best week since May. DXY gained 1.89% to close at 97.99 above the June 1 high and printed an engulfing bullish candlestick on the weekly chart.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2015
British Pound Still Rallying Against Swiss Franc / Currencies / British Pound
Forex markets have posted some significant trends so far in 2015. But when we look at the overall value of the British Pound (GBP), the comparisons are generally made against either the Euro or the US Dollar. There is a strong basis for this fact, as both of these currencies see much larger trading volumes than some of the other selections that are available in the currency markets.
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Tuesday, July 21, 2015
Now that Greece is Guaranteed in the Euro, the Euro is Down / Currencies / Euro
One of the mantras repeated to exhaustion over the last few months was “if Greece leaves the Euro, the Euro is over”. Is it? The charts say the opposite. When the prospect of Grexit reached its peak, the Euro didn´t crash. Quite the opposite, it got stronger. Now that Greece seems “secure” in the Euro, the Euro is down. Could the Grexit mantra be wrong?
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Tuesday, July 14, 2015
After the Rally, What's Next? - Video / Currencies / Euro
Get new forecasts for the euro from Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist
Think the recent rally in the euro was the result of "good news" from Greece? Think again.
Watch our Currency Pro Service editor, Jim Martens, explain what's really behind the moves.
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Saturday, July 11, 2015
Bitcoin Price Up on Probable Greek Deal / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: no speculative positions.
Greece seems to have given in to its creditors’ demands for more austerity as the Greek government sent out a revised reform proposal yesterday which included substantial concessions on its part. Is this the end of the Greek drama? Most likely not.
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Friday, July 10, 2015
USDJPY Correction Underway / Currencies / Japanese Yen
The USDJPY currency pair has traded exactly as laid out in previous client analysis and a correction now appears underway. Let's analyse both the medium term and long term pictures using the weekly and yearly charts.
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Monday, July 06, 2015
New Zealand Dollar Could Rally Double Digits in the Coming Months / Currencies / Forex Trading
Brett Eversole writes: Major currencies are rising in value...
Since the U.S. dollar peaked on March 13, the Brazilian real is up around 8.5%. And the euro is up around 5.7%.
But two major currencies have lost value versus the dollar – the Japanese yen and the New Zealand dollar.
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Friday, July 03, 2015
The U.S. Dollar's 2014-2015 Rally: Wave 3 in Action / Currencies / US Dollar
An excerpt from our free 14-page report shows you how the Elliott Wave Principle can "Boost Your Forex Success"
I always say trading forex markets is like riding a bike -- except that said bike has one flat tire and the ground beneath it is covered in ice.
So why are they so popular, you might ask? In fact, forex is the most liquid market on earth, where trillions of dollars change millions of hands every day.
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Friday, July 03, 2015
The Complexity of Legal Tender / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Measuring wealth with an ever-expanding ruler makes for a carnival illusion of safety, suspended in a vast, uneven web of complexity.
The longer society and culture remain detached from the nature of true wealth, the more fragile we become to ‘normal’ risk.
Complexity is not always good or robust.
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Thursday, July 02, 2015
Guaranteed US Dollar Death Dynamics / Currencies / US Dollar
The USDollar is on a collision course with imminent death. It is utterly amazing that so many supposedly smart analysts and highly paid wealth managers cannot see the obvious path on which the USDollar treads, limps, and struts proudly, dangerously, and abusively, suspended by numerous false cables and tethers. The USDollar cannot be sustained in its current form or on its present course. The abuse of its management and stewardship will be told in history books (possibly with certain chapters scribed by the Jackass). The aggressive defense of the USDollar includes criminal activity on a widespread scale never witnessed before. It is a veritable global money war, not so much a global financial crisis. The system, centered upon the USDollar, is collapsing under its own insolvency and corrupt underpinnings amidst the din of war. The truth is almost nowhere to be seen. The USGovt is demanding that allies support the global currency reserve, even though doing so guarantees a financial structure collapse and an economic breakdown. The safe haven is Gold & Silver, in the form of bars & coins, kept secure outside all nations that speak English, and outside nations that are closely allied with the USFed and USDept Treasury which operate like a vast crime syndicate.
