Category: Gold and Silver 2018
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, September 01, 2018
Upside Targets for Gold, Gold Stocks & Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
After a vicious selloff precious metals have stabilized. Its not a surprise given the breadth and sentiment extremes we noted and had predicted earlier. Although recent gains have met some resistance, the immediate path of least resistance should be higher. Let’s take a look at the key support and resistance levels for the metals and the miners.
Gold has retreated after hitting $1220/oz a few days ago. That was the first area of resistance for this rebound. The next resistance level would be around $1235. If Gold can surpass $1235 then look for a move up to $1260. There is very strong resistance above $1260 while $1180 should be strong support.
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Friday, August 31, 2018
Are Silver and Gold 'at the Flood'? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
There is a tide in the affairs of men...
Thus, begins one of the most famous quotes ever uttered, taken from Shakespeare's play, Julius Caesar. Brutus, talking to Cassius, says, "There is a tide in the affairs of men. Which taken at the flood, leads on to fortune..."
A flood tide takes place at the very crest in the water's height. Once the "tide turns," there is no stopping its ebb until, much later, it reaches an extended, even a minus low.
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Friday, August 31, 2018
The Final Gold Bull Market Confirmation Is Very Close / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
We are getting very close to what I believe is the final confirmation of the coming multi-year gold bull market. Although it is very clear that gold is going higher from around these levels, a move pass the $1375 area would be that final confirmation, based on the update of this previously shown comparison:
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Friday, August 31, 2018
Eleven Reasons Why I Am Super Bullish On Gold and Silver. / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
The Ducks are Lining Up!
This chart is courtesy Real Investment Advice.com and borrowed from a recent article: ‘Wicksell’s Elegant Model’. The brown areas in the chart highlight the periods when ‘real rates’ were and are negative. Gold tends to perform best during those periods.
Wednesday, August 29, 2018
Preparing for THE Gold Price Bottom - Buy-and-Hold on Steroids / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
All investors start their adventure in the capital markets with dreams of immediate wealth, luxurious cars, yachts, holidays in five-star hotels and making all the people around happy in a million ways. Virtually all investors have to lose a lot of money before they learn hubris and realistic expectations. Some give up investing completely, others become very conservative and claim that you can only count on long-term buy-and-hold types of investments.
Some of the people who survive the first – unavoidable – losses never give up their initial dreams and continually seek ways to make them come true. Are they doomed to fail spectacularly over and over again? Skeptics will say that searching for the Holy Grail of speculation has no sense and that the market is simply a complicated tool to drain naive investors of their capital. Enthusiasts, on the contrary, will try to convince you not to listen to the skeptics since you shouldn’t “blame the floor if you can’t dance.”
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Wednesday, August 29, 2018
Gold and the Great Stage of Fools / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Gold prices briefly traded above $1200 on Wednesday due to the legal and political troubles facing Donald Trump following the Paul Manafort guilty verdict on Tuesday. Kitco’s Jim Wykoff reports:
Wednesday saw some trader and investor anxiety as Trump is in some hot water. Two of his close associates are likely going to jail. This has added a bit of uncertainty to the world marketplace at mid-week. There is talk Trump could pardon those associates, or that he could be impeached. And the mid-term congressional elections are right around the corner.
Gold actually climbed for five straight sessions on US dollar weakness, giving some relief to gold bugs shell-shocked by the $1174 low hit on August 22 – the worst level since January 2017. The metal of kings on Wednesday finished above the psychologically important $1200 an ounce, with gold futures trading at $1202.90, though the spot price stayed under, at $1189.70. Gold had a mini-rally on Friday, hitting $1208 an ounce (at time of writing) on comments from Fed chair Jerome Powell that the central bank is committed to gradually, not suddenly, raising interest rates.
Unfortunately however, it doesn’t look like there’s much light at the end of gold’s tunnel which has seen an especially dark summer. Minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee held July 31 to August 1 signalled that the Federal Reserve is likely to raise interest rates next month due to what it deems solid economic growth.
