Category: Gold and Silver 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, September 26, 2018
Gold/Silver Ratio Back at Extremes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
The gold/silver ratio, calculated by simply dividing the gold price by the silver price, may be signaling the end of the bear market in metals is drawing near. That could be good news for gold investors and great news for those who hold silver.
First, let's take a look at a long-term chart of the ratio:
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Wednesday, September 26, 2018
The Final Silver Sign / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
We’ve seen myriads of signs pointing to lower precious metals prices in the past months, weeks, and days. We even discussed how ridiculously similar the current situation is to what happened in 2013, right before the $200+ decline in gold. But the final bearish confirmation usually comes from the silver market and this time is no different.
Let’s take a look at the charts for details (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Tuesday, September 25, 2018
Gold – “Make Me Feel Good…Tell Me Anything” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Most technical analysis of gold boils down to “what the charts tell us about gold’s next move”. The next move according to most seers of the trade – is “imminently bullish” and represents one, last chance for investors to save their financial souls.
The problem is that more people have lost more money by ‘investing’ in gold upon the advice of those who proffer it, than will likely ever be made up going forward.”…Kelsey Williams
There are several reasons for that.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2018
Gold Price Trend Forecast 2018 - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
This is the fifth and final part of my Gold analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
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Monday, September 24, 2018
Gold Price Trend Forecast 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
This is the fifth and final part of my Gold analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
Sunday, September 23, 2018
Gold / US Dollar Inverse Trend Relationship Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
This is my fourth video in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
Saturday, September 22, 2018
Gold Exodus to Reverse / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Investors have pulled much capital out of gold in recent months in a major mass exodus. Their sentiment waxed very bearish as gold was pounded lower by extreme record gold-futures short selling. The latest record stock-market highs also suppressed the perceived need for diversifying portfolios with gold. But this heavy investment gold selling is slowing, and should reverse sharply once stock markets roll over again.
Not too long ago in mid-June, gold was trading at $1302. It looked fairly strong for the summer doldrums, its weakest time of the year seasonally. But selling would soon return with a vengeance, pummeling gold 9.9% lower over the next 2.1 months into mid-August. That major slide leading into a late-summer low of $1174 certainly cast a dark pall over psychology, fueling surging bearishness that remains ubiquitous today.
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Friday, September 21, 2018
Why the Next Market Crash Will Not Take Gold Down / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, founders of Seabridge Gold, discuss what they believe will happen to gold if there is another financial crisis. The global financial crisis of 2008 was essentially caused by excessive leverage, a loss of confidence in real estate credit and a resulting sudden collapse of liquidity in the financial system. The central bank response was to lower interest rates and flood markets with liquidity. Since then, debt loads have increased more than 30% and the percentage of higher risk credit has also grown sharply. Many analysts believe that another crisis is possible due to a combination of enormous leverage and deteriorating credit standards. What will happen to gold if we have another financial crisis?
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Thursday, September 20, 2018
Are Gold And Silver Going To Follow A Rebound In Asian Stocks? - Audio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Are Gold And Silver Going To Follow A Rebound In Asian Stocks?
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Thursday, September 20, 2018
Golden Sunsets in the Land of U.S. Dollar Hegemony / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Michael Ballanger discusses the current state of precious metal markets. I shall pass along my thoughts on the tenth anniversary of the 2008 bank bailouts, currency chaos and the un-precious metals in no particular order and with no specific agenda. More important, I want to pay tribute to a writer whose work I truly love, Rolling Stone magazine's Matt Taibbi. Taibbi's work reminds me of an era-gone-by when reporters actually reported and where "fake news" was at the least an excuse for the originator to be blackballed from the journalistic fraternity and at the worst a jail sentence. The senior editors in the newspaper business demanded that their reporters verified facts by way of constant scrutinization of sources while chasing down leads for days on end in order to allow something controversial to hit the media screens. Matt covered the "Great Financial Crisis" ten years ago and immediately after that, he was the chap that nicknamed Goldman Sacks "a great vampire squid" whose claim to fame and prosperity was how it was "wrapped around the face of humanity, relentlessly jamming its blood funnel into anything that smells like money."
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Thursday, September 20, 2018
Gold Price Seasonal Trend Analysis - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
This is my third video in a series of 5 that conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
Wednesday, September 19, 2018
Precious Metals Sector: It’s 2013 All Over Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
We have some good news and some bad news for both: precious metals bulls and bears. Based on new developments it’s even more likely that we are just before the huge price decline in gold, silver, and mining stocks, but at the same time it also appears likely that the final bottom will take place later than we had expected, based on the previously available information.
Let’s start with additional bearish confirmations (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com). In our Monday’s analysis, we compared the price performance of gold that we saw in the recent months to what happened in 2013, right before the big $200+ plunge that took place in only 2 trading days. In today’s analysis, we will extend this analogy also to other markets. But first, let’s recall the Monday’s analysis.
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Wednesday, September 19, 2018
Silver Looks Poised To Move Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
A key difference between silver and gold prices is the fact that silver already bottomed in 1993, whereas gold bottomed only in 1999.
This means that from 1993 to 1999 silver was actually in an uptrend, while gold was still caught in a downtrend. This little known fact might not have been so important to date; however, it might become more important as this bull market progresses.
I have put together a silver chart that touches on this issue, since it would not be possible to do this for gold, because gold has technically had only one phase, whereas silver has had two:
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Tuesday, September 18, 2018
Gold’s Ultimate Confirmation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Although it didn’t appear to be a breakdown, silver just closed the day (and week) at a new yearly low. Remember the day when silver moved briefly below $14? Ultimately, silver futures closed at $14.15 on that day, and they just closed at $14.14 on Friday. So little, yet so much. Breakdown confirmed by weekly closes is something very significant and yet, it’s not the most important thing that we will comment on in today’s analysis. The key details will come from the gold market. Let’s move right to it (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Monday, September 17, 2018
Gold / US Dollar Inverse Correlation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
This is my fourth article in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
Sunday, September 16, 2018
Silver's Relationship with Gold Reaching Historical Extremes / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Axel Merk Exclusive: Can You Sleep at Night When the Market Goes Against You?
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up we’ll hear from Axel Merk of Merk Investments. Axel reveals the one big mistake many investors are making in not rebalancing their portfolios right now, and he explains why he still sees gold as an important asset to own despite its recent weakness. Don’t miss an eye-opening interview with Axel Merk, coming up after this week’s market update.
Precious metals markets showed some modest strength this week, with gold bulls pushing prices above the $1,200 level on Thursday. As of this Friday recording though, gold is back below $1,200 and trades at $1,197 an ounce, flat for the week now.
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Friday, September 14, 2018
Gold Price Seasonal Trend Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
This is my third article in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
Friday, September 14, 2018
Gold Price Trend Analysis - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
This is the second video in a series of 5 to conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price for the whole of the remainder of 2018.
- Gold Price Trend 2018 Recap
- Trend Analysis
- Seasonal Analysis
- US Dollar
- Forecast Conclusion
Thursday, September 13, 2018
Gold, Silver, and USD Index - Three Important “Nothings” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Today’s analysis is going to be different than the other ones. We usually discuss what happened on a given day, week, or month and we elaborate on what it changed and what it didn’t change in case of the outlook for gold, silver, and mining stocks. But not today. Today, we are going to focus on what didn’t happen. At the first sight it seems that this means that there was no new signal. That’s not the case. The three important “nothings” that we will discuss in today’s article have important implications for the following days. That is if one knows where to look.
Let’s start with the first chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Thursday, September 13, 2018
Precious Metals Sector On a Long-term SELL Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
In his weekly precious metals market update, technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.
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