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Thursday, July 02, 2015
Forget Drachmas Greece Syriza Government Could Instruct Central Bank to Print Euros! / Currencies / Eurozone Debt Crisis
This week Greece started to default on its debt repayments. However, unlike other countries that have gone bankrupt in the past, Greece as part of the Euro-zone officially cannot print money and inflate the purchase power of debt, wages and savings away. In exchange for this Greece enjoys monetary stability i.e. low inflation which means the only way to deal with the structural deficit that is generating the debt is to CUT government spending and wages so as to make Greece more competitive.
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Wednesday, July 01, 2015
Beyond Greece: The Euro's Fundamental Flaw / Currencies / Eurozone Debt Crisis
The euro has more problems than just Greece. The great "euro zone" experiment was bound to have a few kinks... but it is more flawed than it seems.I have a sister who is two years older than me. We fought from time to time growing up. I distinctly remember this one time when I was 11 and our dad forced us to make up by putting our arms around each other’s shoulders. I don’t remember what the fight was about, but I do remember that the outcome wasn’t pleasant!
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Tuesday, June 30, 2015
U.S. Dollar Final Rally / Currencies / US Dollar
DXY gained 1.46% last week to close at 95.65 back above its 34-dma as well as its mid-June reaction high (a higher high) giving hope to the bulls that the final rally is upon us. Despite the bearish seasonality of July, cycles indicate that the Dollar is set for one "last hurrah" prior to a "summer swoon" a month from now.
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Tuesday, June 30, 2015
How Does Greece Influence Bitcoin? / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: no speculative positions.
Yesterday, we wrote how Bitcoin doesn’t necessarily have to be linked to the Greek situation. Yes, the recent turmoil has coincided with capital controls in Greece but this might not be a stable situation contrary to what one might think only looking at the price action. Today, on the Fortune website we read:
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Monday, June 29, 2015
GBP: Battle of the Central Banks / Currencies / British Pound
Since the beginning of April, we have seen some relatively strong upside moves in the British Pound (GBP). For many, these moves were surprising, given the massive declines that were posted by the currency in 2014. But all of us with experience in the financial markets know that no single trend can last forever, no matter how strong the technical or fundamental basis for the initial reasoning. This turned out to be the case for the GBP over the last few weeks and we have now seen the GBP/USD overcome important psychological levels just above the 1.5750 mark.
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Monday, June 29, 2015
China Resets The Currency Markets / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
The Chinese central bank is backing its Yuan with GOLD. This may set the Yuan as a “New Reserve Currency.”
If this happens, a new order in global currencies will appear. This would attract new foreign capital. The rest of the world will view the Yuan as a real currency rather than a fiat currency. Creating the Yuan with a gold standard will surely make China more powerful and become a more influential world power.
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Friday, June 26, 2015
Bitcoin Situation Getting Tenser / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: no speculative positions.
Bitcoin is getting more and more attention from the banks and exchanges but it still remains relatively unknown to consumers, we read on CoinDesk:
A new survey published by Goldman Sachs has found that just over half of US millennials believe they will never use bitcoin.
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Friday, June 26, 2015
USD Daily, Weekly, Monthly & Conclusions / Currencies / US Dollar
USD has been in correction since the hysterical March top. The daily chart shows a series of lower highs and lower lows that was interrupted last week when USD failed to make a lower low, Hammered and bounced… right to the EMA and SMA 50’s.
So we remain on watch for a) a higher high or b) a lower low. It’s very simple. As it stands, the near-term is bearish until it proves bullish, not the other way around. That is because the existing trend is down (AROON, bottom Panel).
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Thursday, June 25, 2015
Managing Trade Deficits / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Currency devaluation is seen by nearly every macro-economist to be the cure for trade deficits. Recently they have recommended it to Greece arguing for the reintroduction of the drachma so that the Greek economy can become "competitive", and "rebalanced". This widespread assumption is easily demonstrated to be incorrect.
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