Wednesday, August 29, 2018
What Would Impeaching Trump Mean for Gold and Silver? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Clint Siegner : Robert Mueller appeared to be spinning his wheels for the last year and a half. But recent prosecutions of prominent Trump campaign figures now have Democrats giddy over the possibility of being handed grounds for impeachment.
Tasked with investigating whether or not Donald Trump and people working for him colluded with the Russians during the presidential campaign, the special counsel finally got some traction last week.
Wednesday, August 29, 2018
US Dollar vs. Other Currencies and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Investment advisor Jayant Bhandari, in this conversation with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable, discusses recent moves in the U.S. dollar, the role of gold, and several arbitrage opportunities he sees.
Maurice Jackson: Welcome to Proven and Probable. I'm your host, Maurice Jackson. Joining us is Jayant Bhandari, the host of the highly acclaimed Capitalism & Morality seminar, and a prominent, sought-after advisor to institutional investors. Today we will discuss geopolitical events between the United States and third world nations.
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Tuesday, August 28, 2018
Silver Price Forecast 2018-2019 - These Indicators Are Predicting New All-time High Silver Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
The Dow/Gold ratio is a very reliable measure for where we are on the long-term economic timetable. It allows for an accurate reading of key economic conditions that are present at a particular period of time.
With regards to silver, the period after a Dow/Gold peak is generally great conditions for silver prices. After every major Dow/Gold ratio peak over the last 100 years, silver has gone to new all-time high prices, except for the period since the 1999 Dow/Gold ratio peak (see the silver vs Dow chart below:)
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Tuesday, August 28, 2018
Gold And U.S. Dollar, Buffett, Trump, – Nothing Has Changed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
“Even in the U.S., where the wish for a stable currency is strong, the dollar has fallen a staggering 86% in value since 1965, when I took over management of Berkshire…” — Warren Buffett Feb2012
During that same period (1965 – 2012) the price of gold increased from $35.00 per ounce to more than $1800.00 per ounce – a whopping 5000%. Seven years ago this month (August 2011), the price of gold peaked at $1879.00 per ounce, and has since fallen 30% to approximately $1200.00 per ounce currently. That drop in price is the inverse reflection of the U.S dollar’s temporary strength and stability, which is up by 30%. You can see that on the chart GOLD PRICES AND US DOLLAR CORRELATION below…
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Sunday, August 26, 2018
Gold has Reversed. Will the Bounce Continue? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Gold has been in a very strong downtrend until this past week. But thanks to this week’s bounce, gold has snapped its 6 week loss streak.
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Sunday, August 26, 2018
Trade Wars, the Dollar and Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Rob McEwen, chairman and chief owner of McEwen Mining and former CEO of Goldcorp, speaks to Streetwise Reports about the impact of trade wars on the dollar and precious metals, where he sees the growth in precious metals equities, and how he plans to qualify McEwen Mining for the S&P 500.
The Gold Report: Prices of some commodities have been falling. What are your thoughts on the current commodities market?
Rob McEwen: The commodities market has been adversely impacted by the strong dollar and the discussion of a trade war possibility, which may already be happening. With the economies of America, Europe and Asia picking up, most investors are asking, why buy gold or silver? The dollar is the key. When it starts dropping, we will see the price of gold, silver and all commodities improve.
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Saturday, August 25, 2018
Golds Wyckoff Price Road Map / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Applying Richard Wyckoff and Richard Ney logic. (A wealth of knowledge on this subject is disclosed via the RTT Plus service found at readtheticker.com)
Question: Is there evidence to suggest a accumulation within gold.
First, we must understand gold is controlled large positions of : futures longs, futures shorts, futures calls buy and sell, futures puts buy and sells. Each of these will be large and must be positioned before a powerful move higher or lower can occur.
1) The sharp sell off during 2013/14/15 allowed the shorts to profit, short covering occurred late 2015/16/17. The short trade from the 2011 high is done! This is good news for bulls as these positions are mostly cleared.
Thursday, August 23, 2018
Gold Bullion Bank Charades and the Importance of Long-Term Thinking / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Recently, I gave an inside look into the competitive and honest market in which precious metals dealers operate. It’s a market based on supply and demand for actual physical metal in the form of coins, bars, or rounds.
However, the futures market – where global spot silver and gold prices are set – is another story.
The supply and demand for actual physical bars is pretty much irrelevant when exchanging paper contracts.
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Wednesday, August 22, 2018
Is Gold Price On Verge Of A Bottom, See For Yourself / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
The recent downward price swing in Gold has kept Goldbugs frothing at what they believe is a very unusual and unexplained price function in the face of so much uncertainty throughout the globe. With Turkey, Russia, China and many others experiencing massive economic and currency crisis events, Gold has actually been creeping lower as the US Dollar strengthens. It is almost like a “Twilight Zone” episode for Gold Bulls.
The setup for a gold rally has been in place for over a decade. Much like in 2006 through 2008, the current price and volatility of Gold is simply mundane. For the past two years, Gold has rotated between $1190 and $1360 – within a $180 range. Certainly, Gold traders were able to find some profits within this range, but no breakout trends have been established since early 2016 when the price of Gold changed from Bearish to Bullish and a 31% rally took place driving prices $328.80 higher from the lows.
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Wednesday, August 22, 2018
Gold COT Data at Extreme Levels, which suggests Recovery Should Start Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
In his weekly precious metals market update, technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.
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Tuesday, August 21, 2018
Historical Repetition in Gold and Silver Precious Metals Arena / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Sector expert Michael Ballanger muses on the potential for a historical reprise of market events of 2015-2016, as well as on how algobots and bankers affect the precious metals markets.
History doesn't repeat itself but it often rhymes. – Samuel Clemens (Mark Twain)
I decided that before I sat down to write the weekly recap and outlook for the gold and silver markets that I would go to a few of the great commentary sites such as Streetwise, 321Gold, Goldseek and Gold-Eagle and read what the other "experts" are saying about the precious metals markets before I attack the keyboard. Earlier in the week, I had been working on a Western Uranium Corp. story and was astounded how stress-free it was writing about an energy deal as opposed to a sound money deal. After perusing perhaps two hundred paragraphs from some pretty smart guys and gals, it occurred to me that we are all looking at the same data and the same charts and reading the same headlines in an effort to sound original in our assessment of the metals
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Tuesday, August 21, 2018
US Economy Beholden to Fed Interest Rate Policy; Here's One Way Gold Could Reach $14,000+ / Economics / Gold and Silver 2018
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason. Coming up we’ll hear from Dr. Lucas Engelhardt, associate professor of economics at Kent State University and well-known Austrian economist and regular guest lecturer at the Mises Institute. Dr. Engelhardt enlightens us on some of the major flaws in our current monetary policy and the dangers and economic trouble it will eventually produce. He also discusses a couple of different ways we could reintroduce a gold standard to save us from what appears to be an inevitable economic catastrophe. Don’t miss a fascinating interview with Dr. Lucas Engelhardt, coming up after this week’s market update.
Well, there’s no way to soft-pedal it. Precious metals markets got smashed this week.
A currency crisis in Turkey sent a wave of fear through other emerging markets and hard assets at large. That emboldened short sellers who had already piled onto gold and silver futures with historically large positions.
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Monday, August 20, 2018
Why Silver Could Replace The US Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Silver used to be a significant part of the monetary base in many countries. You could find it as part of monetary reserves together with gold, as well as coinage in circulation.
Over the years that silver was demonetized (at least from the 1870s to roughly the 1960s), significant amounts of silver coins (official currency coins) were melted down and sold on the markets, together with silver bars (used as reserves). This brought us to today, where the amount of silver that is part of the monetary base is basically immaterial.
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Friday, August 17, 2018
What Gold Is Not / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
I was reading a post by Martin Armstrong called…
Gold and the Changing Fundamentals
…and in it he published a question from an email sent by a reader:
Read full article... Read full article...“Mr. Armstrong; You are obviously the person worth listening to when it comes to gold. Every fundamental these people have argued to support gold has proven completely false. Confusion in gold is really very high. You have to be really stupid at this point to listen to this nonsense. Can you express any opinion on gold?”